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amity

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  1. Like
    amity got a reaction from ThunderDan9 in Players Championship '24   
    Taylor had his chances, was ahead for most of the Dolan match but lost his bottle in the final few legs. 
  2. Like
    amity reacted to Fader in Players Championship '24   
    If de graaf won I would have been even worse. He’s been on my shortlist for a while but recently he’s done nothing.
    i really thought Taylor would make it. Shows you can get huge prices in this but also shows it is very random at times
  3. Like
    amity reacted to Torque in World Championships 2024 (inc QFs)   
    I won't be surprised if Jones ends up winning it now. His temperament could end up being the difference - Gilbert was all over the place with his emotions and I think that was to his detriment against Wilson, who also flunked badly the last time he was here and Jones doesn't have that baggage. He also won't have to deal with being the favourite which should help him and even more so as I don't think Wilson is equipped to deal with the expectation that's now on his shoulders at the biggest tournament of all.
  4. Haha
    amity reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - April 29 - May 5   
    He was commenting on his own pick, so no issues there haha!
  5. Like
    amity reacted to Fader in World Championships 2024 (inc QFs)   
    Both matches locked 4-4. Bingham one will be all nerves between those two. All to play for in both matches but still hoping for Gilberto and Jack
  6. Like
    amity reacted to Fader in World Championships 2024 (inc QFs)   
    as unprofessional as ever, eh? what makes me laugh is that Ronnie pretends like he's a fighter but he couldn't be any less of a fighter. He is so good that he rarely needs to fight and when he has to, he just does that and gives up.
  7. Like
    amity reacted to Torque in World Championships 2024 (inc QFs)   
    Over the line easily in the end. Must admit I didn't see that one coming.
  8. Like
    amity reacted to Fader in European Tour ‘24   
    so annoying. I have no idea how I didn't even get a place in that tournament. Only time I'll like Littler is for the double I have on him winning PL and Worlds
  9. Like
    amity reacted to Fader in World Championships 2024 (inc QFs)   
    Allen really threw that match away though tbh
  10. Like
    amity reacted to four-leaf in World Championships 2024 (inc QFs)   
    Couldn't agree more
  11. Like
    amity reacted to charliepie in World Championships 2024 (inc QFs)   
    Finally a couple of bum-clenchingly close second-round matches with Jackpot blowing it again and Higgins making another signature clearance started off with a ballsy double to the middle pocket.
  12. Like
    amity reacted to chris666 in World Championships 2024 (inc QFs)   
    Maguire is playing better than I've seen him before, but I'd prefer Murphy to go through, as previously stated, he likes a sulk when things go awry!
  13. Haha
    amity got a reaction from Fader in World Championships 2024 (inc QFs)   
    There's also Si who's playing like a headless chicken, making Jones look accomplished. 🤦‍♂️🙈
  14. Like
    amity reacted to chris666 in World Championships 2024 (inc QFs)   
    Can't say I fancied Si to win this at all, but when looking at the odds pre match, they put me right off! Should've gone with my first instinct!
  15. Like
    amity reacted to Fader in World Championships 2024 (inc QFs)   
    I reckon if you said to him shall we not bother this evening that he would take it. Come in, in the evening, for basically one or two frames. Games gone.
  16. Like
    amity reacted to chris666 in World Championships 2024 (inc QFs)   
    I took Gilbert at 1.83 yesterday -3.5, but watching this in could be a helluva lot more between them at the end. Commentators mention Milkins has a sore neck, which you can see is bothering him. Really doesn't look comfortable at all out there at the moment 
  17. Like
    amity reacted to Fader in World Championships 2024 (inc QFs)   
    I'm going to take a bet on the 3 favs over the next couple of days. I think Jak Jones looked quite nervous in his last match and I think Jiahui will improve going forward, too. As I said above, I think Murphy beats Maguire without too much fuss and Lisowski beat Ding, who played some great stuff. Ding hit 2 centuries and 7 50+ breaks and he still got the better of him. I think he'll beat Bingham.
    2pts Jiahui, Murphy and Lisowski 5/2 Paddypower
  18. Like
    amity reacted to Fader in World Championships 2024 (inc QFs)   
    I'd have him as a big fav against Maguire personally. Murphy is 2nd in pot accuracy (After Ronnie)
  19. Like
    amity reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - April 22 - April 28   
    Roberto Carballes Baena to beat Dominik Koepfer at 1.57 with Bet365
    RCB has been very fine so far this season, not excellent, but playing on a top 50 level, and playing in Spain always brings the best out of him. Koepfer is 0-3 on clay and I haven't been impressed by him lately.
  20. Like
    amity reacted to Torque in World Championships 2024 (inc QFs)   
    Finally he's on the board and the break of 142 and the way he compiled it just confirms he was bottling it before. If he'd played like that from the start then we'd have a match. As it is it's game over. O'Sullivan isn't losing from 6-1 up.
  21. Like
    amity reacted to Fader in World Championships 2024 (inc QFs)   
    last 3 years Lisowski has reached Last 16, QF, Last 16 at the Worlds. Ding has gone out at the 1st round for the last 3 years running. Interesting match but I think the value is with Jack
  22. Like
    amity reacted to Fader in World Championships 2024 (inc QFs)   
    very weak performances from Carter and Anda over the last few days. Brecel was a weird one. It looks to be an open tournament this year, so far.
  23. Like
    amity reacted to Grass Cash in Tennis Tips - April 22 - April 28   
    Ok here's my leans on tomorrow's final matches.. Maybe you guys can chime in with your opinions or if you agree with anything. 
    Rouen: Stephens for me. I was leaning towards Linette in the semi-finals as a dog, but I've seen some of Stephens earlier in the tournament, and I knew that I would probably not go against her for the duration of the tournament. Now that she is in the finals.. that logic still holds. I am not tempted to bet her much, but I will include her in some parlay potentially for lower stakes. 
    Munich: I saw Fritz in the quarterfinals, and he was playing extremely well. I had backed him to beat Garin, and I imagine this was a comfortable win. I do think Struff is tougher competition especially on home soil, but I am still leaning Fritz to win the match with low confidence. 
    Bucharest: I have not watched these matches, but I know that Fucsovics and Navone have both been dominating. It feels like a home tournament for Marton. I wonder if Navone has run out of gas but his clay court runs have been impressive. He is clearly skilled, and is a nice competitor. I have lean with Fucsovics low confidence.
    Stuttgart: I have backed Kostyuk in the quarterfinals, and liked her odds in R16 also vs Zheng.. This has been my primary tournament of focus, and wrote extensive analysis in another forum regarding the court conditions in Stuttgart favoring taller players. That proved true in the semi-finals when both underdogs won at nice odds. I predicted Vondrousova to beat Kostyuk there, but was lucky enough to stay away from betting Marketa. I have lean on Rybakina to win the match with low confidence. 
    Barcelona: One of the few European cities I've visited, and had a great time. I have watched some of these matches but not either of the semi-finals. I have sneaky feeling that Ruud would like some revenge clearly from Monte Carlo Final. This is not match I feel good about betting, and have no real opinion as to who will win.. I do think this is the most exciting match out of the five tournaments, and would love to have a bet. Unfortunately, it feels like I'm doomed to lose with whoever I select.
    ☝️
     
  24. Like
    amity reacted to Grass Cash in Tennis Tips - April 22 - April 28   
    I am copying my report on WTA Stuttgart that I mentioned. I think it might be helpful in the years to come if the tournament doesn't change.. The strategy would have proved very effective allowing for an easy upset bet of Swiatek at the large odds offered. I thought surely Czech Punter might take some interest. I actually saved money using the strategy because I was really confident that Vondrousova was going to win, and I matched her up with Swiatek in the finals which was another mistake. I avoided losing any money on both of them because in the back of my head.. I knew about the tournament conditions, and it just wasn't worth a punt. (Particularly on Marketa Vondrousova) I wasn't very interested betting Iga at like -400. But, I nearly had them paired up together in a parlay. Would have been a double whammy. 
    There is some evidence about the the(WTA Stuttgart) tournament favoring taller players. The tournament has been played on Indoor clay since 2009, and before that was Indoor hard 1978-2008. I believe the indoor hard court tournament could have played at a similar speed, and the tournament is just designed in this way by German Organization. It's always a nice tournament in my opinion, and you typically get the best female players going there. I would compare it to Monte Carlo.. The first huge clay event of the year. 
    So here is the past winners that I noted, and alot of these are the big hitters and taller women. I won't name all the winners who don't qualify, but I did notice a pattern. 
    Julia Goerges won in 2011. She is 5'11 height. 
    Maria Sharapova won the tournament three times in a row 2012-2014. 
    Pliskova 2018
    Kvitova 2019
    (Additional taller players who made the finals since 2009. Sabalenka three times, Coco Vandeweghe, Mladenovic, Wozniacki, Ivanovic, and Dinara Safina). 
  25. Sad
    amity reacted to kroni in World Championships 2024 (inc QFs)   
    That was shocking, I thought he never looked "on it" from the start but thought it was just nerves. Sums up my day, had horse fall at the first another pulled himself up before the first??? 😭 and 2 beaten in photo finishes 🤮🤮🤮
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