Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July)

[edtkh]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July) Guess that match provided as much entertainment value as I'd anticipated - Myskina was up 3-1 in the decider and serving out at 5-4, then choked after passing up two match points. Dementieva then followed on by choking again, leaving Myskina to serve out for a 7-5 3rd set - can't believe how much fluctuation went on down at the exchanges in those moments... :rollin Top shout there, rcgills! :ok

[rcgills]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July) Well, as you pointed out, those two are among the specialists for those kind of games :lol . As is Kuznetsova, who's playing now against Maleeva, incidentally. Maleeva a break down and 11/2, could be chances here for a similar situation.:hope

[tyreeq]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July) Wow- very surprised by some of the straght sets victories today. I would have thought Johannson to have a tougher fight against Mirnyi, but I am especially surprised by Ancic and Gasquet today. I didn't get to catch the games - was it a case of the victors playing well or the losers playing badly?

[edtkh]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July) I'm beginning to believe I've just seen this year's women's singles Wimbledon champion out there - absolutely top drawer from Davenport and by far the best women's match so far... :clap And she's down to just 3.75 for the title - what a difference a day makes! ;)

[heniek31]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July) Gasquet Myskina @2.75 10pts :( Dent tb Hewitt @4 10pts :( Mirnyi tb T Johansson @2.25 10pts :( Lopez tb Ancic @2.75 10pts :) Davenport tb Clijsters @2.10 10ps :) Loss of 2pts today :\ Starting Bank 100pts Current Bank 128.69 Profit +28.69

[edtkh]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July) A roundup on Day 7 progress then with Grosjean completing his tough 5-setter to bring my big one in. No complains even though I'd chalked up a paltry 9.5pts profit. Ancic was thrash and I should have practised what I preached to Paul yesterday on laying this cnut, but I'd believed his class would help see him through even though his form has been as terrible as Serena William's. More importantly, I'm pleased Thomas Johansson just went about doing his business quietly and this clearly goes to show it takes more than a big serve to beat this tough, durable machine who always comes good against players with limited ability. Having said that, I'm glad Davenport has shown she still has it in her to give the big guns a good run for their money - and of course, Clijsters choking did help her cause a bit. Of course, a Myskina-Dementieva spectacle is always amusing to say the least...:rollin Starting Bank : 100.00pts Current Bank : 132.45pts Profit/Loss : 32.45pts

[edtkh]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July) In case anyone took heed of what I suggested at the outset and had backed Grosjean for the title at 100, it's time to lay back everything on the Frenchman(available at 60 @ Betfair now) as I can't see him progressing beyond the QF when he'll be up against Roddick - someone he has never had a good record against over the years with the American boasting a 5-1 lead on head-to-head if my memory serves me well. Not to mention the long drawn out encounters against Djokovic(4 sets), Tursunov(5 sets) and Llodra(5 sets) must have taken quite a bit out of him, as opposed to Roddick, who has won all his matches in straight sets bar the one against Bracciali(and even against Bracciali, he had the respite of playing the match over 2 days)...

[heniek31]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July) Less and less games means less to bet on. Women :eyes hmmm. 2 bets for me. Myskina tb Mauresmo @4 5pts bet365 Mauresmo had an easy passage all the way without losing a set, so this should be a stern test for her (or will it?). IMO Myskina is the most erratic player in this year tournament. She plays either awesome tennis or utter shite. She should have been out already in first round to some unknown qualifier, but scraped somehow 5-7 7-6 6-4. Easy win in 2nd round and then again epic game with Jankovic. Won first set 6-0 and lost second 7-5. And here is what I still dont get it. How Jankovic lost decider being 5-1 up its beyond me (eventually Myskina 10-8). It has to be said: she has guts and great mental strength. Again she showed that in the last game against Dementieva. She lost first set 6-1, but came back strong and won next two 7-6 and 7-5. Before Wimbledon Myskina was losing tournament after tournament in first rounds and it was all down to big family problems. She comes to Wimbledon, shows great fighting spirit and win 4 games. I wont be surprised if she loses easily today, but Im going to give her some credit, especially that odds are huge. Small stakes. Pierce tb V Williams @3 10 pts bet365 I like those odds on Pierce. Both of them play well, but Pierce having a good run in RG and continue her form at Wimbledon, shouldnt be such an underdog here. Good Luck. Starting Bank 100pts Current Bank 128.69 Profit +28.69

[edtkh]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July) Just one bet for me on Day 8. ;) 50pts Sharapova-Davenport-Mauresmo (1.79 @ Ladbrokes) :D I must stress this is the most confident bet I've placed yet. Sharapova's coming into this encounter on the back of a 21-match unbeaten run on grass that stretches back to last year and Petrova will obviously have her work cut out if her performances so far are anything to go by. Quite simply, going to 3 sets against Ruano Pascual and Peschke(when she was even facing matchpoint) simply does nothing to convince me she could even take a set off Sharapova, nevermind win this. Similarly, Davenport should see off Kuznetsova at a canter. The Russian is another of those famed chokers(though nothing on the scale of a Dementieva or Myskina) who has a knack of struggling to close out matches and she obviously should have taken out Mirza and Vaidisova in more convincing fashion than she did - Davenport has won all her matches, bar the one against Clijsters, dropping fewer than 3 games in each match and I can see the American taking this one in straight sets given the imperious form she's in. Lastly, Myskina's fairytale has got to end today, surely. She's come back from matchpoints to win her last two matches(against Jankovic and Dementieva), but I have no doubts her opponents' lack of experience and inability to hold their nerves have helped her cause big time - it's certain she's not going to enjoy a fraction of such aid from Mauresmo(and there's absolutely no chance of Mauresmo choking against Myskina IMO ;) ) who has been as ruthless as she could possibly have been winning all her matches in straight sets so far. Moreover, Mauresmo leads Myskina 5-1 on head-to-head(1-0 on grass) and that pretty much tells a story in itself if you asked me. Cheers & Good Luck! :ok Starting Bank : 100.00pts Current Bank : 132.45pts Profit/Loss : 32.45pts

[Matt]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July) Great day for me yest, Gonzalez bringing home the handicap easily at 1.96 and Nalbandian just showing what a completely ridiculous price he was to beat Gasquet :lol No bet for me today, I like the treble that you have put up edkth but for some reason I just fancy somebody to pull out a shock today so my gut tell me to leave it alone :

[rasher]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July) Informative and persuasive arguments from you as usual Ed. However, Mauresmo is notoriously unreliable, too unreliable to justify the lowly 1.29 available from Betfair in my humble opinion. Rasher

[Smithy888]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July) I'm playing it safe Davenport - Sharapova @$1.43 - can bet with a lot of confidence though. Will continue laying Hewitt and Mauresmo.

[edtkh]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July)

Informative and persuasive arguments from you as usual Ed. However, Mauresmo is notoriously unreliable, too unreliable to justify the lowly 1.29 available from Betfair in my humble opinion. Rasher

:rollin I'd have given that a more serious thought had Mauresmo been playing anyone else besides Myskina(well, bar Dementieva)... I get where you're coming from, but we'll see soon enough. :hope

[tyreeq]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July) After having the audacity to question your picks yesterday Ed, I have to say that I am completely behind you with your treble today. I reserve that same doubt about Mauresmo's choking ability, but agree that Myskina has been all over the place in the last couple of rounds - and as Mauresmo takes the 1st set, it appears to be the case that Myskina is not posing too much trouble - not enough to justify the little between them in the rankings. Anyway- I've put down 50% of my Wimbledon winnings on this treble so :hope

[edtkh]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July) I'd add in two more bets just to keep my interest going... 10pts Kuznetsova-Davenport Match : 22 Games or Less (2.00 @ Ladbrokes) :D 10pts Davenport -3.5 Games (2.00 @ Ladbrokes) :D Surely, there's an error on these prices? Cracking value for both IMO. Both of these are massive bets - I honestly expect Davenport to walk this one and the -3.5 looks a shoo-in given how much Kuznetsova struggles holding her own serve against lesser players than Davenport. 22 games or less also looks nailed on as that basically allows for something as extreme as a 6-4, 7-5 win(which I doubt would go that far to begin with). Get on it quick though, I'm pretty sure the prices won't last! :ok

[edtkh]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July)

After having the audacity to question your picks yesterday Ed, I have to say that I am completely behind you with your treble today. I reserve that same doubt about Mauresmo's choking ability, but agree that Myskina has been all over the place in the last couple of rounds - and as Mauresmo takes the 1st set, it appears to be the case that Myskina is not posing too much trouble - not enough to justify the little between them in the rankings. Anyway- I've put down 50% of my Wimbledon winnings on this treble so :hope

No worries, mate! ;) On hindsight, you were more than justified to question the other 2 where both Ancic and Gasquet played like tossers who wouldn't be fit to play in my local club. :lol My main concern yesterday was getting the big one in, so no complains personally...

[DangerMouse]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July) Nice one. Right on the edge. Well done.

I'd add in two more bets just to keep my interest going... 10pts Kuznetsova-Davenport Match : 22 Games or Less (2.00 @ Ladbrokes) :D 10pts Davenport -3.5 Games (2.00 @ Ladbrokes) :D Surely, there's an error on these prices? Cracking value for both IMO. Both of these are massive bets - I honestly expect Davenport to walk this one and the -3.5 looks a shoo-in given how much Kuznetsova struggles holding her own serve against lesser players than Davenport. 22 games or less also looks nailed on as that basically allows for something as extreme as a 6-4, 7-5 win(which I doubt would go that far to begin with). Get on it quick though, I'm pretty sure the prices won't last! :ok

[edtkh]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July) Day 8 has definitely been the most rewarding and straightforward yet with all the favourites coming through in straight sets even though 3 of the 4 matches had tiebreaks. Nevertheless, a 59.5pts profit is always welcomed on any given day. ;) Until tomorrow then... Starting Bank : 100.00pts Current Bank : 191.95pts Profit/Loss : +91.95pts

[edtkh]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July)

Nice one. Right on the edge. Well done.

:rollin I'd made allowance for a tiebreak there, but Lindsay definitely had to cover that in straight sets for that to come in - but it certainly was a close shave considering Kuznetsova had a set point(well, what else could you expect from her? :lol ) in the first set. :tongue2

[tyreeq]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July) Thanks for the tip today Ed :clap I said earlier that I'd staked 50% of my winnings so far on it, but after a quick check just now, it turned out to be 75% :eek so pretty glad it came through! :cow

[Tulenos]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July) Well done, eddie;)

[Matt]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July) Nalbandian 8/11 tomorrow :eek Thank you very much Mr Bookie :)

[superfly69]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July) was thinking of going for nalbandian as well 2moro. no head to head stats though any thoughts guys ??

[tyreeq]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July) I have doubts, but they're not really based on anything yet - I'll look into the matc-up soon. But initial instincts: Bandy should win, but Johansson is a tough cookie and doesn't rollover lightly, potentially causing maximum damage to potential bets...

[edtkh]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July)

was thinking of going for nalbandian as well 2moro. no head to head stats though any thoughts guys ??

My instinct tells me T Johansson will win this - will have a look again tomorrow, but I'm heavily leaning in favour of the Swede at the moment...

[Borovnica]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July) Hy,again! My bet for tommorow is gonzalez +7.5(1.80) .Gonzalez is impresive so far loosing serve only two times and winning his matches in straight sets.Federer not until his match with ferrero were in first two sets he looked incredible.But i must say federer looked a bit nervous in his matches so far.I think that ferrero played preety good against federer but was missing some extra zip in his shots (gonzalez want).i dont see many chances for federer on gonzalez serve and its a question how will he cope with that. Nalbandian-T.Johannson i think in this match its all about nalbandian and on which leg he will get up. (you should take this in runnig) Roddick-Grosjean Key of this match is in first set.Whit roddick winning last six times,grosjean will give his best to win first.if he could win it then he has a chance.otherwise it will be easy walk for roddick(i will take grosjean in first-3.30) By.and good luck

[grazza]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July) edtkh i hope you dont take offence or find this post in any way patronising. You obviously know your tennis but i feel you are making a fundamental error, you always bet with ladbrokes. I truly recommend you and all other punters use the site www.bestbetting.com. With very little work your winning bets will pay more simply by comparing the prices on offer. i really feel this is a key strategy in beating the bookies. Anyway good luck with the rest of the tournament

[superfly69]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July) Hands up this isn't my own idea. Something similar posted earlier on betfair but it makes sense. Put a tenner on gonzalez @ 90. A long shot I know. But worth an outside shot. If he pulled off a shock and beat fed his odds would drop dramatically and with good h2h stats against Roddick (2-3) and Hewitt (2-2). u never know...

[edtkh]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July)

edtkh i hope you dont take offence or find this post in any way patronising. You obviously know your tennis but i feel you are making a fundamental error' date=' you always bet with ladbrokes. I truly recommend you and all other punters use the site www.bestbetting.com. With very little work your winning bets will pay more simply by comparing the prices on offer. i really feel this is a key strategy in beating the bookies. Anyway good luck with the rest of the tournament

Cheers, mate. ;) As I'd mentioned previously in another post, I stick with Ladbrokes because they're one of the handful (or rather, the only one I know) who settle a market as long as the first serve of the match occurs - in other words, you do get your fair share of winners from retirements(and I have gotten my fair share down the years, most recently with Bjorkman-Davydenko :tongue2 ) which you might not get elsewhere.

[edtkh]

Re: Tennis : Wimbledon 2005 (20th June - 3rd July)

Hands up this isn't my own idea. Something similar posted earlier on betfair but it makes sense. Put a tenner on gonzalez @ 90. A long shot I know. But worth an outside shot. If he pulled off a shock and beat fed his odds would drop dramatically and with good h2h stats against Roddick (2-3) and Hewitt (2-2). u never know...

Don't mean to put you off, mate, but I don't think the idea is too bright. Gonzalez's record on grass is nothing entirely to be impressed with(at least, that's how it looks compared to the other frontrunners still left in the tourny) - Gonzalez has a career grasscourt W-L record that reads 7-4(as opposed to Roddick's 39-7 and Hewitt's 67-14) and he'd never previously gone past the 3rd Round at Wimbledon in 3 attempts. Gonzalez may have won all his matches in straight sets so far, but I don't think he's had the toughest draw by any stretch of the imagination - you'd have expected him to beat all bar J Johansson, perhaps. If this had taken place on hardcourt, I'd have fancied him a bit more, but on grass I just don't see him having the game to trouble either Hewitt(whom he's 0-2 down against on h2h excluding claycourt meetings) or Roddick(whom he's tied 2-2 against on h2h excluding claycourt meetings) too much - not to mention all that won't matter too much until he gets past FedEx to begin with... ;)