Tennis - 16-22 August

[CzechPunter]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August Decided to run a little experiment. I have invested 4 units into this tournament and Bellucci came through, so I have 7.74pts. I fancy two bets today, both for half of the stake (3.85 units). Baghdatis -3.5 to bt. Bellucci (2.010 at Pinnacle) This looks like a huge value bet to me. Baggy is obviously in form, beating Cilic after having some rest before this tournament. Saw Bellucci yesterday and he could not break Becker (who played awfully) down - and when he broke him for the first time in the second set, he got broken straight away. Also, it seemed that the conditions did not suit him, as he was receiving treatment for his eyes or something. Have to taky Baggy at this price. Istomin to bt. Blake (2.1 at Pinnacle) I must say that I rate Istomin quite highly this year, while Blake is...well, struggling at least. From the last 10 matches, he beat Becker, Mayer (awful form) and Krajinovic (average player, who even took a set off him - although that was months ago). Istomin should have enough match practice here to trouble Blake and at this price I have to take him - it would not be surprising if this match would be like the Dent-Lopez match yesterday. Good luck :hope:hope

[Atko]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August Two bets for me today, as the bookies don't seem to be giving much away. For starters, I think Mikhail Youzhny will be too strong for Richard Gasquet today and I'm happy to back him to cover the -3 game handicap at odds of 1.885 (odds have move to 1.943, which I didn't manage to get but represent even more value IMO). Youzhny leads the H2H 3-1 with the last meeting coming in the Australian Open, a match Gasquet threw away as he was two sets up and if I remember correctly, he served for the match. I do like Gasquet as a player but he has too many mental demons and isn't particularly effective on a hard court. I still see him as a clay courter and facing Youzhny on the Russian's favoured surface won't help him. Both men have a wand of a backhand but I see Youzhny as mentally tougher and with perhaps a bit more variation to his game. I actually had the handicap a bit higher than this so I think the three games screams value at an attractive price. Gasquet has gone off the boil a bit, shown by his defeat to Stakhovsky in R1 of Toronto, and this is a tough a first round tie as he could get. Youzhny lost to Dolgopolov but I feel that result stands up as the Ukrainian is making vast strides. If Youzhny stays focused - and I believe he will - then he's got too much for Gasquet on this surface. The other match that catches my eye is the one between Lleyton Hewitt and Yen-Hsun Lu. I'm going to favour Lu here on the +2 game handicap at 2.04. This is a bad match-up for Hewitt at the best of times, even more so when he is out of form and fitness. Hewitt's two matches on the American hard courts have been a straight-sets loss to Lacko in Atlanta before he retired injured when a set down to Falla. He's not the player he once was. His movement and power have deteriorated and his serve is become more and more brittle. Lu is playing with confidence, having got to the R16 in Toronto where fatigue got the better of him against Kohlschreiber. He's a version of Hewitt really - quick, hard-hitting player who is happy to spar away all day. Moreover, he beat Hewitt last year in Delray Beach in their only ever match. He seems like a man who could cause Hewitt problems and I certainly think the 2-game handicap is generous. Very happy to play this. Selections - Mikhail Youzhny -3 games AH at 1.885 with Pinnacle (6/10) - Yen-Hsun Lu +2 games AH at 2.04 with Pinnacle (5/10) Good luck to all :hope

[goochrules]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August Atko definitely will be siding with you Yen Hsun- hewitt has been complaining alot recently of recent pain and reoccuring injuries, this is really putting lots of doubts in his mind and making it hard for him to perform at the highest level, think lu will account for him today

[Fizruhas]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August Looking at Gulbis -4.5 to take it on, should be a tough task for Young to take any point or even breaks in this one. Alejandro falla to beat monfils is around 3.75 and for sure we can take this odd, Gael is way out of his tennis, and should not be 1.25 as it offers ...

[Atko]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August

Looking at Gulbis -4.5 to take it on' date=' should be a tough task for Young to take any point or even breaks in this one. Alejandro falla to beat monfils is around 3.75 and for sure we can take this odd, Gael is way out of his tennis, and should not be 1.25 as it offers ...[/quote'] Gulbis should spank Young but there's absolutely no value in his odds and even the -4.5 game handicap is prohibitively short at 1.813. Would've been interested but would want odds on a handicap that big to be much closer to 2.00. With Monfils, if he turns up and plays to his best, he'll take Falla apart. Knowing when Monfils will do so though is one of hardest tasks as a punter - the -4 game line is ridiculously appealing at 2.07 (I had it priced at 2.00) but I can never tell which Monfils is going to come to the table. He also got an injury (again) against Murray, so that may be a factor too.

[CzechPunter]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August One more for me actually...not betting much on doubles, but I want to try this one Cermak/Mertinak to bt. Almagro/Tipsarevic (1.568 at Pinnacle) If you can find this at a 1ball bookie, place it there. Tipsarevic coming back from an injury in order to try and play, Almagro already out so not much motivation there. On the other side of the net, Cermak/Mertinak - specialists. Should be fairly straightforward IMO. (6/10)

[Fizruhas]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August well, the -4.5 is way to big of course,, at least it should be a bigger price like you said. so yea maybe should leave this one. But now look at Azarenka's handy it's -6.5?! why is kateryna is so underrated here on handy?

[Aarun]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August Berdych should beat Mattheiu right? Better form, better ability, better serve, better returner, just on a whole a better player with the right mind set right now.

[vlazar]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August I have oppinion for every match today , but nothing of that is for serious betting :\ Kohly + Berdych + Gulbis + Nalbandian combo for some mid stake only I see all of them as big favourites, Zebbalos , Mathieu and YOung are clowns, and Ljubicic is out of form , at the end of carier , has some injuryes...

[vlazar]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August what do you think people about Groth +4,5 AH @1,75 ? i don't know and even don't follow WTA so much , but after yesterday picks on JArmila , it looks like some value here...

[Aarun]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August I have a feeling about Zeballos today, he is a talented player and I think he could push Kohly, even though Kohly has a H2H 2-0 this year too, including 1 on hard court. Zeballos is a player that could turn up when not expecting and in the 1st rounds of ATP's there's always shocks. 10/3 for a shock.

[Psycho]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August

I have a feeling about Zeballos today' date=' he is a talented player and I think he could push Kohly, even though Kohly has a H2H 2-0 this year too, including 1 on hard court. Zeballos is a player that could turn up when not expecting and in the 1st rounds of ATP's there's always shocks. 10/3 for a shock.[/quote'] Zeballos is a player who could not care less in past couple months.

[Aarun]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August As I say that Zeballos is now 7/2 and Kohly is 1/6. So lines have changed for a reason, everyone on Kohly.

[IAmGooner]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August I don't think Kohli is trustable at a really short price, or on a handicap or unders....even against Zeballos. Not worth the hassle IMO.

[Atko]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August

I have a feeling about Zeballos today' date=' he is a talented player and I think he could push Kohly, even though Kohly has a H2H 2-0 this year too, including 1 on hard court. Zeballos is a player that could turn up when not expecting and in the 1st rounds of ATP's there's always shocks. 10/3 for a shock.[/quote'] Everything is pointing against Zeballos today. Been dismantled both times he's played against Kohlschreiber, the German is starting to piece together some form, Zeballos hasn't played much on hard and has been pretty minging since arriving in America. Could just be turning up as he has to and to pick up a cheque. The only thing you could say is that he took Baghdatis to two breakers in Washington but that's pretty much it. If you harbour ambitions of taking Zeballos in some capacity as a serious bet then I'd play the handicap, which is okay at +4.5 games. Your hunches do sometimes come good but it would take a complete reversal of the form book for Zeballos to come through this. Good luck if you decide to play him though.

[martinhattrick]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August Fish to beat Simon 1.62 at pinnacle (7/10) Fish is playing the best tennis of his career winning a big amount of matches (including a couple of titles) while Simon is having a terrible year. Fish will also be supported by his fellow americans so there will be some extra motivation there as he will try to show what he is capable of now that he is really fit. Simon´s year is really poor and besides beating Roddick a couple of weeks ago, nothing remarkable has happened for him, including lots of losses agains very poor players in this kind of surface (for example like Dabul). :hope

[Aarun]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August

Everything is pointing against Zeballos today. Been dismantled both times he's played against Kohlschreiber, the German is starting to piece together some form, Zeballos hasn't played much on hard and has been pretty minging since arriving in America. Could just be turning up as he has to and to pick up a cheque. The only thing you could say is that he took Baghdatis to two breakers in Washington but that's pretty much it. If you harbour ambitions of taking Zeballos in some capacity as a serious bet then I'd play the handicap, which is okay at +4.5 games. Your hunches do sometimes come good but it would take a complete reversal of the form book for Zeballos to come through this. Good luck if you decide to play him though.

Yeh I see what your saying, i'm going to leave this alone and go for the overs in Blake/Istomin. Over 22 games.

[goochrules]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August

Yeh I see what your saying' date=' i'm going to leave this alone and go for the overs in Blake/Istomin. Over 22 games.[/quote'] IMO Aarun i would either take Zeballos to win or leave it, He has put up some horrible performances of late and if he turns up with one of these he will lose by 4 games at least as he really has been thrased, however the guy has loads and loads of talent and class, and his a game is pretty darn good! i think ill put asmall play on him:hope

[Bukic]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August

One more for me actually...not betting much on doubles, but I want to try this one Cermak/Mertinak to bt. Almagro/Tipsarevic (1.568 at Pinnacle) If you can find this at a 1ball bookie, place it there. Tipsarevic coming back from an injury in order to try and play, Almagro already out so not much motivation there. On the other side of the net, Cermak/Mertinak - specialists. Should be fairly straightforward IMO. (6/10)

yeah this is good bet as u said tipsa coming from injury, almagro has not a motivation maybe he want to rest till USA as i doubt that he can make something . On other side i one good dobules cermak/mertina, this year they have 30-11 13-4 on hard odds alredy dropped on bwin to 1.35. And other bet for me will be Mattek to beat Oudin. Mattek played some good matches in qualifications beat dushevina 7-6 6-2 also she beats vinci 6-4 6-3 and tomljanovic 6-3 6-4, her favourite surface is hard court 10-5 this year. On other side is Oudin who i real mess this year only 3-7 on hard last match lost easy with vesnina 6-2 6-3 odds already dropped to 1.6 so i will take double in my local Mattek 1.8 and cermak/mertinak 1.65 GL

[Bukic]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August

yeah this is good bet as u said tipsa coming from injury' date=' almagro has not a motivation maybe he want to rest till USA as i doubt that he can make something . On other side i one good dobules cermak/mertina, this year they have 30-11 13-4 on hard odds alredy dropped on bwin to 1.35. And other bet for me will be Mattek to beat Oudin. Mattek played some good matches in qualifications beat dushevina 7-6 6-2 also she beats vinci 6-4 6-3 and tomljanovic 6-3 6-4, her favourite surface is hard court 10-5 this year. On other side is Oudin who i real mess this year only 3-7 on hard last match lost easy with vesnina 6-2 6-3 odds already dropped to 1.6 so i will take double in my local Mattek 1.8 and cermak/mertinak 1.65 GL[/quote'] just to add H2H 3-0 for mattek :))))

[Psycho]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August Victoria Azarenka vs Kateryna Bondarenko. Under 18 games. 1.81 @ Pinnacle (8/10) Total mismatch this one. Bondarenko has been out for a very long time due to God knows what and has won just one match in last seven which was against poor player Coin @ French Open. Azarenka is completely different animal and will destroy Bondarenko today. Kateryna has not won more than 2 games per set in 5 sets they've contested with one ending in retirement. Under 18 games is obvious choice here. Bethanie Mattek-Sands > Melanie Oudin. 1.78 @ Pinnacle (5/10) Oudin has not beaten Mattek in 3 attempts, though couple of the matches were in 2008 when Oudin was not at the sam level she is atm, it doesn't matter that much. Mattek has got a clear advantage in power here with serve being advantage. Mattek has played very good in qualies beating players like Vinci and Dushevina in straight sets and should be good to get rid of Oudin for the 4th consecutive time.

Svetlana Kuznetsova -2.5 AH vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova. 1.89 @ Pinnacle (5/10) I think Kuznetsova will win this one. She is playing her best tennis for about a year at the moment, won San Diego just recently and was knocked out in the first round of Cincy last week and will be well rested whilst Pavlychenkova got to semies last week and definitely will be more tired. Kuznetsova match-up is very bad for her as Svetlana will benefit from long rallies and her return game is very impressive. Pavlychenkova has got very inconsistent serve. Although she makes solid amount of aces first serve is not reliable and Kuznetsova won't need an invitation to attack the 2nd serve. H2H is in favor of Kuznetsova who has not lost a set against Pavlychenkova in two matches and is my favorite to advance to the next round today. Alejandro Falla +4 AH vs Gael Monfils. 1.85 @ Sportingbet. (4/10) Monfils definitely overrated in this one. The guy is playing adventurous tennis and could not be trusted as this big favorite. Falla is very tough nut to crack. Sometimes you wonder what the guy is doing at this level but he's good. I mean he was one service hold away from knocking out Federer of the French Open. Monfils won't like to play against player like Falla, because the Colombian's style of play doesn't allow you many easy points and he surely will have break chances it's all about taking them. 4 games is a bit too much on Monfils as a favorite here. Denis Istomin vs James Blake. Over 22.5 games. 1.80 @ Bet365. (6/10) Blake is in huge mess at the moment and is getting into the main draw of the tournaments only because of wild cards. His slump in rankings continues and won't stop it seems. Istomin is not much better at the moment and Blake should fancy his chances. Taking into consideration that both players are very inconsistent and should be able to hold serve easily whilst not having much of a play on return, this match should have a tie-break or two and therefore cover over 22.5 games.

[Bukic]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August two more bets from me:))) niculescu to beat date krumm. Niculescu si playing good tennis this year, good wins over cirstea 6-3 6-3 lepchenko 6-3 6-1 and zahvalova 6-3 6-4 in Q yeah she lost from penneta by 6-0 6-1 but penneta is 2 class over date krumm:P:P. Date krumm has 40 years!!!! she has some wins over not so good players like O'Brien and Black but lost easy with Amanmuradova 6-1 6-2 and lost 2 days ago from Groth she is playing in montreal like LL. I think niculescu will have to much for this old japaneese gril:))) Other bet is another double now from womens:)) Bacsinzsky/Garbin over Erakovic/Jans.Garbin lost in singles from El Tabakh Bacszinsky won yesterday with Woznial.This two girls are great in doubles, they have 20-4 this year 4-0 on hard,on other side we have erakovic/jans i dont know nothing about jans and errakoviv lost yesterday from parra. This is first match in dobules for them so i thnik Bacszinsky/Garbin will win easy :)) GL

[CzechPunter]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August 2 more speculative punts for me today. Jarmila Groth to bt. Na Li (3.07 at Pinnacle) Groth is on a run and can cause an upset here. She has won 8 straight sets now and maybe she will not stop. I would definitely see this more like a 40-60 match. Everyone know that Na Li can have some shocking problems from time to time (against Zakopalova, for example). I would suggest lower stakes though. Iveta Benesova to bt. Jelena Jankovic (4.62 at Pinnacle) Lower stakes again. Speculative punt here, but Benesova certainly has chances. She is on a run now after many disappointing results. Jankovic is falling down at the moment, on the other hand. Losing to Amanmuradova, Kleybanova, etc.? Definite value on this one.

[Fizruhas]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August Ok i took Azarenka under 18.5 at unibet! my new bookie, let's see what happpens there, maybe will be succesfull than triobet :wall 1.65 odd is available :hope

[Fizruhas]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August just get Falla 2.4 on 3:0 first set, Monfils looks very disguised that there's no option to rewiev the shots and started to nervous, should be falla's way right now :hope

[Aarun]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August Blake looks 1 of the poorest players i've ever seen.

[goochrules]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August

Blake looks 1 of the poorest players i've ever seen.

yeap im quite happy that i took istomin today blake has 0 confidence and hes really playing like that

[Psycho]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August Couple more choices on WTA... Ekaterina Makarova vs Lucie Hradecka. Over 21 games. 2.10 @ Pinnacle (5/10) This match has a feel of over. First of all and main thing here is that both girls are very strong on serve and won't give her opponent lots of looks for a break, I guess. Hradecka for me is all about long matches and most of those are very close 2-setters. Makarova has improved her serve a lot this year and Hradecka will be good on faster hard court surface as well. 3 sets in this one for me or over covered in two sets. Gisela Dulko > Agnes Szavay. 2.30 @ Pinnacle (5/10) What the hell is this? I'm not having Dulko @ 2.30 on a hard court against Szavay who has done very little on this surface all year long. Yes, she's got two titles, but both came on clay in back to back weeks. She's been very poor on faster surfaces and I expect Dulko to have a crack of an upset here. Astonishingly Dulko leads H2H 3-0 and has beaten Szavay twice on hard as well. Pure value here for sure!

[Aarun]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August

yeap im quite happy that i took istomin today blake has 0 confidence and hes really playing like that

:lol:lol Awful! Worse than davverman this

[IAmGooner]

Re: Tennis - 16-22 August Watch Monfils fake injury now that he's losing.