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yossa6133

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Posts posted by yossa6133

    Racing Chat - Thursday 7th July

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted · Edited by yossa6133

    52 minutes ago, Bang on said:

    1.40 Carl - Eclipse de Lunar - 3/1 (has been much bigger) - runs from 5lbs below what he has won off. His last 2 wins have been over further, but the stiff uphill finish at Carlisle may help with that.

    3.00 Nmkt - Ingra Tor - 7/1 EW (1/5th 6 places) - Has to be a strong contender if you ignore the poor run LTO when a beaten fav. With a fair price and 6 places, looks a solid EW selection.

    Eclipse de Lunar interesting, been very well backed. But Cappoquin looks another absolute plot job and must be hard to beat.

     

    Not the Cappoquin's day, struggling a long way out but will be well handicapped so one for the tracker.

    Racing Chat - Monday 4th July.

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    3 hours ago, Darran said:
    I'm looking forward to the 2.10 at Worcester this afternoon as for the first time a horse I have a share in looks set to be favourite for a race. You may remember Intrepide Sud ran in the point to point bumper at Aintree when ridden by Gina. The horse was very keen and she struggled to control him which takes some doing given how strong she is. It was actually a surprise that he was that keen and in the end she just had to let him stride on. I have seen a clip of Gina talking after the race and she said that he must be a good horse to run like that and not be beaten all that far. I know I said I didn't think the race was that strong, but he clearly has the potential to be much better than that run showed and in all honestly the race this afternoon looks even worse on paper. He has gone to Fergal O'Brien and he really likes the horse as does Paddy Brennan after he rode him in a piece of work. If he can translate his home work to the racecourse I do think he is the most likely winner of the race. Obviously the concern is he is too keen again and he might need a bit more time to learn to settle, but he wasn't keen in his point victory at Garthorpe and he's not keen on the gallops so hopefully it was just a one off at Aintree.
     
    Western Safire was the other one at the head of the market but she is now a non-runner. Even so it does look like she's the main danger. Putalinthroughit makes is a newcomer but he was a cheap purchase so hard to think he is anything special, but clearly its a weak race so he might be able to run well. Milfolhas Has makes his debut for the Bowen's having run in a couple of points last year. First up he was 6th in a bumper and then he pulled up in a maiden over 3m. He did show a glimmer of promise there and clearly he's gone to a good yard, but I don't think he's shown as much Intrepide Sud so he needs to have improved in the last year to beat him in my view. Orange Gina has finished 4th at big prices in bumpers in 2020 and 2021. The first she was well beaten, but last time finished much closer having led. That was a bad race though and again the fact she led at a slow pace probably means she was flattered. Tampico Rocco was 6th in this race last on his only ever start and although well beaten he did show a little promise. For some reason Charlie My Boy was been backed from 200/1 into single figures. He's been stuffed in all 3 starts and has only beaten one horse home so god knows whose backing it as there is nothing to recommend him at all, but he has just become a non-runner which seems a bit suspicious to me.
     
    So all in all it looks a terrible contest and I unless he's too keen for his own good again then I struggle to see how anything will be good enough to beat if he replicates his home work. Shame the price isn't bigger, but it is hardly a surprise given how bad the race is.
     
    Intrepid Sud @ Evs with most bookies

    Never quite getting there ?

    Racing chat - Thursday 22nd June

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted · Edited by yossa6133

    Ward Castle 2:00 Newmarket (10/1 bet365). Open race but this looks to have as good a chance as any at a decent price. Good 2nd on the AW at Kempton, only lost on the head bob and winner since scored in a handicap off 76, suggesting today's mark of 71 is fair enough. Probably needed Redcar reappearance and pulled too hard last time in 1st time blinkers, still ran well enough though.

     

    Settled and travelled well but not good enough.

    Royal ascot Tuesday

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted · Edited by yossa6133

    On 6/12/2022 at 4:21 PM, richard-westwood said:

    420 ascot 

    Corebus  9.3  4/5 

    Mighty ulysses  8.6   16/1 

    My Prospero  8.4 

    New energy   8.1 

    Berkshire shadow  7.9 

    Corebus will be hard to beat if holding form ....of the rest ...mighty ulysses is overpriced with frankie on board so looks the ew value ....20pt win top rated... 2pt ew mighty ulysses 

    Agree with Mighty Ulysses, jockey seemed to panic last time, should be more to come with better handling. 13/2 e/w (bet365) without the fav might be a way to go for the cautiously inclined.

     

    Bit gutting to get chinned for the E/W when he was there with a chance of the win.

    Racing Chat- Friday 10th June

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted · Edited by yossa6133

    Minella Mojo 5:41 Newton Abbot (37/1 SBK). First run for new yard, a small outfit but she gets the occasional winner.

    He rarely runs a bad race and imo has spent most of his career running over too far. Likes to front run on fast ground and has dropped 20lbs from his peak handicap mark. Showed he retains plenty of ability when 2nd to a well weighted winner at Exeter in October. Not run for 222 days so fitness might be an issue, but will risk a few quid at the price. 

    Also taken top 4 finish with Skybet at 9/2.

     

    Prominent until tailing off very quickly.

    Racing Chat- Wednesday 8th June

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted · Edited by yossa6133

    Had a flick though Fontwell and like the look of a few. Not done any singles yet but done a small acca in case the stars align!

    Fortunate Fred 1:00 9/4. Looks to have the best form in the book with 2 solid efforts at Sedgefield. 

    Floy Joy (nap) 1:35 7/2. Dropped to a good mark judged on jumpers bumper win and 2nd at Newton Abbot. Good ground looks key.

    Sammylou 3:20 5/1 (bet365). 4lb below last year's course and distance win and will be ready to go after break. Main rivals don't look that well handicapped.

    Belle Jour 3.55 (price gone, don't bother!). I like CD form for chases here, won easily last time and this looks weak.

     

    Underwhelming runs from Fortunate Fred and Floy Joy, I thought Sammylou looked the winner all the way round and was 1/7 on the run in but got worn down close home :cry

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