yossa6133

Not falling for Goshen on the flat again!

Obey the Rules 5:13 Worcester (7/1 bet victor). Was fav when I looked last night and seems the most solid option, so surprised he's drifted to 7/1. Jumps well and finds plenty for pressure. Would not be the first horse to dislike Fakenham, so I can easily forgive his last run. A lot of the others are making chase debuts or first runs after an absence. School for Scandal is joint fav at the moment but looks like he wants further, Serjeant Painter only seems fairly handicapped on chase debut. Poor run, set a slow pace but faded tamely 3 out 😠

Cheers, no fingernails left today but definitely buzzing! Johnson has been excellent, think the only way we hold on to him is by going up.

I like Sporting Life for the video replays, fast results and simple tracker that sends you an email when they run.

Shaws Bridge 5:33 Hexham (15.5/1 SBK). Back over hurdles after a failing over fences (can't jump). Either of his last 2 efforts over hurdles a year ago would put him right in the mix here, was only beaten by a well handicapped horse at Perth. Claimer takes 10lb off and he's ridden a couple of winners. Fav is up 4lb for winning last time and didn't have 4lb in hand there, so looks vulnerable. Jumped the last in front but faded on the run in, maybe didn't quite stay.

Tie should have been over as you say. But judged on the first leg it's hard to see Forest not winning and the price looks generous. I prefer over 2.5 goals though, Sheffield will go for it if still behind in the 2nd half and we can pick them off, so either way I'd expect goals.

Garner 1.10 Nottingham (13/2). Caught the eye on debut finishing well after being very green, should come on bundles for that. One of the newcomers might be decent but will take a risk at the price. Wins 🤑, definitely knew more this time. Drifted to 12/1 on SBK just before the off but I was too slow to get it.

Might give 0-0 a try around 7.5/1, Luton will probably be playing for penalties and they can spoil a game pretty effectively.

I was nervous after the judges scores and Ukraine drifted to 7/4, but the public predictably bailed them out 🤑

Give Me a Cuddle 1:52 Stratford (2/1). Looked good winning a bumper latest, step up in trip should suit on hurdles debut. IMO Royal Lake wants softer and a more galloping track. Glengeever probably has the best hurdles form but trainer doesn't get many winners, will hopefully lead and set the race up for the selection. The Fergal O'Brien one might improve following wind surgery but doubt he'd be this price if they were expecting to win. A winner! I'm off for a lie down 😆 I was right about Royal Lake who was outpaced and struggling a long way out.

Kracquer 1:05 Bangor. Had a speculative few quid at 33/1 (BF exchange), 8 year old has obviously had a few problems and hasn't achieved much in 3 spread out runs. 2M on good ground is what he wants though and might benefit from the Ludlow run 52 days ago (this will be the first time he's managed 2 runs in somewhat close proximity!). Not keen on the odds on fav who looked slow when runner up in 2m heavy ground race at Gowran Park. Ran well enough in 3rd, but made several mistakes at the hurdles.

We looked very tired against Fulham and Bournemouth so hopefully the rest will have done us the world of good and freshened us up. I'd certainly take a draw from the first leg, so hopefully Stevie is right again 😀.

Apologies to anyone else that backed Rogue Bear, I could stop a train at the moment! Fizzy going down and pulled chance away early on

Surely Ukraine are nailed on here? 8/13 seems like buying money.

Can't go too far wrong with McCain / Hughes combo. I took a little bit of 6/1 just following the money! Always nice to see the older horse being competitive.

Bit of a move for Snowed In 2:00 Sedgefield. As big as 28/1 into 11/2. 13 year old won this race last year off the same mark, they obviously think they've got him nice and fit. Folded very tamely a long way out.

Coastguard Station wazzed up over CD and the 2nd and 3rd won next time out, might be worth a look in the without fav market!

Hull 4.4 Derby 2.25 Middlesbrough 1.70 £23.45 win treble

6 changes for Forest, so while we still look pretty strong, Hull are worth a small bet. Grrr, price has gone, so I'm not bothering!

Shame Forest didn't beat Bournemouth...not least because I would have then strongly fancied Bournemouth and Forest to win their last games! As it is I would expect Forest to rest as many as possible, which could make Hull a bet at 3.75/1 (waiting for our line up before placing my bet). Boro and Luton both need to win and should be able to, the double is worth a go at better than 6/4. Derby and Cardiff will just want the season to end, home advantage could be crucial and I agree with Stevie that Derby should win at 13/10. Will put all 4 selections in an acca, which pays around 25/1.

Nothing wrong with some arguments, as long as they are civil...often the best way to reach some understanding! Does the draw factor into anyone's ratings? It's the first things I look at for the flat, decide which draw I want and assess the chances of the horse(s) drawn there.

Nottingham Forest 1.53 Millwall 1.44 Blackpool 1.85 £40 win treble.

Backing Forest to beat Fulham (3.3/1 SBK). Not been that impressed with Fulham lately and I think half their mind is already on the beach!

Huddersfield 1.57 Nottingham Forest 1.61 Coventry 3.25 £20 win treble.

You'd like to think so! Peterborough have improved now the pressure is off but Forest should have too much, not interested at the prices though. From what I've seen recently, Coventry looks a better team than WBA and have had some big wins away from home, so around 5/2 is tempting me.