darko08
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Posts posted by darko08
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Karolina Pliskova - Total Aces - Over 8.5 at 1.83 with bet365
Pliskova has played 6 matches and she has covered this line in 3 of them. In her match against Zidansek she did 10 aces (7-5, 6-4), 5 against Vekic (6-2, 6-2), 7 against Martincova (6-3, 6-3), 10 against Samsonova (6-2, 6-3), 8 against Golubic (6-2, 6-2) and 14 against Sabalenka (5-7, 6-4, 6-4). The reason why she did not cover this line in the other matches is that she broke her opponents' serve more than 1 time per set (Golubic, Vekic and Martincova). Despite that, she was very close to cover this line in 2 of them (Golubic and Martincova). Pliskova has been serving really well here so if we have 2 "tight" sets this bet will have good chances (the last time they played on grass was in Nottingham 2016 and Pliskova hit 20 aces in 2 sets). The worst scenario is one of these players being severely defeated, of course.
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12 hours ago, darko08 said:
Well this is what I got for the Friday matches.
Match Result and Total Games - Matteo Berrettini - Over 38.5 Games at 2.75 with bet365
I also like this one for tomorrow (WTA Hamburg)
Krystina Pliskova (+5.5 Games) to beat Zidansek at 1.66 with bet365
I'm too tired to make a post explaining why I like them... maybe tomorrow I will.
Well, Kristyna (3-6, 6-3, 3-6) covers easily that ridiculous line that was clearly influenced by Zidansek result in the FO. 4th straight bet won after a short bad streak. I'm done with Wimbledon women's matches so I just focus on the men's SFs.
I'm not going to bet on Berrettini at 1.40 so I finally opted for this one at bigger odds. Nothing much to say. Both players have proved how adapted to the surface they are but I think Berrettini is slightly better right now. Both players' stats on serve have been impressive but I think Berrettini has been a little bit better in that aspect (especially during the crucial points) and this can make the difference. These players have played twice before but both were on hard courts. The 1st one was in 2018 (qualification for the AO) and the Berrettini took that one in 2 sets. The 2nd one took place in 2019 (Miami Masters) and the pole won that one in 2 sets. Undoubtedly, Hubi loves the Miami conditions cause there is where he has showed his best tennis ever. Berrettini's record on grass is much more impressive and I think he enjoys the surface a little bit more than Hurkacz does. I take Berrettini and I'm hoping to see a 4 or 5 sets match to cover the over games.
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Well this is what I got for the Friday matches.
Match Result and Total Games - Matteo Berrettini - Over 38.5 Games at 2.75 with bet365
I also like this one for tomorrow (WTA Hamburg)
Krystina Pliskova (+5.5 Games) to beat Zidansek at 1.66 with bet365
I'm too tired to make a post explaining why I like them... maybe tomorrow I will.
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On 7/6/2021 at 5:00 PM, bet4fun said:
you think federer will lose to him.. federer is reaching the finals minimum with the crowd behind him. also the organizers wanted federer-novak final. i think federer is being underestimated by many. he has stepped up his game in the last match
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1 hour ago, bet4fun said:
you think federer will lose to him.. federer is reaching the finals minimum with the crowd behind him. also the organizers wanted federer-novak final. i think federer is being underestimated by many. he has stepped up his game in the last match
I said he can trouble him. The bet is a games handicap. Norrie lost in 4 sets against him and he covered this line.
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Hurkacz (+4.5 Games) to beat Federer at 1.90 with Pinnacle
As I said on a previous post backing Hubi against Medvedev, the pole came here in a bad form but now he's playing incredibly well here. He has destroyed Musetti, Giron and Bublik and he comes from beating Medvedev in 5 sets. His numbers on serve have been brutal except for the 1st set he played against Medvedev (he played with a 41% of 1st serves on that set...). After that 1st set Medvedev had 0 Break Points in 3 of the next 4 sets. Federer has beat Mannarino, Gasquet, Norrie and Sonego. Federer was lucky against Mannarino (he was going to lose). Then, he had no problems for beating the others but now he will have a bigger test. I was hearing Hubi talking after he beat Medvedev and he said that Federer was the reason why he decided to be a professional tennis player. That's the only thing I don't like. I have no doubts he can beat Federer but that's the biggest problem that most of the players have when they face Federer, they all respect him too much. Anyways, if Hubi plays as he has done till here, he can trouble Federer.
- CzechPunter and yossa6133
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11 minutes ago, liquidglass said:
Was the breathing problem a result of the home support? I am a bit confused.
Are you kidding me? She was having a panic attack due to all that hype around her. At the end of the first set you could already tell but then during the first 3 games of the second set it got so much worse. A whole nation behind a 18 years old girl who barely has been tested at this level? Too much pressure...
- CzechPunter and Hermes
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On 7/4/2021 at 6:41 PM, liquidglass said:
Especially now that she is becoming more popular, I just see the home support being too heavy for Tomljanovic to handle .
Mate, you couldn't be more wrong with that statement! All that "home support" finally has played against her. She barely could breath... As I said, "Tomljanovic will play against the court but Raducanu will play against all the fever around her". A really sad ending.
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Tomljanovic to beat Raducanu at 1.84 with Pinnacle
Hurkacz (+7.0 Games) to beat Medvedev at 1.62 with PinnacleI will go against "the market" here. I think these odds are influenced by all the hype around the teenager. IMO the odds for the aussie should be at 1.55-1.70 but now you can find her above 1.80. The aussie clearly enjoys more the grass (28-23) than Vondrousova and Cirstea, who have a negative record on this surface. Tomljanovic will play against the court but Raducanu will play against all the fever around her. I take the aussie!
I'm impressed with how Hurkacz has been playing here. He came in a bad form but now he has destroyed every single player he has faced and his numbers on serve are brutal (he has not faced a single BP in his last 2 matches). Medvedev already dropped a set against Struff and he comes from dropping 2 against Cilic. I think Hubi can trouble him here. -
2 hours ago, owenclass said:
You have got to remember that Jabeur beat Muguruza who is a former Wimbledon champion from losing the first set which means she has that fighting spirit that you need to win these big matches which probably why she threw up before closing the match. It wlll be tough against her opponent. But Jabeur does have better form on the grass while her opponent has not played a top player at this tournament yet. Also her opponent did struggle against Watson at Eastbourne and grass is not her favourite surface. So the match could go either way
At this point of the tournament all the players remaining are completely adapted to the surface. I'm not surprised that she beat Muguruza. As I said on a previous post, this match was really hard to predict cause they only played once before (2020) and that was really tight (6-3, 3-6, 7-6). Muguruza started the year really well but her last 2 months have been really disappointing. During January-February-March she reached 3 Finals (Yarra Valley Classic, Doha and Dubai) and the level she showed in the AO was brutal. She was the only player who was close to beat Osaka (in fact, she had 2 match points!). Now, take a look at what she has done since April. Nothing, nada! She even lost in the 1st round of the FO. I had some kind of hope that she could do something big in Wimbledon cause she started well but I'm really disappointed. Since she took the 1st set she played too conservative and her mobility was not good and Jabeur took advantage of that. She wasn't good with the serve either. I guess we disagree on the consequences of that hard battle. IMO, this will go against her cause this kind of matches take a lot of energy off the players, physically and mentally. As you said, Swiatek hasn't been tested yet and she has won easily all her matches here without dropping a single set. I guess we also disagree on the consequences of this. I think it benefits Swiatek cause she will be fresher and she still has a lot to give. I don't care about how she did in Eastbourne cause it was just a preparation tournament and a lot of players don't want to play too many matches the week before a GS. I will give you an interesting fact, Swiatek won RG 2020 after losing in the 1st round in Rome. As I said, Jabeur took advantage of Muguruza's passivity and bad mobility but now she will face a better mover, one of the fastest players on tour (and we know how important is this when the opponent is Jabeur). It will be a nice battle, for sure!
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Swiatek to beat Jabeur with at 1.72 with bet365
Swiatek said that she had no expectations for this grass season which obviously was a tactic to remain out of the radar in Wimbledon, and it seems it's working. She only played a couple of matches in Eastbourne, beating Watson and losing against Kasatkina. Here, she has destroyed Hsieh (6-4, 6-4), Zvonareva (6-1, 6-3) and Begu (6-1, 6-0). Jabeur is playing incredibly well, but I'm seeing a lot of similarities between her and Ostapenko. Both players had a lot of success on her preparation tournaments. Jabeur won in Birmingham while Ostapenko won in Eastbourne. Ostapenko destroyed Leylah but then she had a hard battle against Kasatkina (6-1, 3-6, 8-6), and it definitely took its toll on her. She was beating easily Tomljanovic but at the end of the second set her body and her mind said "enough". Jabeur had a hard battle against Muguruza and she even threw up before closing the match. I think Jabeur can follow the same steps than Ostapenko. She can be mentally and physically exhausted after that match. That's something I have seen several times on this sport ("after a big victory comes a big defeat"). These players only have played once before (Washington 2019) and the pole won. I think Swiatek still has a lot to give here, mentally and physically, and that's why I pick her for this match. She will be the fresher player.
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8 hours ago, darko08 said:
Kyrgios vs. FAA - First Set Score After 6 Games: 3-3 at 1.72 with bet365
Juvan (+5.5 Games) to beat Gauff at 1.52 with PinnacleAs I said I have no bets for today so I'm taking a look at the matches for tomorrow. I think this one doesn't need to much explanation. These players have only played once before and it was in Queens in 2019. FAA won (6-7, 7-6, 7-5) and this bet was won in all sets. In fact, Kyrgios had 0 BPs in the whole match (0-0) and FAA had 2 (1-2).
Juvan did well on grass in 2019. In Wimbledon, she beat McHale and Krystina Pliskova and she took a set from Serena in the 2nd round. Before that, she beat Minnen and Lisicki in Mallorca before losing against Jabeur in 2 tight sets (5-7, 6-7). This year, she started the grass season losing in a 3 set match against Muhammad in the 1st match of the qualification for Berlin. But now, she has destroyed Bencic (6-3, 6-3) and Burel (6-3, 6-4) in her first 2 matches here. I only saw her against Bencic and I was really surprised with how she played. Bencic played bad the first games of the match and Juvan took advantage of that. Then, Bencic raised her level but Juvan played incredibly good and she closed the match in 2 sets (6-3, 6-3). Gauff beat Jones (7-5, 6-4) and Vesnina (6-4, 6-3). I saw the first games of her match against Jones and I was surprised to see how Gauff struggled to break Jones' serve. Gauff played in Eastbourne, beating Mertens (0-6, 7-6, 7-5) and losing against Sevastova in a 3 set match. These players have played twice before. Juvan won the 1st match 6-3, 6-3 (French Open 2019). Gauff won the last one, played this year in Adelaide, but it was tight (3-6, 7-5, 6-3) and Gauff only won 6 points more than Juvan in the whole match.I add one more for tomorrow.
Ostapenko (-3.0 Games) to beat Tomljanovic at 1.59 with Pinnacle
Ostapenko is 8-1 on grass this year and she's on a 7 winning streak. She won in Eastbourne (Pavlyuchenkova, Jabeur, Kasatkina, Rybakina and Kontaveit). In her first match here she destroyed Leylah Fernandez (6-1, 6-2) and then she struggled to beat Kasatkina (6-1, 3-6, 8-6). I knew that 2R match was like a toss coin cause Kasatkina was playing incredibly well, too (she reached the Final in Birmingham). Tomljanovic has a decent record on grass (27-23) but Ostapenko's record on this surface is much more impressive (32-15). Besides, Tomljanovic never has reached the 4th round in Wimbledon while Ostapenko reached the SFs here in 2018 and the QFs in 2017... not bad at all. In Birmingham Tomljanovic beat Mertens in 3 TBs and then she lost against Minnen in straight sets . In Eastbourne she beat Davis and then she lost against Giorgi, both in 2 sets. In her 1st match here she beat Minnen (6-2, 7-6) and then she beat Cornet (6-4, 0-6, 6-3). These players only have played once before and it was on clay (Rome 2021). Ostapenko won (6-2, 7-6).
- Robinnho, four-leaf and CzechPunter
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Kyrgios vs. FAA - First Set Score After 6 Games: 3-3 at 1.72 with bet365
Juvan (+5.5 Games) to beat Gauff at 1.52 with PinnacleAs I said I have no bets for today so I'm taking a look at the matches for tomorrow. I think this one doesn't need to much explanation. These players have only played once before and it was in Queens in 2019. FAA won (6-7, 7-6, 7-5) and this bet was won in all sets. In fact, Kyrgios had 0 BPs in the whole match (0-0) and FAA had 2 (1-2).
Juvan did well on grass in 2019. In Wimbledon, she beat McHale and Krystina Pliskova and she took a set from Serena in the 2nd round. Before that, she beat Minnen and Lisicki in Mallorca before losing against Jabeur in 2 tight sets (5-7, 6-7). This year, she started the grass season losing in a 3 set match against Muhammad in the 1st match of the qualification for Berlin. But now, she has destroyed Bencic (6-3, 6-3) and Burel (6-3, 6-4) in her first 2 matches here. I only saw her against Bencic and I was really surprised with how she played. Bencic played bad the first games of the match and Juvan took advantage of that. Then, Bencic raised her level but Juvan played incredibly good and she closed the match in 2 sets (6-3, 6-3). Gauff beat Jones (7-5, 6-4) and Vesnina (6-4, 6-3). I saw the first games of her match against Jones and I was surprised to see how Gauff struggled to break Jones' serve. Gauff played in Eastbourne, beating Mertens (0-6, 7-6, 7-5) and losing against Sevastova in a 3 set match. These players have played twice before. Juvan won the 1st match 6-3, 6-3 (French Open 2019). Gauff won the last one, played this year in Adelaide, but it was tight (3-6, 7-5, 6-3) and Gauff only won 6 points more than Juvan in the whole match.- CzechPunter and Robinnho
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That match is really hard to predict. I saw Mugu against Ferro and the 1st set of her match against Kerkhove and I saw Jabeur against Venus. Jabeur struggled to win the 1st set but, overall, both Mugu and Jabeur look great. They played once before (2020) and Mugu won but it was really tight (3-6, 6-3, 7-6) so I guess that's why you are expecting another tight match here. Personally I have no bets for today, I don't like anything.
- CzechPunter, K8a and Robinnho
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2 hours ago, liquidglass said:
first thing we do is check the head to head between the two players. It stands at 0-1 brengle played way back in 2014. I strongly believe that this stat has no relevance although it can act as a tie-breaker when it becomes close to separate them. The question now is whether we can find justification for this sort of erratic market move.
The h2h is actually 2-0, you are forgetting a match between these 2 players that took place just 2 weeks ago in the qualification for Eastbourne. Golubic lost the first set 6-4 but then won 6-3 the second one and 6-0 the third one. That recent victory and the fact that Golubic is having the best year of her career (40-12) are the reasons for those market movements.
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30 minutes ago, darko08 said:
Be careful with Chardy. He lost in 2 sets against Hanfmann in Stuttgart and then he lost in 3 against Bublik in Queens. He was in the Entry List for the Mallorca Open but he finally did not played there. Those easy defeats against players that he should have beat (especially Hanfmann, of course) and the fact he pulled out from the Mallorca Open suggest me that he was not in the best physical conditions. It's true he has beat Karatsev in straight sets but I saw the russian against Norrie and he played incredibly bad. Chardy started the year really good but now it seems he's struggling in this part of the season. In relation to Ivashka it's completely the opposite, he started the year really bad but now he's looking good. He still has not beat any big player on grass this year but he has many wins on this surface. I saw him against Munar a little bit and he was looking really solid. If Chardy is well I reckon this match can be long and go either way but if he's not at his best conditions Ivashka will take it. We'll see
Well, I will take a little risk for this one. I bet on Ivashka to win the whole match and I include Chardy to win a set!
Match Result and Both Players To Win a Set - Ivashka - Yes at 2.75 with bet365
- Robinnho and CzechPunter
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12 minutes ago, neilovan said:
Chardy to beat Ivashka
Be careful with Chardy. He lost in 2 sets against Hanfmann in Stuttgart and then he lost in 3 against Bublik in Queens. He was in the Entry List for the Mallorca Open but he finally did not played there. Those easy defeats against players that he should have beat (especially Hanfmann, of course) and the fact he pulled out from the Mallorca Open suggest me that he was not in the best physical conditions. It's true he has beat Karatsev in straight sets but I saw the russian against Norrie and he played incredibly bad. Chardy started the year really good but now it seems he's struggling in this part of the season. In relation to Ivashka it's completely the opposite, he started the year really bad but now he's looking good. He still has not beat any big player on grass this year but he has many wins on this surface. I saw him against Munar a little bit and he was looking really solid. If Chardy is well I reckon this match can be long and go either way but if he's not at his best conditions Ivashka will take it. We'll see.
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Korda (-5,5 Games) to beat Hoang at 1,62 with Pinnacle
Vesely vs. Fucsovics Both players to win a set at 1.60 with William HillKorda has had a really good year (24-11) and he's playing really good on grass. In Halle he beat RBA and Nishikori before losing against Humbert in a 3 set match. In his 1st match here he has beat De Minaur in 4 sets. Hoang has suffered every single match he has played here. In the qualification he beat Kwiatkowski (3-6, 6-3, 6-4), Copil (7-6, 4-6, 7-5), and Molcan (1-6, 4-6, 6-4, 6-4, 7-5). In his 1st main draw match he has played another 5-setter against Zhizhen Zhang. Considering how he has suffered against all these players and how Korda has played against players as RBA, Nishikori or De Minaur I think he can cover this handicap.
I agree with Czech and I hope we can both win our bets for this match. Vesely has had a bad year (10-14) but his record in Wimbledon is much more impressive than Fucsovics' record. Fucsovics has beat Sinner in 4 sets in his 1st match here while Vesely has beat Hanfmann in straight sets. Fucsovics has had a better year but Vesely has showed better performances on this surface and his game suits better here so I think this can be a long match. -
@CzechPunter Yeah... Im watching Djokovic vs Drapper and Nole has already slipped like...3 times¿? It seems they are playing on an ice rink.. they closed late and all that humidity.. Djokovic drops the 1st set!
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Well, some rain delay... Anyways, I add this parlay for matches that in theory were scheduled for tomorrow.
Kostyuk (vs. Bertens) + Bencic (vs. Juvan) + Gauff (vs. Jones) + Kasatkina (vs. Tig) at 1.71 with bet365
Bertens announced her retirement a few days ago. She basically said that the "tank was quite empty" and she also said that the balance between the hard work and the satisfaction she was getting of it at the end of the day was not positive. In October 2020 Kiki had an Achiles tendon surgery and she never fully recovered from that. Her record since that surgery is really poor (2-7). She said that Eastbourne, Wimbledon and the Olympics will be her last tournaments. In Eastbourne she lost easily in the 1st round (6-1, 7-5) against Rogers. Kostyuk has had a good year (17-10). SFs in Abu Dhabi and Istanbul and a very decent 4th round in the FO. She has played 5 matches on grass this year (3-2). She beat Brengle, Murray and Shuai Zhang and lost against Kasatkina (2-6, 5-7) and Sevastova (1-6, 7-6, 4-6).
I think Bencic should win her first 2 matches here and face Gauff in the 3rd round. She has had a decent year (17-13). She reached the Final in Berlin, beating good players (Niemeier, Martic, Alexandrova and Cornet) and she lost in the 2nd round in Eastbourne against Golubic after beating Martic. Juvan did well on grass in 2019 but this year she only has played one match on grass (vs. Muhammad) and she has lost it. In fact, she's on a 5 losing streak.
Nothing much to say about the Gauff-Jones match. Jones is on 6 losing streak and she has lost the 3 matches she has played on grass (Garcia Perez, Vekic and Pera). Gauff played in Eastbourne, where she won against Mertens but lost against Sevastova, both were 3 set matches.
Tig won in Bad Homburg her first match on grass of her career (1-6). She beat Barthel (7-6, 6-3) but then lost against Podoroska in a 3 set match. Kasatkina has had a good year (26-11) and she has been impressive on grass (6-2). She reached the Final Birmingham (Hercog, Kostyuk, Martincova and Vandeweghe) and she beat Zvonareva and Swiatek in Eastbourne before losing against Ostapenko in a 3 set match. -
Player to Reach Round - Bautista To Reach the 3rd Round - Yes at 1.83 with bet365
Player to Reach Round - Felix Auger Aliassime To Reach the 3rd Round - Yes at 1.53 with bet365
Player to Reach Round - Kvitova To Reach the 3rd Round - Yes at 1.72 with bet365
Who Will Go Further - Muguruza vs. Andreescu - Muguruza at 1.57 with bet365RBA will play against Millman in the 1st round and then he will play against Bagnis or Kecmanovic, most likely against the serbian player. In the last edition RBA reached the SFs after beating Gojowczyk, Darcis, Khachanov, Paire and Pella. He lost in the SFs against Djokovic in a 4 set match. He dominates the h2h against Millman (5-1) and Kecmanovic (2-0). I wouldn't be surprised if he suffers but I expect him to win at least these 2 first rounds.
FAA will play against Monteiro in the 1st round round and then he will play against Tsonga or Mikael Ymer in the 2nd round. FAA has played really well in his last 2 tournaments on grass. He beat Harris, Humbert and Querrey in Stuttgart and then he beat Hurkacz, Federer and Giron in Halle.
Kvitova will play against Stephens in the 1st round and then she will play Ahn or Watson in the 2nd round. Kvitova has played 4 matches on grass (3-1). She beat Piter, Ann Li and Podoroska and she lost in a 3 set match against Kerber (6-3, 4-6, 6-7). Stephens has not played a single match since the FO. Watson in the 2nd round could be a tricky opponent but Kvitova is better and she should beat her, too.
Muguruza did really bad in the last 2 editions here but she has been lucky with the draw. This time she comes here with better form after beating easily Cirstea and Rybakina in Eastbourne. She lost against Cornet in the QFs but she could have won that match (6-4, 3-6, 6-7). She will play against Ferro in the 1st round and Kuznetsova or Kerkhove in the 2nd round. Jabeur is the only player who can trouble her a little bit in the 3rd round and then she will face Swiatek, Bouzkova, Zvonareva or Martic in the 4th round. Andreescu has never won a main draw match here and she comes in a bad form. She has played 3 matches and she only has won 1. She lost against Cornet in Berlin (6-7, 5-7). After that, she beat McHale in a 3 set match but then she lost easily against Kontaveit (6-3, 6-3). She will play against Cornet again in the 1st round. If she beats her then she will have an easier opponent in the 2nd round (Minnen or Tomjlanovic) but then she will have to play Ostapenko or Kasatkina in the 3rd round and then Azarenka, Kontaveit or Vondrousova in the 4th round. She already lost in the 1st round in the FO (vs. Zidansek) and now, with this tricky draw, I wouldn't be surprised if she has another early bye here. Remember that if both players lose in the same round the bet is void.- Robinnho, marzipan and CzechPunter
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Barrere to beat Botic Van de Zandschulp at 1.72 with William Hill
Kukushkin (vs. Bublik) To Win a Set - Yes at 1.72 with bet365
Kenin (-3.5 Games) to beat Xinyu Wang at 1.85 with William HillI take Barrere over Botic cause the french player has passed the qualification brilliantly despite having one of the toughest draws (Fratangelo, Stakhovsky and Jung). He has a game that suits on grass and he has good record on this surface (16-8). Botic had an easier draw (Lorenzi, Celikbilek and Trungelliti) but he lost in his last match against Trungelliti in 4 sets. He only has played 5 matches on grass and he has a negative record (2-3) so Barrere is the right favorite. Besides, these players have played 2 times before (2020 and 2021) and Barrere has won both.
I take Kukushkin to win at least one set against Bublik. Kukushkin has had a very bad year (6-15) but he's a good player on grass. In the last edition here he reached the 4th round after beating Andujar, Isner and Struff, not bad at all... He lost in the 4th round against Nishikori but he took a set from him. Bublik beat Kukushkin easily in Eastbourne (6-1, 6-4) just 3 days ago and these odds are clearly influenced by that. I expect a better performance from Kukushkin this time and I think he should take at least one set.
Kenin has not played a single match since the FO while Xinyu has passed the qualification without dropping a single set (Robin Anderson, Kostova and Smitkova). That being said, I can't imagine Kenin losing in the 1st round against a player whose best ranking ever is 135. Kenin never has done nothing remarkable here but she passed the 1st round in the last 2 editions. Besides, she demonstrated how good she can be on grass when she won in Mallorca after beating Flipkens, Jabeur, Mertens, Sevastova and Bencic. Kenin will play with no pressure cause nobody see her as a candidate and that's what makes her a dangerous player here. Kenin did very bad in the AO and in the FO but this is a completely different case. In Australia she was the current champion and in the FO she was a current finalist but now she will play with no pressure cause she never has done nothing here so she has nothing to lose.This is what I have for now. Probably will add something later..
- marzipan, Robinnho, Foo_Fighter and 1 other
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Simona Waltert to beat Oceane Dodin at 4.00 with bet365
I have seen some matches from the young swiss player this year and she has impressed me. I saw her in the Altenkirchen ITF, a tournament played on indoors. She played really well there and she destroyed Golubic in the SFs (6-4, 6-2). She lost the Final against Tauson but she took a set from her. Before that she won an ITF tournament played in Manacor in January. In April she reached the SFs in 2 ITF tournaments played on clay and she beat decent players as Hesse, Lottner, Fett, Xiyu Wang, Minella and Barthel. She has beat Ruse easily in her first match here (6-2, 6-2) and she was at 3.00. It has been her first match on grass as a professional but it's important to remark that her best result in a GS as junior was in Wimbledon 2017. She reached the SFs and she lost against Ann Li (7-6, 6-1). She has a really good record this year (29-11). Dodin also has a game that suits really well on fast courts but her record this year is bad (11-16). What shocks me is that she has lost a lot of matches being a huge favorite. Shinikova (6.50), U.Radwanska (4.00), Jia-Jing Lu (5.50), Kung (3.00), Grabher (3.00), Mrdeza (2.00), Hibino (2.20), Paquet (3.00), Stojanovic (2.60) and Rodionova (2.90) are some of the players that have beat Dodin this year. She has a good record on grass (17-16) but she never has passed the qualification here (2019, 2018, 2016 and 2015). The only time she played in the main draw here was in 2017 (she did not play the qualification) and she lost in the 1R. She has suffered too much in her first match here against Eva Guerrero (7-6, 6-3) despite being a huge favorite (1.11). These players met for the first time 1 month ago, in Strasbourg, and Dodin beat Waltert in straight sets (6-4, 7-5). I did not see this match but after taking a look at the stats I can say it was a hard battle. The only difference was that Dodin converted 5 of the 7 break opportunities she had while Waltert only converted 3 of the 10 break points she had. These players have some similarities. Both are tall players (1.80-1.83) who practice an aggressive style of playing but Waltert's record this year (29-11) is much more impressive so I think Dodin (11-16) shouldn't be with these odds.
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Cid Subervi to beat Huesler at 5.31 with Pinnacle
Wimbledon Qualification
Subervi has never played a match on grass as a professional while Huesler has only played 4 matches on this surface and he has only won one of them (1-3). That victory was in Antalya in 2019 and it was against Ante Pavic (7-6, 6-7, 7-6), a doubles player whose best ranking ever on singles is 132 (2014). After that, he lost easily against Aragone (6-1, 6-4). The other 2 matches he has played on grass are from this year. He lost in 2 sets against Tiafoe in Nottingham and then he lost in a 3 set match against Peniston, a 25 years old player whose best ranking ever is 359. Subervi is 13-14 this year while Huesler is 11-18. It's true that Subervi has never played a match on this surface but Huesler has only played 4 and his results are awful. Both players' best surface is hard, they have a similar ranking and they only have played once before, that was in 2018 and Subervi won in straight sets (7-5, 6-2). IMO this match can go either way so I'm happy to take Subervi at odds above 5.00.
- Foo_Fighter, Robinnho, CzechPunter and 2 others
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5
Wimbledon 2021
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted
Ashleigh Barty - Total Aces - Over 7.5 at 1.83 with bet365
Barty has played 6 matches and she has covered this line in 2 of them. She did 13 aces against Carla Suarez (6-1, 6-7, 6-1), 5 against Blinkova (6-4, 6-3), 6 against Siniakova (6-3, 7-5), 7 against Krejcikova, 5 against Ajla (6-1, 6-3) and 8 against Kerber (6-3, 7-6). Pliskova received 18 aces against Sabalenka (in 3 sets) but Barty is a better server (has more variety on serve). Same reasoning here, if we have a fought match I see really good chances.