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Larkin22

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Posts posted by Larkin22

  1. Osaka is the best female tennis player right now. Her best > anyone elses achieveable best. I agree that Brady has been playing better this tournament, the assumption is that that will force Osaka to play better and ultimately come through. I do see a lot of value in Brady and the handicap though as its a large assumption. But similiar to how Serena has been struggling each round and then just raises it enough to get through, the market is assuming Osaka will raise her game enough to overcome anything Brady has to throw at her.

  2. Medvedev is the obvious pick, althought strangely i've missed all his matches so far so haven't seen how he's been playing, Zverev to me is still too inconsistant to go on and I don't trust Thiem since lockdown. I would rather look at Felix, Coric, De Minaur and as complete outsider Tiafoe. The first three can out work the big servers and young and hungry to win. Tiafoe I just think the odds are far too large considering how open this is now.

  3. Is there something about Sloane Stephens that I'm missing? I mean I wouldn't make her favourites but shes still at 40+/1 to win, I'd have her much lower, closer to 15/20's at the most. She can ebat nearly anyone on a good day, from what i've seen so far I think she'll beat Serena.

  4. Couldn't stay up long enough for the Osaka match. Was impressed by Kontaveit against a very hard hitting and tough Collins. Compared to Martins who I thought struggled massivily at times. Khachanov I think should do well on these courts and started well at Cinci, but I haven't seen much of Sinner recently so hard to pull the trigger on lowish odds for KK. Konta straight sets and RBA/Sandgren over 3.5 sets are ones I want to back as well. I'll probably come back this afternoon and post them if the odds aren't too bad.

  5. I think that even though the racial profiling has been more apparent in America with recent events it is present in nearly every society and transcends just the police profiling to larger issues with how the black community is treated worldwide. Also with it being the US Open its more likely that the organisers and majority of American sportsmen involved will want to send a message.

     

     

  6. Yep totally agree @Torque I layed Serena for the US Open before her loss to Sakkari, not that it affected the odds that much.

    Mens its hard to find value as I can't see it being anyone but Djok so will avoid the outrights.

    For the women, Osaka when on form is the best female player on tour no-one can live with her, I always fancy Giorgi to cause an upset along the way with her raw hitting but never enough to get through a tournament. So for now I have no other thoughts, will wait to see how the first round goes. But for now, laid Serena and backed Osaka.

  7. Going to try a few at ATP Cincinnati, hard to guage much form but a few stand out on value.

    Seppi to bt Soonwoo kwon at 2.25 with Betfair

    Going for experience in what is probably a 50/50 match up, depending on how each

    Kukushkin to bt Norrie at 3 with 888 sport

    Think this is also badly priced, Norrie is probably slight favourite but Kukushkin definitely has the ability to beat him and Norrie can be inconsistant, worth a play at these odds.

    Chardy to bt Russ at 2.25 with 888 sport

    Admittedly I haven't seen any of Chardy's recent matches but I haven't been that impressed with Ruusuvuori and Chardy has all the weapons to hold serve and break Emils.

    Lastly

    Gerasimov to bt JJ Wolf at 2 with Betfair

    JJ is talented youngster but I'm going to side with the experience again, I think Gerasimov should hold serve well and can cause issues. Mostly I think he'll have the better mentality to approach this tournament than JJ Wolf. So i'm siding with experience again.

  8. WTA Prague

    Giorgi to beat Kostyuk @ 1.93 with Betfair

    Will this one will definitely be easy on the eye.

    I watched Giorgi's run in Palermo and she was hitting it very clean, when she's in the mood she's very hard to play against. But she needs to be clinical on her own serve, she's aggressive and high risk. Expect lots of break of serve.

    I fancy Giorgi.. to come into this and take the fight to Kostyuk. Kostyuk is coming off a 6-0 6-0 win so is obviously in good form however I think thats inflated her price here.
    Sanders didn't bring anywhere near as much firepower as Giorgi does and if Giorgi hitting the hard flat deep balls I think she'll break her down.

     

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