Bamford

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About Bamford

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    Newbie Punter
  • Birthday 01/29/73
  1. Forth Worth Invitational

    We sat in the Dallas / Forth Worth area this week for the final leg of the Texas Swing. The Forth Worth invitational is always a strong event on the PGA Tour, with Colonial Country Club, rightly attracting a strong field. With the PGA Tour legislating to get players to visit new events, the like of Justin Rose, Brooks Kopeka and Rickie Fowler add flavour to the tournament this week, and mix in-well with the likes of Kisner, Zach Johnson, Dufner, Kuchar, Simpson, Scott and Walker. Throw-in the young talents of Cantlay, DeChambeau, Grillo, Smith, Hadley and last week's winner Aaron Wise and this tournament is pretty stacked. I'm looking for players with a classical course record and who like Bentgrass greens. A previous top 10/12 finish at Colonial seems a must for the winner - although World Number 1 (at the time) Adam Scott won here in 2014 with nothing better than a 64th here. And I have also gone for players who have shown flashes of form since Augusta. I'm tipping up Jon Rahm (14/1), Jason Dufner (33/1), Zach Johnson (50/1) and Danny Lee (90/1).
  2. AT&T Byron Nelson

    A new course to get our heads around this week. Trinity Forest GC in south-east Dallas. Not your stock PGA Tour course, it's set on an old landfill site. It's effectively a faux-links, so looks extremely links-like, but think Chambers Bay or Erin Hills. Wide fairways, no rough, but plenty of hazards including native areas, severe green run-offs, severely contoured greens with a majority that repel approaches. It looks a little like classic courses we see in the Melbourne sand-belt area and Open Champion + Trinity-member Jordan Spieth describes it as similar in the skill-sets needed to when he won at Birkdale last July. Strategic course management, accurate approaches and a super short game, especially with scrambling from distance will be required. It maybe a U.S. faux links-test, but plenty in the field won't like this whatsoever. Wind could be a factor on Fri/Sat but in-general I think the course will be scorable. I'm on Adam Scott (25/1), Branden Grace (25/1), Beau Hossler (40/1), Brandt Snedeker (60/1) and Peter Uihlein (66/1).
  3. The PLAYERS Championship

    We visit the Pete Dye designed Stadium Course at TPC Sawgrass for The Players Championship. The PGA Tour's biggest tournament of the year, The Players victor earns some huge rewards. The winner receives a five-year exemption on the PGA Tour, a three-year invitation to the Masters, U.S. Open, The Open Championship and the PGA Championship. If European or American, they will also pretty much guarantee selection in their respective Ryder Cup teams. With such huge rewards on the table, you would expect the tournament champions list to be dominated by the very biggest names in the game and you would be partly correct. World Number 1s Tiger Woods and Jason Day have both one this in-recent times, but the likes of Si Woo Kim, Rickie Fowler, Martin Kaymer, Matt Kuchar and K.J. Choi, all came into the tournament at some serious odds. Top players, who needed to win a big tournament at the time they did. With DJ, Thomas, Spieth, Rahm and Rose all having cracks at leaving Ponte Vedra Beach with the World Number 1 mantle, it's almost as if we need to look deeper in this stacked field for the winner. So I'm looking for strategists this week, who have shown enough underlying form in the last 4/5 weeks to give this a real crack, The course will play firm and fast and the 2017-new greens are likely to be as non-compliant this time around in terms of accepting approach shots. Wind though, which pretty-much is always a feature of The Players won't be in 2018. Solid (not spectacular) tee-to-green is needed this week, as is the ability to actually play for the middle of greens on a number of key holes. Scrambling (or strokes gained around the green) is the critical stat this week, over and above everything including putting. So I'm going for Henrik Stenson 33/1, Bryson DeChambeau 55/1, Kevin Kisner 66/1, Zach Johnson 80/1 and Adam Hadwin 100/1
  4. Wells Fargo Championship

    This tournament returns to Quail Hollow where they hosted the PGA Championship last year. Quail Hollow is a classical course, which is extremely long to boot. Now a Par 71 measuring 7,500 yards, this week is unlikely to be a birdie-fest, rather a proper tournament where a mix of both birdies and bogeys will hit every player. I don't expect the course to play quite as difficult as it did for the PGA Championship, but with fast greens and little wind we should still see a typical mid-score winning score. Power and a high ball-flight is definitely an advantage here, but course management and a razor-sharp short game will be essential, when players inevitably miss greens. It's also a tournament where quality players in the past have made big-breakthroughs with potentially a number of the elite names casting an eye to The Players next week rather than winning this. I'm going with Tommy Fleetwood (28/1), Webb Simpson (40/1), Tony Finau (45/1) and Bennie An (70/1).
  5. Valero Texas Open

    Valero Texas Open is this week's action on the PGA Tour. Played at the tough TPC San Antonio track, it's never gong to be a highlight of any Tour season, but from a betting event it's fairly interesting. Yes the likes of Steve Bowditch have won this at 350/1, but across the past 3 years Jimmy Walker, Charley Hoffman and Kevin Chappell have all won at 25/1, 30/1 and 33/1 respectively. A track where power in my view is 100% critical, it sets up well for ball-strikers who can access some of the longer par-5 green complexes in 2 mighty blows and also attack the short par-4s at the 5th (342 yards) and the 17th (347 yards). Wind is always a factor in Texas and it looks set to blow again here this week on an exposed course, which has similarities in set-up with the likes of Augusta and Firestone, where power pays. After a 40/1 Webb Simpson each-way return last week I'm in on Billy Horschel and Xander Schauffele at 33/1 + Chesson Hadley at 40/1 this week.
  6. RBC Heritage

    Played at Harbour Town Golf Links the test this week is the complete opposite of Augusta. Short, claustrophobic, with tiny greens featuring TifEagle Bermudagrass. Set by the coast in South Carolina, the RBC Heritage is an invitational-status PGA Tour tournament with a 3 year (rather than 2) exemption up for grabs. Therefore the field is half-decent considering it's a week after The Masters and Team RBC players are all in-attendance. You don't have to be too straight off the tee, but playing for position and knowing where to miss is critical. With 70% GIR likely to top the Greens in Regulation numbers, look for those who have a great scrambling / Strokes Gained Around the Green game, as upwards of 20 missed greens are inevitable. I'm going with: Brian Harman 33/1, Webb Simpson 40/1, Adam Hadwin 40/1 and Ryan Moore 60/1
  7. Houston Open

    The Masters curtain-raiser, the Houston Open takes place this week. The starter-course before we dine at Augusta National, this tournament at the GC of Houston is played on a long par 72 which features hybrid Bermudagrass with Bentgrass greens. It's a track where straight, long driving is a huge advantage and with a driveable par-4 and a tough set of par-5s which always ranks as some of the toughest on the PGA Tour, including Major courses; having an aggressive streak with 2nd shots is 100% critical here. We also need to take note of the market-leaders as no elite player - apart from J.B. Holmes (who had just finished 2nd at the WGC-Cadillac) - has one this since 2011. I can see Fowler and Spieth desperately trying to gain form here and Stenson ploughing on nicely on the basis that he isn't a factor at Augusta. I'd be majorly surprised if Rose or Mickelson threaten on Sunday. So I'm looking for aggressive sorts who will be solely focused on delivering a strong result at a tournament where the actual field strength is pretty low. So I'm with Daniel Berger (28/1), Luke List (33/1), Russell Henley (33/1) and Luke List (66/1).
  8. Corales Championship

    A new alternate tournament on the PGA Tour which will be played across the Thursday - Sunday of the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play. The Corales Championship takes place at the Corales Golf Course which has hosted web.com Tour events in 2016 and 2017, won by Dominic Bozzelli and Nate Lashley (who plays this week). A +7,600 yard, par 72, it won't be a challenge to the field, apart from the fact that some bad weather is forecast, especially on Sunday. Expect low scoring across the opening 54 holes. We don't have much to go on, but I fancy Harris English (33/1), Kelly Kraft (50/1), Derek Fathauer (50/1) and Rafael Campos (80/1).
  9. The annual trip to Bay Hill and the Arnold Palmer Invitational.Mr Palmer may no longer be with us, but his tournament on his course is still in fine fettle. A strong field are in-attendance and this is always a title that the very elite want to capture, if they are playing well enough. A longish traditional par-72, the course is your typical flat Florida affair, with plenty of water in-play, A hard set of par-3s and par-4s are hard to score on, so taking advantage of the par-5s is essential. Power is advantage, but the course always ranks short in-terms of All Driving Distances, highlighting that plenty of the holes, see driving into particular areas of the fairways, which are extremely wide. The TifEagle Bermudagrass greens will be firm, and repel approach shots, making this a mid-score test where strong putting will be the differentiator. I'm on Tiger Woods (7/1), Justin Rose (14/1), Brian Harman (40/1) and Patton Kizzire (90/1).
  10. Valspar Championship

    We haven't seen a Valspar Championship field like this for many a year. Jordan Spieth, Rory McIlroy, Sergio Garcia, Henrik Stenson, Justin Rose and Tiger Woods headline. It's pretty stacked and what that says is I expect is that the likes of Spieth and McIlroy are not happy with the current state of their games. This tournament in the past has been the graveyard of many punters when backing the big names - many of whom are more interested in grooming their games with Augusta in-mind that winning this relatively small tournament. The Copperhead Course is a par-71 brute - and with wind forecast across 36 holes this time around, don't expect last year's -14/270 to be the winning total. The winning score will be higher than that at I'd suggest the -10/-11 level. Ultimately those that can avoid bogeys will be the ones who come to the fore here. Those with controlled length have a little advantage, but pure power around here is pretty much negated. The TifEagle Bermudagrass greens aren't that tricky, but regularly finding the greens is a real challenge here - as is being able to save par when you miss them. Ultimately though strong, streaky putters get over the line here, at a course where straight 69s would be an excellent score this week. I'm with Ryan Moore 40/1, Webb Simpson 50/1, Cameron Smith 50/1, Chez Reavie 66/1 and Charley Hoffman 100/1
  11. Genesis Open

    A visit to Hogan's Alley namely Riviera Country Club for the Genesis Open is always a highlight of the PGA Tour season. A loaded field who are undoubtedly warming to the task of getting ready for Augusta. A classical course which can be quite brutal, if conditions are fast always attracts a quality field and this year is no exception, with Dustin Johnson, Jordan Spieth, Justin Thomas, Rory McIlroy, Tiger Woods and the likes of Chappell, Leishman, Watson, Bradley, Schniederjans and Finau all in the field. Power ball-striking undoubtedly reigns here on a course which looks short, but plays very long with 6 +450 yard par-4s and I'm looking for players who arrive in Los Angeles having confidence with their ball-striking and Greens in Regulation. So for me I'm going for Phil Mickelson 28/1, Tommy Fleetwood 30/1, Alex Noren 50/1, Thomas Pieters 50/1 and Jimmy Walker 90/1.
  12. A putters paradise next to the Pacific Ocean in Carmel, California. Pebble Beach Golf Links will host the 2019 U.S. Open hence the loaded field this week which includes Dustin Johnson, Jordan Spieth, Rory McIlroy, Jason Day, Jon Rahm, Paul Casey, Branden Grace and plenty of other Major championship contenders. Played over a 3-course rota, with Spyglass and Monterrey supporting host course Pebble Beach, all courses are short and more than attackable to those who are hitting masses of greens - they are very small here - plus putting exceptionally well. In-recent champions, Johnson, Snedeker, Spieth and 3-time champion Phil Mickelson, we have some of the best putters on the planet, so I'm looking for those who are managing their games well right now and who have a track-record on west coast courses + poa annua greens. I'm backing Perez (40/1), Kuchar (40/1), Hadley (50/1), Hahn (80/1) and Tom Hoge (200/1). Best of Luck
  13. We return to the cathedral of top-class power ball-striking - TPC Scottsdale. Think desert golf, at altitude on a relatively short course, with 660,000 mad fans in attendance. Always a highlight in my mind of the domestic PGA Tour events. With Hideki Matsuyama going for the 3-peat, and the likes of Louis Oosthuizen, Bubba Watson and Rickie Fowler all going close of late, it's easy to see comparisons with the likes of Augusta. Shorter hitters can be competitive - as we saw with Webb Simpson 12 months ago, but power wins in the end. I'm going for Rickie Fowler (14/1), Justin Thomas (16/1), Scott Piercy (66/1) and Chesson Hadley (125/1).
  14. Farmers Insurance Open

    Tiger Woods and Torrey Pines. Sounds good. Classical test, which will see a return to old-fashioned scoring golf. Rahm defends with Fowler, Day, Rose and Matsuyama all in-attendance. A coastal course, where length off the tee is a real advantage, although players have to play 3 rounds around the monstrous South Course and a single round on the easier/shorter North course. I'm going with Rahm 8/1, Leishman 25/1, Schniederjans 50/1 and Vegas 50/1 - Best of luck.
  15. CareerBuilder Challenge

    Birdie-fest pro-am in Californian desert, which can numb the mind! Played over a 3-course rota to allow for 156 players, this large field event is always a challenge to nail down, with short-prices not winning this for a long period of time. I'm going for players who are hitting lots of birdies coming into the event, but who haven't been at the very summit when it comes to in your face results. So Kirk (60/1), Knox (66/1), Vegas (66/1), JJ Spaun (80/1) and a wild punt on Hossler at 300/1. These prices were on Monday. Best of luck.