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Weekly Naps Competition, Day 4, Wednesday 12th August 2015


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Day 4 of backing horses with blue in name wins 2 lost 1. lost one they where 2 out that day I pick wrong 1 as other won Salisbury 3:55 Jasmine Blue @ 25/1 bet365 e/w thanks Jasmine Blue......from Paul Cole yard they've been having a lean time this season but things are starting to look up as they've had two winners two 2nd place and a 3rd in last 8 days which saw Paul only send out 8 runners, Jasmine Blue is still young a 3yo who only had one run as 2yo and five runs as a 3yo where its saw him find a win and two 3rd places in 5 races ran this year , Paul has been increasing the distance from 7f ,8f and three 1m 2f which his win came at and last 1m 4f , The yard bring it back to another distance its not ran at 9f its had 45 day break since that poor run last over 1m 4f at Saint-cloud Group 2 race in France where it was up with leader before no extra and beaten over 1f out, weakened and dropped to last , I would expect after that French race the yard has worked on stamina and speed work as Jockey Jim Crowley has been onboard all six races and knows horse he's also in saddle today,

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520 NA: Kilcross Boy 9/1 BetVic/Hills Won once from 30 starts in Ireland before joining Neil Mulholland in June. Ran very well on his debut for the yard at Stratford when second in a similar race to this. Went over fences last time but that didn't work out, maybe a bit late at the age of 10? Has found a weak looking contest here despite the numbers and with ground to suit he could get his head back in front, he will be staying on at the finish and looks sure to be in the mix at a fair price.

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3.10 NA - Bold Runner - EW at 20/1 bog wm hill Could be time to start looking at the novice hurdles again ! My selection here has been running Ok on the flat with 2 wins this season. Appears to stay quite well and acts with a bit of cut in the ground. Won or placed in more than half of his 26 races so is generally competitive The favourite here carries a double penalty and they're worth taking on

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8.10 Kempton: Class 4 Handicap ,7f Tricky affair but freshly gelded Commodore could be the answer, despite a bad draw. He was unlucky not to win at Sandown on his penultimate start. Subsequently failed to deliver off his revised mark at Newmarket, though didn't have the run of the race going for himself. He can be better than that and now switched to the All-Weather should suit. Going against older horses shouldn't be an issue but the weight for age allowance can make a huge difference in a race that lacks depth. He probably doesn't need to improve allot to be in the shake-up, but the fact that sons of Kodiac often show dramatic improvements for being gelded, there is every chance he can be a big runner tonight. Commodore @ 14/1 Bet365

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N5.20 Exemplary e/w 33/1 Boylesports This is a real minefield of a race and for that reason I think a big priced outsider e/w could be the best way to play it. This one also holds an advantage over many of its rivals in this conditions race, in that the jockey has won on the horse before. He's actually 1-2-9 on the horse and the horse is towards the bottom of the handicap and the jockey's ability could just make this one competitive - a few of the market leaders have doubts about them (sketchy jumping etc) so this one looks overpriced.

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