Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book

[bowles10]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book

ok, 3 bets for me today BET 84 - EPSOM 4.05 SARISKA 10PTS WIN @ 3/1 PADDY POWER (GP) 1ST 9/4 :nana BET 85 EPSOM 2.45 DUNCAN 5PTS WIN @ 11/2 BET365 (BOG) 4TH BET 86 - 3.25 EPSOM LAKE POET 3PTS WIN @ 10/3 BET365 (BOG) 2ND 11/4

Sariska won the Oaks under a reasonable ride from Spencer, maybe he went too soon but Midday came back for more & it was only a shd at the line. Duncan ran well in 4th only beaten nse, nse 0.5L in a thrilling Coronation cup. Lake Poet didnt get the ride down the outside it expected & was carried out wider than i would have liked by the others before snatching 2nd near the line. Of the races i saw, apart from Midday & Sariska who must be followed again, Look Here ran an excellent race in defeat in the Coronation. June Total Total bets 6 Wins / bets 2/4 EW/ Bets 1/2 Doubles 0/0 Total bets 3/6 SR 50%% Staked 26pts Returns 62.6ptss P/L +36.6pts Yield +140.76% Overall total Total bets 86 Wins / bets 12/52 EW/ Bets 12/32 Doubles 1/2 Total bets 25/86 SR +29.06% Staked 334pts Returns 372.39pts P/L +38.39pts Yield +11.49% :ok

[bowles10]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book will update tomorrow but just taken 9/1 at paddy power (gp) on Captain Dunne in case it disappears. Its a Middleham syndicate horse, had 4pts win on it.

[bowles10]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book 1.25 EPSOM - MARCHING TIME (1m2f, Cl2, Gd) Went into my notebook following its 1st time up this season running off 83. It ran well but didnt benefit from a clear run in a muddling race. It also got struck by an oppnents whip which didnt help. Could run up a sequence this horse under this sort of rating. BET 87 - 1.25 EPSOM - MARCHING TIME 4PTS WIN @ 5/2 PP 3.00 EPSOM - CAPTAIN DUNNE (5F, CL2, Gd) Probably mad even having a bet in this race however 2 Middleham horses are running & Captain Dunne for me looks the better of the 2. Perhaps should have won last time out when beaten on the line at Thirsk by Biniou, its now been raised 2lb for that effort but still 4lb lower than its AW rating gained at Southwell. Has won on any ground & is ok if the rain gets in. Draw sometimes plays a paryt here but with a middle to high draw (12 of 20), should be fine. BET 88 - 3.00 EPSOM CAPTAIN DUNNE 4PTS WIN @ 9/1 PP (GP) 3.45 EPSOM - BLACK BEAR ISLAND (1M4F, GRP1, GD) I have previewed the race in full on the Epsom Derby thread & its win in the Dante is the key trial for me coupled with his stats meeting all the trends. the price is ok for EW so will ocver the bet. BET 89 - 3.45 EPSOM - BLACK BEAR ISLAND 5pts EW @ 9/1 Hills may be back for some more once i have reviewed the cards.

[bowles10]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book My conscience has got the better of me & i must include SIRENS GIFT in the 3.00 race drawn 14, disappointed when well backed last week, has the services of Epsom specialist Frankie Dettori today ! BET 90 - 3.00 EPSOM - SIRENS GIFT 1PT EW @ 11/1 LADBROKES ANOTHER ONE... 2.35 DONCASTER - EMIRATES ROADSHOW (1M, CL2, G/S) Noted when 2nd to Destert Creek at Windsor who has since won a nice race up in class. Gone up 4lb after that effort however ER looked a winner in the making when chasing home the winner. Won a newmarket maiden back end of last season which is always worth considering as these horses embark on a 3yo campaign. BET 91 - 2.35 DONC - EMIRATES ROADSHOW 3PTS WIN @ 5/1 PP

[bowles10]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book struggling today after Captain Dune was beat on the line & the poor performance of Black bear island in the Derby. Found a couple more today 4.30 PRESS THE BUTTON (1m4f, Cl2, Gd) 1lb less than higher win on turf & it could be nothing but this horse was the subject of a trial run over the Derby course for bbc1 & shown earlier on TV. Not a bad prep if you ask me! Bureaucrat bids for a repeat win 1st time up just like last year. BET 92 - 4.30 Epsom Press the Button 1pt ew 25/1 Bet365 Looking at Sunrise Safari in the last still.....

[bowles10]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book well that was no good, Press the button didnt run well at all Been looking at the 5.05 again at Epsom Dandy has 5 runners in the field & has to be respected, Something was the one i felt could be worth following. I met the owner when Dhaular Dhar ran at Ascot & they hoped to run it in the same race but Something didnt make it after a small injury, so not sure if i want it over 6f on a fast track? Mac Gille Eion won this last year & is now 3lb lower after not posting a winning effort since. Has won at Bath & Goodwood so likes these types of tracks but does need very fast ground. I will stick with Sunrise Safari whom i am sure will improve after latest run 6th behind Celtic Sultan over 7f, 1st time up it finished 2nd to Tamagin at Newcastle over 6f & that form would out it in with a chance today. Drawn 12 which isnt ideal however chance taken. BET 93 5.05 EPSOM SUNRISE SAFARI (6f, Cl2, Gd) 2pts win @ 12/1 Bet365

[bowles10]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book went into meltdown yesterday with 0 winners from 7 bets although the width of a nose for Captain Dunne nearly made it a winning day! June Total Total bets 13 Wins / bets 2/8 EW/ Bets 1/5 Doubles 0/0 Total bets 3/13 SR 23.07% Staked 53pts Returns 62.6ptss P/L +9.6pts Yield +18.11% Overall total Total bets 93 Wins / bets 12/56 EW/ Bets 12/35 Doubles 1/2 Total bets 25/93 SR +26.88% Staked 361pts Returns 372.39pts P/L +11.39pts Yield +3.15% will update my notebook over the next few days as need to include a number of horses that i have noted in the last 2 weeks. No bets today !

[bowles10]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book with 2 evening cards, feel the need to get involved. Had good news from Paddy power today who refunded my stake on Captain Dunne as it was part of a money back special, so thats another 4pts back in the kitty:clap Dear ROBIN, Congratulations. Our 2nd Chance Saturday 3.00 Epsom has clicked which means we're giving you your money back. That's right, your bet lost but you're not losing out. We just want to be loved and since we can't turn up on your doorstep with a guitar, a badly written love song and a cheap bottle of sparkling wine we're refunding your losing stake instead. Windsor has been good to me this season & :hope it continues! 7.30 WINDSOR - BY COMMAND (1m2f, cl4, G/soft) Good to see 2 course & distance winners in the field By Command & Folio. Folio seems to have slipped down the weights a fair bit now & off 67 must be feared alhtough age not on its side now at 9. Did run up a sequence earlier in the year on the AW, but turf peformances havent been great. By command ran at Sandown 2 weeks ago where i saw it finsh 5th to Mountain pride. The horse set the pace that day & then faded into 5th inside the final furlong which is expected at Sandown. That isnt bad form & he could get a run on the others here if trying same tactics. BET 94 - BY COMMAND 3pts win @ 7/1 Bet365 (BOG) 8.00 WINDSOR - TOP TOWN GIRL (5F, CL4, G/S) Interesting one this horse trained by Ralph Beckett who has hit form in the last few days with 2 winners over the weekend & also the excellent performance iof Look here in the Coronation cup. Notably the horse has only raced over 5f once & it won at Sandown on soft ground. Dropped 3lbs now for recent efforts where not troubling the judge at all however in this small field, may be able to come back to form especially dropping back to 5f & on favoured ground. Big price. BET 95 - TOP TOWN GIRL 1pt ew @ 18/1 Corals 8.30 WINDSOR - STRAVELLA (1m, Cl5, G/s) Won its maiden in reasonable style making all to hold off a field of 13 at Chepstow. heads the weights today off 75 & there may be more to come. Trainer Beckett has hit form & this could be another for seb sanders who is riding really well again. Looks a very competitive handicap however i know Stravella will up there at the head of the field & will hopefully have enough in the tank to hold on. BET 96 - STRAVELLA - 2pts win @ 13/2 Sporting bet

[bowles10]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book neither horse made the frame, very disappointed with this tonight. Nothing tomorrow -7pts tonight 10 losers on the bounce, my worst run

[bowles10]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book Notebook Horses (comments on recent performances) Fullandby - Ran Friday 17/4 (5f, Cl2, G/S), Ran Sun 2/5 (6f, Cl2, G/f) - last, dwelt at the start ran poorly. Ran 23/5 (5f, Cl2, Gd) 2nd btn nk at Bev, Ran 30/5 (5f, Cl1 Gd) 7th btn 5l at Hayd. Enroller - Ran Sat 18/4 (1m 4f, Cl1, S), back on soft going. Medici Pearl - Ran Sat 18/4 (1m, Cl2, S) back on soft ground over 7f. Ran Sat 1/5 (1m, Cl2, G/f) & at York (1m) last week - wait for soft & 7f!! Ran 14/5 (1m, Cl1, Gd) 7th btn 6L at York. Still waiting for drop to 7f on easier ground. Fanjura - Ran Sat 18/4 (1m, Cl2, S) back on good ground over 7f. Ran 7/5 (1m2f, Cl2, G/f) btn 4.5L at Chester Sariska - Ran Sat 18/4 (7f, Cl1, S) slowly away, capable of much better. Thurs 13/5 Won at York winning Oaks trial. Will go to the Oaks now. Ran 5/6 - won the Oaks at Epsom Grp 1 (1m4f, Grp 1, Gd). Star Ruby - Ran Fri 24/4 (1m 2f, Cl4, G) won well, front 2 pulled 8L clear Thurs 13/5 2nd to Sariska at York & worth following this season. Hidden Brief - Ran Fri 24/4 (1m 2f, Cl4, G) 2nd to Star ruby. Disappointed at Chester meeting. REMOVED Rackiteer - Ran Fri 24/4 (1m, Cl2, G) won by 6L pulling away. REMOVED Sirens Gift - Ran Tues 28/4 (5f, Cl1, G/F) follow in sprints 5 or 6f. Ran 30/5 & 6/6, needs a drop in class, is on a winning mark but doesnt seem to be able to win. Strike the deal (5f, Cl1, g/f) - looks a 6f horse, ran well latest run over 6f at York on 13/5, could be an interest at Royal Ascot on fast ground over 6f. Won at Lingfield Class 3 conditions contest. Was hoping this would develop into a group peformer this season. Entered in the 2 maor sprints at Ascot. Desert Creek - Ran Mon 4/5 (1m, Cl3, G/f). Can improve again. Won at Haydock (1m, Cl2, Hvy) Worth following again. Emirates Roadshow - Ran Mon 4/5 (1m, Cl3, G/f). chased home Desert Creek, back on good or some cut. RAn 6/6 at Doncaster 3rd btn 3.5L (8f, Cl2, G/s). Wil win back in Class 3. Tawaabb Ran Mon 4/5 (5f, Cl5, g/f) would have won but for greeness.Won at Leicester (cl4, 5f, Gd) won by 3.5l & worth watachig again this season AlanBrooke Ran Fri 15/5 (1m3f, cl4, G/Soft) should have won, btn shd, follow as ground may have been a bit too soft. Ran 6/6 Musselburgh flopped - REMOVED Duncan Ran 10/5 - very impressive, Royal Ascot next. 4th in the Coronation cup at Epsom (1m4f, Grp1, Gd). Ran well only btn 0.5L, can win again this season in group class. Latest noted horses Main Aim - I think the Golden Jubilee may be the target but a G1 may be too tough at this stage Bushman - It led until 2f out & then kept battling away & should win a race at some point this season. Peter Island - Not sure if anyone saw Peter Island streak to the front at Goodwood only to be caught at the 1f pole by the other runners. This was a jump in class from its usual class 4 runs but when back in that company should be kept an eye on IMO, will need to drop a few pounds as highest win rating was 79. Ran off 86 latest. Acquisition - Beaten approx a length into 4th, but was the one making eye catching progress after eventual winner Pictorial under a typical Ryan Moore ride had taken the race up 3f out. Ridden hands & heels this horse would have won with another 50 yards & for its first run on a racecourse over 1m2f, the horse looks to have a good future. It has very decent breeding & will get a mile and a half. Shakalaka - The 2nd to Pictorial should also be good enough to pick up a race. Not sure how many of the above will run at Ascot but i should get some nice prices amongst them

[bowles10]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book 3.40 HAYDOCK - GLOBAL CITY (6F, cL3, g/f) At Haydock tomorrow in the 3.40 race, godolphin have Global City whose form reads 2 wins & 1 place in 7 races. The 2 wins were both as a 2yo at Yarmouth & Lingfield (AW). The 1st at Yarmouth was only a class 5 maiden after which they did thier usual probably expecting they had a decent one, & ran it in the Molecomb stakes (group 3) at Goodwood, beaten 8.5L into 9th place & outclassed. It then finished 6th in a Nursery at Chester over 5f from a bad draw, & was highest placed of the high drawn horses that day beaten nearly 6L. On its final start as a 2yo won at Lingfiled in a class 4 conditions stakes easily winning by 3.5l. Campaigned this season to date in Class 2 handicaps & put in a good performance 1st time up at Salisbury only beaten 1.5l behind instalment. Its latest race was a 5th place behind impressive winner Bouvardia at Newmarket off 96. Was beaten 2.5L that day & 4th place Proclaim has won since, plenty of winners will come from that race. Ground & trip will be fine & for me this represents an ideal placing for a Godolphin horse with the drop to class 3 company. BET 97 - 3.40 HAYDOCK - GLOBAL CITY 4PTS WIN @ 3/1 Ladbrokes

[bowles10]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book

3.40 HAYDOCK - GLOBAL CITY (6F' date= cL3, g/f) At Haydock tomorrow in the 3.40 race, godolphin have Global City whose form reads 2 wins & 1 place in 7 races. The 2 wins were both as a 2yo at Yarmouth & Lingfield (AW). The 1st at Yarmouth was only a class 5 maiden after which they did thier usual probably expecting they had a decent one, & ran it in the Molecomb stakes (group 3) at Goodwood, beaten 8.5L into 9th place & outclassed. It then finished 6th in a Nursery at Chester over 5f from a bad draw, & was highest placed of the high drawn horses that day beaten nearly 6L. On its final start as a 2yo won at Lingfiled in a class 4 conditions stakes easily winning by 3.5l. Campaigned this season to date in Class 2 handicaps & put in a good performance 1st time up at Salisbury only beaten 1.5l behind instalment. Its latest race was a 5th place behind impressive winner Bouvardia at Newmarket off 96. Was beaten 2.5L that day & 4th place Proclaim has won since, plenty of winners will come from that race. Ground & trip will be fine & for me this represents an ideal placing for a Godolphin horse with the drop to class 3 company. BET 97 - 3.40 HAYDOCK - GLOBAL CITY 4PTS WIN @ 3/1 Ladbrokes

1st :nana 3/1 4pts staked 16pts returned

[bowles10]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book I think that race at Newmarket now leads looking at after Global City's performance today Saturday May 23 2009 Newmarket 15:25 - Result Coral.co.uk Sprint Heritage Handicap £40000 added, 3yo only, 6f, Class 2, £24924 penalty, 13 ran Going: Good to Firm Winning Time: 1m 13.04s

Pos.	Draw	Dist.	Horse	Wt	Jockey	Trainer	Age	SP
1	11		Bouvardia	9-3	T P Queally	H R A Cecil	3	4/1
		always prominent, travelled strongly, led over 1f out, ran on well opened 5/1 touched 5/1 £1650-£300 (x2) £2500-£500 (x2)
2	14	½	Akhenaten	9-1	A Culhane	M R Channon	3	25/1
		held up mid-division, headway over 1f out, soon chasing winner, stayed on well opened 33/1 touched 33/1
3	8	¾	Parisian Pyramid (IRE)	8-12	S Donohoe	D Nicholls	3	11/1
		raced keenly in touch, headway when edged left under pressure over 1f out, stayed on well, not reached leaders opened 12/1 touched 12/1
4	7	1	Proclaim	9-5	Greg Fairley	M Johnston	3	5/2 f
		prominent, led halfway, headed over 1f out, kept on same pace opened 7/2 touched 7/2 £3500-£1000 Each Way £2100-£600 £1750-£500 £1400-£400 (x2) £1667-£500
5	5	nk	Global City (IRE)	9-5	L Dettori	Saeed Suroor	3	7/1
		mid-division, headway over 1f out, hung right under pressure, kept on well final furlong opened 8/1 touched 8/1 £4500-£500 Each Way
6	12	nk	Shaws Diamond (USA)	8-4	Luke Morris	D Shaw	3	50/1
		led, headed halfway, weakened over 1f out opened 50/1 touched 50/1

Proclaim won next time up in class 2 over 6f Global City won next time up in class 3 over 6f Akhenaten 2nd to proclaim & 4th in class 1 since Parisan Pyramid & Shaws diamond 4th at Epsom in class 2 last week Bouvardia next time out for deffo in class 1 or 2

[bowles10]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book 1 bet again on Thursday 2.40 APPLE CHARLOTTE (1m 2f, Class 1, G/F) Henry Cecil is simply having a great season to date & will look forward to a number of decent horses winning some nice prizes this year especially horses like Midday who came so close to winning the Oaks. At Newbury, in the days big race, he saddles Apple Charlotte unbeaten in 3 races so far. Won a maiden with 17 runners on debut at Newmarket on only 2yo start. Then came out in April to win 1st time up winning easily off a mark of 78 in a conditions race. Stepped up last time out to win here at Newbury over this trip in listed company again winning fairly comfortably. Goup class horse in a listed race should go very close. Could have ran in the Oaks but sidestepped for this race. BET 98 - 2.40 NEWBURY - APPLE CHARLOTTE 6PTS WIN @ 13/8 Paddy Power (GP)

[bowles10]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book

1 bet again on Thursday 2.40 APPLE CHARLOTTE (1m 2f, Class 1, G/F) Henry Cecil is simply having a great season to date & will look forward to a number of decent horses winning some nice prizes this year especially horses like Midday who came so close to winning the Oaks. At Newbury, in the days big race, he saddles Apple Charlotte unbeaten in 3 races so far. Won a maiden with 17 runners on debut at Newmarket on only 2yo start. Then came out in April to win 1st time up winning easily off a mark of 78 in a conditions race. Stepped up last time out to win here at Newbury over this trip in listed company again winning fairly comfortably. Goup class horse in a listed race should go very close. Could have ran in the Oaks but sidestepped for this race. BET 98 - 2.40 NEWBURY - APPLE CHARLOTTE 6PTS WIN @ 13/8 Paddy Power (GP)

Beaten short head by Splashdown, i personally felt it maybe should have won & nearly got up on the line. Started SP 5/4 Friday at Sandown 4.25 Sandown - SHAMALI (1m, Cl3, Gd) Watched this horse run here the other week, it drifted in the ring from 5's to 8's & ran well for a long time before fading into 8th inside the final furlong only beaten 3.5L behind the leader Dunno. Stepped up in trip by another 2f & well worth considering back on this track & ground. BET 99 - 4.25 SANDOWN - SHAMALI - 3PTS WIN

[bowles10]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book

Friday at Sandown 4.25 Sandown - SHAMALI (1m, Cl3, Gd) Watched this horse run here the other week, it drifted in the ring from 5's to 8's & ran well for a long time before fading into 8th inside the final furlong only beaten 3.5L behind the leader Dunno. Stepped up in trip by another 2f & well worth considering back on this track & ground. BET 99 - 4.25 SANDOWN - SHAMALI - 3PTS WIN

just taken 7/1 guaranteed price at Paddy Power :ok

[bowles10]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book

4.25 Sandown - SHAMALI (1m, Cl3, Gd) Watched this horse run here the other week, it drifted in the ring from 5's to 8's & ran well for a long time before fading into 8th inside the final furlong only beaten 3.5L behind the leader Dunno. Stepped up in trip by another 2f & well worth considering back on this track & ground. BET 99 - 4.25 SANDOWN - SHAMALI - 3PTS WIN

3rd @ 10's, should have gone each way at that price but hey ho. Havent seen the race but the comment indicates it would not have won & 3rd was best place. Saturday looks interesting with some notebook horses running. :ok Also looking forward to Ascot next week:ok

[bowles10]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book 2.20 SANDOWN - PORTUGESE CADDY (7f, Cl3, Gd) another difficult handicap although a big price for Portuguese Caddy from Winkworths stable. This popped up to win 1st & 2nd time last season as a 2yo & 28/1 with sporting bet is double what some of the other bookies are offering! BET 100 - 2.20 SAND PORTUGESE CADDY 1PT EW @ 28/1 Sportingbet 3.25 SANDOWN - ADORN/TRIPLE ASPECT (5F, CL1, GD) a 5f sprint where looking back a lower draw seems to have been favoured. ADORN from Noseda's stable should be given another chance after having to race on unsuitable ground last time out & not given a hard time once passed & ended up 5th. Triple aspect looks a very decent horse & won here on debut over 5f. Unbeaten last season & a good effort 1st time up at Newbury could be enough to win this. Forecast for me with Adorn / Triple Aspect reversed. BET 101 - 3.25 SAND - ADORN/TRIPLE ASPECT 1PT R/FC (TOTE) York to follow....

[bowles10]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book 2.35 YORK - AROSTIC/FANJURA (1M1F, CL2, GD) 2 of my notebook horses run in this race, Medici Pearl & Fanjura. I would still prefer some juice in the ground for Medici Pearl & the drying out to officially good ground may prove its undoing again. Still looks a bit high in the weights as well but there is a race in this horse at some point this season. Fanjura impressed me when 5th to Extraterrestial in the Newbury Spring cup beaten 2L off todays ratng. Todays race is very similar & should give a good account on ground & trip today. The form of the stable is a worry & is a stake reduction factor for me today. Arostic for in form Cumani deserves to be favourite & could be worth following based on its previous performances. Will be splitting my stake between the 2. BET 102 - 2.35 YORK - AROSTIC 1.5PTS EW @ 6/1 SPORTING BET BET 103 - 2.35 YORK - FANJURA 1.5PTS EW @ 16/1 LADBROKES 3.10 YORK PROCLAIM (6F, CL2, GD) I have done the trends for the race however Proclaim is the key one for me here today, the form behind Bouvardia is working out well & Proclaim can handle this company & looks a great ew bet at 10/1 with 1st 4 paid. BET 104 - 2.35 YORK PROCLAIM 5PTS EW @ 10/1 BET365

[bowles10]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book Results from Saturday, disappointed with Proclaim who didnt run to form with Parisan Pyramid & Aktenhan running better, also had swiss dive in my trends so disappointed it never got into here. Only return was on Arostic ew @ 7/1 & Triple aspect won but Adorn was nowehere to be seen for the forecast. Triple aspect could win again this season and i noted a couple of others i will write up during the week. Updated totals June Total Total bets 24 Wins / bets 3/13 EW/ Bets 2/10 Doubles 0/0 Forecasts 0/1 Total bets 5/24 SR 20.83% Staked 93pts Returns 86.72pts P/L -6.28pts Yield -6.75% Overall total Total bets 104 Wins / bets 13/61 EW/ Bets 13/40 Doubles 1/2 Forecasts 0/1 Total bets 27/104 SR 25.96 Staked 401pts Returns 396.51pts P/Lpts -4.49pts Yield -1.11%

[bowles10]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book Hoping Royal Ascot will trun this thread on its head as now showing a minus which is disappointing, a run of 10 losers on the bounce didnt help. So far my team for the week is: Enroller (if soft) Mastercraftsman Star Ruby Strike the deal Desert Creek Duncan Tawaabb Espiritu also got Hunt cup & Wokingham to sort out

[bowles10]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book decided not to play in Mastercraftsman race although i think it will win, odds on is too short for me, so i have 3 other bets in 2 races. 2.30 Main Aim/Alexandros (1m, Grp1, G/F) I am going to swerve the Godolphin favourite for this race. I am mulling over the recent form of Main Aim who steps up yet again & also in trip this time. Stoute & Godolphin seem to have this race between them over the years sharing 7 of the last 10 winners of the race. Alexandros was unlucky last time in the Lockinge & perhaps would have won but for frankie losing the whip. Bth are backable at reasonable prices. Bet 105 - Alexandros 8/1 PP 2pts ew Bet 106 - Main Aim 9/2 PP 2pts ew 3.05 Scenic Blast (5f, Grp1, G/F) Foreign trainers have taken control of this race in recent years & aussie sprinter Secnic Blast has taken same route that previous winner Takeover target took before winning this race. Has to overcome outside draw but should be ok as they wont split across the track. Bet 107 - Scenic Blast 3/1 PP 3pts win

[bowles10]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book

decided not to play in Mastercraftsman race although i think it will win, odds on is too short for me, so i have 3 other bets in 2 races. Bet 105 - Alexandros 8/1 PP 2pts ew unpl Bet 106 - Main Aim 9/2 PP 2pts ew unpl Bet 107 - Scenic Blast 3/1 PP 3pts win 1st 11/4

day 1 & although Mastercraftsman won, still think it was a risk at that price. Havent watched the recordings yet so will analyse later Pleased to get a winner on the board though 11pts staked 12pts returned

[jtw1]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book Good shout with SCENIC BLAST :clap but someone should take Sheik Mohammed aside and tell him to get rid if Bin Suroor ..... :\ Their horses have been underperforming for years but this is surely a new low ???

[bowles10]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book Day 2 Ascot 2.30 ASHRAM (7f, Grp3, G/F) plenty of contenders here & i really liked Ashram at Sandown last time out when 2nd to Border Patrol in a listed race over a mile. Came with every chance to win that day & when it hit the front, was passed by the fast finishing winner. With Godolphn suffering today is it worth a chance they can win this? The horse was beaten a long way in the 2000 Guineas but does have the potential. Gosden's, Meehans, Tate's & Hills' horses all have a chnace as well making this race a difficult one to stake too much. Bet 108 - Ashram 10/1 >Bet365 1pt ew 4.20 ELLEMUJIE/DUNN'O (1m, Cl2, G/F) The hunt cup, for me revolves round 2 trend selections for me, Ellemujie & Dunn'o, i dont understand why Ellemujie is available at 50's. It was beaten 4.5L by Dunn'o at Sandown & is 9lb better off for that defeat, so i have them much closer together for this race. Dunn'o won again at Sandown beating weekend winner Kavachi 1.5L & race off same terms again. Kavachi did well at the weekend but this race may come too soon for the 4th placed horse last year. Axiom is better off at the weights with both but has a middle draw of 18/33 which may not be ideal. Bet 109 - Ellemujie 50/1 >Bet365 2pts ew 1st 5 paid Bet 110 - Dunn'o 16/1 Bet365 3pts ew 1st 5 paid

[bowles10]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book

Hoping Royal Ascot will trun this thread on its head as now showing a minus which is disappointing, a run of 10 losers on the bounce didnt help. So far my team for the week is: Enroller (if soft) Mastercraftsman Star Ruby Strike the deal Desert Creek Duncan Tawaabb Espiritu also got Hunt cup & Wokingham to sort out

Day 2 Ascot Bet 108 - Ashram 10/1 >Bet365 1pt ew 3rd 8/1:ok Bet 109 - Ellemujie 50/1 >Bet365 2pts ew 1st 5 paid unpl Bet 110 - Dunn'o 16/1 Bet365 3pts ew 1st 5 paid unpl

disappointed today although Ashram gave us a bit back 12pts staked 3pts returned 3 of my notebook horses run tomorrow & i'll back all 3, back with those later. :ok

[bowles10]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book 2.30 TAWAABB (5f, Cl1, G/F) Ok, this horse hasnt done what Monsieur Chevalier has done however it is lightly raced & the night i saw it run at Windsor, it ran so green, it nearly ended in the river! It came out & duly won once shaken up at Yarmouth in an easy race. Its a massive step up in class tomorrow but Channon has won these 2yo events before & I expect a big run. At 14/1 its more value i feel than taking 6/4 on the jolly which won well at Sandown last time out but may find this 5f a bit too quick. BET 111 - TAWAABB 1.5PTS EW @ 14/1 vc BET 4.20 DESERT CREEK (1M, CL2, G/F) Stoute horse takes another step up to go for the hat trick of 1m wins this season. Was impressive at Windsor & then again at Haydock (hvy ground). Stays the trip well & will have to overcome a high draw to win. its a hot race & a difficult one to win. BET 112 - DESERT CREEK 10PTS WIN @ 6/1 PADDY POWER 4.20 ESPIRITU (1M. CL2, G/F) Finally lost its maiden tag on fast ground at Beverley last week & comes into the race with a 5lb penalty. Showed some promise as a juvenile in decent events (4th behind Kite Wood). Should have no problem with the trip & is a lively outsider for me BET 113 - ESPIRITU 1.5PTS EW @ 33/1 LADBROKES OF THE OTHER RACES, I THINK IT COULD BE A FAVOURITES DAY WITH FREEMNATLE, LEOCORNO BOTH WINNING

[bowles10]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book

BET 111 - TAWAABB 1.5PTS EW @ 14/1 vc BET 3rd 7/1 :ok BET 112 - DESERT CREEK 10PTS WIN @ 6/1 PADDY POWER BET 113 - ESPIRITU 1.5PTS EW @ 33/1 LADBROKES 4TH 20/1 :ok

disappointed with Desert Creek as i made it one of my naps of the week, however the 2 ew's were both placed at much bigger odds so pleased with those. Espiritu was only caught near the line. 16pts staked 17.95pts returned slight profit on another difficult day :ok

[bowles10]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book Struggling today to make any sense of these fields. May come back with 1 in the 4.20 but will having a little on the following: 5.30 (7f, Cl2, G/Firm) DHAULAR DHAR 18/1 BET365 4pts ew SOMETHING 10/ Paddy Power 1pt ew Both guaranteed prices, & both under middleham syndicate. both should run well today & have a live chnace in an open race if all goes well. DD was 2nd 4lbs lower in this last year. Likes the track.

[bowles10]

Re: Bowles' "live" Monthly betting book no return from the 5.30 race today -10pts Just putting up a quick price for tomorrow which i think is too big to miss. Wokingham handicap 6f 4.25 Ascot (cl 2, G/F) ASSET trained by Saeed Suroor ridden by Frankie Dettori is drawn 27 so :hope for a change in fortune for the higher numbers, however most of the pace seems to be in the middle so depends on where they track across to, i would hope Frankie follows from his wide stall. This is a class 1 performer & its run behind Main Aim last time out (grp 3) was worth a second look, over 7f, held up & then made good progress late on the take 4th place 3.5L behind the impressive winner who stepped up to Group 1 class this week. Prior to that race, Asset won a listed race at Leicester over 7f on fast ground beating regal Parade 0.75L. The horse had 3 runs in Dubai all over 6f over the winter winning one of those (recent scorer Judd st in 3rd). Last seaosn the horse only ran twice in the uk coming 2nd at Great Leighs & also 2nd at Goodwodd behind Lessons in Humility who sidesteps this race for a crack at the Grp 1 sprint tomorrow. 2 seasons ago, Asset was only beaten 3.75L in the Betfred Sprint cup Group1 behind red clubs.That season the horse was 3rd in the Group 1 Golden Jubilee at R Ascot behind soldiers tale which must be its best performance only 1/2L behind Takeover Target in 2nd. That race is what i am basing this selection on as i feel the horse has all the capabilities still of winning a decent sprint race. In 2007, it also won the Abernant stakes in April. I just cant quite believe this is a 33/1 chance with bet365 BET 116 - ASSET 2pts EW @ 33/1 Bet365