Monte's Specialisation - Manity Saintained (+335pts)

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Selecting 3 Legged Donkeys! 2:30 Beverley - Jupiter Fidius - 1pts e/w Shocking form of late but has to be respected in this company, Has a really good re-appearance run when coming 3rd, 1.5l behind Monterosso at Ripon and really should of won that race, hit 1.06 in running. Flopped badly on every run since but if able to get back to anywhere near that level he'll push this odds on favourite close here. 5lb claimer on board which will leave him well in at the weights carrying 8st 7lbs. Cono Zur is the one to beat for sure, hammered the field last time out when winning a weak seller by 9l but will be carrying 11lb more than last time out and 11lbs more than my selection. If my selection comes anywhere back to that Ripon form he stands a serious chance here, ground will suit as will the trip, not ideally drawn but if he can get out and either stay close to the pace setter like he did against Monterosso or even when he won his maiden then he should go close. Sitting at around 9/1 on the exchange at the moment and that would be a fine price come morning. Very tentative each way incase he blows up like he has previously but due to being down in grade into a claimer I think he should go well and place at least, risky though.

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Selecting 3 Legged Donkeys! 3:00 Beverley - Observatory Star - 1pt e/w @ 13/2 (Bet365) Now 1lb lower than last win (2008) and down to lowest mark in three years. He has been running well of late and signs that he could be due another win soon, rarely ever beaten by far and could be due to strike soon. Ran well here twice when just running out of steem in the latter stages off 3 and 5 pound higher marks. Graham Gibbons takes the ride and he's an exceptional jockey who is in great form and could help do the job here tomorrow. Trip and ground is ideal, trainer was in great form but hit a flat spot over the last few days and is due a winner and I feel this one could go close. First time visor could spark improvement and tongue tied too. Gibbons knows the horse well having been on board 6 times and won once, he was only out of the places twice also. Looks like value at the current price of 13/2 and I'd have him priced up at 9/2 at most considering his last couple of runs, plus the new headgear could do the trick. Not drawn ideally but should get a race run to suit and I'll be surprised if he's not there or thereabouts come the end. Big overnight move on Dabbers Ridge who was 12's and is now 6/1 but the horse doesn't float my boat! Plus is no longer value at that price IMO. Trappy little race, small each way bet for me but could go well.

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Selecting 3 Legged Donkeys!

2:30 Beverley - Jupiter Fidius - 1pts e/w Shocking form of late but has to be respected in this company, Has a really good re-appearance run when coming 3rd, 1.5l behind Monterosso at Ripon and really should of won that race, hit 1.06 in running. Flopped badly on every run since but if able to get back to anywhere near that level he'll push this odds on favourite close here. 5lb claimer on board which will leave him well in at the weights carrying 8st 7lbs. Cono Zur is the one to beat for sure, hammered the field last time out when winning a weak seller by 9l but will be carrying 11lb more than last time out and 11lbs more than my selection. If my selection comes anywhere back to that Ripon form he stands a serious chance here, ground will suit as will the trip, not ideally drawn but if he can get out and either stay close to the pace setter like he did against Monterosso or even when he won his maiden then he should go close. Sitting at around 9/1 on the exchange at the moment and that would be a fine price come morning. Very tentative each way incase he blows up like he has previously but due to being down in grade into a claimer I think he should go well and place at least, risky though.

12/1 taken just there, Nearly woke up too late to get a bet on. Drifting big time though.

[StuSimmy]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Selecting 3 Legged Donkeys!

2:30 Beverley - Jupiter Fidius - 1pts e/w Shocking form of late but has to be respected in this company, Has a really good re-appearance run when coming 3rd, 1.5l behind Monterosso at Ripon and really should of won that race, hit 1.06 in running. Flopped badly on every run since but if able to get back to anywhere near that level he'll push this odds on favourite close here. 5lb claimer on board which will leave him well in at the weights carrying 8st 7lbs. Cono Zur is the one to beat for sure, hammered the field last time out when winning a weak seller by 9l but will be carrying 11lb more than last time out and 11lbs more than my selection. If my selection comes anywhere back to that Ripon form he stands a serious chance here, ground will suit as will the trip, not ideally drawn but if he can get out and either stay close to the pace setter like he did against Monterosso or even when he won his maiden then he should go close. Sitting at around 9/1 on the exchange at the moment and that would be a fine price come morning. Very tentative each way incase he blows up like he has previously but due to being down in grade into a claimer I think he should go well and place at least, risky though.

:beer:nana:clap Well done mate!

[cc75]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+25pts) Class act Moterosso :clap

[jones12345]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Selecting 3 Legged Donkeys!

2:30 Beverley - Jupiter Fidius - 1pts e/w Shocking form of late but has to be respected in this company, Has a really good re-appearance run when coming 3rd, 1.5l behind Monterosso at Ripon and really should of won that race, hit 1.06 in running. Flopped badly on every run since but if able to get back to anywhere near that level he'll push this odds on favourite close here. 5lb claimer on board which will leave him well in at the weights carrying 8st 7lbs. Cono Zur is the one to beat for sure, hammered the field last time out when winning a weak seller by 9l but will be carrying 11lb more than last time out and 11lbs more than my selection. If my selection comes anywhere back to that Ripon form he stands a serious chance here, ground will suit as will the trip, not ideally drawn but if he can get out and either stay close to the pace setter like he did against Monterosso or even when he won his maiden then he should go close. Sitting at around 9/1 on the exchange at the moment and that would be a fine price come morning. Very tentative each way incase he blows up like he has previously but due to being down in grade into a claimer I think he should go well and place at least, risky though.

superb mate take a :notworthy:notworthy:notworthy:notworthy:notworthy:notworthy son great tipping :clap:clap:clap:clap

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+25pts) Thanks a million men, delighted that I didn't give up on the horse! Waking up late paid off too or I would of only got 8/1. :loon

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+25pts) Good day for me with Jupiter doing the business and Observatory Star ran a gallant race from a poor draw so I'm happy with the place money. +15.70pts Bank - 140.26pts (+40.26pts) Bets - 35 Wins - 7 Placed - 10 SR - 20% Staked - 63.50pts Returned - 103.76pts ROI - 63.40% I'm happy with how it's going so far, changed my selection policy of not banking many shorties and it has paid off big time. Long may it continue. :hope

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+40pts) Been messing around with the stats again. Since I got over my horror streak one week ago here is the stats. +51.98pts Bets - 19 Wins - 5 Placed - 5 SR - 26.31% Staked - 32.5pts Returned - 84.48pts ROI - 160%

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+40pts) I'm so tempted to put my house on Cloudy City in the first at Lingfield! Something's telling me to avoid it so I'm going to wait until 2pm to decide. Looks nailed on and is around 4/5 on the exchange, I though he'd be around 1/2. Decisions, decisions! Got a previous one out tomorrow in the 3:00 Lingfield Here's what I said before..

3:30 Bath - Sheila's Bond - 1pt e/w Impressed with her last two runs and the 4 length defeat to Captain John Nixon could prove to be the best form in the race. First time running away from the polytrack and if taking to the turf I feel she has a decent chance. Stepping back to a more suitable distance of 1m2f after running over 2f extra last time out. Decent 7lb claimer on board which will leave her carrying bottom weight and she's sure to have a decent chance running off that. Place claims at a minimum and around 8/1 on the exchanges at the minute, Would be a nice price come morning but anything around 6/1 would be acceptable. One of only two out for the trainer tomorrow, Both boarded by this rider who has an 18% SR for the trainer, Well drawn, Looks a speedy enough sort and the quick conditions may well suit her style. Not without a chance here, Forty Thirty looks the danger, Price is way too short considering the near one year lay off. Recent winner Under Fire would also be of interest but may be hindered with the weight. All the rest look exposed and find it tough to be involved so I'll go with the likely third favorite to beat them all.

She ran well for a long way on her Turf debut but couldn't get a clear run and finished 3.5l away in 4th. Nearly nabbed 3rd late on. Sitting around 9.5/1 on Betfair at the moment and it would be a great price come morning, only 7 in the field at the moment which will make it easier for her to get a clear run and despite her being one of the most exposed in the field she has alot of ability, was very progressive on the AW and can prove the same here on turf. The ground will be a bit slower than it was last time out and that will suit her no bothers at all, the favourite, Explorator, is extremely opposable at likely prices of below even money, up 6lbs for his last win and carrying top weight here too. Can't be having him at those crazy prices although he'll be tough to beat but I feel my selection can do it. 3:00 Lingfield - Shelia's Bond - 1pt

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+40pts) Trying my hand at the jumps tomorrow using the same selection policy (weight wise) as how I choose the flat horses, got one so far that looks to have very solid claims. 2:40 Uttoxeter - Hoar Frost - 2pts Looks very well in at the weights for this one, carries 13lbs less than she did last time out in a handicap that he won nicely in when making all over C&D and never really looking in danger. He has improve big time since AP McCoy has taken to riding him and making him a prominent races, came second over C&D in a mares Handicap and could of won that day, finished 23l clear of the rest. Won well last time off top weight when similar prominent tactics were used and that really sparked improvement and if the same tactics are used here then she can go on to get her second hurdle victory. The Jim Best yard is in flying form and with AP on board I expect they're out to do the business today, they have a 41% strike rate when they team up which is highly impressive and McCoy has been in flying form of late and rides the course very well with 5 out of his last 7 rides here gaining victory. Best sends two here today with the other being Clifden Boy, also saddled by McCoy and won well on last two starts. I wouldn't be surprised if they have a double on the card tomorrow but I'll just stick with this one. Likely to be around 2/1 which she is currently on the exchange, that'd be a grand price. Should go well but only having small enough bet on it due to the jumps not being my forte!

[A.Pthebeast]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+40pts)

Trying my hand at the jumps tomorrow using the same selection policy (weight wise) as how I choose the flat horses, got one so far that looks to have very solid claims. 2:40 Uttoxeter - Hoar Frost - 2pts Looks very well in at the weights for this one, carries 13lbs less than she did last time out in a handicap that he won nicely in when making all over C&D and never really looking in danger. He has improve big time since AP McCoy has taken to riding him and making him a prominent races, came second over C&D in a mares Handicap and could of won that day, finished 23l clear of the rest. Won well last time off top weight when similar prominent tactics were used and that really sparked improvement and if the same tactics are used here then she can go on to get her second hurdle victory. The Jim Best yard is in flying form and with AP on board I expect they're out to do the business today, they have a 41% strike rate when they team up which is highly impressive and McCoy has been in flying form of late and rides the course very well with 5 out of his last 7 rides here gaining victory. Best sends two here today with the other being Clifden Boy, also saddled by McCoy and won well on last two starts. I wouldn't be surprised if they have a double on the card tomorrow but I'll just stick with this one. Likely to be around 2/1 which she is currently on the exchange, that'd be a grand price. Should go well but only having small enough bet on it due to the jumps not being my forte!

just have to admire how much attention to detail u put in your threads i was lookin at this horse my self an after reading your info i will be having a bet.... thanks...

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+40pts) Thanks very much mate, loving the name by the way. :ok Hopefully AP does the job for us tomorrow. :hope

[A.Pthebeast]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+40pts) thts it im irish so i though it was the most fitting name .... once again great thread il hit u back 2moro hopefuly wit a thanks for the winner im fairly confident my self ....tlk soon mate .

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+40pts)

thts it im irish so i though it was the most fitting name .... once again great thread il hit u back 2moro hopefuly wit a thanks for the winner im fairly confident my self ....tlk soon mate .

Fellow Irishman here too. :clap Thanks for the compliments, hopefully we're onto a winner, with AP one usually is. :ok

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+40pts) Shelia's Bond - 9/1 taken with Stan James. Hoar Frost - 11/8 taken with Powers. No bet on CC.

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+40pts) :sad Shelia's Bond ran really well as usual but just not good enough, coming 2nd. She'll win soon. The other one was poor, last time I go near horses over jumps until the good stuff is back. Bank - 137.26pts (+37.26pts) Bets - 37 Wins - 7 Placed - 11 SR - 19% Staked - 66.50pts Returned - 103.76pts ROI - 56%

[A.Pthebeast]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+40pts) sheilas bond ran a good race .. surprised at hoar frost doh.... anyting else on the flat today u were lookin at?

[Jimmy2shoes]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+40pts)

:sad Shelia's Bond ran really well as usual but just not good enough, coming 2nd. She'll win soon. The other one was poor, last time I go near horses over jumps until the good stuff is back. Bank - 137.26pts (+37.26pts) Bets - 37 Wins - 7 Placed - 11 SR - 19% Staked - 66.50pts Returned - 103.76pts ROI - 56%

I was on Sheila's Bond myself. never saw the race. George Bakers's is being backed off the boards in the last at Ling.

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+40pts) Evening lads, good shout on Bakers, Jimmy. :clap Having one more bet on what looks a trappy race, tentative bet on the Johnston horse. 8:20 Kempton - Licence To Till - 1pt e/w @ 16/1 (Bet365) Well bred speedy colt who had a good two year old campaign where he showed lots of speed and potential when sprinting, came back this year racing on turf and wasn't impressive at all but now switched back to polytrack on which he has raced twice, coming 1st and 3rd in a decent handicap. He won his maiden routing the field by 8 lengths over 7f at Lingfield when making all to win easily, hasn't tried those tactics since but with only one other front runner (Cobo Bay) in this race I feel he could be trying to press him for the lead, drawn high which is ideal here and with his return to polytrack we could see more improvement. Certainly looks overpriced to me, and is in receipt of an 11lb allowance due to being a 3 year old. Joe Fanning takes the ride for Mark Johnston and both of them have been in great form of late, banging in winners left, right and center. Fanning is a very capable jockey with prominent horses especially and has won on this horse before, he may be able to get that extra bit of improvement needed. Stepped up to 1m and should stay, has that perfect blend of speed and stamina and may eventually go on to be a better horse than this, dropped 5lbs since his only handicap race on the AW and it and the combination of the weight allowance could see him run a good race. It's a very tough one to call but Johnston's horses usually go well around here and he has a 16% strike rate. Small, tentative each way bet for me but certainly look overpriced, the price is due to his turf form this season I'd imagine but he doesn't seem to settle on turf at all and looks the type to do well on AW surfaces, he has some decent form behind a Group performer as a 2 year old also and carrying bottom weight here could help put him in the mix. It's a tough task but at the odds he's worth a go.

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+40pts) 3rd place. :) Breaking even for the day. Bank - 140.26pts (+40.26pts) Bets - 38 Wins - 7 Placed - 12 SR - 18% Staked - 68.50pts Returned - 108.76pts

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+40pts) 2:10 Leicester - Mr Macattack - 1pt e/w Better than result last time out suggests, ended up coming 10th but was only 4l away and was coming with a big charge near the end but had struggled out the back for the first couple of furlongs and that took it out of him I'd imagine. The ground was possibly too fast for him also and with potential rain overnight he may have ideal conditions, drawn soundly in stall 7 and with Zero Money being in the race I think he'll get a good fast pace to suit. Only 2lbs higher than his last winning mark where he won over this distance at Wolverhampton. Still lightly raced having only had 11 career starts and he's a 5 year old. Potentially more improvement to come and will be wearing a first time visor tomorrow which could spark that improvement, doesn't look interested at times during a race and this may help all click into place. The stable is bang out of form and that's likely to be included in his price, sitting at around 17/2 on the exchange at the moment but I'd be hoping for a bit more than that but it's still decent e/w value. Only had three runs for the yard so far so hopefully they've done their work with him and notice that the visor could bring a bit more out of him, he has the speed and ability but he just needs to race with a bit more interest. With Zero Money or even Call To Arms setting a good pace I feel he'll have a race run to suit his style of coming with a late run, he has far more ability than he has shown and hopefully tomorrow will be the day it all comes together. I'd have my doubts about many of the field so I'm hoping he'll be in the top three at least and hopefully will end up winning it, certainly looks overpriced to me and is the only horse sent here by the stable. Small each way bet in what looks a trappy contest but not beyond him at all.

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+40pts) 8:40 Doncaster - Norwegian Dancer - 2pts e/w @ 7/1 (PaddyPowers) I think this one looks like a very solid each way bet, 1lb below last winning mark and has been running very consistently this seasoning having had three runs and coming 2nd, 3rd and 4th. Gibbons gets the leg up and he has been on board 4 times with the form reading 3-4-2-3. He's a jockey who I like when he's coming off the pace and that's what he'll have to do here, he knows exactly what to do with this horse and will hopefully be able to help the horse gain his first win since this week last year. The ground and trip are ideal and he ran well at the course before. He steps down in grade for this contest and has room for more improvement to take this race, he just needs luck in running and with a clear run I can't see him not being placed. Trainer in good form of late and especially when teaming up with Gibbons, who himself has been in flying form over the last month or so, he's ideal for the horse and knows exactly what to do. It looks a very winnable race for my selection, That'll Do Nicely is at the head of affairs in the market but he's taking a step up in class and despite being in great form of late it will take a huge run for it to win running off a career high mark and against a better type of horses than he usually runs against, he's a definite lay and possibly even a place lay even with Hanagan on board who's in great form. Jeer is also interesting at the weights but weakened rapidly last time out and even with Fallon on board I couldn't be having him. There are a couple of others with decent claims but I fancy my selection to go well and place at a minimum, looks overpriced at odds of 7/1 and I'd of thought he'd be closer to 4/1 if it wasn't priced up already. Medium sized each way bet for me and hopefully he justifies it.

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+40pts)

2:10 Leicester - Mr Macattack - 1pt e/w

6/1 taken. :hope

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+40pts) Couldn't get any internet access yesterday until it was too late, had a good day but obviously it's not being recorded. The bank will be updated tomorrow. One for the oaks today, hopefully she'll go well. 3:40 Curragh - Eldalil - 2pts e/w @ 6/1 (Bet365) Flagged this one up at 16/1 when she finished a fast finishing 2nd behind Hibaayeb on only her 3rd career start, went from having two races at 7f to racing at 12f and it brought out alot of improvement in her, she has a better jockey today and with more positive tactics I feel she should be in the top 3 at least, plenty of scope for improvement and if she runs as well as she looks she'll be hard to beat. Lovely looking filly who is very well bred, has lots of speed and ability and lots of room to improve too. Really impressed me the last day and despite losing by 3.5 lengths I feel she could of done alot better with different tactics, she was closing rapidly near the finish and was pulling away from the rest. I feel that with a good pace pretty much assured in this race that it'll be ideal for her and she could be finishing the quickest of the lot come the end and if produced at the right time she will be there or thereabouts, Richard Hill gets the ride today and he's a big step up in comparison to O'Shea who was on board the last day. At 6/1 I feel she represents good e/w value and she will hopefully prove to be a better horse than she was last time out, that should see her go pretty close in my estimation and I expect her to be finishing strongly and in with a great chance when the rest are getting tired. It being her 2nd run over this distance should also bring out more improvement in comparison to her previous run and the ground should be sound for her too. Medium sized e/w bet for me and hopefully she proves better than her last run, which was mightily impressive.

[Trotter]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+40pts) Hey Monte...........have you noticed that your namesake is running in the German Derby tomorow ! :ok

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+40pts) Nope I actually didn't. :spank Shows what a good follower I am! :lol Where can I bet on him ?! I'm yet to miss a race backing him so I must keep up my tradition and see the monster power home for yet another win! :clap Edit : Found out where I can get it, hopefully he's a backable price. :hope

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+40pts) 4:30 Hamburg (German Derby) - Monterosso - 2pts @ 5/2 (Bet365) A loyalty bet more than anything, I love this horse so much! Class act altogether and hopefully he can get his Group 1 win. Not much else I can say about the race at all but he will hopefully go well, cost £50k to supplement so hopefully he's in good form going into the race and can put on his usual game face and win again. :notworthy

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+40pts) Monte was poor, he owes me nothing though. Bank - 128.26pts (+28.26pts) Bets - 42 Wins - 7 Placed - 12 SR - 16.66% Staked - 80.50pts Returned - 108.76pts

[Lars]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+40pts)

Monte was poor, he owes me nothing though. Bank - 128.26pts (+28.26pts) Bets - 42 Wins - 7 Placed - 12 SR - 16.66% Staked - 80.50pts Returned - 108.76pts

He's probably shattered, the amount of running he's done! Well done on the profit so far. As a side note, just realised I was there for Monterosso's handicap debut at Lingfield! Although he ran nicely and I thought he could pick up another race, never for a minute thought he'd end up a Group 2 winner and running in the Irish and German Derbies!