[SIR PUNTALOT KO CUP SEMI FINAL - Deadline Saturday 2pm]

[Racing Chat Sunday - November 20th]

BET365 4/1 TV offer selections

EXET	2.25	Bowtogreatness	9/2
PUNC	3.15	Captain Conby	4/1
EXET	3.35	Djelo	11/1

[Racing Chat Sunday - November 20th]

5yo selections

COURSE	TIME	SELECTION	ODDS
Punchestown	0.55	Secret She Keeps	11/4
Cork	1.40	Riaan	11/2
Cork	2.15	Martha Divine	5/1
Uttoxeter	2.33	The Changing Man	2/1
Punchestown	3.50	Bective Bridge	25/1

[BILLY HILLS NAP TABLE - November 2022]

Most winners

@vangovincontinues to be in front by 2 but the £10 target is further adrift

@Alastairremains in a strong position (and has made the requisite number of bets !)

[BILLY HILLS NAP TABLE - November 2022]

[Racing Chat - Saturday 19th November]

9 hours ago, MCLARKE said:

Huntingdon	1.23	Armchair Farmer	8/13
Ascot	2.05	L'Homme Presse	2/5

Armchair Farmer won at 8/13, L'Homme Presse a NR

Total 9 from 13, LSP 1.09 points

[Racing Chat - Saturday 19th November]

23 hours ago, MCLARKE said:

5yo selections

Lucky 15 in bold

COURSE	TIME	SELECTION	ODDS
Lingfield	11.35	Come On Girl	3.50
Huntingdon	0.15	Thunder Flash	100.00
Punchestown	0.30	Willywampus	100.00
Huntingdon	0.48	Volkovka	2.50
Punchestown	1.03	Barnacullia	25.00
Ascot	1.30	Terresita	3.50
Lingfield	2.20	Pop Dancer	5.50
Haydock	2.25	Gentleman At Arms	25.00
Ascot	2.40	Constitution Hill	0.22
Ascot	3.15	So Scottish	4.50
Lingfield	3.30	Lasting Legacy	14.00

2 non-runners and 7 losers but Pop Dancer saved the day winning at 17/2 for a 0.5 point profit on the day

Total 16 from 73, LSP 19.05 points

[Racing Chat - Saturday 19th November]

16 minutes ago, fd1972uk said:

Hmmmm, OK, not sure what a feature race offer is tbh, never noticed that. Don't even see it mentioned for tomorrow's 4/1 offers?

They have the offer for 2 races on days when there is no ITV racing.

I believe there is racing on ITV tomorrow.

[Naps - Sunday 20th November]

EXETER 12.40

BORNTOBEALEADER 4/6

BET365

[Racing Chat - Saturday 19th November]

1 hour ago, Villa Chris said:

It could be  because you’re a few hundred quid up in profit. It doesn’t take much for bookies to stop the freebies .

I'm a few thousand up and still get the free bets. I've never really understood the logic behind restrictions, I can still bet with some bookies despite being well up but with others I'm restricted even though I've lost money with them.

[Racing Chat - Saturday 19th November]

Odds on selections

Huntingdon	1.23	Armchair Farmer	8/13
Ascot	2.05	L'Homme Presse	2/5

[Racing Chat - Saturday 19th November]

BET365 4/1 TV offer selections

HAYD	2.25	Good Risk At All	4/1
ASCO	3.15	Thyme White	11/2
HAYD	3.35	Lord Du Mesnil	11/2

[Racing Chat-Friday 18th November.]

6 minutes ago, The Equaliser said:

Hence how does one choose which of those with an AE of 102 will be the winner?

The optimum period is 184 days to 265 days. For this period the AE is 1.07. They have made a profit in each of the last 9 years. The sample size is smaller but still over 14,000.

In the race you mention this would reduce the field from 9 to 5 !

I will keep a check on these over the next few weeks, as you would expect most of the runners are in November. There will be a lot of selections, over 30 per day. 

The only additional criteria is that those with odds of over 50/1 will be excluded.

[Racing Chat - Saturday 19th November]

5yo selections

Lucky 15 in bold

COURSE	TIME	SELECTION	ODDS
Lingfield	11.35	Come On Girl	3.50
Huntingdon	0.15	Thunder Flash	100.00
Punchestown	0.30	Willywampus	100.00
Huntingdon	0.48	Volkovka	2.50
Punchestown	1.03	Barnacullia	25.00
Ascot	1.30	Terresita	3.50
Lingfield	2.20	Pop Dancer	5.50
Haydock	2.25	Gentleman At Arms	25.00
Ascot	2.40	Constitution Hill	0.22
Ascot	3.15	So Scottish	4.50
Lingfield	3.30	Lasting Legacy	14.00

[BILLY HILLS NAP TABLE - November 2022]

[Racing Chat-Friday 18th November.]

5 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

I am not too happy about all the long absences of horses

This is another area where it pays to go against the crowd. You (and many others) over emphasize the importance of this.

For NH, horses that have had a layoff of more than 100 days have an AE of 1.02, which from a sample of over 40,000 is very impressive.

[Naps - Saturday 19th November]

LINGFIELD 1.45

NOBLE DYNASTY 2/5

BET365

[£20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome]

Asco 2.05

TAMAROC DU MATHAN 11/1

£10 EW SKY 5 places SP

[BILLY HILLS NAP TABLE - November 2022]

4 hours ago, Alastair said:

I can't shut up shop because I haven't had 15 bets.

Fair point. 

[Racing Chat-Friday 18th November.]

5yo selections

COURSE	TIME	SELECTION	ODDS
Catterick	0.10	Spike Jones	6/4
Chepstow	0.35	Sam's The Man	10/1
Catterick	1.20	Bolsover Bill	4/1
Chepstow	1.45	Auditoria	8/1
Chepstow	3.30	Iberio	7/2
Dundalk	7.00	Is That Love	66/1

[BILLY HILLS NAP TABLE - November 2022]

Most winners

@vangovinextends has lead to 2 but will probably need to take a few more risks to make the 10 points target

@Alastairhas reached the target and appears to have shut up shop. Is this a dangerous tactic ? Time will tell.

[BILLY HILLS NAP TABLE - November 2022]

[Hugh cannot be serious!! Can He?]

I agree, it is much more enjoyable (and in my mind profitable) to follow your own judgement rather than anybody else's.

I am sure Hugh Taylor's tips are good but logic dictates that as soon as they are published they will become poor value.

[Naps - Friday 18th November]

CATTERICK 1.55

MASKED CRUSADER 5/6

BET365

[Racing chat -thurs 17th November]

5yo selections

COURSE	TIME	SELECTION	ODDS
Wincanton	0.25	Cityzen Serg	11/1
Market Rasen	1.55	Heritier	3/1
Market Rasen	2.30	Mot Pour Mot	9/1
Market Rasen	3.05	Mr Yeats	15/2
Chelmsford	7.00	Araifjan	8/1