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Blazing Bailey

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Everything posted by Blazing Bailey

  1. The last two are the final get out of jail free cards. Grand Annual Capeland (EW) - I am a little concerned that he hasn't done anything around here but his run in the JLT wasnt a terrible run and in fact, bar one quite bad error it would have be much better and that would have a been a bigger test than today. He has run two mighty handicap races this season at Ascot going up 10lb but his performances deserved it. He has then gone into graded races and whilst he was a bit poor on heavy at Ascot, he was impressive at Kempton in a messy race. Back in handicap company I can see this rac
  2. Gold Cup Al Boum Photo 178 Clan Des Obeaux 178 Kemboy 178 Lostintranslation 175 Delta Work 173 Santini 173 What a Gold Cup this is going to be. Al Boum Photo is bidding to repeat his win from last year and he would appear to have solid claims to do so. In the back of my mind he is still a horse that will make mistakes, as he showed at Punchestown, and whilst he did it well last season he was 12/1 then and now is a quarter of that price and I think I can let him ru
  3. Albert Bartlett Thyme Hill 152 Latest Exhibition 150 Monkfish 150 Ramses De Teille 150 The Cashel Man 150 Janidil 150 Cobbles Way 147 This is a tough and competitive race and again wouldn't be one that I would be completely confident about. Ramses De Teille has to be hugely respected. He stays, he has plenty of experience, he is tough but he is a Pipe horse and I would like to see more evidence that they are flying. He must be a very solid EW contender. The two I will chance for the
  4. Yesterday worked out well, albeit some horses I had reservations about won (Samcro & Min) and a couple I thought would be certainties (Frodon EW & Paisely Park) were well beaten. Either way, it was a good day and even if I dont win a penny today I will still be walking away with a few quid in my pocket! Triumph Hurdle Solo 145 Aspire Tower 145 Allmankind 143 Goshen 143 A Wave of The Sea 140 Sir Psycho 140 There are two I am not keen on for this and they are
  5. 130 Ch: Solo 210 Ch: Aramon 250 Ch: Thyme Hill 330 Ch: Al Boum Photo 410 Ch: Hazel Hill 450 Ch: Capeland 530 Ch: Column of Fire
  6. Brown Advisory Whilst the price is crazily short, it is the only fault I can find with Simply the Betts. The second behind him in his last run bolted up earlier in the week, he has form here, he runs prominently, he jumps well enough and I cant see a way he doesn't go close. I have added another in the form of Ben Dundee (EW) who whilst I wouldnt back him to beat STB, if anything does go wrong with the favourite then I can see him picking up the pieces. I also don't see him finishing out of the from so he rates a very solid EW option. Placed in a competitive handicap behind A Plus Ta
  7. Stayers Hurdle Paisely Park wins and then its case of whether or not to have an EW play. You could pick from a handful and make a case but I will rule out of a couple of the main ones. Bacardys is best at a shorter trip, Emitom isnt the greatest of jumper, Apples Jade is a bit of an unknown at the moment and connections dont appear confident and I am not convinced that Summerville Boy is true stayer at this trip in a properly run race (although there is a doubt as to whether this will be well run) and City Island will surely need a hurdle prep after returning from chasing. As a resul
  8. Ryanair Chase Frodon 173 Aso 171 Min 171 A Plus Tard 170 Ridersonthestorm 167 Frodon is massively overlooked in this race in my opinion. A Plus Tard is a worthy favourite, is improving and could well be one of the NAPs of the day but Frodon must be the EW play of the day, if not week. People keep saying how poorly Frodon has ran this season but its bollocks. His Aintree run was rated 1lb better than the previous seasons, he ran really well for a long way in the Betfair Chase ag
  9. Another good day yesterday topping up the coffers again but generally speaking today is always the make or break day for me. Its the most competitive day and filled with races that I like the most and get this right and it should allow me enough money to smuggle in 100 rolls of triple quilted toilet paper just in time for the apocalypse. Marsh Novice Faugheen 166 Samcro 161 Itchy Feet 160 Mister Fisher 157 This posed me a real problem. I ruled out Samcro pretty quickly because I dont see him finishing his race off. Eve
  10. 130 Ch: Itchy Feet 210 Ch: Skandiburg 250 Ch: A Plus Tard 330 Ch: Paisely Park 410 Ch: Simply The Betts 450 Ch: Concertista 530 Ch Le Breuil
  11. What a run from the final flight that was from Champ... Stewards need to check him out for a jet pack!
  12. Coral Cup Really tough race to call and plenty with chances. In the end I have sided with the following: Bachasson 25/1 Bet365 EW Top Moon 18/1 Unibet EW Dame De Compagne 9/2 Bet365 Alfa Mix 14/1 Bet365 I do have to say that the Henderson mare is now very short and I wouldn't touch her at those prices in such a competitive race. Boodles Juvenile I admit that I have a terrible record in this race, my only winner in recent memory being Flying Tiger (albeit at 33/1) but I don't often go that close. I have changed my approach this season and hopefully
  13. Relatively good day yesterday with a decent enough profit so hopefully that can continue into today. Ballymore Hurdle Envoi Allen 154 Sporting John 152 Easywork 147 Longhouse Poet 147 The Big Getaway 145 The Big Breakaway 145 Decor Irlandais 145 Given how well the form was boosted yesterday is is very hard to see past Envoi Allen in this race. He is somewhat of a bulletproof horse as it is as I can see no way to crab what he has done in his short career. Sporting John is the danger and he too is a very solid
  14. 130 Ch: Envoi Allen 210 Ch: Allaho 250 Ch: Alfa Mix 330 Ch: Chacun Pour Soi 410 Ch: Easysland 450 Ch: Palladium 530 Ch: Israel Champ
  15. Just gone through the day 1 handicaps and I must say that I am a bit disappointed that the ones I like the most are quite short in the market, and I actually like both of the current favourites! In the end I sided with the following: Ultima Vinndication 7/1 Ladbrokes - Improving horse, sound jumper, ran well enough int he Festival last season. No reason he wont run well. Kildisart 10/1 Betvictor - Ran well in the JLT and then stepped up to win at Aintree. Back to form last time out and looks set out for this. Mister Malarky 14/1 EW Bet365 - Favourite of mine, a tough, good
  16. 130 Ch: Fiddlerontheroof 210 Ch: Notebook 250 Ch: Vinndication 330 Ch: Epatante 410 Ch: Benie Des Dieux 450 Ch: Imperial Aura 530 Ch: Newtide Good luck everyone!
  17. I say fill up your sacks for Tuesday instead! I am with you on The Two Amigos (Tau 4.40). Finished behind a progressive type at Fontwell before running in two big handicaps at Chepstow and Haydock running admirably both times. In far easier waters now and surely has too much class for the rest of these. Strong stayer, loves the mud and I can see his front running run style putting the rest to the sword. 5/2 Bet365 looks too big.
  18. National Hunt Chase Traditionally this is a race I have done quite well in so I am hoping that the drop in distance doesn’t change that! Having said that, I don’t really like this years edition. Furthermore whilst it is in some ways just as important to have a good jockey as well as a good horse in this race. The figures are as follows: Carefully Selected 156 Lord Du Mensil 156 Newtide 149 Springfield Fox 149 Ravenhill 148 The Hollow Ginge 148
  19. Champion Hurdle Another wide open championship race on day one. There are lots of horses rated very similarly but I think we will have to see a horse run to around 165+ to win this. With that in mind, my eye is on the following: Call Me Lord 158 Cilaos Emery 160 Darver Star 160 Sharjah 163 Supasundae 159 Epatante 164 I might as well start with the closest horse to that mark in Epatante. The first concern is Cheltenham based on last seasons run. I don't believe it will be an issue and if anything it will ha
  20. No reason why he wouldn't go close. Looks well handicapped, likes the track, trip will suit. I would be all over Cepage in that race if I knew he would stay.
  21. The Arkle There are plenty in with a realistic chance of winning this race. My outlook on what they have achieved as far from a ratings point of view is as follows: Notebook 164 Espirit Du Large 159 Brewinupastorm 159 Cash Back 158 Rouge Vif 158 Maire Banrigh 158 Mister Fisher 157 Al Dancer 156 Fakir Doudaries 156 Global Citizen 156 Firstly I shall start with Cash Back as I think he will be a key part of this race. I have watched both of hi
  22. Supreme Hurdle I think this comes down to 5 horses and my ratings of them are as follows: Asterion Forlonge 156 Envoi Allen 154 Shishkin 154 Fiddlerontheroof 152 Abaracadabras 151 I am still expecting EA to head to the Neptune and which ever race he ends up in he will be a huge threat as he travels like a dream, he jumps well and he has a potent turn of foot too. AF looks to have a massive engine but I would definitely doubt his ability to jump well enough to win a race like this. He jumps to his right and really
  23. Couldn't agree more. As long as it pays then it's a good way of hedging your bets especially when there are pace /draw uncertainties. I also find its good in large field jumps races because if one falls or blunders, the other horse is still live. Unless of course one brings the other down which has happened a few times!
  24. The 3.05 at Ayr looks a competitive enough race for a small field on bad ground but The Con Man at 3/1 looks a but big. Improving horse, back in much calmer waters than last time and the 2nd has placed in another competitive race since. The fav is definitely respected also dropping back in grade, and one I have had my eye on as well but they both look well enough treated off their respective marks but I just fancy the selection a little more in these conditions and at the price.
  25. Only just seen the time & think I may have missed the cut off! If I have can I have the following selection: NMK 4.25 - Summer Chorus 9/2 Skybet
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