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Posts
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Posts posted by Villa Chris
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Hi… My name is Michelle and I’m a chimney sweeper from Blackburn
- Nigwilliam, harry_rag, LeMale and 2 others
- 5
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They definitely monitor the Fat Jockey Forum, but that’s mainly based around ante post betting for the Cheltenham festival. This forum is for your day to day betting. I guess if someone has stumbled upon a way of making good profit from horses then why should they give away their hard work and years of trying to find a way of winning. I dare say there’s people on here who could start charging people and set up their own tipster page.
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19 minutes ago, The Equaliser said:
They have proven to be for me I'm afraid. In handicaps, it looks as though anything can win a race. I will be most interested if anyone can come up with and publish a strategy for winning decent money on singles bets
It’s definitely not easy I know that, especially handicaps. I think there’s people out there who do very well on singles. For me singles is your bread and butter .
- The Equaliser and Torque
- 2
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13 hours ago, The Equaliser said:
5.00 Bri Red Alert 3/1
6.05 Nb Bint Havana Grey 5/1
7.15 Nb Vaynor 7/1
8.25 Nb AL Motasim 7/1
1 x 0.10 w L15 = 269.22 & 1 x 0.50 w Acca = 720.00 = Total 1051.40 for 2 points
I am happy to do these all day long 🙂
RESULTS UPDATE
I made a couple of mistakes with the last L15. I put in Red Alert instead of Yimou. This was because the stats had Tony Carroll and William Carson with a 100% record at Brighton. TC won the 3.30 with Jason Watson aboard but I got zilch. Red Alert became a "bandwagon" horse" Of course these can win but quite often the value has gone. My biggest mistake was not backing Woodhay Wonder in the 6.05 at Newbury. I noted it this morning and forgot it was running despite putting up Bin Havan Grey 🥵.
My YTD L15 Profit is 103.60 but my YTD Actual profit has dwindled to +4.64.
I am very happy to continue on like this as it only cost me 4 points for having an interest in 8 races. As I said yesterday I will only put up 0.25 ew bets on long-priced outsiders from now on. I think that in the main singles bets are a mug's game 🙂
I’m a fan of the lucky 15 but singles are definitely not a mugs game.
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On 6/23/2023 at 7:49 PM, harry_rag said:
Right, I've had a go at updating the table but I come up against not knowing what the place terms were for some of the bets (some firms helpfully show the terms on the betslip others don't). I think the following may have had a return that hasn't been confirmed yet, if you can post asap I'll update the table. (I'm also not sure on all firms' returns for only one winner.)
@kroni @roger2256 @Villa Chris @Craig bluenose @tonythepaint
Sorry Harry , I ended up out on the piss all day/night Friday and it completely threw me off course for the next few days.
Thank you for the time and effort and well done the winner.
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On 6/22/2023 at 9:37 PM, Villa Chris said:
Market Rasen 3.55
Top two
Northern Bound 9.47 15/2
Francky Du Berlais 9.32 13/2
5 points win Northern Bound
Lost
P/L jump season start date 8th October 2022 +120.19
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2.30 Matrika
3.05 Shaquille
3.40 Aikhal
4.20 Meditate
5.00 Jackie Oh
5.35 King Of Steel
6.10 Radio Goo Goo
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Market Rasen 3.55
Top two
Northern Bound 9.47 15/2
Francky Du Berlais 9.32 13/2
5 points win Northern Bound
- kensland, Brahmin, calva decoy and 1 other
- 4
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Doubles ew 0.50
3.40 Aikhal 50/1 Nagano 12/1
6.10 Radio Goo Goo 16/1 Tatterstall 12/1
4 fold 0.50 ew
3.05 Shaquille 17/2
3.40 Aikhal 50/1
5.00 Jackie Oh 5/1
6.10 Radio Goo Goo 16/1
win pays £24,835,24 place pays 124.74
- black rabbit, Brahmin, kensland and 1 other
- 4
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8 minutes ago, fd1972uk said:
Thankfully the rot was stopped, Docklands and Waipiro coming up trumps.
Some crazy results still.
That’s flat racing for you. You don’t know who’s declined or progressed from a year ago, or how good some of these horses are who have hardly raced . Who’s been hiding away in lower class races ready to grab a big pot at the festival . Tricky business, I prefer races 4 years plus , or 3 years plus isn’t too bad and that’s hard enough.
- MCLARKE, fd1972uk and The Equaliser
- 3
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19 hours ago, Villa Chris said:
treble 0.50 EW
3.05 Struth 22/1
4.20 Subjectivist 8/1
6.10 Accidental Agent 33/1
Win pays £3,572,35 place pays £ 53.35
Doubles 0.50 EW
3.05 Bertinelli 6/1 Struth 22/1
4.20 Coltrane 3/1 Subjectivist 8/1
The EW double retuned 4.68
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2.30 No Nay Mets
3.05 Struth
3.40 Warm Heart
4.20 Subjectivist
5.00 Docklands
5.35 Drumroll
6.10 Accidental Agent
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2 minutes ago, MCLARKE said:
I wasn't aware of that. I'll still be avoiding it though.
Same here. I’ve put Docklands in my lucky 15 but left him out my ew Acca because of only paying 4 places
- The Brigadier and MCLARKE
- 2
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treble 0.50 EW
3.05 Struth 22/1
4.20 Subjectivist 8/1
6.10 Accidental Agent 33/1
Win pays £3,572,35 place pays £ 53.35
Doubles 0.50 EW
3.05 Bertinelli 6/1 Struth 22/1
4.20 Coltrane 3/1 Subjectivist 8/1
- black rabbit, BBBC, The Equaliser and 2 others
- 5
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8 hours ago, MCLARKE said:
With 33 runners I would have expected enhanced places but most bookies seem to be sticking with 4 places
I noticed this it’s pretty shocking really. All profits from race are going to charity so maybe that has something to do with it.
- MCLARKE, Brahmin, The Equaliser and 1 other
- 4
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1 hour ago, Zilzalian said:
Bit of a problem lads i have been summoned to the NHS first thing in morn i am not sure when i will be released it may be a good few days, so good luck to you all and please accept my apologies.
Hope all is ok mate and not too serious
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4 minutes ago, MCLARKE said:
I struggle on the jumps but do well on the flat. I do find that the draw is a significant factor on the flat, this obviously doesn't apply on the jumps.
The margins are so fine on the flats so the draw and how you come out of the gates is massive regarding your win chances
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19 hours ago, Villa Chris said:
Top two Ascot handicap ratings
3.05
1 Roman Mist 18/1
2 Farhh To Shy 18/1 placed
5.00
1 Perotto 6/1
2 Tempus 28/1 placed
Small stakes ew doubles 0.50 ew = 4 points
Returned 16 points
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DAILY LUCKY 15
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
Well, it’s half true on certain nights depending on the mood in the bedroom .