Monte's Specialisation - Manity Saintained (+335pts)

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+68pts) Last one was making a decent bid but ran into another horses arse. :( Good day, 12/1 & 9/2 winners and a 25/1 place. :) +7.56 pts profit from only staking 5 points. Happy days.

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+68pts) 2:20 Galway - Kilmurry - .5pts e/w @ 9/1 (WilliamHill) Good third to Diophas on debut over fences, that was his first run in 6 months too and he's likely to come on for that. Trip is no bother and from a good yard who should have him primed for this. Grand jockey on board who has won on him before and should get a run to suit. Raced over 2m 4f last time out and steps back 3f which will help, if he jumps well he has a good chance, open to lots of improvement as he has only had 7 career starts. Should be there or thereabouts all going well. 2:50 Galway - Jack Cool - 1pt @ 6/1 (Bet365) Beaten favourite 12 days ago, didn't travel on the soft ground at all. Gets quick ground here which should suit and has Niall Madden on board which is a great help. Only carries 10st 2lbs which should also help put him in the mix. He was a decent flat horse for Chapple-Hyam and has that perfect mix of speed and stamina. Won nicely in Killarney on debut for Charles Byrnes when collaring his rivals late home and with the amount of front runners here I think he may get a chance to do that again. Big step up but has ability and looks a decent price. 3:25 Galway - Footprint - 1pt @ 11/2 (Ladbrokes) Would of won the other day but for Fran Berry messing up his chances, was finishing like a train but it was too late. Hasn't won for a year but this jockey knows him well and has won on him before. Drawn soundly for his likely tactics and if the gaps open at the right time he has a serious chance. If there's a good pace it'll suit him perfectly and he seemed to like the track the last day. Quick ground is no problems either More to come..

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+68pts) Good start. :clap

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+68pts) 3:55 Galway - Emmpat - .5pts e/w @ 16/1 (VC) 12 years old now but won 3 of 4 completed Chases last year, loves this quick ground and should strip better for his two runs in the last two months on ground that was too quick and over hurdles which I don't think he's as good over nowadays. This is ideal and has an excellent jockey in Paul Townend on board who has rode him twice and won one impressively this time last year. Back chasing now and looks well overpriced in what doesn't look the toughest of races. The trip is no bother to him and he should go well and hopefully get a place at least. 4:25 Galway - Askeria - 3pts @ 13/8 (WillHill) Lots of money coming for this one now. Missed the price but having a medium sized bet on it. From a top yard with a good jockey on board, well bred and related to some top class horses. Didn't look hard pushed on debut and although she has had a 3 month break she'll come on better for that and I expect her to win in what looks a weak enough race, bar the Weld horse but that one was beaten by 8 lengths on debut and is opposable. The O'Brien and Harrington horses are exposed and vulnerable to improvers such as my selection who should show enough class to win this if not affected by her break. 4:55 Galway - Prince Chaparral - .5pts e/w @ 17/2 (VC) Ran on well last time in an apprentice race at the Curragh showing signs of a potential return to form. On a winnable mark and has a good draw. Quick ground is ideal and has won on GF before, lots of pace in the race likely to suit and he could peg them back late on if getting the right luck in running, has ability but has only shown it once in handicaps when third at Gowran Park. Good bit of money going on it now and looks to have a good chance if replicating his maiden win at Roscommon. Still open to improvement with only 9 starts to date, yard are due a winner and still looks value at just over 8/1. Good each way claims if building on most recent performance. 5:25 Galway - Luna Runner - .5pts @ 10/1 (Bet365) Can't call this race so I'll go for the outsider. Won nicely last time out making all and if she gets her own way up front here she'll be in with a serious shout. Good 5lb claimer who rode Admiral Barry to victory the other day. He was on board her on her only two starts and should know how to get the best out of her. She'll be carrying only 11st 4lbs after the jockeys claim and that should help. Small win bet on what looks a trappy race but she has enough ability to make a mockery of the 10/1 odds.

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+68pts) 2 winners, 9/1 & 17/2. 16/1 place also. +6.93pts today. Over 40pts profit from the 7 days, betting on every race! Delighted, and this Galway has been a great festival for me! Can't wait until next year. :D

[Lars]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+68pts) Great work mate:clap

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+68pts) Thanks very much Lars, ticking along nicely now. :clap A bit crazy betting on every race of a meeting but most of the winners were in races I wouldn't of went near if I didn't do this! :dude

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+68pts) Bank Update : +4.49pts since last update. Bank - 172.67pts (+72.67pts) Bets - 108 Wins - 22 Placed - 27 SR - 20.4% Staked - 194.5pts Returned - 267.17pts Galway record : Day 1 : +23.5 Day 2 : -10 Day 3 : +4.26 Day 4 : +18.31 Day 5 : -10 Day 6 : +7.56 Day 7 : +6.93 Profit at Galway : 40.56pts

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+72pts) 3:45 Ripon - Red Cape - 2pts @ 11/2 (Bet365) A competitive little class 3 race at Ripon today, last years winner, Red Cape, looks to have very solid claims back over a course where he has raced twice, winning off a mark of 81 and coming second off 88. Races off 83 tomorrow with a good 3lb claimer on board also. Drawn in stall 1 which is the best place to be at Ripon. Won this last year when making all from stall 4 in a similarly hot contest. Ruth Carr trains this one and she couldn't be in better form over the last month or so, her record at Ripon is tremendous also, she is 7 from 32 here giving her a 21% strike rate on course and only sends Red Cape and Excusez Moi here today, the latter is also in the race but may be drawn out of things due to being the widest drawn. The ground is ideal for my selection and despite this being his second run in 3 days he'll find it an easier race than Fridays sprint at Goodwood where he finished 6 lengths away from Joesph Henry. If he gets an easy lead he can run them into submission on a track that favours the front runners and I can see a repeat of last years performance if all goes well. Stands a very good chance and looks value at 11/2. Should go close once more, despite not being in the best of form prior to this race.

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+72pts) 8:10 Windsor - Gwilym - 2pts @ 7/2 (Bet365) Two time C&D winner, most recently when winning in the middle of June, won well that day and only upped 3lbs for it. It was only the second time that Jim Crowley was on board this experienced fellow and he's up again today, he'll know how to get the best out of him and will get a race run to suit. Usually being drawn low is the best place to be here but the highest stall has a brilliant record here and he ran from the highest draw last time out and gets it again today. Should be suited by the likely strong pace that will more than likely be set by Whiskey Junction who is drawn close to him in stall 8. He should get a good sit on the rail like last time out and if the gaps aren't closed he should be in with a solid chance come the final furlong. The quicker ground is also more of a positive tomorrow, his last race was the first time in 11 attempts that he won on Good ground, his record on the likely Good to Firm is far superior to that with half of his career wins coming on quick ground, and the rest on the All-Weather. He's one of only 2 rides for Jim Crowley and his best chance to get a winner tomorrow at a track where he has a good record. He's also the only horse sent out by the Haydn-Jones yard who have been in good form of late and usually do well at this track. Crowley has only ridden 3 times for him and it's interesting that he's on board this fellow again, looks the pick of the race and should go well at what looks like a decent price considering his chances.

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+72pts) 5th & 4th. Neither got luck in running. 2:30 Catterick - Lava Lamp - 2pts @ 3/1 (Bet365) Very well bred sort who has run 10 times without gaining victory but is interesting now dropped into selling company. Best effort came over this 2 mile trip last time out when a 4.5 length 4th to Escape Artist at Beverley. Rated as high as 75 on the flat at one stage, gets weight all round from his rivals, bar one who is on the same weight but doesn't have much of a chance. Fourth time with a visor on and that seems to have perked him up again and if having the same effect he should go close. Trained by Mr Harker and piloted by De Sousa who's on fire of late and has a 22% strike rate at this course for Harker. 3 of the last 6 they've teamed up for have won here and they show a tidy level stakes profit. De Sousa is riding out of his skin and if he gives this one a good patient ride and keeps him travelling well I feel he'll take all the beating and coule be as large as 4/1 come morning. Looks to have a solid chance and he should go well, Strikemaster is the danger but he'll be too short to back and is worth taking on despite some decent efforts of late. Small/Medium bet on the De Sousa horse at likely odds of 4/1.

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+72pts) 3:00 Catterick - Slikback Jack - 1pt e/w @ 8/1 (WillHill) This race is filled with hold up horses and I think it's better to side with the one who I think may try to win this from the front. Doesn't usually front run but did last time out and with the best draw here I feel he could try and do it again. Still a lightly raced horse with only 7 career starts, won on debut which was on the All Weather and hasn't won since, but has held his form reasonably well. His trainer has a great record around here with a 17% strike rate. Paul Mulrennan takes the ride and he's a decent pilot, due a win too and this is should be a good opportunity for him to get it if all goes well. Looks good value at 8's and if he's on a going day after a 5 week break he should go close, gets a 4lb allowance for age and that only helps his chances. Good place claims at a minimum.

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+72pts)

2:30 Catterick - Lava Lamp - 2pts @ 3/1 (Bet365) Very well bred sort who has run 10 times without gaining victory but is interesting now dropped into selling company. Best effort came over this 2 mile trip last time out when a 4.5 length 4th to Escape Artist at Beverley. Rated as high as 75 on the flat at one stage, gets weight all round from his rivals, bar one who is on the same weight but doesn't have much of a chance. Fourth time with a visor on and that seems to have perked him up again and if having the same effect he should go close. Trained by Mr Harker and piloted by De Sousa who's on fire of late and has a 22% strike rate at this course for Harker. 3 of the last 6 they've teamed up for have won here and they show a tidy level stakes profit. De Sousa is riding out of his skin and if he gives this one a good patient ride and keeps him travelling well I feel he'll take all the beating and coule be as large as 4/1 come morning. Looks to have a solid chance and he should go well, Strikemaster is the danger but he'll be too short to back and is worth taking on despite some decent efforts of late. Small/Medium bet on the De Sousa horse at likely odds of 4/1.

Easy as you like. Mr. De Sousa, thank you. :notworthy

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+72pts) Slikback Jack comes 3rd @ 12/1. Opened 20's. :\ +7.4pts today.

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+72pts) 20:55 Roscommon - Tistobesure - 1pt e/w @ 7/1 (Bet365) Off the track for 15 odd months but for what reason only God knows! From a tiny yard who have only had one runner since he has been out. Cost only £5,000 but showed plenty of ability last year on all three starts with form reading 5-3-2. Really should of won that last race in which he came second when Robbie McNamara was on board for the first time, he changed the horses usual prominent tactics and switched him off in mid-div and hit go in the final 4f and just got caught very late on. Got pulled out of a race a month ago for some reason, hopefully they've got their eye on a win here and Robbie Mac being on board suggests that they have. It's his only ride at a course he rarely goes to, had rode 9 times here and is without a win, hopefully that will change here. First time on quick ground but breeding suggests that will be no problem, his Sire has won on GF and placed a couple of times also. The Sire only ran 4 times but was a speedy sort over middle distances, placed in Group 1's and Group 2's over in France. He should go well and looks great each way value in comparison to the favourite from the Mullins yard who should also go well but is a terrible price and certainly opposable. Small each way on Robbie McNamara's only ride of the day.

[Aidymac]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+72pts) Good stuff. Keep up the great work. Keep that profit rolling in

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+72pts) Thanks very much mate, long may it continue. :clap

[Deano86]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+72pts) Indeed I think I may join in with you and start backing your selections mate, fantastic stuff. Also on De Sousa, what a year he is having. A big stable will surely pick him up soon.

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+72pts) Cheers mate, any time someone says they'll follow me I have a bad day after so avoid them tomorrow. :lol Last one came third, thought he was going to win, went quite low in running. +7.80 overall today with a return on every horse. Bank - 176.47pts (+76.47pts) Bets - 113 Wins - 23 Placed - 29 SR - 20% Staked - 204.5pts Returned - 280.97pts ROI - 37% :clap

[marron]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+76pts) Doing really well mate! :clap How long have you taken this game seriously? Like taking a good chunk of time out to read up/study form etc.?

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+76pts) Thanks very much mate, Only following racing a year and spending time studying for about 6 months, I've lots & lots to learn but it's coming along nicely. I knew nothing proper about racing this time a year ago, just had a few spare quid coming in and decided to become a gambler on a whim! Been uphill most of the way over the last 6 months since I started to dedicate a lot of my time to it.

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+76pts) 2:30 Brighton - Frankish Dynasty - 1pt @ 5/1 (Bet365) Well bred 2 year old who is related to many winners. Ran well last time out when a 2length 5th at Bath, pulled awfully hard that day and when he started to settle in the final furlong he was gaining fast. Should come on for that and has had a month off since which should see him fresher for this after racing 4 times in a month. Decent form around too when on debut he beat Cadeaux Pearl by a neck on debut, the Hannon horse has since went on to win a Class 4 Maiden at Sandown by 10 lengths. My selection was also 8 lengths off Neebras, who came second in a Group 2 to Libranno from the Hannon yard, who has since went on to win again in a competitive Group 2 race. He's slowly improving but with the inform Tom Queally on board he'll have an even better chance, he should be able to get settled in mid division from a plum draw in stall 3 and hopefully make his move late on. The ground should be ideal for him and if he gets a truly run race he stands a good chance. Likely to be the guts of 3/1>7/2 and that looks a good price to me, should go well but as with most two year olds I back it's only a small win bet for me.

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+76pts) 3:00 Brighton - Oak Leaves - .5pts e/w @ 12/1 (Bet365) An awful race to try and figure out but I want one long shot for tomorrow and this one catches the eye, still a maiden after 8 runs, best effort came over this distance at Chepstow when just beaten by a nose after running well for a long way. Appears to have been a flash in the pan but I feel the horse has enough ability to win a race like this if running to the ability that's in there somewhere. She has had 3 weeks off also which should bring some more life into her after a couple of poor performances and the trip and ground will be no problem, still lightly raced with only 8 starts and open to more improvement. Well in at the weights here, getting an 11lb allowance for age & sex and has an excellent 5lb claimer on board leaving her only carrying 7st 13lbs which should increase her chances in this stiff stamina test around Brighton. The jockey, John Fahy, has been in great form of late, banging in 5 winners in the last 10 days and is now starting to get lots of rides for various stables, he's great value for his 5lbs claim and if he can get this one travelling well throughout he should stand a good chance of adding to his impressive CV. Has been ridden in numerous different way but that close 2nd at Chepstow came when she chased the leaders and was ridden to lead inside the final two furlongs, a repeat of those tactics in what seems to be a race with only one true front runner should see her get into the placings at a minimum. The trainers form isn't great at the moment and his record around here is nothing good at all but he rarely visits Brighton and hopefully sees it as an ideal track for this horse to get off the mark, she should be suited by the stiff track and if getting a bit of luck she can go close at likely big odds of around 16/1 or so. Worth a small each way at those prices.

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+76pts) Biggest bet since Workforce's flop. Really fancy this one. 3:30 Brighton - Licence To Till - 2pts e/w @ 9/2 (Bet365 - BOG) From the Mark Johnston yard, looks like one of his typical horses who win easily in a maiden then go into handicap company and run poorly until they go for a decent race and start to get good again. After he won his maiden by 8 lengths he went into a handicap off a mark of 83, ran poorly 4 races in a row, dropped to 78 and came third, was dropped another pound for that race and came second in a good race at Epsom when being collared late on, hit 1/20 in running and should of won but didn't handle the tough Epsom track that well and I reckon that cost him, although Brighton is an extremely tough course too I reckon he'll come on for that experience and prove his worth. Runs here off that mark again and looks to have a very solid chance. Kieran Fallon is on board for the first time and he should be an ideal ride for him. It's one of only two rides for him at Brighton before heading off for Kempton, he hasn't ridden here for 6 years so it's interesting to see him make the trip here. Johnston is in flying form over the last few weeks with winners left right and center and he won this race last year with My Gacho from a similar draw so hopefully he'll know what tactics to use to get this fellow to follow in his footsteps. He doesn't often venture to Brighton but has an impressive 23% strike rate and is usually amongst the winners enclosure when he comes here. It's only the second time he has horses here all year and this is the only one he sends out here. License To Till will be suited by the fast tempo likely to be set in this race and if he handles the track he has a seriously good chance, the ground should be ideal and the draw will be no hindrance at all. I expect him to win, but I'm going each way just to be safe at generous odds, wouldn't be surprised if he went off 5/2>3/1 which would more so reflect his chances here. All roads point to Johnston winning this race again and if he doesn't I'll be surprised.

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+76pts) Quite pissed off with that, R4 and a dead heat for fuck sake! :sad +2.06pts today.

[south_eastern_ram]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+76pts) Unlucky on Licence To Till, me and my mate had large bets by our standards on that one. We was on the rail and when he went past he was behind then watching on the screen was convinced he had got up, couldnt believe it when the announcer called dead heat. Still a profit so couldnt complain to much but the full win would have been nice.

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+76pts) Thought he got up myself, not to be though but I'll take the DH. :tongue2 3:30 Brighton - Ethics Girl - 1pt e/w @ 7/1 (Bet365) Very interested in this one and I think she has an excellent chance of gaining her first win since this time last year, just 5lbs above that mark but she has been improving but rarely gets luck in running, partly due to some of the jockeys she has had on board. That shouldn't happen now that George Baker is up today. She has only had three runs since coming back after a 6 month break and has run respectably on all three occasions, it took her three runs before she won last season and also the likely quick ground at Brighton tomorrow will be ideal for her. Her GF form reads; 1-2-2 and with George Baker on board I feel she could be adding another '1' to that form if the ground stays the same. Her trainer, John Berry, has been firing in the winners of late and his yard is in obviously fine fettle after 4 winners from 15 sent out over the last month, this is the only horse he sends out today and it's to a track he rarely visits so I assume he feels the track will suit her style. George Baker doesn't often ride for this trainer, he has had 15 rides for him in the past 5 years and it's interesting that Baker is travelling to Brighton for only two rides at a course where he is also 4 wins from 15 rides this year. He has a 10% strike rate whenever he visits the course and rides it well. Ethics Girl only managed 5th last time out over 10 furlongs and was staying on well near the finish, she's upped to 12f now and that could be just what she needs along with the quick ground. Her form over 12f+ is 2-3-3 and one of those seconds was last year on quick ground over this distance at Epsom where she stayed on better than most but just couldn't reach the winner despite closing with every stride, Epsom is probably the most similar track to Brighton and I'm interested in that form. She's also down in grade here and looks on a grand mark and carrying only 2lbs more than she did in a higher grade last time out, she was also hampered at the start in that race and was under pressure after that. There are two front runners in this race who may end up setting up the race for her, Aestival will more than likely try and make the running and although he rattled up an 8 day hat-trick I feel he could be vulnerable to horses closing in on him during the run in up the steep hill, at this stage I reckon Ethics Girl's stamina will be kicking in and she could prove to have too much for the Prescott horse and hopefully take all the beating from there. This looks an ideal opportunity for the John Berry trained filly to get off the mark this season and she has everything going for her and is overpriced at 7/1. I'd have her closer to half that or possibly 4/1. She's worth a small each way bet at tasty odds which I don't think will be there come race time.

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+76pts) 3:40 Haydock - Dolphin Rock - 1pt e/w @ 7/1 (PaddyPower) First time in a while I've backed a horse from the David Barron yard as he has gone on a bit of a bad run but tomorrow he only sends out one horse, to a course he has a fine 17% strike rate with 3 year olds. This horse has been extremely progressive in his 3 year old campaign since joining the Barron yard, he opened the season off a mark of 67 when winning in a class 5 race at Thirsk and today he'll be racing off 80 in a class 3 at a course & distance he has previously won at two months ago when winning quite handily in a class 4. He came second last time out, hit 1.04 in running and just couldn't get up, traveled very well throughout but couldn't take advantage and it was over 10f which probably wasn't ideal. That was in a 5 runner race and if form is to be believed he is better in these larger fields. Graham Gibbon travels here for only two rides tomorrow and he's a very capable jockey, this one is his best chance in my opinion and he rides the course well and shows a level stakes profit of £75 to £1 stakes. He has a fine 18% strike rate when called upon for David Barron and he has been riding very well of late. Dolphin Rock may be up in grade against better horses but he's extremely progressive and as with the majority of horse I select, weight carried is key. He'll only be carrying 8st 6lbs which makes his job that little bit easier if he proves up to this class. He has course experience and loves this ground (Form on GS: 3-2-1), even if it drys up he'll like that, the drop back to 1 mile is ideal, the wide draw is grand as wider draws surprisingly show good results over 1 mile here and he has everything going for him. If he's backed well, as with many Barron horses I may be tempted to go in for more but at current odds of 7/1 I'll be having a small each way bet on a horse that I feel is closer to a 5/1 shot if reproducing the form he has shown so far this year. He has had nearly a month off the track and should be fit and raring to go, he's tactically versatile, can be ridden to lead or sit in behind the leaders and with the likely fast pace he should get a run to suit. I'll be surprised if he's not involved in the finish and looks great value at 7/1.

[Monterosso]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+76pts) My daily long-shot time! Yesterdays one ended up only 12/1 but hit 4/5 in running but couldn't place. :( 4:10 Haydock - Ultravox - .5pts e/w @ 28/1 (WillHill) A shot in the dark if ever I picked one but this one had two decent outings as a 2 year old and was a well backed favourite on debut this year, failed miserably on re-appearance when losing by 34 lengths and was gelded, ran poorly on two starts since although one race was a hot maiden and the other was on the AW and he didn't look comfortable there. Blinkered for the first time now and that may bring back some of the old spark he used to have, and the ever wonderful Silvestre De Sousa takes the ride, he's a stunningly good jockey IMO, and he knows how to get the best out of horses who have shown little. This one is lightly raced with only 5 starts and open to some improvement and should go on to be a decent handicapper, gets in here off a mark of 73 and that looks a decent mark, only carries 9st 1lb and is drawn alright. I'm not sure about the ground but he didn't look comfortable on quick ground so maybe the soft ground will suit him and he ran a decent race on debut on soft when finishing 5th at Newbury when un-fancied. His trainer, Brian Meehan, won this race with an un-fancied sort last year who run on the same mark and won at 20/1. Meehan has been on fire of late and this is the only horse he send out to Haydock, a course where he does well and has a 15% strike rate and shows a decent profit to level stakes. Silvestre De Sousa has only ridden for him once before and the partnership provided a victory and hopefully they can cause a big upset here. De Sousa is in great form and has had many high priced winners of late and has had 8 wins in his last 30 rides. He could well add another here if this horse finds that ability he seemed to have as a two year old and blinkers may spark it, as I say this is a long-shot and could come last but at those odds I'm having a small each way bet.

[ritznig]

Re: Monterosso's Specialisation - Winning! (+76pts) Congrats for continued success... What staking plan do you put in e/w... Equal Bet on both win and place or higher on place and less on Win? Please advice