The Equaliser
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Posts posted by The Equaliser
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One £2 win double today with poss return of £96.00
4.35 Bath Union Rose £2 win at 4/1
7.50 Wolv Araifjan £1.20 win at 7/1Other bets:
3.35 Bath Tell william 70p win at 11/1
4.05 Bath Princely Power 70p win at 10/1
7.50 Wolv Lucky Lodge 30p win at 28/1
Multiples = £2
Singles = £4.90
Total stakes = £6.90
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One winner today so my double failed. Hence a £2 loss and Balance C/Fwd is £678.69 (Bank £800)
Union Rose drifted out to 13/2 and won so a £10.10 profit on the day. My first winner decided on by a rating factor on the Aussie Racing and Sports website ? The balance c/fwd is now £297.20 (Bank £400)
One class 2 race tomorrow with an 11/8 short priced favourite. Some class 4 races though.
I'm out all morning and much of the afternoon so won't have much time to post up my selections. Good luck to all
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4.05 Wolv Relativity one point win at 14/1 with Betvictor
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39 minutes ago, LEE-GRAYS said:
Going for a few outsiders on the tv racing today
chel 2.20 fiji 11/2
curr 2.35 amma grace 50/1 elfin queen 40/1
chel 2.55 leodis dream 16/1
curr 3.10 alligator ally 40/1
chel 3.25 revolutionise 10/1
curr 3.40 snowfall 33/1
curr 4.10 Wembley 50/1
curr 4.40 passion 10/1
think A P O’BRIEN will have a outside win today but which one is the problem might have to back them all ?
all bets a fun 25p e/w ?
think A P O’BRIEN will have a outside win today but which one is the problem might have to back them all ?
The story of my life regarding backing "win" selections. Good luck and VERY sensible staking
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One Trixie today:
2.55 Chelm Woven 10/3 (£2 win at 4.5 = £6.86 Betfair
3.25 Chelm Cry Havoc 11/4 Can't get 7/2 so no win bet atm)
4.05 Wolv True Destiny 11/2 (£2 win at 11/2)£1 win Trixie = £4 v £174.40
Other bets:
4.05 Wolv Soghan (£1.20 at 7/1 = £9.60 poss return).
Multiples = £4
Singles = £4
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Only one winner in my Trixie (wish I'd been brave enough to include Soghan my saver bet). Hence £4 loss and balance C/Fwd £680.69 (£800 Bank)
Only my saver bet won and returned £9.60 hence a profit of £4.40 on the day. The balance C/Fwd is now £287.10 (£400 Bank)
Only 5 class 4 races and one class 3 race tomorrow in the UK from 4 meetings; pretty grim fodder for us punters I say
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6.00 Lin What An angel one point win at 9/2 with Bet365
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On 9/9/2020 at 10:00 PM, BillyHills said:
Guys and Gals
I'm away for a couple of days, viewing a property would you believe!!
Unlikely to get decent internet to get the results and do the spreadsheet.
No table on Thursday or Friday and i will catch up by Sat evening.
Apologies, speak soon.
Happy hunting. Let us know if you found your dream home?
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One Trixie today
1.40 Don Alfaatik 15/8
2.10 Don Ghalyoun 3/1
3.15 Don Spanish Mission 2/1£1 win Trixie = £4 v £64.32
Other bets
1.10 Don Albaflora £1 win at 6/1
1.40 Don Sleeping Lion 70p win at 5/1
1.40 Don Alfaatik 80p win at 2/1
1.40 Don Hiochfield 50p win at 14/12.10 Don Ghalyoun £1 win at 11/4
2.10 don Tranchee 50p at 6/1
2.10 Don Musicality 50p win at 7/12.40 Don Frenetic £1 win at 5/1
2.40 Don Steel Bull 50p win at 5/1
3.15 Don Spanish Mission 50p at 2/1
3.15 Don Eagles By Day £1 win at 11/2
3.15 Don Selino 50p win at 11/13.45 Don One Riler £1.20 at 13/8
3.45 Don Spycatcher £1 win at 7/2
3.45 Don Round Six 50p win at 28/1
3.45 Don Darvel 50p win at 40/14.15 Don Cardouan 50p win at 10/1
4.15 Don John Leeper 50p win at 9/1
4.15 Don Taravara 50p won at 10/1
4.15 donm Tromso 50p win at 16/1
No cover bet on the favouriteMultiples = £4
Singles = £13.70
Total stakes = £17.70
This should be an entertaining afternoon if nothing else.
Good luck everyone
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Two more favourites let me down for my Trixie. Hence a £4 loss. The balance C/Fwd is now £684.69 (£800 Bank)
With the singles I was just having some fun with Jockey bookings today. I had two winners and the return was £5.00 This meant a loss of £8.70 on the day. The balance C/Fwd is now £282.70 (£400 Bank) Can't laugh that off.
From tomorrow I will be back to some sort of normal, however, all my bets, multiples or singles will be on selections where I can obtain a minimum price of 7/2.
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4.15 Don Tromso one point win at 16/1 Bet365
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2.10 Don Ubunto one point win at 9/1 with Betvictor
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2.40 Don Yazaman 4/1
4.15 Don Fresh 2/1
£2 win double = poss return £30Other bets
2.10 Don Ubunto £1 win at 9/1
2.10 Don Star of Emraaty £1 win at 10/12.40 Don Uncle Jumbo £1 win at 9/2
3.15 Don Dubious Affair 50p win at 33/1
3.45 Don Broughtons Gold £1 win at 15/2
= £2 multiples
= £4.50 singles
= £6.50
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The favourites let me down for the double and the win bets failed to produce a winner as well.
The Multiples balance c/fwd is £688.69 (£800 Bank)
The singles balance c/fwd is £291.40 (£400 Bank)
Lots of quality racing tomorrow
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3 hours ago, Bathtime For Rupert said:
Last day working before a week off so no time to write things up today unfortunately:
1.30 Uttoxeter - 1pt e/w Giga White @ 9/1 Bet365
1.40 Doncaster - 1pt e/w Power Station @ 10/1 Bet365
2.10 Doncaster - 1pt win Urban Beat @ 13/2 Bet365
2.40 Doncaster - 1pt e/w Flying Dragon @ 8/1 Bet365
3.15 Doncaster - 2pts win Cloak of Spirits @ 9/2 Bet365
3.35 Uttoxeter - 1pt e/w Theclockisticking @ 12/1 Bet365
3.45 Doncaster - 1pt e/w Hypothetical @ 10/1 Bet365
I do love your write ups as this helps me to think about reasons for bad runs by horses and then possibly excuse them and consider backing them. Great work by you and many thanks.
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4.15 Don Line Of Reason one point win at 10/1 with Bet365
I was stupid not to put up Tarboosh with Kevin Stott aboard. Ironically, I feel that Primo's Comet is rediculously short at around 4/1(could have got 11/1 this morning). I'll let it win at a short price
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11 hours ago, The Accountant said:
Will be listing daily selections here to back €100 to place & €100 to win. All results settled to Betfair SP net of a 3.5% commission.
Will be Monday to Friday only and excluding bank holidays unless there's some extreme value on a given day. No max/min prices. As noted above prices settled at BSP net of commission.
14:05 Newton Abbot Cotton End 14:50 Catterick What A Business 15:50 Newton Abbot Midnight Magic 16:40 Goodwood Platitude 17:00 Catterick Boulevard Beauty Welcome to the Punters Lounge. Very best wishes for your stay with us
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5.00 Catt Boulevard Beauty one point win at 11/2 with Betvictor
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Just some singles bets at NAb so far today. Will look at Goodwood later
1.00 NAb Eye Of The Eagle £1 win at 5/1
1.00 NAb Ultragold 50p win at 10/12.40 NAb Storm Home £1 win at 9/1
3.15 NAb Mon Palois £1 win at 9/2
= £3.50 staked so far
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No Multiple bets today so the balance remains the same at £690.69 (£800 Bank)
No Singles winners today so a £3.50 loss. The new balance c/fwd is £295.90 (Bank £400)
Plenty of class action at Doncaster tomorrow. a few good races at Uttoxeter too
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3.40 Perth Caius Marcius one point win at 6/1 with Bet365 (Oleg can't be good at every thing can it?)
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One Trixie today
3.20 Leic Sansevero 4/1
4.30 Win Spoof 4/1
4.55 Leic Bright Smart 5/2£1 win Trixie = £4 v poss return of £147.50
Focussing on "lay" bets for September so not so much time for win bets
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Only one winner today. Sansevero ran an awful race and Bright Smart was not so smart after all finishing second. A loss of £4. The balance C/Fwd is £690.69 on the multiples (£800 Bank). The singles balance remains the same at £299.40 (£400 Bank)
I was focussing on my "lay" betting criteria today. I looked at the lower class races at Lingfield. Had I laid my selections I would have had to endured two 4/1 and one 3/1 winner. Not a good start . Funny enough I am beginning to think that I need to concentrate more fully on the shorter priced favourites, even those in the higher grade races, and especially the ones where according to the sporting press seem to have the best chance of winning.
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2 hours ago, BillyHills said:
I think your over complicating things and why is it Timeform's responsibility to give you that sort of information??
They are not working for the punter, just selling a product, if anyone it should be likes of the BHA.
Anyway the size of a horse makes little difference, you get small chasers and big sprinters.
I don't see why you say I am complicating things. I wouldn't try and drive a Rolls Royce Silver Shadow around Silverstone just as I wouldn't want to put my money on a big long striding horse around Chester.
The product that Timeform sells is supposed to be to help punters find winners using the information that they provide. There is so much drivel about the horse's breeding and imo not enough about the attributes of the horse itself which could help punters in trying to make a profit on their bets.
The physical abilities of a horse and how it is affected by its size and attributes, to me, is very important. The data is out there but as I have said, it does not seem to be available to us armchair punters.
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2 hours ago, calva decoy said:
Swings & Roundabouts.
I'm very lucky because Kirtling WON by a nose , he's about 17 hands & his rival 15 , massive size difference & the bob won it ?
Very interesting that you have knowledge of the size of Kirtling. Is there a website that shows these details? I have always felt that Timeform let's us armchair punters down by not giving such information and as to whether the horse has the type of action for fast ground or that it is a big striding horse that is suited to galloping tracks etc. Also, I feel that they should update these sort of details about a horse as it matures and gets older. Would be great to find a website that could give me that kind of information.
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1 minute ago, Zilzalian said:
yep mistake was putting in tin man and not the one i waffled about ew kirstenbosh. talking before about short prices this siskin in france has just gone 5/1 as we speak thats a huge price for what it is win lose or draw.
Good luck if you have backed it
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24 minutes ago, Bathtime For Rupert said:
2.45 Fontwell - Talking About You @ 10/1 Bet365
Well done BFR had 50p on and got 12/1 myself
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One Trixie today for £1.50 = £6 v poss £61.36
1.00 Yk Mamba Wamba 5/4
2.00 Yk Dakota Gold 11/4 (£2 at 4.6 um at 4.2)
2.45 Font Orchestral Rain 5/4Other bets:
1.30 Yk Thibaan £2 win at 5.5
1.30 Yk Where's Jeff 50p win at 80/13.05 Yk Frankenstella £2 win at 5.5
3.05 Yk Red Royalist 50p win at 11/1
3.05 Yk Well Funded 50p win at 10/13.40 Yk Bonna Green £1 win at 5/1 (Come on Hollie)
3.40 Yk Troubador 50p win at 25/11.10 Font Kanapolis 50p win at 8/1
2.45 Font Highland Madrik 50p win at 13/2
2.45 Font Talking about You 50p win at 9/1Total multiples = £6
Total singles stakes = £10.50
Total stakes = £16.50
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Only one winner in my Trixie today. That Starman who beat Dakota Gold looks something special. Awful run by Orchestral Rain. from tomorrow I will revert to higher priced horses for my multiples and drop the stake down to a £1 Trixie. I don't feel any benefit from backing the disappointing shorter priced animals. A £6 loss and the balance c/fwd is now £694.69 (£800 bank)
Frankenstella obliged at 100/30 (should have included that one in my Trixie instead. Talking About You was returned at 12/1 so a priofit on the day of £4.82. The balance C/Fwd is now £299.40 (Bank £400)
Small bits of class action tomorrow but I will probably need to look at class 4 races if I wish to bet on a Trixie.
I really want to start "laying" horses for about £21 per transaction very soon. I will be looking at class 5/6 handicaps and at odds between even money and up to 5/1. The worst scenario will be a £100 loss on a 5/1 shot. I feel that I have to do this and this is the only way I can make some real money in the future
Naps - Monday 14th September
in NAP of the Day Competition
Posted
7.50 Wolv Lucky Lodge one point win at 28/1 with Bet365