Robinnho

J.Millman to beat T.Kokkinakis at 2.16 with Marathonbet
Thanasi had plenty of wins at the end of last season but most of those came against weaker opponents, he still lost to players like Viola, Horansky, Zuk and O'Connell, all of whose ranking is over 160. I usually trust Millman in these conditions, he's a good hard court player and he fights for every point and is alright mentally compared to Kokkinakis. I think this will be tight and I don't think Kokkinakis is there mentally to win these kind of tight matches yet. He can obviously prove me wrong here but I gotta take Millman with odds over 2.

Jaqueline Cristian to beat Kaia Kanepi at 2.35 with Unibet
I'm completely happy to chance Cristian at these odds. She was good at the end of the last season, very good in fact. Kanepi finished with a retirement due to an injury and hasn't played for a couple of months, while Cristian was competing with top women and matching most of them well. Kanepi might be way more experienced, but she's bound to decline, so having her as such a big favourite here doesn't make much sense to me.

He can't be 100% fit @delfino If he was he wouldn't have pulled out of his first match at the ATP Cup and his elbow wouldn't be strapped.

Happy New Year everyone and here we go, starting with the ATP Cup!
 

Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Jenson Brooksby at 2.97 with Pinnacle
Well, Brooksby is good, but he's coming here after a tiring week and Basilashvili always has that upset potential. All about the odds here, Basilashvili at almost 3.00 is hard to pass in this spot.

Alexander Bublik to beat Daniel Evans at 1.97 with Pinnacle
Evans with covid problems, so impossible to like him at this spot and price.

Reilly Opelka to beat Daniel Galan at 1.36 with Pinnacle
I watched how Galan played against Paul in the first round and it was decent, but Paul was just truly awful on the day. Plenty of simple shots went out or into the net, while his serves weren't on point either. Other than that, Galan remains a Challenger player to me and an average one at that. It's short odds, but Opelka will care about this event and he looked fine in Atlanta. A tad unlucky not to beat Fritz there.

Nick Kyrgios to beat Mackenzie McDonald at 1.56 with Pinnacle
Washington is a place Nick liked a couple years back and he looked decent enough last week, glad that he stayed for the doubles and I'm not too worried about the Norrie loss. There's 1.5 class between him and McDonald when Nick plays well, as McDonald can't outrun the sheer power that Nick has. Also, there will be a lot of free serve points as usual. Something like 1.40 would be fair here imo.

https://www.itftennis.com/en/news-and-media/articles/tokyo-2020-olympic-tennis-event-draw-mens-and-womens-singles-and-doubles/

Dominic Stephan Stricker to beat Arthur Rinderknech at 2.20 with Unibet
I'll also go for the other big Swiss prospect. We all know what he's capable of in Switzerland, so I wouldn't read into his average form that much. That's how youngsters tend to play, do well when faced with a challenge and then lose to someone worse in a Challenger. 

I am going with Collins to beat Kalinina @1.75 with Pinnacle
Kali may be in top shape and playing well with 30W on clay (30-3) this season but she may be also played too much tennis and fatigue could creep up.  Furthermore her wins were mainly on the "lesser" tour and "lesser" opponents......... only notable win in beating Kerber.
H2H Kali leads 2-1.  Collins won the most recent match in RG. 

Also, i like Lajovic to beat Molcan @1.85 and Garcia to beat Sharma @1.54. Both are superior quality-wise, like clay, did not have a great season, so, should be hungry of some wins. Having won their first rounds also is a sign of motivation to stay in tournament.

(Paire @3.05 ) Good value if he decides to have better attitude and motivation after being banned by France to play in the Tokyo Olympics.
Just play up to 70% and he can win!

I’d give a shot on Paire @3.05 against Varillas. Who knows, maybe he decides to finally get involved.

Well, Basilashvili is off.
Albert Ramos to beat Federico Delbonis at 2.50 with Pinnacle
Taking this one instead. Delbonis had a huge streak not that long ago, but he was bound to go off the boil a bit at some point and this might very well be it. He looked rusty against Zhang and it's no wonder. Ramos, on the other hand, had a bad streak without playing all that poorly, so the hunger will be there. I'd see this as more of a coin-flip than the bookies.

i like the odds for Sramkova to beat Kuzmova.  Kuz has not been in good condition for a few months and it is the same here. She beat another off-form player yesterday and it was more of Barthel own self destruction in the final set. Sramkova @1.68 with Pinnacle.
 

@Teodore I think it will take a while still.
Nikoloz Basilashvili to beat Sebastian Baez at 1.64 with Pinnacle
Baez had an easy match against Moutet in the first round, but this could be way different. That's because Basilashvili has been playing well lately and because he has a love affair with this tournament. He's already won it twice, so the motivation should be there. That's a big thing with him and I don't care that he lost in the first round last year. The circumstances were different and he got a R1 meeting with Bautista-Agut, so there you go.

? I watched/spotted the "drama" too!
So not sure Sramkova was really so good but she has big serves for WTA standard.

Tricky week. Kvitova with a strategic loss yesterday by the looks of things.

Wow! It will be interesting if both the wild cards, Samsonova and Raducanu confront each other in the Wimbledon Final!
 
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No Wimbledon tennis on Sunday and also no Euro 2020 football on Sunday?
Small outright winner bets:
Samsonova @ 20.0 with coolbet
Raducanu @ 27.0 with coolbet
These 2 up and rising lightweights seem to be punching harder than many heavy weights with good precisions. And they never seem to be tired and/or fade away playing for long matches.
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Wow! It will be interesting if both the wild cards, Samsonova and Raducanu confront each other in the Wimbledon Final!
 
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Berretini v Bedene
Quite a tricky match simply because they have both breezed past their opponents, neither really being tested. One thing that has really impressed me with Berritini is his serving. When he needs a first serve he has it ready.
I remember the Aussie open this year playing Anderson 1st round. He was 4-5  and 0-40, and found 11 straight 1st serves ( Anderson had another couple of break points in the game). 11 rockets in a row is insane. Yesterday Shapavalov smacked Murray behind a 1st serve of 32% (1st and 2nd set). Then he actually made some serves in the 3rd set and it was lights out. So on grass serving big is just huge.
Against van de Sandschulp Berretini faced 2 set points in the 3rd set and found 5 first serves (I think he was 4-5 or 5-6 down). So he has a ridic weapon in his arsenal.
What big serving does is empower a player. He knows he will win his serve easily, and he plays '1st strike' tennis against an opponent. So you get this weird herky-jerky, stop start game with no rhythm. 
In 2020-2021 Berritini has played 16 matches in the slams, winning 12 times. Only 3 tiimes has he played a match of more than 3 sets when winning.
Two bets I like are Berritini in 3 sets and under 35.5  games. For me the 3:0 set score is a good option at odds of 1.75 , as I think you may see 1 breaker here.
 
Ivashka v J. Thompson
Neither look too flash so far, though Ivashka over Chardy was a good win. Thompson having played a 5 setter and a 4 setter may be feeling it, and I would be going Ivashka here.
 
Auger-Alissime v Kyrigos
 
 
Alissime has been working very hard with Toni Nadal. Conditioning makes a huge difference, as it slows/ reduces the mental fatigue. This guy is super fit and highly motivated. One thing that stood out in his match with Ymer, was how tough the court was to play on. Shadows all over the place, which makes timing and seeing the ball really difficult.
Today this match is 2nd on court # 1 (after the Radacanu match). I just feel that Kyrigos may be a little tired and hurting.
Interesting in that Aliassime is 1.7 to win
I would rather take him to win 3:0 and in another bet win 3:1  (both of these at odds 4.1+).
 
Fritz v Zverev
 
Fritz has played 7 matches in the majors this year.  5 of these have been 4 sets or more. Samos-Vinoles, Opelka,  Djokovic, Koepfer, Nakashima, Johnston . In none of these matches have there been a 6-0 or 6-1 set. So this guy will not lie down, and is a tough competitor. Possibly an upset here, as Zverev could go off the rails.here.
I see a minimum of 4 sets here as the trend continues... and will take Fritz to win outright in a small long shot.
 
Federer v Norrie
 
The old Federer is making an appearance as the rust comes off his game. He is getting sharper and Sharper, and I don't think we' see a repeat of his forehand being so wobbly and inconsistent. Norrie has had a great year,  beating Dan Evans at the Australian, but he is not a world beater. Just a grinder, with a strange left handed style that takes some getting used to.
 
I think Fed wins this easily. The 3-0 scoreline in sets at 2.93 looks good and the under 38.5 games also at odds of 1.84
 
Medvedev v Cilic
 
Medvedev playing fantastico tennis. The match against Struff was excellent. Both players playing exceptional tennis. One of the matches of the tourn for me. And Medvedev had to play great to win ... no freebees there.
Medvedev is a 3 set machine. Played 14 matches at the majors this year and 11 of them have been 3 setters. Medvedev is deceptively good at returning serve, and should have Cilic in trouble early. Look for it, because if he has him under pressure early (first 3 serve games from Cilic struggling), it's a no contest.
For me Medvedev really justifies his 2nd seeding here, and could destroy Cilic.  I like the 0:3 set scoreline and the Aisan -5.5 for medvedev at 1.75
 
 
A couple of woman's matches look profitable. I don't think Kerber can be feeling too flash after a marathon in the previous round. I would be betting against her. I think Radacanu has a huge chance of upsetting Cirstea, especially  with the home crowd bringing such energy. For me Barty always looks vulnerable.
 
Kerber, Angelique v Sasnovich, Aliaksandra
2-Way Odds (12) 2
4.70
Cirstea, Sorana v Raducanu, Emma
2-Way Odds (12) 2
2.58
Barty, Ashleigh v Siniakova, Katerina
2-Way Odds (12) 2
3.96
Stake
Max. Payout
XXX
YYY.9
 
Just a longshot treble for a fiver at 48 to 1

I think if Norrie can win a set, he will go on to win the match because I don't think Roger can play at high levelfor more than 3 sets as I have seen him not able to put up a good fight in the 3rd set of non-slam matches.  Of course he is better prepared physically here so it's either Roger to win 3-0 if he can or loose the match to Norrie who is fit and can go on the miles though not an elite server.  So it will depend very much on Roger's performance in the 1st 3 sets and I am going to try a small bet on Norrie to beat RF @ 3.15 with Marathonbet.
 

I add one more for tomorrow.
Ostapenko (-3.0 Games) to beat Tomljanovic at 1.59 with Pinnacle
Ostapenko is 8-1 on grass this year and she's on a 7 winning streak. She won in Eastbourne (Pavlyuchenkova, Jabeur, Kasatkina, Rybakina and Kontaveit). In her first match here she destroyed Leylah Fernandez (6-1, 6-2) and then she struggled to beat Kasatkina (6-1, 3-6, 8-6). I knew that 2R match was like a toss coin cause Kasatkina was playing incredibly well, too (she reached the Final in Birmingham). Tomljanovic has a decent record on grass (27-23) but Ostapenko's record on this surface is much more impressive (32-15). Besides, Tomljanovic never has reached the 4th round in Wimbledon while Ostapenko reached the SFs here in 2018 and the QFs in 2017... not bad at all. In Birmingham Tomljanovic beat Mertens in 3 TBs and then she lost against Minnen in straight sets . In Eastbourne she beat Davis and then she lost against Giorgi, both in 2 sets. In her 1st match here she beat Minnen (6-2, 7-6) and then she beat Cornet (6-4, 0-6, 6-3). These players only have played once before and it was on clay (Rome 2021). Ostapenko won (6-2, 7-6).