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Villa Chris

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Everything posted by Villa Chris

  1. Newton Abbot 3.50 Coolnaugh Haze 9.37 11/4 4th Just The Man 9.27 14/1 3rd Glorious Zoff 8.87 5/2 2nd Throne Hall 8.83 6/1 Closer tuan the rating suggest I think, and Just The Man is a weird one. I’m pretty certain the winner will come from 1 3 or 4. I’ll stick with Coolnaugh though who’s been running well and a touch unlucky not to have got his head in front. He’s been finishing his races off very well so it’s all about timing with him I think . He’s worse off at weights than a couple of them but hopefully he can time it right because he’ll need every yard of this trip . Newton Abbot 5.00 D’Jango 10/3 Wexford 7.23 Birchdale 2/1 5 points win each all bog
  2. I don’t know, bit of a dark horse I reckon
  3. I know, I’m thinking of stealing a horse from the local farm to get some much needed prize money
  4. You know what happened to John
  5. 2nd and 3rd . Disappointed I couldn’t make a small profit with Sharjah who went off at 8/13 but seemed a bit lacklustre in the finish. Apart from Monday I’ve been off work rough with Covid so hopefully there’s a few races to keep me entertained tomorrow. P/L jump season start date 8th October 2022 +130.19
  6. Just noticed I Love My Baie in the 2.18 at Perth has set a good time on his hurdle debut. 4.7 seconds fast on what I’d say is good ground but on the easy side of good. Keep an eye on him I think.
  7. You’re a Sheffield Wednesday fan as well are you.
  8. The most important ones are can the horse win or be competitive at the distance, can the horse run its race on that particular going. Is the horse good enough to win in that class , is the horse handicapped to win or is he too high in weights. I’ve also started taking into consideration form as well. Pretty basic stuff really and imo there’s not much else that matters. p.s I sometimes take into account courses but not often
  9. Yep I used to be the same regarding figures but I find the more you put into horse racing the easier numbers are . It’s a numbers game after all. Ignore those sites do your own it’s better
  10. My missus swears by them. She’s got an old book give to her by some old mystic. Maybe if we could find out when the actual birthday of an horse is it might help us.
  11. If that’s the case start doing your own ratings. Really doesn’t have to be complicated and it isn’t anyway. Keep tinkering until you’re happy with what you have and see how it runs. It’s more fun and there’s no emotional decisions to be made regarding who’s riding for who etc . Some of the ways I was picking selections before were woeful but you live and learn. I’m still not 100% happy now but as it stands I’m confident enough that I can make a profit with how I’m betting but we’ll see .
  12. 6.15 Tipperary Sharjah 11/8 RP forecast as him down 5/1 favourite which is miles off. He went up at 7/4 and quickly went into 11/8. 14 runners level weights grade 3 race and he’s the class act in the field. Easy money? We shall see, but he still retains plenty of class even at 10. 5 points win 3.48 Perth Captain Zebo 3/1 bog drops down into a class 4 and is in pretty good form. The favourite will be dangerous if he can show what he’s capable of, but the selection ran a really strong race lto and remains on same mark. This is easier . 5 points win
  13. My bad, may have been Richard who I was thinking of. Regarding the strategy I’d probably run it once then repeat. Take stake back use bookies money for second race and if that wins too just go back to your normal stake and repeat that way.
  14. Finish second to the Ben Pauling horse that was good enough 🙂 P/L jump season start date 8th October 2022 +140.19
  15. I like to think it’s there for the taking for him. I feel Irish could play a big part, Neville’s Cross is just not at it at the moment and along with Court Master that trio are better known as chasers. Not sure the Ben Pauling runner is good enough. The race Polish just got held in lto was a stronger race I think. Second run for Fergal O’B and I’d expect him to improve again.
  16. Can’t remember who it was on here , although @Trotter rings a bell . I think he did the same tactics regarding staking plan for a bit
  17. Glad you were on . The drift to 10/1 was very good news 🙂
  18. Yeah you’d think Mr Wagyu would be hard to beat here . I also like On A Session in the 3.35 at Musselburgh
  19. Good morning Ken , it’s Wednesday today 🙂 Worcester 4.23 Polish 9.49 9/4 Irish Prophecy 9.27 15/2 These two bit clear of the rest . Polish ran a good race beaten a head on his first run back the other week. Irish Prophecy is more known as a chaser these days and I marked him up as one of interest on his last run so not sure why they have taken him down the hurdles route. He may play a part but I think Polish is a strong bet here and should find this easier than his last race. 5 points win Polish
  20. Won at 10/1 50 points profit P/L jump season start date 8th October 2022 +145.19
  21. Stratford 7.10 Cracking Destiny 9.39 5/1 won 10/1 Admiral Sunset 9.27 5/1 Romanor 9.17 6/1 Sea Prince 9.1 10/3 Sau 9.04 5/1 8 horse race with the top 5 tightly group together . The ratings aren’t giving much away and neither are the bookies. Cracking Destiny might be on the decline but he’s been running respectably and continues to drop down the weights. Third run after wind op and watching his previous two races after a break there is enough to like to think he can win this . 5 points win 5/1 bog
  22. It’s something that interested me as well, although I find it does offer poor value on a lot of horses.
  23. I read not long ago and also heard yesterday that’s the new norm again
  24. I’ve just burned my finger liking your post 😉
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