amity

Gotta say that JHB is a bit chilly, when compared to the Northern hemisphere at this time (16c), but it is good to be home. Life is far from terrible here! Between the jet lag and them eating too much in America, and I do feel slightly toxic. Will take a week for the body to adjust. 

Nice to see you again @neilovan

Tough card tomorrow, won't be betting most likely.

Rublev doing well in important games today - serves for first set, broken, serves to stay in second, broken, serves for match... you've guessed it - broken. Certain players are probably a gold mine if you bet against them at key points in matches.

This gets underway Saturday through to the 24th.
Tends to be a player who has consistency to win this, as it's a "first to 10 legs" round 1 format, "First to 11" round 2 and then into a best of 32 legs, 34 and then 37 in the final. 
We've seen MVG, Taylor, Anderson, Cross, Van Den Bergh and Wright win this in the last 6 renewals and that shows the quality level of the winner. Very much like a "Masters" of Darts. 
I think Peter Wright will win this one. He has had a pretty rubbish year but when you look at the last couple of Players Championships, you will see him hitting 100+ averages regularly and that's a good sign, here. I reckon he comes into this in a better position than the likes of MVG, Price or Clayton. Will be interesting to see how Smith goes and Van Den Bergh always goes well here. However, his form hasn't been that solid over the last 12 months.
My 2nd "serious" selection is Luke Humphries. He has come into his own in the past 3 months and has won a multitude of PDC events. He needs to hit the ground running here with a big TV win. Both single bets as I don't think the winner will come from the bottom half.
Finally, to add abit of typical high priced options for you, I will give you 1 half decent mid-range shout and that's Danny Noppert. He seems to get better with every event on the TV stage and looks a bit of value at 33s. The other 2 are both 100+/1 shots who are both on fire at the Players Championships. Will they bottle it on the big stage? probably. Are they 100+/1 shots? Nope. Adrian Lewis and Andrew Gilding.
3pts Wright to win World Matchplay 8/1 bet365
2pts Humphries to win World Matchplay 12/1 betfred
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1pt e/w Noppert to win World Matchplay 33/1 betfred
0.5pts e/w Lewis to win World Matchplay 100/1 bet365
0.5pts e/w Gilding to win World Matchplay 125/1 betvictor
 

Today, I like Wang to beat Bogdan at 2.00 with Unibet, no idea why she's the underdog there to be honest. She was good against Krejcikova, while Bogdan struggled and the H2H is 1-0 as well, with Wang beating Bogdan in two sets in Valencia not that long ago.

Peter Gojowczyk to beat John Isner at 4.80 with Unibet
Rediculous price here and I thank the bookie. Will also go for Gojowczyk +3.5 games as I think it's just a matter of serving in this one.

Ah can't believe it. I posted that without checking my balance as I didn't think maguire could win. That sucks

Tomorrow, I'm backing Peter Gojowczyk (+4) to beat John Isner at 1.61 with Pinnacle. It's buying games for a shorter price, sure, but I think it's worth in this case, as double-break sets from Isner are rather unlikely.

Could have been so different for Pagett. Beat McLeod with ease, led Hang 1-0. Anyways, another couple of groups today. I think Jimmy Robertson looks a good thing in his group and only really has Un-Nooh to worry about. He has a good record against Un-Nooh. In the other group though, I think it's worth taking on Maguire, who doesn't tend to care about this event much. I'll give Jiahui a punt at 10/3.
1.5pts Jiahui to win Group 21 10/3 bet365
0.5pts double Jiahui Group 21 / Robertson Group 22 12/1 bet365

Czech is right about newport throwing curveballs as far as winners.Any tourney where rajeev Ram has won it twice anything is possible.
Bonzi for me looks like best value if you would like to take a longshot bet.Has a manageable draw.Very impressive field for this for only a 250 and youre getting quite alot of value in not taking a big name.

Lopezs most likely last grass court event ever at newport.My has he fallen on the green stuff in recent years.Hes 100-1 to win it..
 
Baez at 20-1 to win the swedish tourney is quite good odds.Worth a bet for sure..

Tennis never dies down after a Grand Slam, and there's even the grass court tournament in Newport, which usually throws in a couple of curveballs! Good luck!

3rd day bets. 
1.5pts e/w Heta 20/1 paddypower
1pt e/w Chisnall 40/1 paddypower
1pt e/w Clemens 66/1 paddypower
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0.5pts e/w S.Williams 100/1 paddypower
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0.25pts e/w Menzies 150/1 paddypower
0.25pts e/w Rafferty 250/1 paddypower
0.25pts e/w Zonneveld 300/1 paddypower
0.25pts e/w De Decker 400/1 paddypower

Hi there, 
Yeah, you want 4 places really for the big prices. Betfair also do it i believe. 
Yes, 1/4th of odds of 100 so 25/1. You're right with the return. I probably bet on too many but I do get the odd big winner. Today I am so glad gilding didn't win. I would have been sick as I always bet on him. 
 

Lewis each way Winner 100/1. 25/1 winner. I didn't have a bet today so obviously one of yesterday's bets will win 

On Paddy Power, you can get Rybakina 2-0 at 3/1 and the special on Ons to win 2-0 is 9/4. 

What struck me about Rybakina vs Halep was the sheer power of the Kazakh which Halep really struggled with. Truth be told, were it not for Rybakina hitting far too many shots into the net, this could have been a demolition. If she can limit her unforced errors, then I think she's got a real chance against Jabeur.

I think the main thing to say is that a huge majority of recent Women’s Wimbledon Finals are two-set affairs - 12 out of the last 14 finals in fact. If anyone is struggling to pick a side in this match, then a bet on it being a two-set match is excellent value, at around 8/15 - especially with it being two players who have been nowhere near this stage of a Grand Slam before, as one of them could easily crack under the pressure.
If you do have a potential winner in mind, then much better to take them to win 2-0, as that is the most likely scoreline here. If pushed, I fancy 2-0 Rybakina, at very tasty odds of 5/2.

Tough for me to crack the women's finals. Rybakina has the better form and Jabeur has been struggling recently, but do you trust Rybakina's nerves?

Djokovic just didn't turn up for the first set @harry_rag It wasn't so much that Norrie won it as Djokovic lost it. At the price, I still think it was the bet to take.

I just want to say: what a shame that Fritz didn't find the way to win against Nadal..so many missed opportunities in that one.. You were on the right track with this pick..fantastic value as well..a pity..

no joy yesterday with the bigger prices. Next group on Monday.

Another couple of Players Championships over the coming weekend. We have 4 through to Monday. Here's what I'll be going for today. All Paddypower 4 places 1/4 odds :

1pt e/w Rock 66/1 paddypower
1pt e/w Dobey 66/1 paddypower
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0.5pts e/w Rowby Rodridguez 80/1 paddypower
0.5pts e/w Bunting 80/1 paddypower
0.5pts e/w A.Lewis 100/1 paddypower
0.5pts e/w R.Smith 150/1 paddypower
0.5pts e/w S.Williams 150/1 paddypower
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0.25pts e/w Van Barneveld 150/1 paddypower
0.25pts e/w Menzies 200/1 paddypower
0.25pts e/w L.Williams 200/1 paddypower
0.25pts e/w Rusty Rodriguez 300/1 paddypower