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Time for a NAP: 2009


Aykay1

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Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 155 Haydock - Kandjar D’Allier 5pts ew @ 7/1 coral (NAP) This one has been reported in the racing press as being fancied by connections and its easy to see why. He has a great record over this c&d, will handle the testing ground and is on a fair mark. Won well last time and has a nice racing weight below 11 stone, which has historically been a bonus for this in the past. 300 Haydock - Massinis Maguire 10 points win @ 3.35 betfair Decent over hurdles, winner of the Ballymore Properties in 2007, he looked impressive on his chasing debut only to jump badly subsequently at Kempton behind R&SA market leader Breedsbreeze. The majority of the field had obvious issues with jumping that day, due to shadows in front of the fences causing confusion. The 3 mile trip there seemed to stretch him so the drop to 2m 4f should bring some improvement. 325 Ascot - Miss Mitch 2.5 pts ew @ 9/1 ladbrokes Had some good form over hurdles and looked ready to translate that to fences after looking impressive on her chasing debut last season. Jumping has been an issue, most botably when running a big race in a Class 1 at Newbury. 2 confidence boosters were given over hurdles which seems to have worked the trick as last time out she ran an excellent race behind 2 very decent horses. 325 Ascot - King Louis 2.5 pts ew @ 18/1 sportingbet One who will welcome this step up in trip and better ground is King Louis who had been out of sorts this season after showing considerable promise last season. Ran here last time and finished well over a shorter trip and seems to be running into some form last time. He is on a slipping mark and can take advantage soon. 410 Haydock - Fabalu 2.5pts ew @ 12/1 bluesq Highly thought of - good form in bumpers, only beaten by the well regarded Inchidaly Rock And has battled well over hurdles so far. This is a step up but looks to have the right attitude to handle it.

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Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 250 Hereford - Pennek 5 pts ew @ 7/2 totesport (NAP) Has been running in good company in his brief hurdling carrer behind such types as Big Bucks, Ballydubs and Punchestowns. Up in trip here, which should suit he can be expected to improve and can win this easier race.

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Re: Time for a NAP: 2009

250 Hereford - Pennek 5 pts ew @ 7/2 totesport (NAP) Has been running in good company in his brief hurdling carrer behind such types as Big Bucks, Ballydubs and Punchestowns. Up in trip here, which should suit he can be expected to improve and can win this easier race.
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Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 140 Warwick - Finzi 2.5pts ew @ 16/1 betfred This one isnt in the greatest of form but has slipped to a mark 1lb higher than he last won off and has ideal conditions today, racing on his favourite track with favoured testing ground. A past winner of this race, his record at Warwick is 32124344, whilst his 5 wins have come on soft, soft, heavy, good/soft, heavy at distances ranging from 22f - 30f. The 2 market leaders look strong and will take some beating but I wouldnt be surprised to see Finzi bounce back to some kind of form today and is worth a small each way. 500 Wolves - Focail Eile 5pts ew @ 4/1 paddypower (NAP) Improved for step up to this distance on his last few runs with his 2nd in maiden copmpany working out well - he finished in front of 2 subsequent winners that day. His run last time out was encouraging, another 2nd place but with the fornt 2 pulling 12 lengths clear. He makes his debut for the Kelleway stable today and the jockey booking of Spencer could be significant. He has a 50% record for the stable on the all weather.

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Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 Finzi - unplaced :( Focail Eile - 1st :) Sorry about the figures, I am having wireless connection problems at the moment which is limiting my internet access. Will update them ASAP as they are looking quite good at the moment :lol One today: 325 Lingfield - Scamperdale: 5pts ew @ 14/1 william hill (NAP) Hit a purple patch this time last year when he racked up a 4 timer - his last winning mark was 82., which he runs off agains today for the first time after struggling a little off marks in the late 80's. Had a lot asked of him in his first 2 runs this year, running in Listed company and subsequently in a class 2 handicap finishing well down the field. Last time however he ran in a grade he is much more accustomed to and ran well to finish 5th. The form of that looks strong with all of those in front of him in good form at the time and the winner winning again since. Of those he reopposes, Stand Guard may need to come down in the weights a touch to start winning again while Dream of Fortune can be rated the main danger.

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Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 205 Cheltenham - Too Forward 5pts ew @ 14/1 bet365 Conditions absolutely ideal today. His record on soft/heavy reads 121711 with the 7th coming when not staying over 3 ½ miles. Has run respectably off higher marks this season and has a big pull in the weights with Stan who is not guaranteed to like this ground and can run into a place. 235 – Chelt – Nozic 5pts ew @ 5/1 >william hill Last time out winners have provided 7 of the last 14 winners from only 19 entries. Nozic is the only qualifier on that front after an impressive effort last time and will relish conditions. 325 Doncaster - Big Fella Thanks 5 pts ew @ 5/1 sportingbet (NAP) Was one of my horses to follow this year but has proved a bit temperamental. Was going well when fell last time. And is worth another chance racing off the same mark 420 Cheltenham – The Jazz Musician 5 pts ew @ 12/1 sportingbet The racing post describe this one as “could be anything”. The stable like him and commented in the RFO trainer file recently that he is potentially the best young horse they have ever had in the yard. He has performed with credit in every run, but has the misfortune of keeps on bumping into very good horses. This is open and should handle the ground ok having won on soft last time.

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Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 That's not very encouraging! :lol Huge if he lines up though and I dont see a reason why connections shouldnt at least think about giving him an entry. He is entered in a 3m4f chase at Haydock on Valentines day which features familiar Grand National entries such as Comply or Die, Monkerhostin, Character Building, Cornish Sett and D'Argent. I think i'll take that 26/1 for a place actually :ok

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Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 820 Wolves - Wiltshire - 5 pts ew @ 11/1 betdirect (NAP) Looks to be running into form with 2 good runs most recently. Last time out he competed well with higher rated rivals, despite having a tough task at the weights. Penultimately, his 2nd place now looks more impressive as the winner has gone in since and the 3rd has won too. He is 7 lb's higher than his last winning weight but is running well and is worth an each way bet.

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Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 One for tomorrow as I wont get a chance to post beforehand: 410 Doncaster - Little Al - 5 pts ew @ SP (NAP) Decent bumper form, but has been getting outpaced on good ground, will improve for softer and trainer expects him to win a staying novice hurdle before going chasing next season. Has his favoured conditions here which should bring about some improvement.

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Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 Wilshere and Little Al unplaced :( First bet for Feb: 300 Musselburgh – Kalahari King – 10 pts win @ 1.97 betfair (NAP)<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

A high class hurdler, this one looked a good chaser in the making after winning his first 2 starts over fences well. Last time out he was beaten into 2nd by Doctor David (beaten yesterday) although that was on soft ground, of which the stable has been vocal in confirming isn’t for him.

So whilst todays good ground wil be very much welcomed by Ferdy Murphy, it is unlikely the same can be said of Palomars connections, who has done all his winning on rain softened ground. There is also a question mark over the trip for that one whilst Kalahari King is a distance winner over hurdles.

The only other realistic contender looks Astarador, who to me looks a bit short of top class. Kalahari King can win here on route to the arkle.

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Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 Queen Mother Champion Chase (without master Minded) - Briareus 5pts ew @ 9/1 bet365<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

Its widely accepted that if Master Minded stays on his feet, he wins this. That allows some good each way value, or alternatively, makes this type of market interesting.

The best alternative for me is BRIAREUS. Had some good form over hurdles, confirmed by a decent run in the Champion Hurdle in 2006 behind Brave Inca. However, he has always been a chaser in the making but injury put his career on hold for a couple of years. His chasing form is good though, especially this year since his comeback. Has beaten Imsingingtheblues, who has in turn beaten <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" />CalgaryBay and Doctor David and finds himself an Arkle contender. Following that Briareus ran a creditable 4th behind Kauto Star, Albertas Run and Voy Por Ustedes in the King George.

This trip is more up his street and whilst he will be no match for Master Minded, its entirely possible this race could cut up due to Master Mindeds presence scaring trainers off.

That wouldn’t trouble Briareus who according to trainer Balding “is better in a small field with daylight”. Coupled with the fact he wants to go left handed means that the conditions of the race could fall right for him come the day.

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Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 110 Kempton - Pancake 10 points win @ 11/4 >bet365 (NAP) Has been going close in recent runs but has been in need of a drop in trip from 3m . Todays should be ideal and with the ground in his favour too. we should see some improvement from his last 2 runs.

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Re: Time for a NAP: 2009 410 Lingfield - Everybody Knows - 5pts ew @ 9/2 skybet In good form especially over this C&D. Runner up last time, the 1st and 3rd have gone on to win in better company so the form looks decent. The winner Trafalgar square lines up today and is an obvious threat, especially after a good run in a class 2 last time, but he is 7lb’s worse off with Everybody Knows for the Lingfield run, in which he had a dream passage in the closing stages. I fancy Everybody Knows to reverse the form.<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

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