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Racing Chat - Monday 25th July


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1710 Galway
#1 As Tears Go By won over 2m 1f at Sligo last time on hurdle debut should be there for the Elliott / Kennedy combo
#2 HMS Seahorse  won over 1m 4f at Curragh last month and has been credible over hurdles for example 4th in the Fred Winter at Cheltenham at the festival probably is the one to beat
#3 Sawbuck won at 300/1 back in May at Punchestown but has since pulled up at Wexford over 2m, looking elsewhere as 300/1 seems a fluke run
#4 Celtic Scraks pulled up on debut at Cork on the 8th July, hood reached for
#5 Elzvale well beaten 10th at Kilbeggan on hurdle debut 
#6 Mr Sundancer last seen finishing 8th at Cartmel over 2m 6f significantly down in trip did win on NHF debut at Wincanton over 1m 7f back in December 
#7 Razdan has only had 1 hurdle start back in September 2021 finishing 3rd at Ballinrobe one to possibly like
#8 Whip Whitaker 5th on debut over 2m 3f at Kilbeggan on the 15th July and is down in trip here
#9 Gaoth Chuil  won last time at Tipperary in a NHF contest other 3 NHF races finished 2nd every time be interesting to see how it jumps a hurdle
#10 Royal Eagle well beaten on 2 previous hurdle starts  finished 2nd at Dundalk over 1m 4f a fortnight ago

Verdict: HMS Seahorse should win this comfortably, As Tears Go By also has to be respected but im slightly interested in #6 Mr Sundancer having won over 1m 7f (and a little bit) at Wincanton on rules debut and placed at Hereford and Perth over 2m before a 2m 6f hurdle debut  and at a price for a 2m Hurdle might be just tempting for 3rd place definitely not a napping horse but is interesting       

50/1 E/W Bet365
13/2 Bet365 to Place

Edited by ipswich45
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Just a few singles bets today as prices are generally short and I have no enthusiasm for a multiple.  May look at Windsor later if I can make time

2.45 Ayr Starshiba 0.5 ew at 5/1 and Spacer 0.5 ew at 5/1 (4TBP, rare offer on Sportsbook, @MCLARKE should be proud of me, haha

3.20 Ayr Tilsit 0.5 win at 13/2

2.25 N Abb Mascat 2.5 pts win at 2.98 = poss profit of 4.85 (my PL nap today)

3.00 N Abb Nelsons Rock 1 pt win at 4.9 (has to bounce back)

3.35 N Abb Manor Park 1 pt win at 10/30

Total stakes = 7 pts

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RESULTS UPDATE

Awful run by my Nap bet.  The horse was up 8 lbs and although it was a penalised last time out winner I wouldn't expect it to be beaten 18 length!.  I have no idea why I only put half a point on Tilsit, it should have been 1 point, I think I confused myself over the price as opposed as opposed to the horse's rank in having a chance to win.  I did get rewarded a place with Starshiba coming fourth.  I don't have the enthusiasm to open loads of betting accounts to take advantage of the extra places offered by the many bookmakers trying to suck in mug punters.  Obviously the shrewdies on the forum will gain handsomely from the offers.  My loss today was 2.25 pts so no disaster.  MTD -29.65 & YTD -172.67

It is Glorious Goodwood tomorrow.  Very low class racing at Yarmouth and Beverley.  Worcester & Perth offer some class 3 and 4 races for those who may need some respite from the heat of the class action at Goodwood.

Edited by The Equaliser
RESULTS UPDATE
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Windsor. 

Single. 

7.00. A Sure Welcome.     11/2.... 2nd 

Ffos Las. 

Lucky 15. 

6.50. Hope Probe.    3/1.... 3rd 

7.25.  Tamilla                      4/9.... 1st 

8.00. Shockwaves                   7/4....unpl 

8.30. Me Next.      8/1..... unpl 

Good luck all.            

Edited by kensland
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20 hours ago, ipswich45 said:

#10 Royal Eagle well beaten on 2 previous hurdle starts  finished 2nd at Dundalk over 1m 4f a fortnight ago

won at 18/1, HMS Seahorse finished 3rd  and my selection 6th

Edited by ipswich45
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