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On 5/24/2017 at 11:38 PM, Xtc12 said:

Blairs Cove 14.10 Warwick 1 Pt Win @ 6\5 (bog) - enhanced price available

Showed ability in Irish bumpers for previous yard and promising start over hurdles for new connections, second at Cheltenham before readily justifying short odds over C&D. The one to beat. 

2nd - Held up mid-division, headway 4 out, went 3rd before 2 out, chased winner before last, kept on and held run-in

On 5/24/2017 at 11:38 PM, Xtc12 said:

Zamira 19.15 Tipperary 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 (bog) - enhanced price available

Lightly-raced winner. 1 win from 3 runs this year when winning a 7-runner maiden (11/4) at Roscommon (12f, good) 17 days ago, keeping on well. Trainer going well. On the upgrade recently.

1st @ 5\2 - Led, 4 lengths clear halfway, reduced lead approaching straight, ridden 2f out and soon strongly pressed, under pressure and kept on well inside final furlong

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Sasini 16.05 Haydock 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog) - enhanced price available

Bred to be useful and left debut run in July well behind her when finding only a good prospect too strong in a Nottingham maiden a fortnight ago. Sets the standard, and the type to go on improving.

Station Closed 18.45 Down Royal 1 Pt Win @ 3\1 (bog) - enhanced price available

Career best when winning 15-runner handicap hurdle at Downpatrick (21.4f, good, 16/1) 7 days ago. Booking of Russell a plus. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Should continue to give a good account.

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9 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Sasini 16.05 Haydock 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog) - enhanced price available

Bred to be useful and left debut run in July well behind her when finding only a good prospect too strong in a Nottingham maiden a fortnight ago. Sets the standard, and the type to go on improving.

2nd - Slowly into stride, soon led, ridden over 1f out, kept on and caught post

9 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Station Closed 18.45 Down Royal 1 Pt Win @ 3\1 (bog) - enhanced price available

Career best when winning 15-runner handicap hurdle at Downpatrick (21.4f, good, 16/1) 7 days ago. Booking of Russell a plus. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Should continue to give a good account.

1st @ 5\1 - Chased leaders, 5th halfway, ridden after 2 out, stayed on into 2nd last, kept on well run-in to lead close home

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Fortified Bay 19.30 Ffos Las 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog) - enhanced price available

Perth bumper winner who matched rather than built on previous hurdles form when 6 lengths second at Fakenham (20f) recently. Jumping not so assured then but player once more in any case. 

Clemmie 13.50 Curragh 1 Pt Win @ 11\4 (bog) - enhanced price available

Foaled February 14. Galileo filly. Sister to high-class winner up to 1m Churchill. Highly respected on debut and is preferred by Ryan Moore. Wears tongue strap.

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Cave Hunter 16.55 Kelso 1 Pt Win @ 2\1 (bog) - enhanced price available

Won this race for the last 2 years. Well held on completed start in hunters this year but a point win last weekend suggests he's back in good form as he goes in search of the hat-trick. 

Brick By Brick 13.50 Curragh 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog) - enhanced price available

25/1, second of 18 in maiden at Navan (5.8f, good to firm) on debut 34 days ago. That form is working out pretty well and an entry in the Railway Stakes suggests that he's well-regarded.

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On 5/26/2017 at 10:18 PM, Xtc12 said:

Fortified Bay 19.30 Ffos Las 1 Pt Win @ 6\4

3rd - Led, ridden and headed before 2 out, rallied and every chance between last 2, no extra in 3rd flat

On 5/26/2017 at 10:18 PM, Xtc12 said:

Clemmie 13.50 Curragh 1 Pt Win @ 11\4

3rd - Dwelt, raced towards rear, 14th halfway and pushed along, switched left under 2f out, headway over 1f out, stayed on well final furlong, not quite reach front pair

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8 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Cave Hunter 16.55 Kelso 1 Pt Win @ 2\1

UR - Close up, led before 2nd, blundered badly and unseated rider 2nd

8 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Brick By Brick 13.50 Curragh 1 Pt Win @ 7\4

4th - Led, ridden and headed 1 1/2f out, no impression on winner 1f out, dropped to 4th close home

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Bafana Choice 17.40 Cartmel 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog) - enhanced price available

Has carried good points form back over to Rules, second in similar events at Kelso and Hexham. Likely to go well again.

The Princetonian 21.00 Ballinrobe 1 Pt Win @ Evs (bog) - enhanced price available

Promising sort. 8/1, second of 16 in bumper at Killarney (17f, good) 15 days ago, running on. Sets the bar pretty high.

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On 5/28/2017 at 9:47 PM, Xtc12 said:

Bafana Choice 17.40 Cartmel 1 Pt Win @ 7\4

6th - Tracked leader, led before 3rd, not fluent 8th, headed 9th, led again after next, jumped left and headed 4 out, beaten before last bend, plugged on

On 5/28/2017 at 9:47 PM, Xtc12 said:

The Princetonian 21.00 Ballinrobe 1 Pt Win @ Evs

2nd - Chased leaders early, mid-division in 8th halfway, progress in 6th 4f out, ridden in 4th 3f out, under pressure in 5th 2f out, kept on final furlong to 3rd close home

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Cashla Bay 15.20 Leicester 1 Pt Win @ 11\8 (bog) - enhanced price available

Well-bred filly with some strong form, winning 7f Newmarket maiden when last seen. In the Coronation Stakes and seems sure to be better than a handicapper.

Timi Roli 18.30 Ballinrobe 1 Pt Win @ 11\8 (bog) - enhanced price available

Made the frame all 3 starts in maiden company, latest when third of 15 at this course (17.2f, good to firm) 28 days ago. Worth a try at this longer trip and is a leading contender.

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9 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Cashla Bay 15.20 Leicester 1 Pt Win @ 11\8

3rd - Took keen hold, soon switched towards far side and led overall, ridden and headed over 1f out, kept on same pace inside final furlong

9 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Timi Roli 18.30 Ballinrobe 1 Pt Win @ 11\8

2nd - Led, jumped left, 2 lengths lead when jumped badly left last, under pressure and kept on run-in, headed close home

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GB 23 Ire 24

Strike Rate : GB  36.51 % Ire 44.44%

Profit (Flat) : GB -1.88 Ire 20.90

Profit (IAL) : GB -19.61 Ire 89.77 

GB

Bets 63

Wins 23

SR 36.51%

Profit (Level Stakes) -1.88

Profit (IAL) -19.61

Ireland

Bets 54

Wins 24

SR 44.44%

Profit (Level Stakes) 20.90

Profit (IAL) 89.77

we also had 6 days out of the 54, where we had a double. 

Winners seem to have dried up a bit this week. 6 without a win in GB while we are 4 without a win in Ireland.

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Man Of Steel 16.10 Cartmel 1 Pt Win @ Evns (bog) - enhanced price available

Multiple point winner building up a good strike rate in hunters, more superior than the bare margin over the runner-up suggests when striking at Fontwell last time. Can nail back-to-back wins. (This will be my 3rd Hunters Chase this week not a winner in sight)  :$.

Someday 19.30 Punchestown 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog) - enhanced price available

One win from 3 runs last season. Winner in bumper at Leopardstown in February. Very interesting now making hurdles debut. 

 

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On 5/30/2017 at 10:26 PM, Xtc12 said:

Man Of Steel 16.10 Cartmel 1 Pt Win @ Evns (bog)

1st @ 2.38 - Tracked leaders, joined leader 6 out, led 2 out, soon clear, eased last 100 yards

On 5/30/2017 at 10:26 PM, Xtc12 said:

Someday 19.30 Punchestown 1 Pt Win @ 5\4

3rd - Tracked leaders, improved to lead after 4 out, joined 2 out, soon ridden and headed, no impression in moderate 3rd at last, kept on same pace

Edited by Xtc12
Change price of Man of Steel
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Ascendant 19.00 Ffos Las 1 Pt Win @ 2\1 (bog) - enhanced price available

Fairly useful hurdler who fell early on when last seen in this sphere but has scored on the Flat since and has to be of interest on these terms.

Verhoyen 17.45 Fairyhouse 1 Pt Win @ 3\1 (bog) - enhanced price available

Thrice-raced colt. 20/1 and hooded for 1st time, ½-length second of 7 to True Blue Moon in listed race at Naas (5f, soft) 11 days ago, nearest finish. Sets the bar pretty high.

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8 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Ascendant 19.00 Ffos Las 1 Pt Win @ 2\1

1st @ 10\3 - Chased leaders, 3rd after 2nd, led last, hard ridden and pressed run-in, always just holding on

8 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Verhoyen 17.45 Fairyhouse 1 Pt Win @ 3\1

Non Runner

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Sutter County 17.15 Epsom 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog) - enhanced price available

Consistent colt who produced his best effort yet when making all on handicap debut at Goodwood (7f, good) recently. Should prove a tough nut to crack.

Decision Time 20.45 Tramore 1 Pt Win @ 11\10 (bog) - enhanced price available

Fair form. Good third of 14 in bumper (9/2) at Wexford (16f, good) 27 days ago, running on. Obvious claims.

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On 6/1/2017 at 10:23 PM, Xtc12 said:

Sutter County 17.15 Epsom 1 Pt Win @ 7\4

7th - Tracked leader 2f, chased leaders, slightly hampered 4f out, pushed along halfway, ridden and beaten 2f out, eased when no chance inside final furlong

 

On 6/1/2017 at 10:23 PM, Xtc12 said:

Decision Time 20.45 Tramore 1 Pt Win @ 11\10

2nd - Chased leader, disputed after 4f, led halfway, ridden and pressed 1f out, narrowly headed final 100 yards, kept on, no extra close home

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No Such Number 16.45 Hexham 1 Pt Win @ 6\5 (bog) - enhanced price available

Clearly rejuvenated since joining current yard, completing a double a C&D double in May when powering away from his rivals 11 days ago. Hat-trick definitely on the cards.

Heron Heights 20.30 Tramore 1 Pt Win @ 13\8 (bog) - enhanced price available

Four wins from 9 runs last season. Good third of 13 in handicap chase (16/1) at Punchestown (24.6f, good to soft) 35 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Has good chance on form.

 

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On 6/3/2017 at 8:25 AM, Xtc12 said:

No Such Number 16.45 Hexham 1 Pt Win @ 6\5

1st @ 11\8 - Tracked leaders in 3rd, went 2nd before 3 out, led 2 out, clear before last, eased run-in

On 6/3/2017 at 8:25 AM, Xtc12 said:

Heron Heights 20.30 Tramore 1 Pt Win @ 13\8

10th - Chased leaders, 4th from 3rd, 3rd from 6th, lost place after 3 out, soon no impression, weakened

1 hour ago, Xtc12 said:

Treasure Chest 14.20 Kilbeggan 1 Pt Win @ SP 

1st @ 10\1 - Settled mid-division, moderate 8th halfway, slightly hampered 4 out, progress into 4th 2 out, disputed 2nd and closed on leader after 2 out, improved to dispute before last, slight mistake last, ridden to assert run-in and kept on well

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Love Oasis 18.25 Ayr 1 Pt Win @ 11\8 (bog) - enhanced price available

11/2, excellent second of 9 in handicap at Hamilton (6f, good) 4 days ago, nearest finish. Looks one of the likelier types here.

Minella for Value 17.00 Listowel 1 Pt Win @ Evn (bog) - enhanced price available

Fairly useful chaser. Course winner. 4/6, 1½ lengths second of 8 to Sizing Solution in hunter chase at Killarney (22.4f, soft) 21 days ago, conceded first run. Visor on 1st time. Big claims.

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22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Love Oasis 18.25 Ayr 1 Pt Win @ 11\8

1st @ 13\8 - In touch, headway 2f out, pressed leader over 1f out, ridden to lead inside final furlong, ran on

22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Minella for Value 17.00 Listowel 1 Pt Win @ Evn

2nd - Led, headed before 3rd, 2nd halfway, pushed along entering straight and ridden after 2 out, kept on run-in, not reach winner

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Tell it to Me 21.05 Southwell 1 Pt Win @ 11\10 (bog) - enhanced price available

Lot to like about her on paper and gambled on ahead of last month's debut at Lusdlow, but could manage only third. Not unduly punished though, and she's very likely to step up on that.

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Deeds Not Words 15.20 Wolverhampton 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog) - enhanced price available

1 win from 3 runs this year. Improved on recent efforts to win 11-runner handicap (5/2) at Kempton (6f) 14 days ago. Makes tapeta debut. Has good chance on form.

Sir Jack Yeats 18.15 Wexford 1 Pt Win @ 7\2 (bog) - enhanced price available

7/2, good second of 15 in handicap hurdle at Tramore (21f, good) 5 days ago, conceding first run. Blinkers on 1st time. Looks competitive on form.

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14 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Deeds Not Words 15.20 Wolverhampton 1 Pt Win @ 7\4

1st @ 5\2 - In touch, wide and headway over 1f out, led inside final furlong, ran on

14 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Sir Jack Yeats 18.15 Wexford 1 Pt Win @ 7\2

1st @ 7\2 - Prominent and disputed lead briefly early, 2nd before 9th, on terms approaching 4 out, led approaching straight and soon went on, reduced lead when slight mistake last, stayed on well to assert run-in  

First double in a while paying 15.75\1 

Edited by Xtc12
Add the double
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GB 29 Ire 26

Strike Rate : GB  40.85 % Ire 43.33%

Profit (Flat) : GB 7.34 Ire 30.4

Profit (IAL) : GB 61.19 Ire 145.77 

GB

Bets 71

Wins 29

SR 40.85%

Profit (Level Stakes) 7.34

Profit (IAL) 61.19

Ireland

Bets 60

Wins 26

SR 43.33%

Profit (Level Stakes) 30.4

Profit (IAL) 145.77

we also had 7 days out of the 60, where we had a double. 

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