Villa Chris

4.40 Market Rasen Captain Tom Cat 3/1 I think this is a good chance for the selection to get his nose back in front. He’s been running average of late but in better races than this and although not as good as he was capable of, I still believe he’s probably the best horse in the race and well handicapped with a 7Ibs claimer aiding his cause. The odds on favourite is up in class and distance and having watched his last race he made hard work of what was a weak race . Not sure he’ll get away with that here today unless he improves. The selection should be able to dominate this small field from the front which will definitely benefit his style of racing. 5 points win

The Big Chap who I made a note of on here a few weeks back runs today at Sligo 3.45. He ended up running on ground too soft for him lto but the going wasn’t changed to soft until post race which was frustrating for betting purposes. Unfortunately he hasn’t dropped down any in the weights which I thought he would and he’s in a pretty deep race today. Currently he has his conditions but rain is forecast. Having rated the race up he also only managed second on the ratings so I’m going to show a bit of discipline and leave the race alone as it’s a low level Irish handicap. He is dropping back down to 2.1 mile which I think is a plus and he’s 9/2 currently from 7/1 last night. Top 3 1 Bigz Belief 2 The Big Chap 3 Staging Post

Blank lucky 15 Start date 17th May 2023 - 38.17

Stayed on well to finish a close 3rd but not good enough today P/L jump season start date 8th October 2022 +110.19

6.90 returned as there was a non runner as one of the doubles so it returned a single win

There’s the first leg in with Perotto winning. Let’s hope I can land the win double

2.25 Sandown Perotto 9.87 6/1 won Silent Film 9.72 11/1 Intellogent 9.7 12/1 Orbaan 9.69 40/1 Im using this race to double up with the race above purely because it’s paying the most places on the day with the race above. 1.50 ew doubles = 6 points . Top two with top two above race although Euchen and Dark Jedi both came down in price from yesterday 12/1 and 16/1

6.00 Bellewstown Tronador 9.5 14/1 Sundial 9.31 4/1 These two bit clear of the rest . Tronadors last couple of hurdle runs last year were poor but i believe that was down to distance(3m) and soft ground . His optimum trip is around 2m -2.4m and he runs at 2.1 today and off a very winnable mark. He comes here in good form on the flat at similar distances, so should be primed for this. He also has a good claimer in Ben Harvey taking 5Ibs off so is effectively running off 120. The JP horse who’s favourite Sundial has a very good profile to take this but I’m glad I’ve got the 14/1 shot as my bet. 5 points win

Just started raining in south staffs

Shite , D’Jango being one of my all time worst selections I didn’t feel comfortable backing him at all. Live and learn. P/L jump season start date 8th October 2022 +115.19

Surprised the winner didn’t come from the 3 I mentioned . Just The Man ran well at big odds. I’ve followed Coolnaugh Haze in 3 times now and no success , I expect him to be upped in distance .

Good run from Ocean Wind after two years off. He’d have pissed that if match fit I reckon.

3.15 Haydock Euchen Glen 9.87 20/1 Dark Jedi 9.74 33/1 Gaassee 9.57 14/1 Maksud 9.59 8/1 Teumassias Fox 9.59 12/1 Looking at the form of the top two they tend to run well one race then not so much the next and that’s a pattern they seem to have. Both seem capable going off their recent form.

Yeah managed to get hold of trainer comments on him . 5/1 for a horse off for over two years is garbage. Would be my selection if fit and ready without the long lay off though. Small fields today and some skinny prices too.

The one to beat if you could say he was definitely fit would be Ocean Wind I think. Stays and has got some good form in the book. Just that massive lay off. Definitely see your angle on Estacus and looking at the pace angle may take it up on the front along with Ocean Wind . Hollie Doyle’s mount is Interesting, but I’d love to know if Ocean Wind is primed . Just read trainer said he’ll come on for run .

Newton Abbot 3.50 Coolnaugh Haze 9.37 11/4 4th Just The Man 9.27 14/1 3rd Glorious Zoff 8.87 5/2 2nd Throne Hall 8.83 6/1 Closer tuan the rating suggest I think, and Just The Man is a weird one. I’m pretty certain the winner will come from 1 3 or 4. I’ll stick with Coolnaugh though who’s been running well and a touch unlucky not to have got his head in front. He’s been finishing his races off very well so it’s all about timing with him I think . He’s worse off at weights than a couple of them but hopefully he can time it right because he’ll need every yard of this trip . Newton Abbot 5.00 D’Jango 10/3 Wexford 7.23 Birchdale 2/1 5 points win each all bog

I don’t know, bit of a dark horse I reckon

I know, I’m thinking of stealing a horse from the local farm to get some much needed prize money

You know what happened to John

2nd and 3rd . Disappointed I couldn’t make a small profit with Sharjah who went off at 8/13 but seemed a bit lacklustre in the finish. Apart from Monday I’ve been off work rough with Covid so hopefully there’s a few races to keep me entertained tomorrow. P/L jump season start date 8th October 2022 +130.19

Just noticed I Love My Baie in the 2.18 at Perth has set a good time on his hurdle debut. 4.7 seconds fast on what I’d say is good ground but on the easy side of good. Keep an eye on him I think.

You’re a Sheffield Wednesday fan as well are you.

The most important ones are can the horse win or be competitive at the distance, can the horse run its race on that particular going. Is the horse good enough to win in that class , is the horse handicapped to win or is he too high in weights. I’ve also started taking into consideration form as well. Pretty basic stuff really and imo there’s not much else that matters. p.s I sometimes take into account courses but not often

Yep I used to be the same regarding figures but I find the more you put into horse racing the easier numbers are . It’s a numbers game after all. Ignore those sites do your own it’s better