darko08
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Posts posted by darko08
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Ivashka to beat Alexander Zverev at 3.50 with bet365
Ruud to win the ATP Munich at 3.25 with bet365
Ruud plays today against Millman and he's a massive favorite for this match (1.12). Then, he will play against Basilashvili or Gombos (LL) so he will be a big favorite, too. In the Final he will play against Sasha/Ivashka/Krajinovic/Struff.
I also think there's value on Ivashka considering how impressive he has played recently. He destroyed Pedro Martinez and Fokina in Marbella and he even took a set from Rafa in Barcelona after destroying Cressy, Gaio and Griekspoor. I know Sasha plays home and he has won here a couple of times but this is a minor tournament and we know that the motivation is not the same. The negative part with this bet is the number of matches that Ivashka has played in the last month... -
2 hours ago, delfino said:
Tsitsipas to beat Sinner @1.50 Bet365
For me Tsitsipas performs his best game on clay courts. The fighting spirit applies excellent on clay rather than any other surface.
Sinner is the super kid, the sure super star for the coming 20 years. But today he faces an angry adult lion.
10/10 confidence
I remember Sinner beating Tsitsipas easily in Rome the last year (that was before he exploded) and don't forget that Tsitsipas has played 8 matches in the last 10 days. I think the value is on Sinner. I also think there is value on Carreño (5.50).
- Robinnho and CzechPunter
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Barthel to beat Siegemund at 2.62 with bet365
Last one for tomorrow. I have been thinking a lot about this one and finally I have decided to take it cause the odds have raised. First of all, I have to say that Siegemund has reached the Final here 2 times (2016 and 2017). Despite that, there are some reasons that make me think she can lost tomorrow. She will play her first match on clay this year. Her last match played was 1 month ago against McHale in Miami, where she had to withdraw due to a knee injury. Barthel has already played 5 matches on clay this month. She has played the qualification in which she has won against Gracheva as the underdog (2.30). They played only once before. It was in 2011 in RG and Barthel won in straight sets. Siegemund is better player but considering that she has not played in the last month due to a knee injury I think the value is on Barthel, who has already played 5 matches on clay in April and she has beat Gracheva on her last match here.
- Foo_Fighter, CzechPunter, marzipan and 1 other
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Konjuh to beat Q.Wang at 1.85 with interwetten
Konjuh has beat Errani (7-5, 6-2) and Wang has beat Gasanova (4-6, 6-1, 6-2) in the first round. Wang's best surface is hard, by far. She has a bad record on clay courts (24-24). Her 2021 has been awful (4-8). Her 4 wins have been against low ranked players (Inglis, Gadecki, Bolsova and Gasanova) and she has lost some matches that she should have won. She is miles away from her best form and she never has done well on this surface so I don't expect her to have a good result here either. Konjuh has been done well this year (10-6) and she has a better record on clay (57-27) than Wang. She beat Siniakova, Keys and Swiatek in her last tournament (Miami). I heard a punter saying that she's fat. I saw her in Miami and it's true that she has become "bigger" but I wouldn't call that fat. Besides, I think it's good for her game and I was really impressed with how she played in Miami. What really surprised me was her win against Swiatek. It's true that Swiatek did not play her best but I have never seen Konjuh playing that well. At these odds I have no doubts that the value is on Konjuh.
- CzechPunter, Robinnho and Foo_Fighter
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The match Muchova has lost was against Brady, not Barty. In fact, she beat Barty before losing against Brady?
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3 hours ago, darko08 said:
Hercog to beat Zvonareva at 1.72 with bet365
Hercog has played more than 400 matches on clay on her career and she has already won this tournament before. She has won a tournament played on clay this week in Oeiras. Zvonareva's last years results on clay are really poor and this will be her first match on clay this year. I saw her really affected at the end of her last match against Gasparyan in Saint Petersburg. I saw the whole match and it was a match that she could have won. It was 1 month ago but I saw her really angry at the end of it. The surface favors Hercog game and she has already won here before so at these odds I take her.
I add this one.
Muchova to beat Alexandrova at 1.72 with bet365
Alexandrova's game is made for hard courts. She has a negative record on clay courts in 2019 and 2018. In the last edition of this tournament she lost in straight sets against Friedsam (7-5, 6-2) when she was priced at 1.30. I can't say that Muchova has achieved big things on clay but at least she has reached a WTA final (Prague Open). I think her game suits better on this surface so at these odds I take her. This will be the first match on clay for both players. Alexandrova has a 9-7 record this year while Muchova has only lost 1 match this year (8-1) and it was against Barty in the SFs of the AO.
- Mathos67, CzechPunter, Foo_Fighter and 1 other
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Hercog to beat Zvonareva at 1.72 with bet365
Hercog has played more than 400 matches on clay on her career and she has already won this tournament before. She has won a tournament played on clay this week in Oeiras. Zvonareva's last years results on clay are really poor and this will be her first match on clay this year. I saw her really affected at the end of her last match against Gasparyan in Saint Petersburg. I saw the whole match and it was a match that she could have won. It was 1 month ago but I saw her really angry at the end of it. The surface favors Hercog game and she has already won here before so at these odds I take her.
- CzechPunter, Mathos67, Robinnho and 2 others
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8 hours ago, Nes* said:
YO
evans can do something against greek? ?
I guess Evans will be all the time slicing with his backhand and that can make Tsitsipas feel uncomfortable. The problem for Evans is that his serve is really poor and that means that he can't explode Tsitsipas biggest weakness which is his return of serve. They played on clay recently (September 2020) and Evans only won 4 games in the whole match. I think Tsitsipas will win but the odds are exaggerated. In terms of betting I will stay away from this match but If I was forced to bet I think I would bet on Evans with a handicap. Evans record on clay is awful but his game tactics are working here.
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59 minutes ago, martsman said:
Agree that Rublev is a beast. But I think Nadal was also not really at his best, and was making lots of uncharacteristic errors. I wouldnt be surprised if there's some form of a repeat of last year, when Nadal lost to Schwartzman in Rome and then destroyed him at the French Open. If this loss raises the price for Nadal to win Roland Garros over 3.0, I'm taking it.
Nadal at 3.00? That's impossible. If he has bad results in his next tournaments (Barcelona, Madrid and Rome) his price will raise but I can't imagine it raising that way. Only if we see him in a really bad shape or having physical problems but I don't think thats gonna happen. I expect him to win at least one of those 3 tournaments. It's true that Nadal won the last edition easily after losing early in Rome against Schwartzman but the draw he had was a joke. He only beat Schwartzman and Djokovic. Besides, Schwartzman played a 5 set match (vs Thiem) before playing Nadal and Djokovic also played a 5 set match (vs Tsitsipas) before playing Nadal. As you can see, he was tremendously lucky not only with draw but also with how the tournament developed. We still have to see Thiem on clay. He finally won't play in Belgrado and his return is expected to be in Madrid. I would say that there are 3 or 4 players who can beat Nadal if he hasn't show his best version.
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Tremendous beating. I'm really happy to have seen it. I have nothing against Nadal but I don't like how he's treated by the media. Before the match started I heard some sports journalists making fun about how many games would be able to win Rublev. They were saying that no more than 7-8... Lol. And I wonder...how many Rublev matches have seen these guys this year...? He has destroyed Nadal after playing an epic match against RBA in his last round in which he even had cramps during the last set, and that's the only reason why I had some doubts about him today. But it's obvious he has recovered well from that. He's a beast. I think we can say Rafa has found another player who can beat him on clay, even in Montecarlo.
- CzechPunter and martsman
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20 minutes ago, four-leaf said:
Why did Fokina give up?
Thigh injury
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2 hours ago, Bettingboots said:
12 times Monte Carlo champion Nadal doesn't need any help or favours, trust me ?
Thanks for reminding me how many titles Nadal has won here but I still had on mind how he was destroyed by Fognini in the last edition of this tournament. Nadal is not in her best, so don't talk of him like he's a god, especially after losing against Tsitsipas in the AO after leading the match 2-0. I have no doubts that Nadal would have needed his best version to beat this 2021 Rublev version. Needed or not (favour) I'm sure Nadal will be happy to see that Rublev played a long match yesterday. And he also will be happy to see that Djokovic is out of the tournament. And I'm also sure that he will be happy if Ruud beats Fognini today.
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After this match It's hard to believe that Rublev can do something against Nadal... He even had cramps during the third set. RBA has done a good favour for Nadal. I wonder what he drinks during matches cause this has been impressive. What an athlete. I was eager to see the Nadal-Rublev match since I saw the draw but now this won't be the same... Rublev will play at a disadvantage
- CzechPunter and marzipan
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2 minutes ago, vvararu said: No logic but you got both matches to go to third set.
Hala Rublev! Hala Carreno-Busta!
Sometimes using logic is not bad when youre betting. If you do in long term you will get more chances of getting benefits in sports betting
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6 minutes ago, four-leaf said:
There's always a factor of probability and if a whole day in such a big tournament like Monte Carlo and not even one 3 set affair? Come on, it has to be probable that we will see at least one or two of these last two matches going the distance.
It's hard to find the logic behind that argument
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51 minutes ago, four-leaf said:
Livebet Andrey Rublev - RBA over 2.5 sets at 2.02 with Unibet
Somewhere today in the last two matches in Monte Carlo there will be at least one 3 set match if not both will be because the probability is high now that it happens since no match has gone over 2.5 sets today so I've cashed out my bet on Andrey Rublev to win 2-0 and gone all in at over 2.5 sets in that match. Unfortunately I didn't cash out before RBA was up 3-0 so this bet is more or less some more money back for me if it hits.
After all the energy Bautista has spent in the first set and the fact that he has lost it after leading 4-1 I think a miracle is needed to see RBA winning the second set. That being said, I have seen stranger things in this sport so lets see.
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Karatsev to beat Tsitsipas at 2.62 with bet365
Fritz to beat Bautista at 3.20 with bet365
Khachanov to beat Djere at 1.66 with bet365
Popyrin to beat Andujar at 1.50 with bet365Andujar hasn't played in the last month cause he got an injury in his last match in Chile while Popyrin has already won 2 matches here (vs Arneodo and Hanfmann). Fritz played 3 matches on clay in Cagliari while Bautista was playing in Miami, where he reached the SFs. Fritz has already beat Bautista on clay before so I think these odds are exaggerated. This will be the first match of Khachanov on clay this year, but he will be more fresh than Djere who reached the Final in Cagliari and it was just 2 days ago. Finally, I also take Karatsev against Tsitsipas. Karatsev has already played one match here while Tsitsipas hasn't played yet on clay this year. As has been said here, Karatsev exploded the last year playing on clay when he reached the Final in 3 consecutive Challengers played on clay.
I'm not doing well with my last picks so if these ones go wrong I will take a break. GL.
- CzechPunter and marzipan
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Tabilo, Varillas, Galan and Bagnis... and he could have lost against Bagnis. He lost in the 1st round against Christian Harrison in Delray Beach (7-6, 6-2), in the 1st round against Nagal in Buenos Aires (6-4, 6-3) and in the 1st round against Cilic in Miami (3-6, 7-5, 7-6). IMO Garin is not trustable at all. It's true that this will be Felix's first match on clay this year but he's a good player on clay, too. 2 of the 7 ATP Finals he has played have been on clay (Lyon and Rio). I wouldn't underestimate him. I also think this is a no bet mach. Anything can happen here.
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Belgrade Challenger
Milojevic (-2,5 Games) to beat Broady at 1.80 with bet365
I like this one. A few days ago I took Milojevic against Alcaraz. He lost the match but he put Alcaraz in troubles (7-6, 6-3). I really like how he played (until the fourth game of the second set). He has a strong serve and the conditions are really good for him. He has won 13 matches on clay this year and he won the Zadar Challenger on March. Broady best surface is hard and he only has played 4 matches on clay this year. Milojevic has been playing well this year, he plays home and the surface favors him so I expect him to win this match.
- Foo_Fighter and CzechPunter
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@marzipan I also think Alcaraz is gonna win. Munar hasn't been impressive at all here. He has been very lucky with the draw but he could have lost against Ivashka. Laaksonen in the first round and then Fognini, who only came to take the money and leave... And don't forget all the hours Munar has been in court in the last days (he reached the Final in the Challenger played here). If Alcaraz plays decent he should win this match.
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Mager to beat Ruud at 2.63 with Pinnacle
Mager won the Challenger played here a few days ago beating good players as E.Ymer, Giannessi and Munar. He has beat Kukkushkin in 2 sets in his first match here. The biggest concern I have is that he has played a lot of matches in the last week. Ruud is better player but this will be his first match on clay this year. Besides, he got an injury in Acapulco and he had to retire in his QFs match against Sasha.
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3 hours ago, darko08 said:
The odds are not high but i like Ramos to beat Berankis. Berankis record on clay is awful. Ramos reached the Final in Cordoba and then the SFs in Buenos Aires. Besides, he plays home so he should win this match comfortably.
Well... Ramos has won but it hasn't been as I expected.. Berankis has played like he was on a hard court (I lost the count of the points that he has won on the net...). Ramos has barely played long rallies and that has frustrated him a lot.
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The odds are not high but i like Ramos to beat Berankis. Berankis record on clay is awful. Ramos reached the Final in Cordoba and then the SFs in Buenos Aires. Besides, he plays home so he should win this match comfortably.
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Unbelievable. Milojevic was playing quite good but the way he has played since the 5th game of the second set (he was leading 3-1) has been a shame and tremendously suspicious as well... Fortunately Ivashka has done the job..
Tennis Tips - May 3 - May 9
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted
Karatsev (2-0) to beat Humbert at 1.80 with bet365
Humbert has a negative record on clay (27-29). He never has done something remarkable on this surface. Karatsev did really well in Belgrade. He beat Bedene, Mager and Djokovic. He lost the Final against Berrettini but it was a close match (1-6, 6-3, 7-6). The conditions are similar here so I think Karatsev can do really well in Madrid.