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Villa Chris

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Posts posted by Villa Chris

    Racing Chat-Wednesday 7th June.

    in At The Races

    Posted

    8 hours ago, Villa Chris said:

    2.25 Newton Abbot Valentino Dancer 11/2

    Bit risky as he’s been off the over a year. Been dropped 5Ibs for his last run and now back on last winning mark , has run well off higher marks finishing second. Drops in grade today. 
     

    5 points win 

    Last by a long way . Was as big as 12/1 at one point . 
     

    P/L jump season start date 8th October 2022 +151.43

    Racing Chat-Sunday 4th May.

    in At The Races

    Posted

    30 minutes ago, calva decoy said:

    Good shout , previous CD winner always a box ticker at Fakenham .

    Those RPRs are pretty healthy too, and he’s dropped down to 118 for not really running that bad of late . Cracking bet I think . I’m actually on the favourite because he came out top when I went through card but the horse in question wasn’t far behind in second.  Good luck if you’re on .

    Racing Chat- Saturday 3rd June

    in At The Races

    Posted

    13 hours ago, Villa Chris said:

    Stratford 6.50 Shantou Express 2/1

    Not the strongest of races and he won this last year off 127 where as he runs off 122 today which indicates a drop in form. Ran average in a class 2 last time out in a deeper race. This is a lot easier and everything is there to suit . 
     

    Stratford 8.20 Coup De Pinceau 4/1

    Ran well last time out and hopefully can hold his form today off the same mark over this long trip where  he usually stays well with Harry Cobden on board . Not sure the favourite will stay and the other chief threat Tommie Beau has a 7Ibs penalty to contend with which basically has him running off a career high mark and is not sure to back up his win last time out. I think the selection offers a bit of value in this 4 horse race. 

    5 points win both 

    Shantou won , 5 points profit over jumps today 

    P/L jump season start date 8th October 2022 +80.95

    DAILY LUCKY 15

    in At The Races

    Posted · Edited by Villa Chris

    6 hours ago, Villa Chris said:

    Top rated lucky 15 Epsom 

    12.50 Regal Reality 5/1 won 

    3.20 Came From The Dark 16/1

    4.30 Haliphon 8/1

    5.05 Apollo One 17/2 2nd 

    5.25 staked potential returns £4,630,15

    One winner with Apollo in the last being beaten by a head to deny the double . Loss of 1.40 .

     

     

     lucky 15 Start date 17th May 2023 - 16.85 

    Epsom Derby - Saturday June 3rd

    in At The Races

    Posted

    Just now, Brahmin said:

    agree with matt chapman this morning on show  ( most time i think he talks rubbish to showboat )  ......but Derby at totally wrong time so early!

    lost millions audience, if correct and had option for after 6pm then ratings been thru the roof!  but the racing bigwigs got it wrong again!

    thank god they not running my sport of Football! they be shot by now with how incompatent they are! 

    I like Chapman he’s good for the sport . Some may say it should never have been moved and should have stayed sane time. After 6 feels a bit late for me though . 

    Racing Chat- Saturday 3rd June

    in At The Races

    Posted

    21 hours ago, MCLARKE said:

    This Saturday sees the running of the fastest horse race in the world, the Epsom Dash. The 5-furlong race is all downhill until the last 100 yards. The current world record of 53.69 seconds was set by Stone of Folca in 2012.

    The race is open to horses aged three years or older. 20 go to post and off time is 15.20.

    Most bookmakers are offering up to 6 places which makes this an excellent betting proposition.

     

    I have looked at the statistics over the last 9 years and these are my key conclusions.

    It is best to keep clear of those at the top of the betting. Just 2 winners from 64 runners have been in the top 7 in the betting forecast. The remainder have recorded 6 wins from 48 runs with a profit of 98 points.

    Claiming jockeys have a poor record with no wins from 26 attempts.

    Horses bred in Ireland have the best record with 5 wins from 62 runs and a profit of 50 points.

     

    3 horses meet these criteria.

     

    ZARZYNI 16/1

    CAME FROM THE DARK 16/1

    SAMPERS SEVEN 11/1

     

    I suggest backing these each way with bookmakers offering 5/6 places.

    Interesting as I’ve got on the ratings 

    1 Came from The Dark 9.2 

    2 Mountain Peak/Zarzyni level on 9.09

    Racing Chat- Saturday 3rd June

    in At The Races

    Posted · Edited by Villa Chris

    Stratford 6.50 Shantou Express 2/1

    Not the strongest of races and he won this last year off 127 where as he runs off 122 today which indicates a drop in form. Ran average in a class 2 last time out in a deeper race. This is a lot easier and everything is there to suit . 
     

    Stratford 8.20 Coup De Pinceau 4/1

    Ran well last time out and hopefully can hold his form today off the same mark over this long trip where  he usually stays well with Harry Cobden on board . Not sure the favourite will stay and the other chief threat Tommie Beau has a 7Ibs penalty to contend with which basically has him running off a career high mark and is not sure to back up his win last time out. I think the selection offers a bit of value in this 4 horse race. 

    5 points win both 

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