Villa Chris

Galway Plate Chase Easy Game 9.32 18/1 Fury Road 8.97 12/1 The Goffer 8.91 14/1 Kilcruit 8.9 13/2 A Wave Of The Sea 8.76 40/1 Super competitive race 22 runners. This race is usually won by unexposed novice types carrying less than 11 stone but the last two renewals of been won by classy types Hewick last year and Royal Rendezvous the year before carrying big weights . Hewick returns along with some other big names. Hewick scores low on going and his current mark hence why not in the picture for me but he’s a real class act. I hope conditions don’t get too testing for Easy Game although he has won on soft ground before but wouldn’t want it too bad. Finished second in this race two years ago and 10th last year off a pound higher but was hampered twice which killed momentum near the end. 11,4 isn’t the end of the world because he’s has lots of class about him . I’ll be brave and go 5 points on the nose

I noticed his price earlier and thought that’s too big surely

Big jumps race in Ireland worth 270k euros, The Galway Plate. Will look forward to going through it on a bit. Any thoughts ?

Nowt

Regarding Lord Riddifords previous form you can ignore that because every time he’s won at Goodwood he’s had poor form . He loves the course , connections target this race so anything previous or after just put a line through because this is his target. Also helped he was on a lower mark than his previous festival win. Well done winners. Existent was my top rated for this race which finished 2nd. Lord Riddiford and the favourite were joint top rated in the RPR/Weight experiment I’m doing

Not very imaginative but let’s see

I’ve got him high up in the ratings . I’m also experimenting with a RPR and weight carried points system and he’s joint top with Raasel on that but take that with a pinch of salt as it’s still in progress . Not having any bets today just testing. 1.40 Raasel/ Lord Riddiford 2.50 1 Lord Protector 2 Eagles Way

No luck today P/L jump season start date 8th October 2022 +75.19

Thought Kauto The King was a touch unlucky there to have his momentum stopped by being cut off by other horses bypassing the second last . May not have won but found himself in a bad position there. My selection Fat Sam fell and I’m not surprised , his jumping was very erratic from the first fence onwards. Looked a bad fall but horse/jockey ok .

I looked his user name up and he got rumbled on Betfair forum a few years back. Each to their own but I’ve never understood laying horses . Doesn’t seem fun and it goes against the grain .

I see four of us had a go at the 2.45 at Newton Abbot and none of us successful with mine finishing 3rd. The winner i was happy to not have him top of my ratings as I didn’t fancy his chances much, but he goes and wins well.

Newton Abbot 2.45 Jony Max 11/4 bog 3.55 Fat Sam 5/2 bog 4.30 Eritage 13/2 5 points win all 3

Only if @Zilzalian doesn’t bend the rules this time.

I think no matter how good you get the ratings and yours are very good, you will always have races where they are just way off for that particular race on that day, especially handicaps . I’ve started using a -minus and a + plus in my ratings to separate horses that have say both won a class 2 for example. It’s not hard to notice that some class 2s are far weaker than others and a quick look at the prize money and the calibre of horses in the race shows you that.

I once used a prize money won strategy to pick my selections . It was promising but never stuck with it which tells you it wasn’t all that in the end , but I’d definitely consider using it again to form some part of a rating for a horse

Nice win 👋

Both finished second P/L jump season start date 8th October 2022 +90.19

3.10 Uttoxeter Court Master 5/1 bog 2nd 3.45 Uttoxeter Polish 4/1 2nd 5 points win each P/L jump season start date 8th October 2022 +100.19

The funny week has continued, relationship trouble 😕

Been a bit of a funny week for me hence why I haven’t had any bets. Was hoping to have a go today but will probably be tomorrow if there’s anything worth looking at

That would be a great chat up line especially in the north of England

Sounds to me like a wind up. If not then I apologise and I hope you leave gambling on horses alone or anyhing else for that matter because it doesn’t sound like it’s doing your mental health much good.

Nice 1 2 there that would have paid nicely on the forecast

Don’t be so harsh on yourself. I’ve not had a winner for about a week now and I’ve had a bet everyday during the past week some days 2-3 bets . Had a 10/1 winner last Monday and zero since but that’s racing for you. It’s frustrating at times and does test you but keep it fun. The more you put in the more you’ll learn and the better results will be but even the best on here have their dry spells .

Second , ran well with the winner who was upped to 3m from 2m and found improvement. P/L jump season start date 8th October 2022 +100.19