Trotter
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Posts
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Joined
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Last visited
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Days Won
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Posts posted by Trotter
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12.45 Sou - Comeatchoo - win at 3/1 wm hill
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Southwell - prices bet365
12.45 - Comeatchoo 5/2
1.15 - Cheeky Az 7/4
2.15 - Excessable 9/4
2.45 - Atomic Jack 5/2
3.15 - Blackcurrant 9/4
3.45 - Equidae 7/220 x £1 trebles
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Newc 4.30 - Systemic - win at 6/5 bet365
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8 hours ago, Trotter said:
Southwell - prices bet365
4.45 - Mukha Magic 2/1 (WON)
5.15 - Legal Reform 11/4 (WON 7/2)
6.15 - Rafiot 9/4
6.45 - Slowmo 11/4
7.15 - Its A Love Thing 2/1 (WON 9/4)
7.45 - Three Cs 11/8 (WON)20 x £1 trebles
4 winners , 4 winning trebles
return 133.83, profit 113.83
this month +73.83
- Nigwilliam, MCLARKE, BBBC and 1 other
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5.15 Sou - Legal Reform - win at 11/4 bet365
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Southwell - prices bet365
4.45 - Mukha Magic 2/1
5.15 - Legal Reform 11/4
6.15 - Rafiot 9/4
6.45 - Slowmo 11/4
7.15 - Its A Love Thing 2/1
7.45 - Three Cs 11/820 x £1 trebles
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5.30 Wolv - Global Response - win at 11/8 PP
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Muss 3.25 - Third Time Lucki - win at 10/11 wm hill
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Kemp 6.30 - Rainbow Dreamer - win at 11/8 bet365
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12.35 Ling - Count Otto 13/8
1.45 Ling - Forest of Dean 3/1
2.16 Ling - Symbolic power 4/5res
3.15 Leop - Honeysuckle 11/8
1.35 Leop - Chacun Pour Soi 4/9good luck everyone !
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20 points treble on
Livingston at 2.40
Hull at 1.73
Nottingham Forest at 2.05cheers !
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1.40 Ling - Royaume Uni - win at 4/6 bt365
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4.30 Sou - Fancy Footings - win at 7/1 bet365
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this month - 20
1.45 Ling - Cinzento 3/1
3.25 Ling - Love Destiny 15/8
5.25 Kemp - Mission Boy 8/1
6.30 Kemp - No Nay Bella 5/1
7.30 Kemp - Baby Steps 4/1
prices bet365
10 x £2 trebles
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Kemp 5.25 - Mission Boy - win at 8/1 bet365
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off topic .......
Just seen that Captain Tom has died of Covid ........
RIP
?
- Nigwilliam, vikki37 and LEE-GRAYS
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1 hour ago, Pirate53 said:
Top 2 way ahead so no bet for me.
I think this is the way I would approach this ....... you try and do ratings that you're confident about then obviously you have to think that the winner will be your top rated horse ......... otherwise there's no point doing ratings
The second step would be value .... to see if your top rated is value. If not don't back it even if you think it might win according to your ratings
There are plenty of races every day ..... if you stuck to backing your top rated horses that were also 'value' you've got half a chance. Leave the other races alone.
I suppose the other way would be to look at your tip 3 or 4 rated and see if any are massive prices for EW betting
I'm a bit wary of concluding that my 8th top rated, a 100/1 shot, is 'value' because I make it a 66/1 shot. There are still 7 horses that you think are more likely to win!
So I think you should be concentrating on your top rated for win purposes 'if' they are also value.
- MCLARKE, Villa Chris and Pirate53
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Southwell
4.40 Lightning Attack 4/1
5.40 Nick Vedder 9/4
6.10 - Brian The Snail 4/1
6.40 - Mondammej 10/3
7.40 Daafy 7/110 x £2 doubles
after I gave up keeping a running total I found that I lost interest in the thread .... so I think I'll go back to keeping a monthly balance but try and stick with multiples to give me a few races to have an interest in
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through the card at Sou - prices bet365 bog
4.40 Lightning Attack 4/1
5.10 Carrothers 3/10
5.40 Nick Vedder 9/4
6.10 - Brian The Snail 4/1
6.40 - Mondammej 10/3
7.10 Thrave 10/11
7.40 Daafy 7/1couple of odds on shots in there in the non-handicaps but they do look well clear of their rivals
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4.40 Sou - Lightning Attack - win at 4/1 bet365
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5.10 Wolv - Combine - win at 11/2 bet365
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1 hour ago, MCLARKE said:
What is the logic for this Richard.
I am currently working on an AW system and one of the factors is the opposite of this, low drawn horses have a poor profit record, for those drawn 1-5 the AE is 0.93, for those drawn higher than 5 the AE is 1.08.
I wonder if that's just herd instinct at work ........ the AW tracks apart from Newcastle are tight with turns. I guess it could be the case that logic says you need to be drawn on the inside to get the advantage of the bends ....... so the horses drawn low get over-bet and the horses drawn high are relatively ignored
I know I'm guilty of this ...... any AW race I look at I tend to favour the low drawn horses ...... maybe everyone else does too !
SIR PUNTALOT KO CUP 2nd ROUND - Deadline Saturday 2pm
in NAP of the Day Competition
Posted
Ling 12.50 - Give em the Slip 10/11
Ling 1.25 - Mummy Bear 13/8
Ling 2.00 - Charlie Fellowes 5/1
res
Ling 2.35 - Crackling 11/8
Ling 3.45 Inevitable Outcome 7/2
prices bet365
Good luck Roughie !