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yossa6133

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Posts posted by yossa6133

  1. Persian Force 4:15 Curragh (5/1 SBK). Cracking race. Bradsell the right fav after 2 great wins, but at the prices I've got to go for Hannon's horse. I thought Hollie Doyle kicked at just the right moment at Ascot and put the race to bed for Bradsell. I can see the super straight forward Persian Force at least closing that gap and the price looks too big.

     

    fav had on off day but winner was in another league, highly impressive!

  2. Big ask for all the promoted clubs, including us! But we obviously mean business judging on the money we've spent. Lingard looks a brilliant signing and just the type of player we needed, if he does well then maybe we can stay up.

    I can see Fulham finishing bottom, I don't really rate the manager and they seem to have some real weaknesses, Ream was just about ok for the Championship but he's not up to the Premier League and Robinson is just bad. Surprised they let Seri go, was one of their most important players.

  3. Great write up! Feel like I'm much more up to speed now :clap

    Agree that Norwich are the obvious ones again and look a fair price at 6/1. Not amazing insight but Watford also should be up there too!

    WBA seem to have bought well and I can see them doing way better this season.

    I like Wilder and thought I would want to back Middlesbrough for top 6 but their signings haven't inspired me.

    Sheffield United have looked really poor in pre-season and managed to lose 3-0 to Mansfield. Gibbs White was one of their main sparks last season and I can see them missing out on the playoffs.

    Pukki the obvious choice for top scorer at 8/1, has turned 32 but managed 11 goals in the Premier League last year and scores for fun at this level. Brereton might not stay at Blackburn and has got to back up what he did last season anyway.

  4. 52 minutes ago, Bang on said:

    1.40 Carl - Eclipse de Lunar - 3/1 (has been much bigger) - runs from 5lbs below what he has won off. His last 2 wins have been over further, but the stiff uphill finish at Carlisle may help with that.

    3.00 Nmkt - Ingra Tor - 7/1 EW (1/5th 6 places) - Has to be a strong contender if you ignore the poor run LTO when a beaten fav. With a fair price and 6 places, looks a solid EW selection.

    Eclipse de Lunar interesting, been very well backed. But Cappoquin looks another absolute plot job and must be hard to beat.

     

    Not the Cappoquin's day, struggling a long way out but will be well handicapped so one for the tracker.

  5. 3 hours ago, Darran said:
    I'm looking forward to the 2.10 at Worcester this afternoon as for the first time a horse I have a share in looks set to be favourite for a race. You may remember Intrepide Sud ran in the point to point bumper at Aintree when ridden by Gina. The horse was very keen and she struggled to control him which takes some doing given how strong she is. It was actually a surprise that he was that keen and in the end she just had to let him stride on. I have seen a clip of Gina talking after the race and she said that he must be a good horse to run like that and not be beaten all that far. I know I said I didn't think the race was that strong, but he clearly has the potential to be much better than that run showed and in all honestly the race this afternoon looks even worse on paper. He has gone to Fergal O'Brien and he really likes the horse as does Paddy Brennan after he rode him in a piece of work. If he can translate his home work to the racecourse I do think he is the most likely winner of the race. Obviously the concern is he is too keen again and he might need a bit more time to learn to settle, but he wasn't keen in his point victory at Garthorpe and he's not keen on the gallops so hopefully it was just a one off at Aintree.
     
    Western Safire was the other one at the head of the market but she is now a non-runner. Even so it does look like she's the main danger. Putalinthroughit makes is a newcomer but he was a cheap purchase so hard to think he is anything special, but clearly its a weak race so he might be able to run well. Milfolhas Has makes his debut for the Bowen's having run in a couple of points last year. First up he was 6th in a bumper and then he pulled up in a maiden over 3m. He did show a glimmer of promise there and clearly he's gone to a good yard, but I don't think he's shown as much Intrepide Sud so he needs to have improved in the last year to beat him in my view. Orange Gina has finished 4th at big prices in bumpers in 2020 and 2021. The first she was well beaten, but last time finished much closer having led. That was a bad race though and again the fact she led at a slow pace probably means she was flattered. Tampico Rocco was 6th in this race last on his only ever start and although well beaten he did show a little promise. For some reason Charlie My Boy was been backed from 200/1 into single figures. He's been stuffed in all 3 starts and has only beaten one horse home so god knows whose backing it as there is nothing to recommend him at all, but he has just become a non-runner which seems a bit suspicious to me.
     
    So all in all it looks a terrible contest and I unless he's too keen for his own good again then I struggle to see how anything will be good enough to beat if he replicates his home work. Shame the price isn't bigger, but it is hardly a surprise given how bad the race is.
     
    Intrepid Sud @ Evs with most bookies

    Never quite getting there 😬

  6. Amis Des Flots 2:00 Newton Abbot (5/2 SBK). Promising hurdles debut when runner up at Ffos Las and winner has gone in again since. Front running style works well round here. Fav has been well backed but looks to me like he wants softer than this.

     

    fav won easily 🙃

  7. Ward Castle 2:00 Newmarket (10/1 bet365). Open race but this looks to have as good a chance as any at a decent price. Good 2nd on the AW at Kempton, only lost on the head bob and winner since scored in a handicap off 76, suggesting today's mark of 71 is fair enough. Probably needed Redcar reappearance and pulled too hard last time in 1st time blinkers, still ran well enough though.

     

    Settled and travelled well but not good enough.

  8. Friary Rock 3:30 Southwell (3.4/1 SBK). Just following the move on this one, sustained money from as big as 18/1 last night into 2/1 generally, can still get 3.4/SBK so I've followed in!

     

    Much improved effort but not good enough to win.

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