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Posts
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Posts posted by Villa Chris
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2.25 Newton Abbot Valentino Dancer 11/2
Bit risky as he’s been off the over a year. Been dropped 5Ibs for his last run and now back on last winning mark , has run well off higher marks finishing second. Drops in grade today.
5 points win
- Brahmin, MCLARKE, The Equaliser and 3 others
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6
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19 hours ago, Villa Chris said:
Listowel 3.50 Glan 9/1 won
Listowel 4.20 Easy Game 13/8 won
5 points win both
good dayP/L jump season start date 8th October 2022 +156.43
- calva decoy, Brahmin, The Equaliser and 1 other
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2 hours ago, Villa Chris said:
Glan who I selected last night at 9/1 is currently 11/4 favourite now. Elliot trained , JP owned , that’s a bit shift in price . Let’s see how it does eh .
Won pretty comfortably
- Zico10, The Equaliser, calva decoy and 1 other
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Glan who I selected last night at 9/1 is currently 11/4 favourite now. Elliot trained , JP owned , that’s a bit shift in price . Let’s see how it does eh .
- Nigwilliam and BBBC
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30 minutes ago, calva decoy said:
Good shout , previous CD winner always a box ticker at Fakenham .
Those RPRs are pretty healthy too, and he’s dropped down to 118 for not really running that bad of late . Cracking bet I think . I’m actually on the favourite because he came out top when I went through card but the horse in question wasn’t far behind in second. Good luck if you’re on .
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Wouldn’t put anyone off Sopran Thor in the 4.30 at Fakenham . Overpriced compared to the rest of the field and well handicapped. Very solid form too, so not sure why he’s that price.
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Wrong thread
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Bit late this morning
4.30 Fakenham Quoi De Neuf 13/8 won
5.00 Fakenham Too Friendly 3/1 won
5 points win on both
- Bang on, The Equaliser and Brahmin
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3
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13 hours ago, Villa Chris said:
Stratford 6.50 Shantou Express 2/1
Not the strongest of races and he won this last year off 127 where as he runs off 122 today which indicates a drop in form. Ran average in a class 2 last time out in a deeper race. This is a lot easier and everything is there to suit .
Stratford 8.20 Coup De Pinceau 4/1
Ran well last time out and hopefully can hold his form today off the same mark over this long trip where he usually stays well with Harry Cobden on board . Not sure the favourite will stay and the other chief threat Tommie Beau has a 7Ibs penalty to contend with which basically has him running off a career high mark and is not sure to back up his win last time out. I think the selection offers a bit of value in this 4 horse race.
5 points win both
Shantou won , 5 points profit over jumps today
P/L jump season start date 8th October 2022 +80.95
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6 hours ago, Villa Chris said:
Top rated lucky 15 Epsom
12.50 Regal Reality 5/1 won
3.20 Came From The Dark 16/1
4.30 Haliphon 8/1
5.05 Apollo One 17/2 2nd
5.25 staked potential returns £4,630,15
One winner with Apollo in the last being beaten by a head to deny the double . Loss of 1.40 .
lucky 15 Start date 17th May 2023 - 16.85
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1 minute ago, calva decoy said:
An A.P.O'Brien trained horse ridden by R.Moore , take out the rest of the noise & it's so easy ( after the event ) 😆
Fair play the 2nd , ran a cracker , AMO racing are definitely going for it & on the up 👍
Always got a chance hasn’t it that partnership
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Just now, Brahmin said:
agree with matt chapman this morning on show ( most time i think he talks rubbish to showboat ) ......but Derby at totally wrong time so early!
lost millions audience, if correct and had option for after 6pm then ratings been thru the roof! but the racing bigwigs got it wrong again!
thank god they not running my sport of Football! they be shot by now with how incompatent they are!
I like Chapman he’s good for the sport . Some may say it should never have been moved and should have stayed sane time. After 6 feels a bit late for me though .
- Nigwilliam and MCLARKE
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They should do what they did in the old days. Any trouble makers line them up the wall and shoot them.
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Military Order is the one that jumps out at me but I shall not be playing
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38 minutes ago, Villa Chris said:
Interesting as I’ve got on the ratings
1 Came from The Dark 9.2
2 Mountain Peak/Zarzyni level on 9.09
That’s asking for a combination forecast at those prices . I’ll play it and hope I get lucky.
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Top rated lucky 15 Epsom
12.50 Regal Reality 5/1 won
3.20 Came From The Dark 16/1
4.30 Haliphon 8/1
5.05 Apollo One 17/2 2nd
5.25 staked potential returns £4,630,15
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21 hours ago, MCLARKE said:
This Saturday sees the running of the fastest horse race in the world, the Epsom Dash. The 5-furlong race is all downhill until the last 100 yards. The current world record of 53.69 seconds was set by Stone of Folca in 2012.
The race is open to horses aged three years or older. 20 go to post and off time is 15.20.
Most bookmakers are offering up to 6 places which makes this an excellent betting proposition.
I have looked at the statistics over the last 9 years and these are my key conclusions.
It is best to keep clear of those at the top of the betting. Just 2 winners from 64 runners have been in the top 7 in the betting forecast. The remainder have recorded 6 wins from 48 runs with a profit of 98 points.
Claiming jockeys have a poor record with no wins from 26 attempts.
Horses bred in Ireland have the best record with 5 wins from 62 runs and a profit of 50 points.
3 horses meet these criteria.
ZARZYNI 16/1
CAME FROM THE DARK 16/1
SAMPERS SEVEN 11/1
I suggest backing these each way with bookmakers offering 5/6 places.
Interesting as I’ve got on the ratings
1 Came from The Dark 9.2
2 Mountain Peak/Zarzyni level on 9.09
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Stratford 6.50 Shantou Express 2/1
Not the strongest of races and he won this last year off 127 where as he runs off 122 today which indicates a drop in form. Ran average in a class 2 last time out in a deeper race. This is a lot easier and everything is there to suit .
Stratford 8.20 Coup De Pinceau 4/1
Ran well last time out and hopefully can hold his form today off the same mark over this long trip where he usually stays well with Harry Cobden on board . Not sure the favourite will stay and the other chief threat Tommie Beau has a 7Ibs penalty to contend with which basically has him running off a career high mark and is not sure to back up his win last time out. I think the selection offers a bit of value in this 4 horse race.
5 points win both
- Zilzalian, BBBC, calva decoy and 2 others
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Test trial at Epsom Monopoly money
2.35 Fantastic Fox 5/1
3.45 Marhaba The Champ 8.53 rating Majestic 8.51 rating
- kensland, MCLARKE, The Brigadier and 2 others
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5
Racing Chat-Wednesday 7th June.
in At The Races
Posted
Last by a long way . Was as big as 12/1 at one point .
P/L jump season start date 8th October 2022 +151.43