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The Equaliser

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Posts posted by The Equaliser

  1. 59 minutes ago, The Equaliser said:

    I sometimes wonder about these top jockeys; Kevin Stott let Ulshaw Bridge get too far in front.  And of course the opposite happened earlier with Will Buick giving Lucayan a pasting at 9/2, albeit my selection drifted out to 15/8!  

    I have just got £3.60 matched at 3.30 on Betfair to receive £8.11 Trixie money back should Camerily Joe prevail in the 4.00 Brighton. 

    Probably won't play any more today if that loses.  The Doncaster card looks like a bookies benefit meeting.  There is always tomorrow.

     

     

     

    Will add £3.50 to win on De Mazzaro.  Because of a non runner my odds were cut and subsequently went above my betting odds of 4.2 to 4.6; I hate it when Betfair do this; they should have a "cancel" facility so that people can play again if they wish.  Anyway Rainbow Gift is flavour of the race so I'll take a chance that I am still betting on the same horse as I did earlier.  Will net £18. 32 profit if my horse wins or lose £21.10 on the day.

    Not a good day for me so far.  Some odds on shots have won like Aquaman & Super Proud but Blowing Wind let punters down.

    I hope that Bashosh wins the 4.20 at Redcar for favourite backers but I didn't fancy puting about £21 quid on it to get the £18 that I am trying to win on De Mazzaro

     

  2. 3 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

    Tough day with short prices for my selections in the Trixie:

    2.10 Yar Lucayan 5/4

    2.50 Red Sweet Believer Ev

    4.00 Bri Camerily Joe 15/8

    One £2 win Trixie = £8 = poss return of £59.31

    Singles:

    1.45 Red Mereside Pearl £2 win at 10.5 = £18.62 p if it wins.  Bad draw to overcome

    3.30 Bri Day trader £2 win at 4.9 = £7.64 profit if it wins Plenty of competition to overcome

    4.55 Red De Mazzaro £2 win at 4.2 = £6.27.  should have take 11/2 last night 🤨

    Total stakes = £14.00.  Will try a recovery bet on Camerily Joe if the first two legs of my Trixie fail

    Not a lot of wiggle room if all goes pear shaped today

    No qualifiers for the evening meeting at Doncaster with all class 3 events

    Good luck to all and keep your betting bank safe

     

     

    I sometimes wonder about these top jockeys; Kevin Stott let Ulshaw Bridge get too far in front.  And of course the opposite happened earlier with Will Buick giving Lucayan a pasting at 9/2, albeit my selection drifted out to 15/8!  

    I have just got £3.60 matched at 3.30 on Betfair to receive £8.11 Trixie money back should Camerily Joe prevail in the 4.00 Brighton. 

    Probably won't play any more today if that loses.  The Doncaster card looks like a bookies benefit meeting.  There is always tomorrow.

     

     

     

  3. Tough day with short prices for my selections in the Trixie:

    2.10 Yar Lucayan 5/4

    2.50 Red Sweet Believer Ev

    4.00 Bri Camerily Joe 15/8

    One £2 win Trixie = £8 = poss return of £59.31

    Singles:

    1.45 Red Mereside Pearl £2 win at 10.5 = £18.62 p if it wins.  Bad draw to overcome

    3.30 Bri Day trader £2 win at 4.9 = £7.64 profit if it wins Plenty of competition to overcome

    4.55 Red De Mazzaro £2 win at 4.2 = £6.27.  should have take 11/2 last night 🤨

    Total stakes = £14.00.  Will try a recovery bet on Camerily Joe if the first two legs of my Trixie fail

    Not a lot of wiggle room if all goes pear shaped today

    No qualifiers for the evening meeting at Doncaster with all class 3 events

    Good luck to all and keep your betting bank safe

     

     

  4. 7 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

    No luck with the above as only got one winner

    5.20 Bri Praise Of Shadows 7/4

    7.15 Yar Sweet Enough 11/10

    8.00 Kem Chai Yo Power 11/8

    One £1.50 win Trixie = £6.00 poss return £46.51

    Still can't quite believe that Tashkkhan got turned over at 4/7

    My first selection finished last and drifted to 9/4. 

    I won't be around at 7.15 pm so I've put in an Exchange win bet of £3.53 at 2.74 to show a profit of £6.02.  I would normally wait until the second horse has been beaten but I'm not fiddling around with betting whilst I'm out tonight

    Total stakes so far today = £15.53

     

     

     

     

     

    RESULTS UPDATE

    The first Trixie blew out with just one winner and the second had a winning double at short odds.  Because I placed an extra singles bet on the last selection and it won this meant that I made a small profit on the day of £1.50.  My new balance is £728.84 (Bank 1056.22) 

    5 UK race meetings tomorrow with all the races at Doncaster  being described as being Class 3 handicaps with some sort of Racing League banner.  I don't remember this type of event last year.  Should be interesting

     

     

  5. 7 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

    I have had to drop to class 6 races for two of my Trixie selections today as only Dr Youmzain seeemed worthy out of the Class 4 events

    2.35 Pont Dr Youmzain 7/2

    3.00 Bri Junoesque 9/4

    3.35 Bri Espeegee 15/8

    One £1.50 win Trixie = £6.00 possible return of £118.41

    Possibly back later with some singles7.15

     

     

     

     

     

    No luck with the above as only got one winner

    5.20 Bri Praise Of Shadows 7/4

    7.15 Yar Sweet Enough 11/10

    8.00 Kem Chai Yo Power 11/8

    One £1.50 win Trixie = £6.00 poss return £46.51

    Still can't quite believe that Tashkkhan got turned over at 4/7

    My first selection finished last and drifted to 9/4. 

    I won't be around at 7.15 pm so I've put in an Exchange win bet of £3.53 at 2.74 to show a profit of £6.02.  I would normally wait until the second horse has been beaten but I'm not fiddling around with betting whilst I'm out tonight

    Total stakes so far today = £15.53

     

     

     

     

     

  6. 10 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

    I have decided upon a £1 win Yankee today:

    1.35 Catt Entwistle 15/8

    6.30 Ling Mr Tyrrell 5/1

    7.50 Nott Jewel In My crown 13/8

    8.20 Nott Boogie Time 15/8

    One £1 win Yankee = £11.00 Poss return £377.81

    I may have to look in the lower class races for some singles bets as apart from Russian Humour 3.40 Ffos Las (who has to beat Captain Haddock among others) there appears to be very few horses at decent odds in my class 3 - 4 races today

    Back later

    2.10 Catt Hard Solution £2 win at 14.5 = £26.46; £1 win on Sfumato at 9/4 Ins Bet

    3.20 Catt Dandy's Mix £2 win at 13.5 = £24.50 if it wins; £1 win on Fosos at 7/2 ins bet

    3.55 Catt Amourie £2 win at 8.8 = £15.29; £1.40 win on True Romance at 7/4 ins bet

    4.25 Catt Edgar Allan Poe £2.20 win at 10.48 = £20.48; Flower Power 50p win at 10/1 ins bet; My Boy Max £1.50 win at 9/4 ins bet

    4.10 Ffos Las Captain Haddock £2 win at 8.8 = £11.76; Russian Rumour £2 win at 7.8 = £11.37

    4.18 Chelm Nigel Nott £2.15 win at 10.5 = £20.02 (no ins bet)

    Total stakes £30.75

    Good luck to all today

     

    RESULTS UPDATE

    What a pity that Entwistle failed to fire, I could have done with £370 quid.  Anyway 3 came in and there was a return of £83.54.  I felt a bit unlucky with Nigel Nott being beaten a head too.  The net effect of all this was a net profit of £57.67.  My new balance is now £727.34 (Bank £1056.22)

    2 class 3 races tomorrow; Ev & 15/8 fav.  Loads of class4 races, many of them at Kempton but with too many short priced favourites for my liking.

     

     

     

     

     

  7. I have decided upon a £1 win Yankee today:

    1.35 Catt Entwistle 15/8

    6.30 Ling Mr Tyrrell 5/1

    7.50 Nott Jewel In My crown 13/8

    8.20 Nott Boogie Time 15/8

    One £1 win Yankee = £11.00 Poss return £377.81

    I may have to look in the lower class races for some singles bets as apart from Russian Humour 3.40 Ffos Las (who has to beat Captain Haddock among others) there appears to be very few horses at decent odds in my class 3 - 4 races today

    Back later

    2.10 Catt Hard Solution £2 win at 14.5 = £26.46; £1 win on Sfumato at 9/4 Ins Bet

    3.20 Catt Dandy's Mix £2 win at 13.5 = £24.50 if it wins; £1 win on Fosos at 7/2 ins bet

    3.55 Catt Amourie £2 win at 8.8 = £15.29; £1.40 win on True Romance at 7/4 ins bet

    4.25 Catt Edgar Allan Poe £2.20 win at 10.48 = £20.48; Flower Power 50p win at 10/1 ins bet; My Boy Max £1.50 win at 9/4 ins bet

    4.10 Ffos Las Captain Haddock £2 win at 8.8 = £11.76; Russian Rumour £2 win at 7.8 = £11.37

    4.18 Chelm Nigel Nott £2.15 win at 10.5 = £20.02 (no ins bet)

    Total stakes £30.75

    Good luck to all today

     

  8. 11 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

    A lot of short priced favourites amongst my chosen class races today.  Although it would seem that this is favourable, in my experience this is where one can lose a lot of money if not being careful

    My Trixie today is :

    2.40 Km Ebesama 7/4

    4.20 Km Mejtham 15/8

    4.33 Nc Raise The Roof 5/2

    One £1.50 win Trixie = £6.00 with poss return of £82.90

    Singles:

    3.15 Km Cotai Hero £3.50 at 7.0 = 318.62 and ins bet on Claim the Stars £2 win at 4.1 = £2.65

    3.50 Km Hyanna £4.20 win at 6.0 = £20.58 p if it wins

    4.20 Km Kaths Lustre £3.50 at 6.78 = £19.8. p if it wins

    3.42 Rip Macho Pride £4.50 at 5.8 = £21.17 p if it wins

    4.12 Rip Delphs Crescent £2 win at 11.50 (um at 8.8)

    4.33 Nc Beating All £2 win at 4.7 = £7.25 p if it wins

    7.30 Carl Amaysmount (LP3/RF🙃) £5 win at 5.4 = £21.56

    6.45 win Huraiz (MG, remember him) at 18.5 = £34.30 p if it wins

    Hopefully not over stretched my finances today

    Total stakes  £34.70

    Good luck to all; don't put too much on those shorties 🙂

    I have placed £4.10 to win at 3.0 on Raise The Roof my 3rd Trixie selection as the first two have lost.  This would mean a profit of £6.08 to cover the cost of my Trixie and reduces the profit to £3.23 should Beating All prevail.    

     

     

     

    RESULTS UPDATE

    Well, a blank day for me I'm afraid; however, I can see where I went wrong in a couple of the races. Fast attack that beat my nap must be some horse wining by 6 lengths in the 2.40 at Kempton with James Doyle aboard.  The market knew about it too shortening it to 6/4 favourite.  A loss of £38.80 means my new balance is £669.67 (Bank £1056.22).

    5 UK meetings tomorrow and I can only count 1 class 3 race with a 15/8 favourite and 7 class 4 races with most favourites being at short odds.  Looks like another tough one

     

     

     

     

     

  9. 9 minutes ago, Villa Chris said:

    Horses can run well without winning. If a trainer is having plenty of placed form but no winners, then it’s not too much of a concern. If said trainers horses are struggling to place, then there’s probably a valid reason why that’s happening. 

    Hadn't thought about that.  Good point

     

  10. 6 minutes ago, Zilzalian said:

    I see Venetia Williams has one out on the flat tonight at Windsor.

    Small fun bet 40p  Lucky 15 = a sick squid

    545 fort denison               6/1

    645 open wide               22/1

    745 bellverde                  7/2

    815 a large dram           20/1

    Glad to see you back 🙂

     

  11. 2 hours ago, alexcaruso808 said:

    All of them will probably win 😂

    The problem is Alex that I have in the past disregarded a trainer's runner when it was fancied and he/she is on a very bad run and of course the damn thing won.  Hence, being an eternal (infernal) optimist I now take the view that however bad a trainer is doing he has to break his duck one day, hopefully with my selection.  Took 10.0 for Delphs Crescent which is better than the 8 or 8.8 that was on offer earlier.  That's value isn't it?

     

  12. A lot of short priced favourites amongst my chosen class races today.  Although it would seem that this is favourable, in my experience this is where one can lose a lot of money if not being careful

    My Trixie today is :

    2.40 Km Ebesama 7/4

    4.20 Km Mejtham 15/8

    4.33 Nc Raise The Roof 5/2

    One £1.50 win Trixie = £6.00 with poss return of £82.90

    Singles:

    3.15 Km Cotai Hero £3.50 at 7.0 = 318.62 and ins bet on Claim the Stars £2 win at 4.1 = £2.65

    3.50 Km Hyanna £4.20 win at 6.0 = £20.58 p if it wins

    4.20 Km Kaths Lustre £3.50 at 6.78 = £19.8. p if it wins

    3.42 Rip Macho Pride £4.50 at 5.8 = £21.17 p if it wins

    4.12 Rip Delphs Crescent £2 win at 11.50 (um at 8.8)

    4.33 Nc Beating All £2 win at 4.7 = £7.25 p if it wins

    7.30 Carl Amaysmount (LP3/RF🙃) £5 win at 5.4 = £21.56

    6.45 win Huraiz (MG, remember him) at 18.5 = £34.30 p if it wins

    Hopefully not over stretched my finances today

    Total stakes  £34.70

    Good luck to all; don't put too much on those shorties 🙂

    I have placed £4.10 to win at 3.0 on Raise The Roof my 3rd Trixie selection as the first two have lost.  This would mean a profit of £6.08 to cover the cost of my Trixie and reduces the profit to £3.23 should Beating All prevail.    

     

     

     

  13. 11 hours ago, Wildgarden said:

    anyone noticed how badly richard faheys horses are doing lately... was looking at few tomorrow but seeing how bad hes been doing last year and this ill skip (on turf)!

    According to RP stats the last 14 days = 4 winners out of 89 = 4%.  Funny enough I have Delph Crescent in the 4.12 at Ripon as a possible bet with Paul Hanagan aboard.  I find trainer stats quite baffling at times so maybe I will look for something else in that race.

  14. 11 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

    My Trixie today is:

    2.30 M/R Mr Mafia 7/2

    3.45 Ches Heart Of Soul 3/1

    5.30 Thsk Esticky End 3/1

    £1.50 Trixie = £6.00 poss win £186.00

    Singles:

    2.52 Thirsk Kings Commander (DT/DOM) £3 win at 7.8 = £19.99

    3.00 M/R You Name Him £4.30 win at 5.9 = £20.65 p if it wins

    3.57 Thirsk Give It some Teddy £2 win at 10/1

    5.15 ches Two Brothers £3.50 win at 7.2 = £21.27 p if it wins

    5.30Thsk Star Shakeera £3 win at 7.6 = £19.40 p if it wins

    Total stakes = £21.80

    Good luck to all on a quieter day

     

    RESULTS UPDATE

    A good start at least to August with two winners.  This meant a net profit of £23.19.  My new balance is £708.47 (Bank £1056.22)

    5 Meetings tomorrow with a class 3 event at Ripon with a 9/4 fav and a class 2 event at Windsor with a 7/2 fav but 16 runners.  Loads of class 4 races so spoil for choice with the lower class aninmals

     

  15. My Trixie today is:

    2.30 M/R Mr Mafia 7/2

    3.45 Ches Heart Of Soul 3/1

    5.30 Thsk Esticky End 3/1

    £1.50 Trixie = £6.00 poss win £186.00

    Singles:

    2.52 Thirsk Kings Commander (DT/DOM) £3 win at 7.8 = £19.99

    3.00 M/R You Name Him £4.30 win at 5.9 = £20.65 p if it wins

    3.57 Thirsk Give It some Teddy £2 win at 10/1

    5.15 ches Two Brothers £3.50 win at 7.2 = £21.27 p if it wins

    5.30Thsk Star Shakeera £3 win at 7.6 = £19.40 p if it wins

    Total stakes = £21.80

    Good luck to all on a quieter day

     

  16. 9 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

    Not much time before lunch so I'll put up the first two races at Goodwood

    1.20 Dark shift £2 win at 6.6 & Run To Freedom £2 win at 10.0 = £15.68

    1.55 Music Society £2 win at 9.36 = £14.9 & Bickerstaffe £2 win at 6.8 = £9.41

    Total stakes so far = £8.00

    Back later

    3.05 Believe In Love £1 win at 10/1 and Divinely £1 win at 8/1

    3.40 Hurricane Ivor £3 win at 8.6 = £22.34 profit if it wins

    4.10 Ring Of Beara £6.01 at 4.4 = £20.03

    4.45 Rebel Territory £5 win at 5.10 = £20.09 if it wins (Last festival bet for me)

     

    RESULTS UPDATE

    Just the one winner today which was Rebel Territory.  Because there were non-runners in the run up to the race My profit was reduced to £17.73.  I hate it when Betfair do this to me because very often the price drifts back out again to my original price.  Anyway my net loss for the day was £1.28.  This makes my new balance  £685.28 (Bank £1056.22).  I lost £36.26 over the 5 day festival but did have a lot of fun so I can't complain, wouldn't do any good if I did.

    A few class 3 events tomorrow; the class 1 event has a 4/6 favourite so I will probably give it a miss

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