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Trotter
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Posts
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Posts posted by Trotter
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minus 172.40
Taking a chance on the old Champ beating a couple of shiny new upstarts .....
Newb 3.00 - Paisley Park - £20 win at 7/2 bog bet365
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minus 152.40
Chelm 5.00 - Ghalyoon 6/4 and Intuitive 11/2
Chelm 5.30 - The Gill Brothers 5/2 and War Glory 10/3
prices bet365 bog
4 x £5 doubles
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8 minutes ago, MCLARKE said:
My system relates to NH rather than the flat. I think it may relate to the fact that in NH older horses are perhaps more well known and therefore potentially over-bet.
I have found that this system is not very effective in March and April, perhaps the same logic appears here as in your flat example.
I suppose a horse reaches it's peak at a certain age, I think this is 5 on the flat, not sure what it is for hurdlers and jumpers.
Yes, you're right, my 'system' is for the Flat
I have thought about trying to adapt my system for the jumps but haven't been able to get a handle on it ...... I suppose logically handicap hurdles would be the place to start as most horses start their jumps career over hurdles
Might take another look at that !
What I have found is that there is often a big age range over jumps as some horses start off as juvenile hurdlers, others as novices, others in bumpers, others in point to points ...... it might be worth thinking along the lines of 'number of races run in' rather than just age. Concentrate on the runners who haven't run many times regardless of what age they are
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40 points on Norwich to win at 1.60
thanks!
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Congratulations to Hollie Doyle who has been named 'The Sunday Times Sportswoman Of The Year'
Bit of a boost for Racing as well which doesn't get many of these kinds of awards, gets the sport in the limelight
- The Equaliser, Striker, Villa Chris and 1 other
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9 hours ago, MCLARKE said:
A bit of a losing run at the moment for my young handicappers system but that is the downside with a low strike rate system.
There is a selection in the 3.41 at Taunton, which is a BET365 feature race.
MEMPHIS BLEEK 12/1
I have a bit of a system for handicaps in which the first race card filter is 'select the two youngest age groups in the field' so usually 3 and 4 year olds in all aged handicaps, the second filter being 'distance win' then draw ....... I posted a month's worth earlier in the year and managed to finish the month with a small profit after 100 plus selections
However ........that system is for early to mid season when the younger horses are more likely to be less exposed and still improving relative to the older horses ......... and of course they're getting decent weight for age allowances
By this time of year the handicapper has probably got a grip of most 3 and 4 year olds and they've found their level in the handicap and the WFA has disappeared
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away from Racing ........ just seen that Diego Maradona has died, aged 60
controversial in life but no doubt one of the greatest !
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minus 132.40
Ling 12.30 - Yes My Boy 5/2 and Fantasy Believer 10/3
Weth 1.20 - Geordie B 10/11 and The Mulcair 13/8prices bet365 bog
4 x £5 doubles
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22 hours ago, Trotter said:
this month minus 112.40
Tuesday
Wolv 6.30 - Gabriel The One - 13/2 wm hill
£20 win
lost - minus 132.40
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this month minus 112.40
Tuesday
Wolv 6.30 - Gabriel The One - 13/2 wm hill
£20 win
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This Month - Minus 92.40
Taking on a short priced favourite .....
2.00 Kemp - Storm Goddess - 9/2 bet365 bog
£20 win
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1 hour ago, Trotter said:
lost - minus 92.40
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this month - Minus 72.40
Decent action is in Ireland today and I'm going for a short priced double on a couple of 'talking horses' setting out on the road to Cheltenham .....
Navan 12.10 - Farouk D'alene 10/11
Navan 2.20 - Minella Indo 2/9prices bet365 bog
£20 double
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16 hours ago, Trotter said:
return 60.00, profit 40.00
this month - minus 72.50
- MCLARKE, LEE-GRAYS, Nigwilliam and 1 other
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minus 112.50
Saturday - classy potential and established chasers at Haydock ......
1.15 - Master Tommytucker 7/4 and Good Boy Bobby 7/2
3.00 - Lostintranslation 11/8 and Bristol de Mai 3/1prices bet365 bog
4 x £5 doubles
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20 points on Aston Villa to win at 2.20
thanks!
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1 hour ago, Trotter said:
lost - minus 112.50
Every time I get below 100.00 I lose next time out !........ ?
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1 hour ago, Trotter said:
There's a few unknown (to us) runners which makes selecting difficult ........ The Racing Post have tipped Simsir at 33/1 !
...... which won ! ...... ?
SP 20/1
well done to the Racing Post tipster !
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minus 92.50
Looking at the novice and beginners races at Ascot
Asc 12.55 - Time Flies By 11/8 and The Edgar Wallace 11/5
Asc 1.30 - Metier 11/8 and Tile Tapper 8/1prices bet365 bog
4 x £5 doubles
£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
lost
minus 192.40