yossa6133
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Posts posted by yossa6133
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Manobo 3:10 Epsom (5/2 bet365). Pulled his chance away last time but looks the one with star quality to me.
Bit of a shocker there, messy race and he's a tricky ride.
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I'd fancy us to win, but we have underperformed in some big games. Gone for small bets on Davis and Johnson to score first.
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Mellow Ben 1:30 Ludlow (8/1 SBK). I wasn't going to back this but the drift is tempting me in! 9 year old has been on the downgrade for a while now but handicapper is giving a major chance switched to hurdles. Ran well last time when 3rd at Plumpton, got an RPR of 114 for that and the runner up has won both races since. Runs off 103 today, minus 7lb claim and cheek pieces added. Guessing they will try and force the pace over this shorter trip.
Forced the pace but never really looked to be travelling well enough to win.
- azzybear, MCLARKE, The Equaliser and 1 other
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Not falling for Goshen on the flat again!
- azzybear and The Equaliser
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Obey the Rules 5:13 Worcester (7/1 bet victor). Was fav when I looked last night and seems the most solid option, so surprised he's drifted to 7/1. Jumps well and finds plenty for pressure. Would not be the first horse to dislike Fakenham, so I can easily forgive his last run.
A lot of the others are making chase debuts or first runs after an absence. School for Scandal is joint fav at the moment but looks like he wants further, Serjeant Painter only seems fairly handicapped on chase debut.
Poor run, set a slow pace but faded tamely 3 out ?
- kensland and black rabbit
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Cheers, no fingernails left today but definitely buzzing! Johnson has been excellent, think the only way we hold on to him is by going up.
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I like Sporting Life for the video replays, fast results and simple tracker that sends you an email when they run.
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Shaws Bridge 5:33 Hexham (15.5/1 SBK). Back over hurdles after a failing over fences (can't jump). Either of his last 2 efforts over hurdles a year ago would put him right in the mix here, was only beaten by a well handicapped horse at Perth. Claimer takes 10lb off and he's ridden a couple of winners.
Fav is up 4lb for winning last time and didn't have 4lb in hand there, so looks vulnerable.
Jumped the last in front but faded on the run in, maybe didn't quite stay.
- BBBC and Nigwilliam
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Tie should have been over as you say. But judged on the first leg it's hard to see Forest not winning and the price looks generous.
I prefer over 2.5 goals though, Sheffield will go for it if still behind in the 2nd half and we can pick them off, so either way I'd expect goals.
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Garner 1.10 Nottingham (13/2). Caught the eye on debut finishing well after being very green, should come on bundles for that. One of the newcomers might be decent but will take a risk at the price.
Wins ?, definitely knew more this time. Drifted to 12/1 on SBK just before the off but I was too slow to get it.
- The Equaliser, MCLARKE, calva decoy and 4 others
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Might give 0-0 a try around 7.5/1, Luton will probably be playing for penalties and they can spoil a game pretty effectively.
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I was nervous after the judges scores and Ukraine drifted to 7/4, but the public predictably bailed them out ?
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Give Me a Cuddle 1:52 Stratford (2/1). Looked good winning a bumper latest, step up in trip should suit on hurdles debut.
IMO Royal Lake wants softer and a more galloping track.
Glengeever probably has the best hurdles form but trainer doesn't get many winners, will hopefully lead and set the race up for the selection.
The Fergal O'Brien one might improve following wind surgery but doubt he'd be this price if they were expecting to win.
A winner! I'm off for a lie down ? I was right about Royal Lake who was outpaced and struggling a long way out.
- Nigwilliam and The Equaliser
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Kracquer 1:05 Bangor. Had a speculative few quid at 33/1 (BF exchange), 8 year old has obviously had a few problems and hasn't achieved much in 3 spread out runs. 2M on good ground is what he wants though and might benefit from the Ludlow run 52 days ago (this will be the first time he's managed 2 runs in somewhat close proximity!).
Not keen on the odds on fav who looked slow when runner up in 2m heavy ground race at Gowran Park.
Ran well enough in 3rd, but made several mistakes at the hurdles.
- The Equaliser, LEE-GRAYS, Nigwilliam and 1 other
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We looked very tired against Fulham and Bournemouth so hopefully the rest will have done us the world of good and freshened us up. I'd certainly take a draw from the first leg, so hopefully Stevie is right again ?.
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Apologies to anyone else that backed Rogue Bear, I could stop a train at the moment! Fizzy going down and pulled chance away early on
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Surely Ukraine are nailed on here? 8/13 seems like buying money.
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Can't go too far wrong with McCain / Hughes combo.
I took a little bit of 6/1 just following the money! Always nice to see the older horse being competitive.
- The Equaliser, kensland and azzybear
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Bit of a move for Snowed In 2:00 Sedgefield. As big as 28/1 into 11/2. 13 year old won this race last year off the same mark, they obviously think they've got him nice and fit.
Folded very tamely a long way out.
- azzybear, Wildgarden and The Equaliser
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3 hours ago, Villa Chris said:
Southwell 7.20
Fanfan Du Seuil 9.46 (14/1)
Lucky Lover Boy 9.26 (14/1)
Coastguard Station 8.76 (3/2)
Fanfan has some really strong form from a few years back. Hasn’t hit the heights he maybe could have done but overpriced and might be too good for these. I’m not overly struck on Lucky Lover, but has won off much higher in past and return to 2m on good ground might see him run well in this class . Coastguard unexposed , but at the prices I’ll go top two and reverse forecast
5 points win top two 14/1/14/1
Coastguard Station wazzed up over CD and the 2nd and 3rd won next time out, might be worth a look in the without fav market!
- Villa Chris and azzybear
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Hull 4.4
Derby 2.25
Middlesbrough 1.70
£23.45 win treble
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Shame Forest didn't beat Bournemouth...not least because I would have then strongly fancied Bournemouth and Forest to win their last games! As it is I would expect Forest to rest as many as possible, which could make Hull a bet at 3.75/1 (waiting for our line up before placing my bet).
Boro and Luton both need to win and should be able to, the double is worth a go at better than 6/4.
Derby and Cardiff will just want the season to end, home advantage could be crucial and I agree with Stevie that Derby should win at 13/10.
Will put all 4 selections in an acca, which pays around 25/1.
- Gidds and alexcaruso808
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Nothing wrong with some arguments, as long as they are civil...often the best way to reach some understanding!
Does the draw factor into anyone's ratings? It's the first things I look at for the flat, decide which draw I want and assess the chances of the horse(s) drawn there.
Racing Chat - Friday 3rd June
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted · Edited by yossa6133
Fireworks 2.35 Epsom (23/2 SBK). Could be plenty to come this season, lightly raced big sort. Often been slowly away but looks to have plenty of ability, probably wants some give in the ground. Might be more interesting next time with a run under his belt over slightly further, but having a few quid at a big price here.
Not great, but will still be interested next time.