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Conflict Cup


Xtc12

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14 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Raydiance 18.50 Haydock 1 Pt Win @ 5\4

Non Runner

14 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Peregrine Run 19.15 Wexford 1 Pt Win @ 5\4

1st @ 5\4 - chased leaders, 3rd at 4th, closed up approaching straight, on terms 2 out, soon gained narrow lead, pushed out to assert closing stages. Needed that win for the system.

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Weeton 18.30 Carlisle 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog) - enhanced price available

Foaled 20 Apr. Half-brother to Ficelle, won twice at 6f. Beaten a head by John Kirkup when second of 10 at 15-2 on his racecourse debut over this course and distance (good to soft) last month.

Steamboat Quay 17.50 Bellewstown 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 (bog) - enhanced price available

Placed in two hurdle races from nine starts. Fell at the 4th when 5-2jt-fav at Down Royal over 2m 4f (good) in a hurdle race won by Triolet last month on his latest outing.

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22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Weeton 18.30 Carlisle 1 Pt Win @ 7\4

7th - Awkwardly away, keen early, held up behind, ridden over 2f out, never involved, weakened final furlong

22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Steamboat Quay 17.50 Bellewstown 1 Pt Win @ 5\2

1st @ 5\2 - Bumped at start and soon mid-division, slight mistake 6th and briefly pushed along, headway travelling well into 2nd 3 out, ridden to lead after 2 out, stayed on well inside final furlong

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Western Miller 13.50 Market Rasen 1 Pt Win @ 15\8 (bog) - enhanced price available

Tongue tie really aided his cause when back to winning ways at Bangor a month ago, making all in ready fashion. Up 8 lb, but a danger to all if allowed his own way.

Top of the Town 15.40 Limerick 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog) - enhanced price available

Fairly useful chaser. Career best when winning 8-runner novice chase (7/2) at Tipperary (23f, good) on debut over fences 59 days ago by 1½ lengths from Baily Moon, responding well. Hood back on.

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13 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Western Miller 13.50 Market Rasen 1 Pt Win @ 15\8

1st @ 11\4 - Raced keenly, made all, mainly clear throughout, hit 4th, kept on strongly, not fluent last, ridden out, unchallenged

13 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Top of the Town 15.40 Limerick 1 Pt Win @ 7\4

5th - Mid-division, not fluent 5th, 5th before 7 out, pushed along and no impression from 2 out

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Great Colaci 16.55 Ayr 1 Pt Win @ 11\4 (bog) - enhanced price available

First run since leaving Keith Reveley when 4/1, career best when winning 11-runner handicap at Musselburgh (7.2f, good to firm) 23 days ago. Shortlist material.

Alans Pride 18.55 Roscommon 1 Pt WIn @ 9\4 (bog) - enhanced price available

Latest win at Limerick in June. Creditable second of 15 in handicap at Tipperary (7.4f, good to firm, 5/2) 4 days ago. Leading claims.

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22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Great Colaci 16.55 Ayr 1 Pt Win @ 11\4

Non runner

22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Alans Pride 18.55 Roscommon 1 Pt WIn @ 9\4

2nd - Prominent, soon led, strongly pressed 1f out, kept on well, headed on line

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Dawn of Hope 15.10 Pontefract 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog) - enhanced price available

Landed Deauville listed event (9.5f) in November and back on track when good seventh in much stronger event at Royal Ascot last month. Holds obvious claims.

Ard na Carraig 18.55 Roscommon 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 (bog) - enhanced price available

Fair maiden on the Flat. Thrice-raced maiden under NH rules. Sixth of 17 in handicap at Leopardstown (15f, good, 13/2) 19 days ago. Switches from Flat to hurdles. Shortlisted. 

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22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Dawn of Hope 15.10 Pontefract 1 Pt Win @ 5\4

2nd - Held up in touch, chased leaders 2f out, ridden over 1f out, stayed on to challenge and every chance final 100 yards, just held

22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Ard na Carraig 18.55 Roscommon 1 Pt Win @ 5\2

3rd - Tracked leaders, disputed lead travelling well 3 out, led next and ridden, headed before last, 3rd after last, no extra

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Tie Em Up Tel 15.20 Catterick 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog) - enhanced price available

Lightly-raced winner. Career best when winning 8-runner seller at Windsor (6f, good to firm, 15/8) 23 days ago, keeping on well. Merits consideration.

Abstraction 16.35 Dundalk 1 Pt Win @ 9\2 (bog) - enhanced price available

C&D winner. Fifteen runs since last win in 2013. 16/1, bit below form 2½ lengths third of 10 to Hit The Bid in Listed race at Cork (5f, good to firm) 24 days ago. Has good chance on pick of form.

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Tie Em Up Tel 15.20 Catterick 1 Pt Win @ 5\4

4th - Chased leader, ridden to challenge over 1f out, every chance inside final furlong, 3rd and looked held when hampered final 100 yards, no extra

23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Abstraction 16.35 Dundalk 1 Pt Win @ 9\2

Prominent early, soon chased leader in 2nd, challenged 2f out, ridden and disputed 1 1/2f out, headed under 1f out, kept on same pace in 3rd inside final furlong

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Beach Break 16.25 Doncaster 1 Pt Win @ 2\1 (bog) - enhanced price available

Improved model in blinkers this term, going one place better than return in pretty ready fashion at Catterick (12f) last month. Runner-up scored next time, and he's interesting now handicapping.

Tb Broke Her 17.40 Downpatrick 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 (bog) - enhanced price available

Course winner. Eleven runs since last win in 2016. Very good second of 12 in handicap chase at this course (19.2f, good, 6/1) 25 days ago. Switches from chase to hurdles. Has good chance on form.

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On 7/12/2017 at 11:03 PM, Xtc12 said:

Beach Break 16.25 Doncaster 1 Pt Win @ 2\1

6th - Soon led, headed over 2f out, weakened inside final furlong

On 7/12/2017 at 11:03 PM, Xtc12 said:

Tb Broke Her 17.40 Downpatrick 1 Pt Win @ 5\2

6th - Mid-division and 4th after 5 out, pushed along before 3 out and soon ridden, not fluent in 6th 2 out, soon no extra and eased

On 7/14/2017 at 0:10 PM, Xtc12 said:

One Minute  14.05 York 1 Pt Win @ Evs

1st @ 11\10 - Made all, ridden inside final furlong, kept on well towards finish

On 7/14/2017 at 0:10 PM, Xtc12 said:

Dancing Doll 18.00 Navan 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 

4th - Towards rear, 5th halfway, dropped to 7th 2f out, ridden 1 1/2f out, kept on well final furlong, never nearer

On 7/15/2017 at 7:58 AM, Xtc12 said:

Barsanti 14.30 York 1 Pt Win @ Evs

2nd - Tracked leaders in 3rd place, headway over 3f out, ridden to challenge over 1f out, every chance inside final furlong, kept on and well held last 50 yards

On 7/15/2017 at 7:58 AM, Xtc12 said:

Severus 15.45 Curragh 1 Pt Win @ 3\1

1st @ 4\1 - Soon raced in 6th, pushed along to close from 2f out, 4th under 1f out, stayed on well inside final furlong to lead near line

 

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Western Miller 16.00 Southwell 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog)

5/2, career best when winning 6-runner handicap hurdle at Market Rasen (20.6f, good) 7 days ago, unchallenged. Another bold bid likely particularly with the run of things.

Kilcarry Bridge 16.35 Sligo 1 Pt Win @ 9\4 (bog)

Course winner. 8/1, career best when winning 10-runner handicap chase at Ballinrobe (23f, good to firm) 47 days ago, always holding on. Switches from chase to hurdles. Expected to be bang there.

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13 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Western Miller 16.00 Southwell 1 Pt Win @ 6\4

5th - Led, driven before 2 out, ridden and headed between last 2, weakened from last

13 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Kilcarry Bridge 16.35 Sligo 1 Pt Win @ 9\4

5th - Led, slight mistake 3 out, joined before next, soon headed, dropped to 4th before straight, no extra

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GB 41 Ire 33

Strike Rate : GB  40.19 % Ire 38.71%

Profit (Flat) : GB 9.18 Ire 28.38

Profit (IAL) : GB 96.35 Ire 162.98

GB

Bets 107

Wins 43

SR 40.19%

Profit (Level Stakes) 9.18

Profit (IAL) 96.35

Ireland

Bets 93

Wins 36

SR 38.71%

Profit (Level Stakes) 28.38

Profit (IAL) 162.98
 

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Don't believe I forgot to post here for Monday.

Picks were:

Lomu 14.30 Ayr - NR

Asking 19.00 Killarney - 3rd  (A. O Brien riding. This girl/Lady is a terrible jockey. :@ :moon )

Tuesday:

Imphal 16.30 Bath 1 Pt Win @ 11\10 (bog)

Lightly-raced winner. Cheekpieces on for 1st time, career best when winning 6-runner handicap at this C&D (firm, 5/2) 25 days ago. May well do better.

Fairy Flute 18.50 Killarney 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 (bog)

12/1, first run since leaving Charles O'Brien when very good second of 16 in handicap at Limerick (8f, good to firm) 31 days ago, finishing strongly. Has good chance on form.

 

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23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Imphal 16.30 Bath 1 Pt Win @ 11\10

1st @ 4\6 - Keen, made all, 6 lengths clear after 3f, reduced lead over 4f out, shaken up 2f out, pushed out, comfortable

23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Fairy Flute 18.50 Killarney 1 Pt Win @ 5\2

3rd - Mid-division early, 9th approaching halfway, ridden to go 6th 1f out, chased leaders and kept on same pace without threatening inside final furlong

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Manatee Bay 14.40 Catterick 1 Pt Win @ Evs (bog)

Fair gelding. Fourth of 9 in handicap (10/1) at Hamilton (6f, soft) 15 days ago, slowly away. Sets a high standard.

Airlie Beach 18.25 Killarney 1 Pt  Win @ 5\4 (bog)

16/1, 14 lengths second of 7 to Apple's Jade in Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Champion Hurdle at Punchestown (20f, good to soft) 81 days ago, having run of race. Stable in good form.

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22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Manatee Bay 14.40 Catterick 1 Pt Win @ Evs

3rd - Pushed along early to track leaders, ridden over 1f out, kept on one pace

22 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Airlie Beach 18.25 Killarney 1 Pt  Win @ 5\4

3rd - Led, ridden and pressed 1 1/2f out, strongly pressed inside final furlong, headed last 50 yards, dropped to 3rd at line

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Firefright 19.50 Doncaster 1 Pt Win @ 2\1 (bog)

Got the better of a couple of subsequent winners in C&D maiden in April. Below par on handicap bow next time, but back on track when a good third at Sandown recently and he's the one to beat.

Santa Monica 20.30 Leopardstown 1 Pt Win @ 3\1 (bog)

Cork Group 3 winner last month. Well held in Pretty Polly at the Curragh (10f, good, 66/1) 18 days ago but this easier and much respected. 

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14 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Firefright 19.50 Doncaster 1 Pt Win @ 2\1

1st @ 2\1 R4 - returned 2.90 - Broke well, took keen hold, tracked leaders, led just over 1f out, edged left and clear inside final furlong, readily

14 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Santa Monica 20.30 Leopardstown 1 Pt Win @ 3\1

Non Runner

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Regal Mirage 20.25 Hamilton 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

In fine form of late, landing back-to-back handicaps at this course (9.2f) and Ayr (10f) in recent weeks. Carries 6 lb penalty for latest success but looks the one to beat nonetheless.

Screaming Rose 20.00 Kilbeggan 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog)

Promising sort. Useful winner at 22f over hurdles. Second of 12 in novice chase (4/7) at Tramore (16f, good) on debut over fences 48 days ago. Trainer going well. Leading claims.

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On 7/21/2017 at 7:27 AM, Xtc12 said:

Regal Mirage 20.25 Hamilton 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

1st @ 5\2 - Tracked leader who went clear 9f out, closed 3f out, led over 2f out, clear inside final furlong, readily

On 7/21/2017 at 7:27 AM, Xtc12 said:

Screaming Rose 20.00 Kilbeggan 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog)

2nd - Towards rear, slow jump 3rd, good progress from 3 out and soon went 3rd, slow jump next and soon bumped, ridden and hampered last, no impression and kept on into 2nd closing stages

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Tulip Fever 19.15 Lingfield 1 Pt Win @ 6\5 (bog)

Thrice-raced with 1 win from 3 runs this year at York in June. Evens, third of 6 in minor event at Bath (5.7f, firm) 24 days ago. Makes handicap debut. Expected to be bang there.

Alans Pride 14.50 Gowran Park 1 Pt Win @ 15\8 (bog)

Latest win at Limerick in June. 6/4, creditable second of 15 in handicap at Roscommon (7f, good to soft) 12 days ago, clear of rest. Tops the shortlist here.

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11 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Tulip Fever 19.15 Lingfield 1 Pt Win @ 6\5

1st @ 6\5 - Made all, kept on well, pushed out, just held on

11 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Alans Pride 14.50 Gowran Park 1 Pt Win @ 15\8

Non Runner

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Wynford 16.40 Stratford 1 Pt Win @ 11\10 (bog)

First run since leaving David Loughnane, tongue strap on for 1st time, improved when winning 12-runner handicap hurdle (5/2) at Uttoxeter (15.8f, good) 38 days ago. Open to further progress.

Bhutan 14.05 Tipperary 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

Fairly useful Flat winner. Well held on hurdles debut at Leopardstown in February, but that was in Grade 1 company and this is a far more realistic assignment.

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