Conflict Cup

[Xtc12]

9 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Demons Rock 16.50 Chester 1 Pt Win @ 9\4

1st @ 9\4 - Made all, ridden over 1f out, soon clear, kept on strongly

9 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

King Leon 14.45 Galway 1 Pt Win @ 15\2

9th - Towards rear, 13th approaching 5 out, some headway before 2 out, no extra approaching last where slow jump

[Xtc12]

GB 57 Ire 39

Strike Rate : GB  44.88 % Ire 35.45%

Profit (Flat) : GB 26.42 Ire 20.58

Profit (IAL) : GB 156.54 Ire 132.18

GB

Bets 127

Wins 57

SR 44.88%

Profit (Level Stakes) 26.42

Profit (IAL) 156.54

Ireland

Bets 110

Wins 39

SR 35.45%

Profit (Level Stakes) 20.58

Profit (IAL) 132.18

[Xtc12]

Awfaa 15.30 Salisbury 1 Pt Win @ 13\8 (bog)

Twice-raced filly. 8/1, second of 7 in maiden at Newmarket (8f, good to soft) 17 days ago. Sets the standard.

Coquin Mans 15.35 Cork 1 Pt Win @ Evs (bog)

Useful hurdler. One win from 1 run last season. Won 8-runner minor event hurdle at Wexford (24f, soft, 4/6) 61 days ago, plenty in hand. May well do even better and seems the one to beat.

[Xtc12]

23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Awfaa 15.30 Salisbury 1 Pt Win @ 13\8

4th - Tracked leaders, ridden and every chance over 1f out, no extra towards finish

23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Coquin Mans 15.35 Cork 1 Pt Win @ Evs

1st @ Evs - Took keen hold early, soon raced in 2nd, on terms approaching straight, led 2 out, asserted between last 2, stayed on well, easily

[Xtc12]

Iconic Sunset 14.00 Leicester 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)

Fine efforts in second over this sort of trip the last twice and will pick up a race soon.

St. Brelades Bay 18.00 Cork 1 Pt Win @ 3\1 (bog)

Very good second of 10 in handicap at the Curragh (7f, good to firm, 10/1) 10 days ago. Solid claims if turning up in similar form.

[Xtc12]

On 8/7/2017 at 11:21 PM, Xtc12 said:

Iconic Sunset 14.00 Leicester 1 Pt Win @ 5\4

8th - Prominent, led over 3f out, ridden and headed 2f out, soon beaten, weakened inside final furlong

On 8/7/2017 at 11:21 PM, Xtc12 said:

St. Brelades Bay 18.00 Cork 1 Pt Win @ 3\1

8th - Chased leaders on outer, 3rd over 3f out and soon ridden, no impression and weakened from over 1f out

[Xtc12]

Imphal 18.15 Yarmouth 1 Pt Win @ 6\5 (bog)

Promising sort. 2 wins from 3 runs this year. Career best when winning 4-runner handicap (4/6) at Bath (13f, firm) 22 days ago, readily. Shortlist material.

Roconga 17.25 Sligo 1 Pt Win @ Evs (bog)

Promising sort. One win from 3 runs last season. Useful winner at 12f on flat. 5/1, bit below form fourth of 9 in minor event chase at Wexford (16f, good) 33 days ago. Stands out on form.

[Xtc12]

23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Imphal 18.15 Yarmouth 1 Pt Win @ 6\5

Non Runner

23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Roconga 17.25 Sligo 1 Pt Win @ Evs

2nd - Tracked leaders, headway into 2nd before 7th, challenged approaching last, ridden run-in and no impression on winner final 100 yards

[Xtc12]

Wealth Tax 20.20 Sandown 1 Pt Win @ 11\8 (bog)

Further improvement when winning at Nottingham in the mud last week, pushed out. 7 lb claimer offsets penalty and big chance again.

Abyssinian 20.25 Leopardstown 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)

Promising sort. Second of 10 in maiden at Killarney (14f, good to soft, 6/1) 22 days ago. Trainer going well. Blinkers on 1st time. One to consider.

[Xtc12]

23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Wealth Tax 20.20 Sandown 1 Pt Win @ 11\8

1st @ 6\4 - Close up, headway over 2f out, ridden to lead approaching final furlong, edged left inside final furlong, ran on

23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Abyssinian 20.25 Leopardstown 1 Pt Win @ 5\4

1st @ 5\4 - Tracked leader in 2nd, led after 1f, pushed along and asserted under 2f out, ridden over 1f out, kept on well, comfortably

Small double today. 

[Xtc12]

Sorority 14.00 Musselburgh 1 Pt Win @ 2\1 (bog)

Thrice-raced maiden. 5/1, third of 6 in minor event at Epsom (6f, good) 29 days ago. Has improved with each run and was taking on much stronger opposition last time, so looks sure to go well.

Treasuring 17.50 Tipperary 1 Pt Win @ 6\5 (bog)

Lightly-raced winner. Winner at Navan in June. Below form second of 6 in minor event at Down Royal (5f, good to soft, 4/6) 14 days ago. Makes handicap debut. 

[Xtc12]

On 8/10/2017 at 11:19 PM, Xtc12 said:

Sorority 14.00 Musselburgh 1 Pt Win @ 2\1

2nd - Led, ridden over 1f out, headed towards finish

On 8/10/2017 at 11:19 PM, Xtc12 said:

Treasuring 17.50 Tipperary 1 Pt Win @ 6\5

1st @ 6\5 - Soon led, stayed on best inside final furlong, eased near finish

[Xtc12]

Vindicator 17.00 Redcar 1 Pt Win @ 11\8 (bog)

Career best when winning 11-runner handicap (4/1) at Thirsk (12f, good to soft) 8 days ago, keeping on well. Expected to be bang there against his elders.

The Trigger 18.30 Kilbeggan 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog)

Fair winner at 23f in chases. 11/10, career best when winning 8-runner handicap chase at Stratford (22.6f, good) 9 days ago, storming clear. Switches from chase to hurdles. Expected to be bang there.

[Xtc12]

15 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Vindicator 17.00 Redcar 1 Pt Win @ 11\8

2nd - Tracked leaders, headway over 2f out, led over 1f out, soon hard pressed, kept on and headed final 25 yards

15 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

The Trigger 18.30 Kilbeggan 1 Pt Win @ 6\4

2nd - Tracked leader, 3rd after 5th, improved to 2nd 4 out, ridden after 2 out, kept on well run-in to strongly challenge leader closing stages, just failed

[Xtc12]

Major Valentine 16.35 Windsor 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 (bog)

Has had an excellent season, winning 5 times, and probably just bogged down in testing conditions at Nottingham recently, so every chance he'll be back on his game.

Sizzling 15.00 Curragh 1 Pt Win @ Evs (bog)

Promising sort. Third of 10 in maiden at Galway (7f, good to soft, 7/4) 12 days ago, caught further back than ideal. Stable having good spell. Another bold show likely.

[Xtc12]

On 8/13/2017 at 0:25 AM, Xtc12 said:

Major Valentine 16.35 Windsor 1 Pt Win @ 5\2

2nd - Pushed along early, chased leading pair, kept on inside final furlong, went 2nd close home

On 8/13/2017 at 0:25 AM, Xtc12 said:

Sizzling 15.00 Curragh 1 Pt Win @ Evs

2nd - Broke well, prominent and disputed lead, 2nd halfway, led over 2f out, pushed along over 1f out, strongly pressed and kept on inside final furlong, headed close home

[Xtc12]

Anna Medici 20.20 Wolverhampton 1 Pt Win @ 6\4 (bog)

Winner of 7f handicaps at Chelmsford and Yarmouth in recent weeks. Up 7 lb but it may not stop her with further progress very much on cards. 

Rosie Alice 20.00 Ballinrobe 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

Twelve runs since last win in 2015. Creditable second of 17 in handicap hurdle (3/1) at Galway (16.5f, good) 12 days ago, staying on well. Significantly back up in trip. Serious contender.

[Xtc12]

14 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Anna Medici 20.20 Wolverhampton 1 Pt Win @ 6\4

1st @ 7\2 - Slowly into stride, soon in touch on outside, headway over 2f out, ran on to lead inside final furlong, just held on

14 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Rosie Alice 20.00 Ballinrobe 1 Pt Win @ 7\4

2nd - Held up in touch, 5th before 7th, improved to get on terms approaching last, narrowly headed and kept on without quite matching winner run-in

[Xtc12]

GB 59 Ire 42

Strike Rate : GB  43.28 % Ire 35.59%

Profit (Flat) : GB 26.42 Ire 19.03

Profit (IAL) : GB 162.54 Ire 118.93

GB

Bets 134

Wins 59

SR 43.28%

Profit (Level Stakes) 26.42

Profit (IAL) 162.54

Ireland

Bets 118

Wins 42

SR 35.59%

Profit (Level Stakes) 19.03

Profit (IAL) 118.93

 

Just a word on jockeys from the 252 races in total. Below is a list of riders strike rate with three or more rides.

               Rides/Wins/SR   

A.Atzeni    5    1    20%
H.Skelton    3    0    0%
J.Fanning    3    1    33%
J.Crowley    5    2    40%
N.De Boinville    3    2    67%
P.Cosgrave    3    1    33%
P.Hanagan    7    2    29%
S De Souza    5    3    60%

A O Brien    4    0    0%
B.Cooper    3    1    33%
C.Keane    3    3    100%
C O Donoghue    3    0    0%
D.McDonagh    5    0    0%
D O Brien    4    2    50%
D.Meyler    3    1    33%
J.Heffernan    8    3    38%
K.Manning    4    1    25%
Mr P.Mullins    3    2    67%
PJ Smullen    13    8    62%
R.Walsh    8    3    38%
R.Moore    5    0    0%

In the Irish section interesting to see Ana O Brien and Ryan Moore both have a 0% SR.

 

[Xtc12]

Fantasy Justifier 19.55 Nottingham 1 Pt Win @ 9\2 (bog)

C&D winner and took a step back in the right direction when third at Lingfield last time. Interesting in first-time cheekpieces.

[Xtc12]

23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Fantasy Justifier 19.55 Nottingham 1 Pt Win @ 9\2

2nd - Chased leaders, ridden to lead over 1f out, headed and no extra towards finish

[Xtc12]

Dance Rock 17.50 Bangor 1 Pt Win @ 11\8 (bog)

Showed ability in a Bath Flat maiden in May and promising start over hurdles when second at Cartmel (17f, soft) 3 weeks ago. Likely to build on that and sure to go close. 

World Stage 20.00 Gowran Park 1 Pt Win @ 2\1 (bog)

Promising individual. 11/10 and tongue strap on for 1st time, second of 13 in maiden at the Curragh (10f, good to firm) 18 days ago, sticking to task. Stable in good sorts, likely to continue in form.

[Xtc12]

23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Dance Rock 17.50 Bangor 1 Pt Win @ 11\8

2nd - Not fluent 1st, tracked leaders, effort 2 out, soon ridden to chase winner, no impression approaching last, kept on when hard pressed for 2nd flat

23 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

World Stage 20.00 Gowran Park 1 Pt Win @ 2\1

2nd - Soon led, attempted to assert from over 2f out, reduced lead over 1f out, headed inside final furlong and kept on without matching winner

Thats another O Brien loser for me.  

[Xtc12]

Psychedelic Rock 15.30 Fontwell 1 Pt Win @ 6\5 (bog)

Expensive purchase as a 3-y-o and a totally different proposition on debut for Ian Williams when landing a gamble in a maiden hurdle at Worcester last month. The one to beat under a penalty.

Daliyah 17.05 Leopardstown 1 Pt Win @ 11\8 (bog)

Promising type. 8/1, fifth of 10 in maiden at Galway (7f, good to soft) 16 days ago. Difficult to oppose if able to repeat earlier efforts.

[Xtc12]

Merlin Magic 13.40 Newbury 1 pt Win @ 11/8 (bog)

[Xtc12]

Captain Vancouver 16.15 Dundalk 1 pt Win @ 6/4 (bog)

[Xtc12]

On 8/17/2017 at 0:03 AM, Xtc12 said:

Psychedelic Rock 15.30 Fontwell 1 Pt Win @ 6\5

2nd - Chased winner, pushed along after 3 out, ridden before last, kept on well run in, just failed

On 8/17/2017 at 0:03 AM, Xtc12 said:

Daliyah 17.05 Leopardstown 1 Pt Win @ 11\8

3rd - Led, pushed along under 2f out, ridden and headed 1f out, no impression in 3rd inside final furlong

14 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Merlin Magic 13.40 Newbury 1 pt Win @ 11/8

2nd - Pulled hard in touch, headway over 2f out, led over 1f out, hard ridden when challenged inside final furlong, headed closing stages, kept on

14 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Captain Vancouver 16.15 Dundalk 1 pt Win @ 6/4

2nd - Tracked leaders, 3rd halfway, pushed along and headway to lead under 2f out, ridden and headed 1f out, no impression on winner inside final furlong, kept on one pace

 

[Xtc12]

Three Star General 19.30 Market Rasen 1 Pt Win @ 2\1 (bog)

Fairly useful maiden on Flat for Aidan O'Brien. Opened hurdles account at third attempt at Worcester in June and matched that form when runner-up in a novice over the same C&D a month later. 

Turnabout 17.50 Tramore 1 Pt Win @ 7\4 (bog)

Twice-raced gelding. 6/1 and visored for 1st time, seventh of 17 in maiden at Galway (12.2f, soft) 17 days ago. Earlier 4th here over shorter gives him every chance.

[Xtc12]

13 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Three Star General 19.30 Market Rasen 1 Pt Win @ 2\1

7th - Tracked leaders, hit 3 out, ridden before next, weakened last

13 hours ago, Xtc12 said:

Turnabout 17.50 Tramore 1 Pt Win @ 7\4

1st @ 7\4 - Chased leaders, improved to lead 6f out, pushed along and clear 2f out, stayed on strongly final furlong, easily

[Xtc12]

Braavos 15.40 Southwell 1 Pt Win @ 5\2 (bog)

Pulled up on final run of 2016, but back to form when headed close home at Uttoxeter (23.3f, good to soft) 3 weeks ago when returning from an 8-month absence. Up 4 lb for that but needs considering,

Theobald 14.10 Curragh 1 Pt Win @ 5\4 (bog)

Promising individual who has posted useful form last twice, latest when 1¾ lengths second of 6 in Tyros Stakes at Leopardstown (7f, good, 4/1) 24 days ago. Sets the standard on that form.