Time for a NAP: 2009

[Aykay1]

Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 Perfect Flight - unplaced :( Virtual - won :) and :( 215 Beverley - Mesbaah 5pts ew @ 9/1 boylesport (NAP) Likes the track, his record at Beverley is 122 and is a course and distance winner. His reappearance last time over a lengthy 1m 4f was encouraging as he showed up for a long way and that should have brought him on. Runs off a 9lb lower mark than when runner up here last year and is drawn well.

[Aykay1]

Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 310 Haydock - Look Busy - 5pts ew @ 7/1 betfred Had a high level of form over 5f last season suggesting that a Group 2 is within her grasp. Didnt last 6f last time but can return to winning ways over this 5f trip with form on this type of ground proven.

[Aykay1]

Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 525 Haydock - Makshoof 5pts ew @ 9/1 bet365 The course and ground are the key to this ones chances. He has an impressive record of 4 wins from 5 appearances at Haydock, 2 of which came on heavy ground and all of which came over 6f. His 2 races this season have seen him perform commendably, especially after starting slowly last time. Runs off an attractive mark of 70 considering his last win was off 76.

[Sandgrounder]

Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 7.45 Strat.the sel. Mr BOO Ew.trained by G.l.Moore, backed this am, that should be enough.last three runs.2.1.3. Danger the Irish horse. Ross Accord, trained by Tony Martin/

[skylark2009]

Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 Well done on Look Busy AK, she won the race really well. :nana Very nice price as well, :ok

[fintron]

Re: Time for a NAP: 2009

310 Haydock - Look Busy - 5pts ew @ 7/1 betfred Had a high level of form over 5f last season suggesting that a Group 2 is within her grasp. Didnt last 6f last time but can return to winning ways over this 5f trip with form on this type of ground proven.

great price :clap

[Aykay1]

Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 Thanks guys, a few for today: 320 Hamilton - Birkside - 10 points win @ 9/4 sportingbet Has dropped to a more feasible mark to the one he was running off after a purple patch last year and is 4 wins out of 5 races in claiming company which bodes well. 335 Goodwood - Saturn Way - 5pts ew @ 11/2 williamhill (NAP) Looks capable of making his presence felt off a mark of 69 after a good maiden win and a respectable 6th of 17 on his handicap debut where he was noted as staying on well. That run and his pedigree suggests he will get this extra furlong and can figure here. 710 Haydock - Doctor Parkes - 5pts ew @ 7/2 stanjames Has improved for the drop to 5f and a 3lb rise for an impressive win last time seems lenient (runner up has won since). 810 Haydock - Ursis - 5pts ew @ 5/1 ladbrokes Is starting to look well treated off a mark of 70, compared to last season when he was rated in the early 80's. He ran well on rain softened ground over course and distance last week and should get those conditions again tonight.

[Aykay1]

Re: Time for a NAP: 2009

Thanks guys, a few for today: 320 Hamilton - Birkside - 10 points win @ 9/4 sportingbet Has dropped to a more feasible mark to the one he was running off after a purple patch last year and is 4 wins out of 5 races in claiming company which bodes well. 335 Goodwood - Saturn Way - 5pts ew @ 11/2 williamhill (NAP) Looks capable of making his presence felt off a mark of 69 after a good maiden win and a respectable 6th of 17 on his handicap debut where he was noted as staying on well. That run and his pedigree suggests he will get this extra furlong and can figure here. 710 Haydock - Doctor Parkes - 5pts ew @ 7/2 stanjames Has improved for the drop to 5f and a 3lb rise for an impressive win last time seems lenient (runner up has won since). 810 Haydock - Ursis - 5pts ew @ 5/1 ladbrokes Is starting to look well treated off a mark of 70, compared to last season when he was rated in the early 80's. He ran well on rain softened ground over course and distance last week and should get those conditions again tonight.

Birkside won, Saturn Way and Ursis 2nd, and Doctor Parkes unplaced. Nothing today. I promise I will update the figures very shortly. The longer I leave it, the more onerous it will be!

[Aykay1]

Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 Three for tonight: 715 Sandown - Bravo Echo 5pts ew @ 7/2 ladbrokes

His 2 below par runs have come on rain softened ground which he wont get today and we can expect a much better run as a result. Was well backed in both of his maidens last year suggesting he is highly though if and his maiden win has worked out well with the 2^nd 3^rd 4^th and 5^th all subsequent winners. Top weight but he could be one to follow. 855 Sandown – Baylini 5 pts ew @ 8/1 skybet

Caught the eye 2 runs back when finished 2^nd despite a nightmare passage through. Wasnt disgraced last time out when 4^th in a better race than this one. Is starting to look well treated, considering this time last year he was running off a mark of 94 and gets in off 80 here. His better form is on the AW but has shown enough in his last 2 runs to be able to run into a place. 800 Uttoxeter – Lord Baskerville 5pts ew @ 9/1 betfred (NAP)

Handicap mark is now lower than his last win and is also down in grade which makes him of obvious interest. He ran well for along way on his seasonal reappearance last time, finishing a decent enough 5^th. He will be much fitter for that and can be competitive in this.

[Aykay1]

Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 I have just spent fcuking ages updating the figures for March, April and May and will post them up later.

[Aykay1]

Re: Time for a NAP: 2009

Three for tonight: 715 Sandown - Bravo Echo 5pts ew @ 7/2 ladbrokes

His 2 below par runs have come on rain softened ground which he wont get today and we can expect a much better run as a result. Was well backed in both of his maidens last year suggesting he is highly though if and his maiden win has worked out well with the 2^nd 3^rd 4^th and 5^th all subsequent winners. Top weight but he could be one to follow. 855 Sandown – Baylini 5 pts ew @ 8/1 skybet

Caught the eye 2 runs back when finished 2^nd despite a nightmare passage through. Wasnt disgraced last time out when 4^th in a better race than this one. Is starting to look well treated, considering this time last year he was running off a mark of 94 and gets in off 80 here. His better form is on the AW but has shown enough in his last 2 runs to be able to run into a place. 800 Uttoxeter – Lord Baskerville 5pts ew @ 9/1 betfred (NAP)

Handicap mark is now lower than his last win and is also down in grade which makes him of obvious interest. He ran well for along way on his seasonal reappearance last time, finishing a decent enough 5^th. He will be much fitter for that and can be competitive in this.

Brave Echo and Lord Baskerville both placed. Baylini unplaced.

[Aykay1]

Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 325 Epsom – Lake Poet – 5 pts ew @ 3/1 bet365 (NAP)

Hard to see this one out of the frame and he looks the most likely winner. Has a great record at Epsom – 3112 and is only 1lb higher than when winning this in 2007. He ran a great race last time out, finishing 2^nd behind a very well treated rival, Duncan, who has since won in Listed company and is now rated 14lb’s higher than when beating Lake Poet. He can do the form a further favour by winning the 2.45.

750 Goodwood – Jo’burg – 5pts ew @ 3/1 stanjames

The form of his last win is working out well with the runner up winning again. He races off a 4lb higher mark here which shouldn’t be a problem, given that he was looking well treated prior to that win.

855 Goodwood – Sams Cross – 5pts ew @ 7/2 blue sqaure

Is now on an attractive mark of 69 compared to running off marks in the mid 80’s this time last year. Granted, the rating has slipped due to a series of lacklustre efforts but he ran well last time out on his debut for the Eddery stable (leaving his finishing run too late but stayed on well) and maybe the new scenery has helped. His better runs have been over this distance and has run well at Goodwood before so is entitled to go close.

[Aykay1]

Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 All placed yesterday but not exactly at each way prices. Maybe its worth looking at "place only" bets for these types of horses. 220 Musselburgh – Mr Smithson 2.5 ew @ 40/1 bluesq

A speculative each way bet as I think this one is overpriced. Has only finished out of the frame once in a 4 race career, when having the worst of the draw at Beverley. Other than that has run well behind useful types especially last time when beaten by a horse whose trainer described her as “the best filly I have had in a long time” This is tough also but should have the ability to run into a place.

There is 11.5 available for the place on betfair but unfortunately there isn’t enough liquidity to make it a Sports Punter entry.

[Aykay1]

Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 300 Epsom – Crimson Fern 5 pts ew @ 12/1 bet 365 (NAP)

Working on a trends basis from the RFO, only one horse in the last 3 years has made the frame after being drawn lower than 8 so we really need a middle-high draw. Rudis Pet in 2002 and Astonished in 2000 have bucked the trend by winning from stalls 1 and 3 but their races only had 11 and 12 runners respectively. I will side with horses drawn in double figure berths today.

Horses over the age of 5 have a good record over the years too. Another pointer to siding with an experienced horse is that all winners of the race in the last 10 years had won at least 3 times previously. You need a classy horse to win this and those rated in the 100’s have a good record.

Bearing these in mind im going to go with Crimson Fern, who on her penultimate run was beaten by Look Busy, a horse who has subsequently followed up in a Group 2. Last time out can be excused as she raced too freely and a more conservative ride today can reap rewards.

[Aykay1]

Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 Mr Smithson never in it, but wasnt beaten miles and can win a maiden I think.

[Aykay1]

[Aykay1]

Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 440 Southwell – Sularno 5pts ew @ 5/1 vcbet (NAP)

Hit form this time last year including this race and ran well enough last time to suggest he is coming to hand again.

[Aykay1]

Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 330 Brighton – Landucci 5pts ew @ 100/30 betfred

None of these are in great form in what looks a pretty poor race. Landucci showed a bit recently and drops in class here to give her a good chance of being competitive.

[bowles10]

Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 nice figures AK, nice to see you still in profit:ok keep up the good work as always

[Aykay1]

Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 Cheers Bowlesey, Landucci won yesterday and Sularno was placed to that will give them another boost.

[Aykay1]

Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 230 Beverley - Rio Sands 5pts ew @ 5/1 stan james Ran well from a wide draw at Carlisle last time signalling a return to form is on the cards. Is looking well treated nowadays and he has a better draw today in 13 of 17. 740 Hamilton - Nightjar 5pts ew @ 8/1 bluesq (NAP) Ran a good third behind well treated Main Aim and Aye Aye Digby, who went into my notebook after an unlucky run last time. Nightjar looks in good form and on the basis of that run should go close again today.

[Aykay1]

Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 Both unplaced yesterday :(

[Aykay1]

Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 740 Uttoxeter - Classic Rock 5pts ew @ 9/1 coral (NAP) Likes it here with a record of 1223 from his 4 course runs. Has been running well enough of late to suggest he can finish in the frame again here.

[Aykay1]

Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 Classic Rock unplaced yesterday :( 425 Sandown - Wintercast - 10 pts to be placed @ 1.75 betfair (£141 available@ 1.75, £66 available at 1.76 and £51 available at 1.77) (NAP) Has been unlucky in running the last twice and did well only to beaten 2 lengths last time out where he was short of room, had to be switched and stayed on well. 455 Sandown - North Cape 5pts ew @ 7/1 william hill Has been consistent in his short career so far, running well behind Global last time who has won twice since.

[Aykay1]

Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 2 nice winners there :nana I need to put up the weekends bets now as I wont have computer access.

[Aykay1]

Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 Saturday: 310 York - Sloop Johnb - 5pts ew @ SP (NAP) Won well last time out and the form has worked out well. The 5lb rise he gets from that isnt unreasonable and has a good chance of following up. 420 York - Lily Lenor - 5 pts ew @ SP Ran a much improved race at Beverley last time finishing 4th behind some useful horses, who have competed in higher grade races since, ableit the winner flopped but the runner up ran very well. That was over 5f and is very likely this extra furlong will be in her favour, with the trainer believing she will get 7f. Sunday 330 Doncaster - Seamus Shindig - 5pts ew @ SP (NAP) Ran better than his finishing position suggests last time. He was denied a clear run and the jockey eased him once his chance hd gone. Prior to that he ran an encouraging race on his seasonal reappearance and should be fit now. Is a horse who could still be on the upgrade and is worth another chance.

[Aykay1]

Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 600 Windsor - Hallindal - 5pts ew @ 16/1 bet365 (NAP) Hallingdal's record in Class 5 races in 1381213, with the 8th coming over 1m 2f, which would have been too far. Ran well last time off a mark lower than the one he last won off and could easily run into a place at decent odds.

[Aykay1]

Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 3rd for a nice placed return. 455 Ascot - Kayf Aramis - 5pts ew @ 17/2 paddypower This was a much improved horse over the jumps last season and found himself well treated enough to enjoy success at the Cheltenham Festival in the Pertermps hurdle. If he can find a similar level of improvement on the flat then he should go very close here. He was impressive on his seasonal debut at York but his latest run proabbly came too soon after that. Has had a decent break since. 530 Ascot - The Hermitage - 5pts ew @ 8/1 stanjames (NAP) A 2nd place behind Don't Tell Mary last time was a good effort, considering he was poorly drawn in stall 3 of 16 and that the winner is now favourite for the Queen Mary Stakes tomorrow. Highly rated by the stable and they have brought in Dettori to replace Fanning as the jockey.

[Aykay1]

Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 Both unplaced yesterday :( 305 Ascot - Lush Lashes - 10 points win @ 2.7 betfair (£3,564 available to back) - (NAP) Has the best form on paper and can be excused flopping last time out as that was on heavy ground that she wouldnt have liked. Has won over course and distance on this type of ground and is the most likely winner. 455 Ascot - Dont Tell Mary - 5 pts ew @ 9/2 VCBet A competitive race but I have gone for her on the basis of her last run, which she won, beating 12 previous winners.

[Aykay1]

Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 2 losers yesterday, its been a poor Ascot so far for me. Lets see if I can salvage something on the last day :ok 345 - Ascot - Kings Apostle- 5pts ew @ 9/1 ladbrokes (NAP) Has improved for the application of headgear, which is on today. Found 5f too sharp on his reappearance this season but ran a great race last time out, when despite conceding 3lb's to the rest of the field finished 2nd only 1/2 length behinf Utmost Respect, despite a disadvantageous double figure draw (the first 5 home were drawn 6, 11, 5, 7, 4. Has good form at Adcot, is a course and distance winner and can go well.