NoFear

5pts G.Price (-3.5 legs) to beat S.Stevenson 4/5 WillHill
abit frantic this tournament. I think having more time to properly check the form would help so i will just taking price on a handicap. Stevenson has averaged decent here but not to the current standard price is hitting.

Real Betis vs. Getafe
Both teams here are chasing Champions League football next season, which would be an amazing achievement for either of them. Real Betis players have been spread thinly though, playing on three fronts and this will be their 16th game in 57 days for an average of a game every 3.5 days over the past two months, which is a lot of matches for a team that doesn't have the squad depth of a top CL side. 
Getafe, meanwhile, has had more time to rest and prepare for this game and won't be as fatigued for sure. This is also a very tough team to break down and has only lost 6 games in 25 matches so far this season, with 4 of these coming against the 'top 3'. They also possess a deadly front two of Jaime Mata and Jorge Molina, who have 10 goals each in La Liga so far this season, and both are currently in good form.
I think the odds for a Getafe win present real value here. Having said that, they do tend to draw a lot of matches, so I'll be backing them on the AH +0.5 and DNB as well.
Getafe AH +0.5 @ 1.69 with Betfair (8 units)
Getafe DNB @ 2.48 with Betfair (8 units)

Emil Forsberg  

Come on Pironkova!

Somebody tipped Bonzi. Well, that was the worst tip ever. Bonzi is a big MUG

Form is temporary. Class is permanent. Can we pls discuss stuff without being rude?

Form is temporary. Class is permanent. Can we pls discuss stuff without being rude?

Form is temporary. Class is permanent. Can we pls discuss stuff without being rude?

Form is temporary. Class is permanent. Can we pls discuss stuff without being rude?

Form is temporary. Class is permanent. Can we pls discuss stuff without being rude?

Form is temporary. Class is permanent. Can we pls discuss stuff without being rude?

Bonzi vs Ramos Vinolas
I just could not believe what I was seeing when I saw the odds for this match. It became apparent to me that the odds-generating computer device for the bookies must be dysfunctional. Let me first say a bit about Bonzi. Bonzi has won 13 from his last fourteen matches, and please do not ask me against who? A win is a win and a good confidence builder. On the way to the penultimate tournament before the french open, he beat Munoz-De La Nava 6-3  7-6 one I can boldly refer to as decent opposition. He beat Smyczek 6-2 6-2, beat Polansky 7-5  6-3 and beat Lajovic 6-1 6-1. He beat everyone in easy straight sets till he lost to Silva Dutra from a disintrest in the match because I watched that match.
He beat Medvedev in the first round, Medvedev's surprise retirement not really detracting from the form of this Bonzi guy. Ramos has lost five from his last 6 and has already played way too much tennis to be considered fresh. The tournament organisers as usual have given it a prime time slot and I believe it should live up to the hype.
I believe Bonzi can win a set at the very least 2/1. But as usual with a partisan home crowd on his side I am going total Bonzi games over 9.5   4/6. Good luck guys!!!!
 

Firstly, let me correct a point you made about Brady being horrible on clay. That really is what I call an unsubstantiated sweeping statement. Granted you might be cheesed off with the way she lost to Mladenovic, but that is tennis. It was a big pressure match worsened by playing an injured player. Brady never shies away from clay as some players do that show a disliking for the red dirt. She plays a whole lot of matches on clay even going to South America to play tournaments on clay. On clay She has beaten the likes of Mertens, Rogers, Haddad Maia, Sakkari, Krunic and many decent others.
Mladenovic should really have had authentic claims to this year's French open crown aside a few worries. She has played too much tennis prior to this tournament . However she seems a different calibre of player with regards to mental toughness and fitness. Sometimes it has to require an element of luck to help one reach a title. The question is can she recover from that last physical exertion, hybernate and re-energise herself? It is not outside the realms of possibility. I am not going to count her out just yet. I have noticed from experience that knowledge of a players injury or tiredness can really be a distraction to the punter. Errani is in good form too. The fear is that her game could get swallowed up by the big game of Kiki if she come out firing. Best advice to bet in play. Mladenovic wins hands down on first glimpse of good body language!!!!

@ogii55 at it again! 

Cagla Buyukakcay to beat Shelby Rogers at 4.50 with bet365
Shelby went far in last years RG so she's got lots of points to defend. She reached the quarters in RG 2016 where she lost to Garbiñe Muguruza in straight sets. Cagla picked up some mutch needed experience last year winning her first title and winning her first match in RG main draw. She stopped at Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova where she lost in three sets. It was a major breakthrough for her and I think she may have more in the tank this time around. Cagla can play very good on clay and Shelby Rogers have no greater form and she's beatable.  

Paquet - Kr. Pliskova 7.00 at Boyles
Pliskova hates clay. This is her worst surface. I can't understand why she is so big favorite. It's true that she improved a lot in the last 12 months, even in red courts, but such odds. Kristina appeared six times in Rolan Garros and never won a match here... Paquet is nothing special, but she is home player, who is playing mainly on clay. The only thing she needs is a bad day for Pliskova, who is relying to much on her power serve and forehand. The French girl was compeative against in form Barty and Koulichkova. She is capable of scoring some surprise wins and had a decent value for such odds.

Stefano Napolitano v Diego Schwartzman
Taking Stefano to beat diego at juicy 5/1 marathon. Napolitano beat zverev 3:1 today where as diego struggled to beat his opponent who was ranked 100+ just like stefano. And if stefano can do what he did today, those are good odds to get on early. 
 

You could've posted those bets, you know. 

Made a lot of bets, but an odd that espiacially catched my eyes is Estrella Burgos @2,69
Don't know what makes Gabashvili such a big favorite here. For me it is at least 50-50. Gabashvili made it through the qualy's but everytime he needed three sets. Estrella Burgos does have some difficulties lately, but overall he is a very decent clay player. Definitely worth a try at these odds.

I fucking hate Madrid.Absolutely despise the bastards.
But claiming luck is the driving factor behind baldy cnut chops Zidane,  taking his team one match from an unprecedented defence of the Champions League? You'd have to be pretty barking mad or plain stupid not to appreciate the quality of Madrid.

I'm not getting involved in this team thing on the PGA Tour this week in New Orleans. Instead I like the look of the following on a very easy and short Par 72 on the European Tour. The Volvo China Open - Levy 25/1, Larrazabal 40/1, Burmester 45/1 and Southgate 200/1. 

Tough track this week and with a continual Texan wind across at least the final 54 holes, there will be plenty of players who won't fancy the job this week. The Valero Texas Open is one of the weakest events of the season and plenty in this field won't be a factor. The course is a long Par 72, where 3 of the 4 par-5s are difficult to reach in 2 shots. A feature though of the course, are the fast and pretty undulating green complexes. Poor putters need not apply.
So we need a real mix this week. A player who thrives on a technical course, has the power or wedge ability to score well on long par-5s and who can putt well on tough green complexes, which favour those who are comfortable on Bentgrass. Naturally we also want those who are more than comfortable in the wind. 
I've gone for Branden Grace 28/1, Ryan Moore 28/1 and Kevin Chappell 33/1.

I thinks it's because Hummels and Boateng are playing both were doubtfull.I'm really surprised to see them start, they are certainly not fit. I would not be surprised if Ancelotti will have to make an early sub. My bookies don't offer Hummels , Boateng to be booked @ 4.00,

Someone in another forum said he is trying to get people to bet on Envigado so that he can trade his position. He also posted this in the Premier league board.

Not really a PL game, but thought more people will see it here:
 
COLOMBIA: Atletico Nacional - Envigado 2 @ 6.00, X2 @ 2.60

http://www.elcolombiano.com/deportes...gado-YA6332331
Google translated:
After the defeat with Botafogo, coach Reinaldo Rueda made clear that all efforts will be turned to change the situation in the Copa Libertadores and, therefore tomorrow against Envigado (8:00 p.m.), will use the young. "Against Envigado we will not have nor the alternate team, we will be with the juveniles," emphasized Rueda.
This becomes a new challenge for those under Nixon Perea, coach of the U19 category and who from the defeat against Santa Fe in the semifinal of the Eagle-2 2016 League was waiting for the rematch.
"We know the responsibility, because the team is close to ensuring the quota among the eight and so far has not lost," said Perea.
He is not mistaken because a green victory leaves him assured in the absence of 7 days to finish the phase of all against all.
Perea recalled that defeat in the semifinals, 0-4 against Santa Fe, was before the champion of the South American and that all parties are different. Among the juveniles are Háider Borja, Cristian Moya, Sebastián Támara; Rodin Quiñones, Juan Pablo Ramírez, Duvan Uribe and Andrés Sarmiento.
Nacional meets his best start in short tournaments, accumulates 11 undefeated dates, with a less match that will play against Junior on 26 April.
Atletico played Copa Libertadores game 3 days ago, and are playing another one in 3 days... Their U-19 team is nowhere near the level of serious, senior football and those few senior players are those who played very little so far. Guest win is very likely here, odds will drop A LOT soon...
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