Villa Chris

The two young guns finish first and second with the latter two nowhere and falling -18

I’ll put the other up incase there’s a drift 3.35 Newton Abbot Mr Yeats 27 9/2 ( my odds 6/1) Halifax 26 9/2 ( my odds 13/2) Wavering Down 25 11/2 ( my odds 13/2) All 3 are strong in the betting so a drift looks unlikely so no bet as it stands

Quiet day really maybe should leave it alone as rated one race and not much wriggle room regarding odds but then I’ve just done the 3.25 at Stratford which is only a 7 horse race but offers some good prices. Matterhorn 25 13/8 ( my odds 4/1) In This World 23 7/4 (my odds 5/1) Sir TiVo 11/1 23 11/1 ( my odds 5/1) Cracking Destiny 23 18/1 ( my odds 5/1) Tight affair and two hot favourites but I think it’s worth taking them on with the odds available so point win on both Sir TiVo and Cracking Destiny

Sea the clouds wins , Hurricane Ali just lost second but the value bet Lunar power nowhere -16

Top rated won but Lord Protecter just didn’t stay this new trip

L’Astronome non runner so put the money on the now sole selection Lord Protector who is now 40/1

Also rated the summer hurdle and summer plate at market Rasen and although there’s value in the prices the % of any given horse winning was low so I’ll leave them alone . The race above just about made it worth while in terms of % of horse winning .

Cartmel 4.35 Hurricane Ali 23 10/1 ( my odds 9/1 10/1) Sea The Clouds 22 8/1 ( my odds 10/1) Lunar Power 22 16/1 ( my odds 10/1) 2 points win Lunar Power

Ripon 3.55 Iron Lion 24 7/1 ( my odds 7/1) Lord Protector 23 20/1 ( my odds 7/1) Sea King 21 5/2 ( my odds 8/1) L’Astronome 21 20/1 ( my odds 8/1) Couple of surprises in here with Lord Protector and L’Astronome rating high. Will play both a point each as excellent value

Hiya Maite second . Two seconds today at 11/1 and 16/1 so close but not close enough. Wen Moon was third too for the ratings . -12

Wise words regarding what are considered strong bets and real worth while value . Because I’m notepad and paper I just pick two races I like the look of them rate them. Computerised would make it easier and give me more variety and races to look at.

Got the first two right with ratings but unfortunately the value bet Silky Wilkie beaten half a length by Jordan Electrics who’s having a great year so far.

The race above doesn’t look like it’s going to represent any value so will be left alone . I’ll be playing my cards in the 7.55 at Pontefract instead which offers some good value. Dakota Gold 28 odds 10/1 (my odds 11/2) Wen Moon 26 odds 3/1 ( my odds 13/2) Hiya Maite 26 odds 16/1 ( my odds 13/2) Dakota and Hiya Maite represent very good value so will play 1 point each .

Newmarket 7.35 Abate 25 11/2 ( my odds 6/1) Antiphon 23 9/2 ( my odds 7/1) Capo Vaticano 21 7/2 ( my odds 8/1) Regal Envoy 21 15/2 ( my odds 8/1) I’ll wait and see if any of them drift to my own odds . Abate and Regal Envoy are the likely two to drift to a betting price.

I’m doing my top 3 rated which includes form then seeing if I can get value. I’ll keep sticking with it at small stakes.

6.35 Hamilton Jordan Electrics 26 9/2 (my odds 13/2) Silky Wilkie 24 11/1 (my odds 7/1) Spangled Mac 23 13/2 ( my odds 7/1) Silky Wilkie the value bet 2 points win

- 8

We basically have the same top 4 minus 1 and in order too. Tough race. Read something other day stop trying to pick winners and pick value and you’ll come out on top more.

You get some nice prices off your mate 🙂

8.05 Epsom Hodler 26 12/1 (my odds 7/1) Little Boy Blue 24 15/2 (my odds 15/2) Marlay Park 23 7/1 ( my odds 8/1) Paws For Thought 23 10/1 (my odds 8/1) Top rated is the bet and also the biggest edge . 2 points win Hodler .

6.10 Worcester Kauto The King 27 7/1 ( my odds 4/1) Lermoos Legend 27 9/2 ( my odds 4/1 Theonlywayiswessex 23 5/2 ( my odds 5/1 I was going to have 1 point each on Kauto and Lermoos as they are both top rated and they were both 7/1 just a couple of hours ago but Lermoos has been backed into 9/2 so that just leaves Kauto . 2 points win .

-4 points Theres a couple of races I’ll look at for tomorrow. Should find a bet or two

On A Session is top rated but no value from my perspective . Bookies have him 5s I’ve got him being 7s.

I’m a bit more confident knowing that you have it the same so hopefully 🙂

3.52 Thirsk Rated this last night and was waiting for the drift to swing in my favour which it has done On A Session 27 5/1 my odds 7/1 Animate 25 10/1 my odds 8/1 Autumn Festival 23 10/1 my odds 9/1 Was waiting for Autumn Festival to drift which it has done but the biggest drifter is Animate so he’s the bet now 2 points win