best bet of the day - Sat 5th June

[fintron]

3.15 Epsom The Dash is one of the finest sprint handicaps of the season and having finished fourth in this race last season I fancy OLDJOESAID to run a race off a mark 6 lbs lower. It could be noteworthy that Kevin Ryan has booked Jamie Spencer to ride, and with the prospect of the race being run exactly to his liking, from his low berth I'll take him at the price. All of his four wins have been over the minimum trip and he is versatile ground wise. 8/1 Coral, 1 pt win

[wizzkid walter]

Re: best bet of the day - Sat 5th June I'm napping in the big one: 4:00 Epsom - Jan Vermeer - Back I feel like a have a really good handle on the form lines going into this race. Workforce was the major talking horse going into the trials, but despite being 2nd was slightly disappointing that he was so well beaten by a horse, in Cape Blanco, that the O'Brien stable feel isn't worthy of being in this today, instead opting to send him to the French equivalent on Sunday. Rewilding is interesting but it is slightly concerning that his form is in races of a much lower standard than the other leading protagonists with listed being the highest level he's competed in thus far. Bullet Train is the potential fly in the ointment after a couple of smart victories but the strength of the opposition that he has beaten leaves a bit to be desired. I don't rate much else so that leaves me with the O'Brien pair. Midas Touch is a danger but the defection of Johnny Murtagh is an obvious dent in his chances. Another thing that worries me is that if Midas Touch had a genuine chance, I'm certain Heffernan would be on him. Strange that Heffernan is on At First Sight instead and at 150/1 he could run a big race to belie his humongous odds. That leaves me with Jan Vermeer. I have watched all the trials concerning the main contenders in this race, and his win in the Group 3 Gallinule on his seasonal re-appearance was in my opinion the best performance by any of the contenders, and by quite a long way. The way he tracked the leaders but then smoothly cruised into overdrive showed a real class. O'Brien's horses are rarely at their best in their first run of the season so the suggestion would be that he might even come on a bit for it. That's a frightening prospect. He destroyed a Group 3 field practically on the bridle that day so if he improves he could run away with this. I think he'll be far too good and could have a fair bit of daylight between him and the chasing pack come the finish line 1pt win @ 11/4 William Hill BOG

[StuSimmy]

Re: best bet of the day - Sat 5th June 15:40 Musselburgh Cracking contest this with many of the familiar faces turning out against each other once again over the minimum trip. I could give reasons for more than half the field as to why they could take this race with many being in good recent form and others looking well handicapped which is where my dart lands. Green Manalishi was well fancied on his return to turf LTO at Chester, he was well backed into 9/2 for the off but only beat one home although a broken blood vessel was reported. He did have a handy draw that day and acts well at Chester but I am willing to give him a try here at a course where he has only appeared twice at which was way back in 2003 and 2004. Not sure if there is much draw bias here but he does have a low draw which tends to be handier when the going is on the soft side but I'm not rating his chances on a stall number. He is a real sprint specialist having notched up 12 of his 14 wins over this trip from 2003 right the way through until 2009. He has won every single year and has won off a mark as high as 105 along with several wins off 90+. Runs off 94 today which really does look well on his past form and although he is now 9 years of age, I still feel there is another race of this calibre in him and hopefully today is the day. 0.5pts E/W Green Manalishi @ 16/1 (>Bet365 - BOG)

[Monterosso]

Re: best bet of the day - Sat 5th June The Derby - 4:00 Epsom Downs - Rewilding - 1pt @ 13/2 (Bet365 - BOG) Will relish the step up in trip to 1 1/2 miles. Should love this quicker ground and after his extremely impressive debut at Goodwood on debut for new yard I think he has a great chance here. Shown last time out that he should get the trip with ease and I think the likely Ballydoyle front runner could set it up perfectly for him to pounce in the final furlong. No better man than Frankie to have on board and he gave him a lovely ride last time out where he did a good time over 1f shorter than tomorrows trip and blew the rest of the field out of the water. Should improve for that run too and I think the quicker ground tomorrow could suit him big time. Jan Vermeer is far too short for me but is on the drift and could go off a decent price but I'm just not convinced he's that good, Won easily last time out but didn't beat much of note in my opinion. Can't be having Bullet Train in stall one either and Workforce didn't impress me that much either last time out. Midas Touch is the main danger for me but he's drawn on the other side too which had poor results on day one although he posted a really quick time last time out and won well in a Group 2. I'll side with Rewilding e/w for my bet and hope he runs to ability, Extremely well bred and should be well able to step up to the plate here if things fall his way which I think they will. :cheers

[Gunkey]

Re: best bet of the day - Sat 5th June Big day = big stakes and today the profits WILL start building in no uncertain fashion. In the big one - the Derby we're going in double on Coordinated Cut at 25/1 with the Tote. He needs to find a bit more than he's shown but he will hopefully do that today. :hope

[kev2oo9]

Re: best bet of the day - Sat 5th June 3.40 Musselburgh - Ingleby Lady 1pt win @ 8/1 Bet365 BOG Won a decent class 2 contest lto with a good run and has been raised 5lbs for that which I think should still be manageable and drop to 5f where only raced twice winning once and 3/7.Same jockey on board today that won last time out.

[bowles10]

Re: best bet of the day - Sat 5th June 4.45 epsom been waiting for Cill Rialaig to run since we saw it at epsom finishing well behind alainmaar. the winner has won again since and i was not surprised to see that morrison targeted another epsom race with the horse now running off 90 which does make it attractive. Coin of the realm has won twice here however i cant see it off a mark of 100! Run for edes goes well here also and phelan often has a local epsom winner, the owners are locals too who i used to know. 1pt win

[palaceman]

Re: best bet of the day - Sat 5th June 5:25 Musselbro. Engulf. LAY (11/10 Totesport) The selection has run 3 times, and is yet to win. Creditable performance in a maiden last time when he lead most of the way, before being beaten by just one, has lead to him being installed as favourite today in his handicap debut. Frankly I think the prices available to back him are ludicrous. He MAY be thrown in at too low a mark by the handicapper, but doesn't appear so. We just don't know. With him not having won so far, I think it's a risk for people to take anywhere near so low a price. There are certainly some in the race who pose a threat, and at the current price there definitely appears value in laying

[chris34]

Re: best bet of the day - Sat 5th June 3.15 Epsom Fantastic sprint handicap that is infamous within the sprint industry 'the dash' For me the Jaconet is the over priced runner for me at 16/1, I feel the field are likely to go off likely a bullet and make it hard for things to get in from behind and Jaconet is reliable as far as getting out and getting to the front she is very tough and full of speed and could be hard to peg back. 0.5pt e/w jaconet 16/1 bet365

[BillyHills]

Re: best bet of the day - Sat 5th June 335 Worcester: Tobago Bay EW (8/1 Lads and general bog) This one ran as though he was reaching top form last time out, usually a pace setter and should get a nice lead here. The stable do well with this type and should have them on the stretch down the back straight and hopefully kick again turning for home. Battles on well too and stays the trip.

[Stevet1859]

Re: best bet of the day - Sat 5th June 2:05 Musselburgh: Stolt 1pt win 16/1 Ladbrokes Stolt was second in a seller to The Bear who is now a non runner here in the middle of May. At the weights he probably had a difficult assignment and maybe that run has been underestimated in the market. Stolt has won off marks higher than his current 75 and while drawn widest of all, he appears well handicapped, in decent form and goes on the ground.

[Trotter]

Re: best bet of the day - Sat 5th June Epsom 4.00 - Hot Prospect - EW at 66/1 BOG with Stan James Doesn't look like a tip top renewal of the Derby and the ones at the head of the market look much of a muchness. I like Rewilding most of the top few Could be an upset today and i think Hot Prospect is overpriced at 66/1 I reckon he could well reverse the Lingfield trial form with Bullet Train, who had the run of the race that day, sprinting from the front off a slowish pace. With the pacemaker in today for the O'Brien horses it could be a more decent gallop and my fellow travels well in his races Stable in cracking form and in what looks a substandard renewal, he should have place chances.

[south_eastern_ram]

Re: best bet of the day - Sat 5th June 5.50 Lingfield - Copperwood - 14/1 VC E/W Went from strength to strength over the winter on the a.w. Has won 4 races from last 7 races and still looked competitive lto off this mark. That was over 8f so return to 7f may see this one go closer. Showed form on turf during maiden days but is mostly lightly raced on turf. This only 8th start on turf so if taking to the surface can go close here. 14/1 is a great price. Will have a small saver on Hustle who should appreciate step back up to 7f and is well handicapped

[mileni4uk]

Re: best bet of the day - Sat 5th June 3.35 Worcester - Busker Royal e/w @ 8/1 VC Bet365 bog Still gutted about last time. Well backed into 5/1 and ran well, but just outside the places in 4th. Pretty much the same reasoning here. There's winning to be had with him back over hurdles and this is an easier race. He was beat by 145 rated Afsoun and the winner was rated 139 and very much in grand form. Today the field has top rated 135 and few of these come with hefty rises in the handicap. Pascha Bere might struggle of top weight and I'm quite confident the selection can reverse form with Tobago Bay. The danger could be the Pipe horse.

[TheRat]

Re: best bet of the day - Sat 5th June 1.55 Isle of Inishmore Win 9/2 Laddies Now with Tim Vaugh and running better in points. Weak field and won't take much winning. Proven stamina as well which is not the case with a lot of these and have been told doing well at home. Rifleman is the obvious danger.

[Verisimilitude]

Re: best bet of the day - Sat 5th June BARRALAND 2.05 Musselburgh. 0.5 points each way. Needs to up his game, but not been with Jim Goldie that long and he runs him again after running him just 2 days ago. Did show a better effort last time, so with getting into this off the same mark and with liking this course and distance, he could easily bounce back this afternoon. The price of around 20s looks good value to me, and well worth a bet.

[ogii55]

Re: best bet of the day - Sat 5th June Worcester 3.00 Berry Hil Lass 1 pt W SJ 51.00 BOG Not a bad runner on flat as 3 and 4 years old. Last time showed some form on hurdles , finishing fifth, but moved very well during the race. Nice weight advantage over the field of untested horses over hurdles. Charlie Walls will be on board for second time and will be looking for some of his nice surprises.

[Falbrav]

Re: best bet of the day - Sat 5th June PENNYS GIFT 2.40 Epsom. 0.5 points each way. Can't find much today to be over confident about, but this one would have win claims at a big price, 'if' the blinkers work. It's worth taking the chance that they do with this track and trip probably suiting well enough, so with that and with several rivals having their own questions to answer, it wouldn't be any surprise to see her pop in at a decent price.

[Dave in The Lakes]

Re: best bet of the day - Sat 5th June 450muss Antigua Sunrise win 5/2 bog hills, ladbrokes, betfred A system bet on my thread today, the York race lto was a cracking hcp run at a very fast pace with two winners and 2 placed from the 6 runners who have come out of the race. Only a 4yo with more improvement left. Tonight's race is a considerable Class drop from cls2 0-105 to a 0-80 cls4.

[Rainbow]

Re: best bet of the day - Sat 5th June workforce 400 epsom. 1 pt win. only had 2 runs, but impressed last time and can improve well enough to win the derby today. michael stoute an expert in knowing whats needed and ryan moore the perfect jockey. the trip and ground are fine and i think he will go very close.

[mowgli77]

Re: best bet of the day - Sat 5th June Azmeel 4.00 Epsom (EW) 12-1 Bet365 (BOG) Has anyone mentioned Azmeel yet? Its bare form suggests it isn't good enough as it only has form at Group 3 level but it pulled away from the others along with Chabal at Sandown. That one has let the form down since in the Dante and Bikini Babe has not done much for the form since either. It won over 10f last time out on gd-sft but has a win on gd-fm over 7f. Will get the trip, is out of Azamour (10.3f) and Best Side and has shown a turn of foot in the past at both Sandown and Newbury. I think it has more chance of placing than winning but it would also be good to see young Buick winning a Derby and it is not without hope that he may do just that today. Currently 12-1 with most bookies.

[Lars]

Re: best bet of the day - Sat 5th June 21:05 Newcastle Pretty unoriginal choice but find it difficult to see Liberty Lady being beaten off top-weight. Raised 7lbs for a very impressive Lingfield success over the minimum trip. Had shown bits and pieces of ability in his 6 runs so that might be a doubt (may be a bit hit or miss) but the Lingfield run was a class above anything seen by any other pieces of form by any other runners in this race. Avrilo, who Liberty Lady beat by 3 lengths has won since (EDIT from original post, has just won again tonight) and this boost to the form makes the selection even more confident. My main danger would Commance Raider, but I have doubts about it's starting and will oppose. 1pt WIN @ 3/1 Ladbrokes BOG