BBOTD wed 24th July

[jinxy]

[h=2][/h]

Here's what I wrote back on the 6th July where he finished 2nd to the fav! Noted as being unlucky in running on its latest outing I'll side with drinmoy lad to bounce back over the minimum? Won off a mark of 51 over 5f on Soft going 3 runs ago which should be similar to conditions tomorrow and is running off Only 54 but could still be open to improvement. his last 2 runs we're over 6f @ 7f but the 5f will see the best Of him. (hopefully) Ill stick With him over the minimum as he ran a cracker LTO and was only just collared on the line. DRINMOY LAD 6.15 naas 1pt win @ sp

[Blazing Bailey]

Re: BBOTD wed 24th July Lingfield 440 - Tis Rock N Roll - 3/1 Bet365 BOG Not much out there that interests me tomorrow apart from this one. The horse keeps improving having won two handicaps over 10f so far this year, one of which was at this course. The step up in trip should also suit (keeping on strongly each run this season) and his handy style will also be useful for this track. The price is very fair and I think a big run should be expected.

[fintron]

Re: BBOTD wed 24th July 7.30 Sandown Sheikh The Reins - unplaced last time at Epsom but that form has worked out very very well. has won over trip, looks on fair mark, and useful claimer takes off few lbs too. 16/1 bet 365, 0.5 pt EW

[gman1]

Re: BBOTD wed 24th July worcester 150 bennys well 11/4 bet365 an uninspiring choice but this one scored a tad easily when stepped up in trip last time out and is tackling hurdles for only the second time so a 5 pound rise looks quite fair. meets a few winning point to pointers but should have the edge on jumping experience so gets the vote

[Aidymac]

Re: BBOTD wed 24th July *Lost In Paris - Catterick 3:30* Hard to ignore this one with the unreal form of the Easterby stable of late. Has won over this trip 4 times and is a C+D winner also. It's last win was off 80, and runs off 77 now, off a very leniant mark, and if it can improve at all and show it's true form, will take a lot of beating. Form at Catterick is 8-3-1-3-4, is fairly consistent here. Allan has been on board for 3 of it;s 4 wins. Should habe a decent chance. *1 Point WIN @ 5/1 Betfred BOG*

[Bathtime For Rupert]

Re: BBOTD wed 24th July 4.50 Worcester - 1pt win Rita Speak @ 6/1 (Bet365) I think John Spearing's mare here is very interesting now pitched into handicap company. Obviously she's just not good enough to compete in novice events off level weights, but now she receives weight all round off a mark of 89 and I reckon she's up to it. The maiden and novice hurdle races she's been running in have worked out pretty well with some nice horses at the head of affairs - well into the 100s and she just never had any chance of going with them. However, in all three starts over jumps she's shown promise and if she can iron out her jumping problems she could win a couple of handicaps I think. Two starts back she stayed on well enough behind the first two (clear) to finish 5th but was in a battle for 3rd and arguably would have got that position with more experienced jumps at her flights. The winner is rated 127 and the runner-up 113 there so it wasn't a terrible effort and again she shaped ok last time out. She was held up in the rear and despite some scrappy jumps managed to work her way into 6th of 13 at the finish and although she was beaten by quite a distance, she stayed on nicely to put a gap between herself and the rest behind her so she finished relatively strongly but merely didn't have the ability to go with the front five. The step up in trip looks sure to suit on track evidence as she has been staying on in her own time and a weakish handicap over 2m4f should be right up her street. Her dam won hurdles over 2m6f so she has the pedigree to be capable in these sort of races and I expect her to go pretty close today if her jumping isn't appalling.

[Edberg]

Re: BBOTD wed 24th July 1.50 Worcester ALLERFORD JACK 4pts win @ 11/2 bog (Bet365) 8yo gelding who had a decent first season under rules in 2011 collecting a close second in maiden hurdle over 2m3f at Fontwell (9 Mar 2011, good ground) when beaten just 3/4L by Gurtacrue (multiple winner rated up to 129 over hurdles and now 126 over fences) and two 4th places in novice hurdles (2m1f at Taunton on soft ground in February and 2m7f at Fontwell on good ground in April) and was rated 118 in that sphere. Kept mainly busy in PTP since then the Richard Woollacott-trained gelding has enjoyed a very good 2012 so far with 4 wins in 6 starts in PTPs, won the last two races in that sphere (latest 60 days ago) and ran just once over fences under rules competing in a hunter chase over 3m on good to firm at Exeter last April, race dominated by the very talented Rumbury Grey who won 5 of his 6 hunter chases this year (latest the John Corbet Cup at Stratford in June). Former amateur jockey Richard Woollacott is an experienced horse-man but has trained very few horses under rules before this season and was a bit of an unknown identity at this level until a couple of months ago but with a couple of decent animals the Devon-based trainer is enjoying a fantastic moment having saddled 3 winners from just 6 runners in the last 14 days (4 overall in this 2012-13 season) and a couple of them won with really impressive performances (Qualypso D'Allier here at Worcester two weeks ago for example). Andrew Glassonbury rode 2 of his 4 winners this season (from just 9 rides) and was on Qualypso D'Allier over today's C&D two weeks ago a track were he is 3-8 (37.5%) over fences in the last 5 seasons. The opposition is led by the Brendan Powell-trained Bennys Well who was second on his debut in a bumper at Towcester 14 months ago but had been struggling a lot over hurdles were he was rated as high as 91 but finished never better than 7th 61L behind the winner (Exeter, 2m3f, heavy ground, 1 May 2012). Sent over the higher obstacles the 6yo gelding has been showing big improvements finishing 2nd of 9 (even if beaten 23L) on his debut chase in a maiden at Towcester two months ago (25 May) over 2m4f on good to firm ground when just 4 completed and the easy winner was the experienced and pretty much exposed chaser How's My Friend, rated 101 that day and upped just 2lb after that win that underlines that form wasn't strong at all. Anyway Bennys Well gained his own merits next/last time out winning a handicap chase over today's C&D (good ground, 2 fences omitted) racing off a mark of 84 when he beat in a very narrow finish the 94-rated Wait No More (easy winner of his previous handicap chase off 87 but very disappointing on his next start yesterday at Bangor when pulled up when soundly beaten), the 69-rated Heezagrey (terribly disappointing on his next/last two starts over the same C&D when 7th and 6th off similar marks) and the 69-rated Quasyde Court (former PTP winner in 2010 who had shown absolutely nothing under rules before that very close 4th, beaten 1.75L by Bennys Well, and the subsequent second, beaten 11L, in a similar race over the same C&D 10 days later off a 2lb lower mark). Bennys Well is still very lightly raced and a win is a win especially since it came over today's C&D on similar ground but off his new mark of 89 and without Brendan Powell's 5lb claim he's gonna have not an easy race here and hopefully my selection can prove to be a bit better than this level, as I strongly believe, and beat him. The other danger should be Our Flora, a 7yo mare keen to make jumping errors (8-11-PU-9-PU her form over hurdles during the 2010-11 season and PU-PU-PU-PU-2 her form in PTP since) but finished a good second 7L behind the aforementioned Qualypso D'Allier (who won very almost in canter that day) over today's C&D two weeks ago on soft ground. The Julian Smith-trained mare is 2lb out of the handicap here but if able to keep her recent improvements going she could go close.

[FedericoBTH]

Re: BBOTD wed 24th July LINGFIELD 5.10 Ghost Train - 1pt Win 7/4 (Bodog) Solid fav in his race, Ghost Train collected two very good 2nd places on last two outings on polytrac and the very last one was over C+D just one week ago. Mark Johnston is on fire and the booking of Ryan Moore for Lingfield is a clear sign they're putting all-in to make this one a breakout run.

[corky]

Re: BBOTD wed 24th July 1720 worcester 1pt win benmadigan 15/8 betvic won over 3 miles last time out,now drops to 2 mile 4 but is a course and distance winner, and now that it has got the winning bug,lost 18 previous races,hopefully it can win again, f.davis keeps the ride

[robertob]

Re: BBOTD wed 24th July 13.40 Kenilworth: Born To Be Wild @ 11/4 Sportingbet Improving sort who goes very well at this course (4/10 + 3 places), particularly on the old course. 12 furlongs looks to be quite the right distance for him as he won two from three over this sort of trip. He contested in some very good races this year, winning an MR 100 Handicap at this track in April over 10f. He's on a 3lb higher mark today and finished the last two races out of the money, though he ran in some very strong races as I said and his recent effort, a fourth place over 1m which is way too short for him actually, can be considered as a good performance. He takes a big step down in class today, running of top weight here in an MR 87 Handicap. It's a small field with one confirmed front-runner and Born To Be Wild likes to race prominently what should ensure an ideal race for him. He's surly the class horse in the field, has only to fear the improving Putney Flyer, who, however, went up 5lb for a recent fourth place in a Group 3 and has yet to win over this distance and has to overcome a career highest mark anyway.

[BillyHills]

Re: BBOTD wed 24th July 420 Worcester: Special Account (2/1 Bet365/Lads) Really liked the way this one won last time out at Newton Abbot from Keanes Day who has ran ok since. A winning pointer who will obviously want three miles in time but can pick up a couple of these weak races in the meantime. He travelled well and came through easily to pick up the leaders on his first run over hurdles and don't see this as being that much harder to be honest and should carry the penalty.

[Lodge]

Re: BBOTD wed 24th July 16.10 - Lingfield - Holly Martins EW @ 9/1 BetVictor One of the more exposed 3yo's in this field but i am confident that he is up to winning this. Been pretty consistent so far this season despite not winning, best effort to date was probably his last UK outing when finishing runner up at Wolverhampton over 9f, the form of that race looks to be pretty solid too, with the 3rd, 4th, 5th and 6th all winning since (6th has won twice!). Upped to 12f today, a trip she has ran over once and performed well when beaten less than a length back in 4th at Kempton in May. Had a spin in Sweden since her last run and no reason why she shouldn't get her head in front before long.

[nickf88]

Re: BBOTD wed 24th July 7:30 Sandown - Sheikh The Reins - 0.5pts EW 20/1 Bet365. Taking a chance that this horse can bounce back to some sort of form today after showing some promise as a 2 year old. May not have trained on but could well be decently handicapped reopposing a rival in Usain Colt 16 pounds better off today with Darren Egan's claim being very useful. Only finished 2 and half lengths behind Colt on level weights in their 2 year campaign so could be well in here if the ability remains at all. Worth a chance at the price for me anyway.

[wizzkid walter]

Re: BBOTD wed 24th July 3:50 Worcester - Cape Express - Back Won his last 2 starts in good fashion and has been found a glorious opportunity to go in again here. Looks to be a fair bit better than this level and it would be a real shock if he got turned over here. Looks to have little in terms of opposition so a clear round of jumping should see him win this easily 1pt win @ 1/5 Paddy Power BOG

[Trotter]

Re: BBOTD wed 24th July Ling 3.40 Scottish vespers - win at 6/4 bog PP One of Stoute's in the maiden race - he's already run well on the track when he finished 2nd in a maiden race in May with the rest 11 lengths and more back Didn't appear to like the soft ground last time First time visor to sharpen him up and Ryan Moore back in the saddle This looks a poor race and if he doesn't win today it's probably the knackers yard - I wish he knew !

[Falbrav]

Re: BBOTD wed 24th July DISTRICT ATTORNEY 4.10 Lingfield. 1 point win. This trip looks ideal and can improve for it. Ryan Moore in the saddle and no better and the surface shouldn't be of any concerns either. Looks sure to run a big race. 5/1 Betfred BOG

[Verisimilitude]

Re: BBOTD wed 24th July Pharoh Jake 4.40 Lingfield. 1 point win. Doesn't win many, but does have a good chance today and should, to be honest, win this race, or go very close at least. The trip and surface is fine and although the handicapper puts him up a little without winning, it all still bodes well in context. 11/2 SportingBet

[DC]

Re: BBOTD wed 24th July 8:05 Sandown PENDRAGRON e/w 16-1 VC/Paddy etc Not often you see a nine year old winning back to back races, but... running off a really handy mark again with a 3lb claimer on. Won a low grade race last time out but won it well off technically a higher mark than this. Pendragon has won over 8,9 and 10 furlongs and likes good ground or good-firm ground which he'll get tonight. His highest winning mark was 85 back in 2010 and was beaten four lengths off a mark of 91 over C&D at this time last year. Carrying 80 with the 3lb claim tonight would put him in the frame especially with a confidence winning run last time. The stable have had three winners in the last 3 days.

[south_eastern_ram]

Re: BBOTD wed 24th July 8.20 Leicester - Daring Indian - 6/1 SJ Been really unlucky last two starts to bump into two lightly raced 3 year olds from big yards who had a lot in hand on the handicapper. Run last time in a steadily run affair on heavy ground where the winner has made all, finishing second was a big run. The form of his last 2 runs is stronger than anything in this field has to offer and with better ground and a likely decent gallop, i think he'll stay this extra distance. Seems to be one of the weaker in the market but with conditions ideal, i think he's massive price, i had him as a 10/3 shot.