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Bamford

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About Bamford

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    Newbie Punter
  • Birthday 01/29/73
  1. Tour Championship

    The top 30 players in the FedEx Cup standings have reached the PGA Tour finale - the Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta. Since 2010 the winner this week has also won the season-long FedEx Cup and a cool combined $11.5 million. East Lake is the kind of traditional course, where liberties can't be taken. So hitting fairways helps here and ball-striking really is critical. The course features Bermudagrass green surfaces - a serious change from the past 3 tournaments - and as well as strong ball-striking look for players who can also scramble well. Yes Sergio Garcia wouldn't be a bad shout! A stern Par 70, the course could be receptive after plenty of rain last week and thunderstorm potential from Wednesday onwards. If the rain misses the course though, things will firm-up majorly for the weekend. I'm going for 3 players in the 30-man field - Jordan Spieth (11/2) - in my mind he's been the winner of the FEC since the PGA Champiomship. Justin Rose (16/1) who is finding form at the right time and who has a superb course record. For a longer-shot Garcia has legs, but I have gone for Webb Simpson (50/1). 2 back-door top 10s across the Northern Trust and the BMW Championship, the 2013 U.S. Open champion has a 4th and 5th here plus finally he has got his head around the putter after seasons of struggling since the belly-putter was banned. Hitting fairways for fun, and Number 1 for Scrambling from the Rough, if he can hit enough greens, I think he can feature.
  2. BMW Championship

    The 3rd leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs namely the BMW Championship features 70 players and returns to Conway Farms where the tournament was hosted in 2013 & 2015. This tournament was played in tough winds in 2013 when Zach Johnson won and both renewals have featured soggy ground conditions. Accurate sorts thrived in 2013, with bombers including Jason Day dominating in 2015. However we should see a far faster course in 2017 with stimpmeter readings up to 12.5. With no wind though, expect resort type high double-digit scoring. Undoubtedly a warm putter is required on the pure Bentgrass greens here and most player quotes mention that the greens are a challenge. With fast stimps, that will only become more of a challenge. But it's also noticeable that both ZJ and Day came to Chicago after an excellent tee-to-green outing at TPC Boston. Following that flow, I'm going with Jordan Spieth (7/1), Marc Leishman (45/1), Patrick Cantlay (60/1) and Kevin Na (70/1) this week. The latter 2 players sit outside the top 30 in the FEC and will need a top 5 challenge to qualify for the Tour Championship next week.
  3. Dell Technolgies Championship

    We like TPC Boston. Stern enough test, but birdies and eagles are possible. Win only DJ 15/2 and Matsuyama 16/1 - EW Patrick Reed 35/1, Daniel Berger 66/1, Russell Henley 90/1
  4. The Northern Trust

    The PGA Tour FedEx Cup Playoffs lick-off this week with The Northern Trust at Glen Oaks Club, close to New York. 120 players in this week's event with no-shows from Garcia and Scott amongst others. It's a new course for the PGA Tour, and won't be similar to other courses we saw played under the previous Barclays sponsorship. Saying that the greens at Glen Oaks are standard Metropolitan course construction with predominant Poa Annua with a little Bentgrass in the mix. However with wide fairways and really manicured surfaces including tight fairways and run off areas, the course has a definite GC of Houston + Augusta feel. I'm going for Jason Day 20/1, Matt Kuchar 35/1, Charley Hoffman 66/1 and Zach Johnson 70/1.
  5. Wyndham Championship

    End of the regular PGA Tour season with plenty of notables outside of the top 125 in the FEC standings. Played at Sedgefield Country Club just outside of Greensboro, North Carolina, expect plenty of birdies this week, on a short par 70, where bogeys really are the foe. Consistency is required this week to across a player's whole game to generate the number of birdies and pars required to go for the title, with a winning score of -17 to -18 looking the likely target. I have gone for Moore 25/1, Martin 55/1, Horschel 60/1, Streb 66/1 and Every 300/1
  6. USPGA Championship

    I have gone for Matsuyama (12/1), Rahm (28/1) and Koepka (28/1). Best of luck all.
  7. RBC Canadian Open

    Matt Kuchar will go off heavily backed this week at the RBC Canadian Open and when he does win - I know it's rare - it's always after a period of near misses. Naturally that always makes his price not very attractive to say the least. The Canadian Open is played at Glen abbey this week which has been the host course across 2007,08.13. 15 & 16. A classical tree-lined course, it can be taken apart by bombers and plotters alike. No Canadian has won this since 1954, but in Hearn, DeLaet, Taylor and Hadwin the home supporters have a set of players who have done well this season. With a receptive course likely this could be a real birdie-fest. Hot form in has been key of late, so I'm following that route, with a couple who are just bubbling under the surface. Hoffman (25/1), Stallings, Schniederjans and Rodgers (all 66/1) + Woodland 80/1.
  8. The Open Championship (July 20th -23rd)

    Paul Williams our European Tour tipster has gone for Fowler (16/1), Rose (22/1) plus two more with Skybet 10 places each way - so Grace 45/1 and Snedeker 70/1 - bigger prices with less places available elsewhere.
  9. John Deere Classic

    A true birdie-fest this week in Illinois with the John Deere Classic at TPC Deere Run. Eagles and birdies are available across two-thirds of the course, but avoiding bogeys is just as important. A target score of -20/264 will get a player into the mix his week, so getting the blend right of birdies vs bogeys is critical this week. Naturally though a hot-putter will ultimately be victorious and in Moore, Spieth (x2), Harman and Stricker (x3) - all share the ability to putt the lights out. With average winning odds of 33/1 in this tournament across the past 7 seasons I'm keeping my sights for the victory locked on the top of the market. Harman 22/1, Danny Lee 22/1 and Howell III 40/1.
  10. Greenbrier Classic

    After the trials of TPC Potomac last week, the PGA Tour returns to West Virginia for the Greenbrier Classic. One of the 'softest' tournaments on the Tour schedule, plenty of maidens and low volume winners have won this since it's introduction in 2009. A very attackable Par 70, the course lends itself to pure birdie-making with wide fairways and large green complexes, allowing the putters to traditionally strut their stuff. Top quality ball-strikers and short game experts can contend around here, but ultimately putting tends to get the job done. It's also played at altitude, so look for players with a decent thin-air track record, be that on the PGA or web.com Tour. Streelman (45/1), Kang (66/1), English (70/1), Schniederjans (80/1), DeChambeau (90/1) and Kaufman (125/1).
  11. Tiger's tournament in my view is a very poor renewal in 2017. This 'select' 120-man field is far from that, but the winner will receive 3 year PGA Tour exemption - an additional 12 months above a standard PGA Tour exemption. The tournament has also moved to a new course this year with TPC Potomac looking like it will serve up a tough test. It's a huge opportunity for somebody, but with a new course and lots of tournament trends highlighting that immediate form-in is actually a turn-off, I'm going for a portfolio of players at slightly larger odds over and above the 8/1 and 14/1 available on Fowler, Reed and Thomas. This course hosted the Neediest Kids and Mid-Atlantic Championship tournaments in 2012 & 2013 on the web.com Tour. I think those with patience will come to the fore, so Chappell (28/1), Lingmerth (33/1), Horschel (50/1) and the talented Schauffele (50/1) are in the team this week.
  12. A short and pretty stock Par 70 on the PGA Tour this week, after +7,800 yards last week. It's scorable and bombers and plotters can both contend. Turns into an approach shot fest, allied to a putting contest. Naturally tidy plotters can win, with a good week with the flatstick - Knox, Streelman Duke, Jacobson, but players of the ilk of Watson and Leishman have used a little more brute force - indeed Patrick Rodgers was right in the mix 12 months ago. I'm also loathe to go for players who felt the white-heat at the US Open last week, although this year it did play a little more like a PGA Championship - as it did when Freddie Jac contended at Congessional, (he eventually finished 14th) before winning this.Snedeker 28/1, Watson 33/1, Cauley 60/1, Simpson 70/1 and McGirt 110/1.
  13. 2017 U.S. Open

    Long, tough (goes without saying) and with an undoubtedly links feel. Erin Hills will be a stern-test this week. Thunderstorms may soften the course a little more than the USGA would like, but with constant win in-play and a forecast which will see temperatures up into the 28-30 degree Celsius bracket. this is unlikely to become Congressional 2011. However with the purest of A4 Bentgrass putting surfaces and with Mike Davis saying that more putts will be made here than we have seen for a long while at the US Open, we could potentially see a number of players strategising their way around to a mid single-digit under par closing total. As with any US Open I have gone for players who are clearly confident with their driver and approach play, and who have ranked well in the All-Round category in their last appearance. So muy selections are: Jason Day 14/1, Justin Thomas 33/1, Branden Grace 50/1, Kevin Kisner 55/1, Kevin Chappell 66/1 and Shane Lowry 70/1
  14. FedEx St Jude Classic

    TPC Southwind is a tough track, which plenty of pros say is in the top 5 courses on Tour. The tournament's spot in the schedule, never helps when it comes to field strength and this week is a particularly weak field. The likes of Andres Romero getting in as alternates says everything. However there is still a full PGA Tour title to earn and Fowler, Koepka, Scott, Mickelson and Molinari headline the betting.The winners list here is varied with rank outsiders and short prices all winning. Elite players though that have won here, have all had a period of time with no victories, so I wouldn't fancy Fowler for the victory. I think players need a great mid-iron game, the ability to birdie par-4s and a strong putting game outside of 15 feet on grainy Champion Bermudagrass greens. I like Koepka (14/1), Henley (33/1), Horschel (33/1), Stricker (50/1 if he plays) and Brown (150/1).
  15. Yes plenty of wind around at Colonial again this week, so with faster conditions under foot than we have seen here for a while, I'd expect higher scoring. I spent far too long deciding whether to include Kevin Kisner - and didn't - so expect the man from Georgia to collect his second PGA Tour victory. Expect a tactical battle at the outset, with plenty of players falling by the wayside is nasty conditions. Those who survive within the top 20 come Saturday will be in with a great shot of victory as wind conditions lessen a little.I have backed Dufner (25/1), Perez (40/1), Horschel (45/1), Kyle Stanley (50/1) and Kirk (66/1).