KennyDelight

Tamara Zidansek @1.80 to beat Sara Sorribes-Tormo Bet365
Backing the defending champion here based on the two styles. Zidansek is quick around the court, her positioning is solid and she has the ability to push players around the court from the baseline due to her forehand which is powerful yet controlled more often than not.
She has the ability to slice as seen this week in countering Voegele and Juvan, so I fail to see how Sorribes-Tormo has any advantage over Zidansek.
Sorribes-Tormo's serve is lacking power and is ripe for plunder against Zidansek. Zidansek's serve hasn't been great this week but I don't see how Sorribes-Tormo can take advantage with her lack of power and will most likely resort to her moonball and slice game. With Zidansek's power from the back of the court, this tactic may not come up trumps against an in form clay player who has good defence to to with her attack minded game.

This Bol final so far has pretty much been about pushing. Most of the shots are mild power into the middle. And now Sorribes-Tormo seem to have changed her service style, when she's hitting the serve now both arms parallel like someone playing volleyball
BTW Nottingham weather is bad for the whole week. Keep that in mind for this week. Only Vekic has anything meaningful to defend and the majority of the field didn't play last year

This Bol final so far has pretty much been about pushing. Most of the shots are mild power into the middle. And now Sorribes-Tormo seem to have changed her service style, when she's hitting the serve now both arms parallel like someone playing volleyball
BTW Nottingham weather is bad for the whole week. Keep that in mind for this week. Only Vekic has anything meaningful to defend and the majority of the field didn't play last year

Tamara Zidansek @1.80 to beat Sara Sorribes-Tormo Bet365
Backing the defending champion here based on the two styles. Zidansek is quick around the court, her positioning is solid and she has the ability to push players around the court from the baseline due to her forehand which is powerful yet controlled more often than not.
She has the ability to slice as seen this week in countering Voegele and Juvan, so I fail to see how Sorribes-Tormo has any advantage over Zidansek.
Sorribes-Tormo's serve is lacking power and is ripe for plunder against Zidansek. Zidansek's serve hasn't been great this week but I don't see how Sorribes-Tormo can take advantage with her lack of power and will most likely resort to her moonball and slice game. With Zidansek's power from the back of the court, this tactic may not come up trumps against an in form clay player who has good defence to to with her attack minded game.

Tamara Zidansek @1.80 to beat Sara Sorribes-Tormo Bet365
Backing the defending champion here based on the two styles. Zidansek is quick around the court, her positioning is solid and she has the ability to push players around the court from the baseline due to her forehand which is powerful yet controlled more often than not.
She has the ability to slice as seen this week in countering Voegele and Juvan, so I fail to see how Sorribes-Tormo has any advantage over Zidansek.
Sorribes-Tormo's serve is lacking power and is ripe for plunder against Zidansek. Zidansek's serve hasn't been great this week but I don't see how Sorribes-Tormo can take advantage with her lack of power and will most likely resort to her moonball and slice game. With Zidansek's power from the back of the court, this tactic may not come up trumps against an in form clay player who has good defence to to with her attack minded game.

Tamara Zidansek @1.80 to beat Sara Sorribes-Tormo Bet365
Backing the defending champion here based on the two styles. Zidansek is quick around the court, her positioning is solid and she has the ability to push players around the court from the baseline due to her forehand which is powerful yet controlled more often than not.
She has the ability to slice as seen this week in countering Voegele and Juvan, so I fail to see how Sorribes-Tormo has any advantage over Zidansek.
Sorribes-Tormo's serve is lacking power and is ripe for plunder against Zidansek. Zidansek's serve hasn't been great this week but I don't see how Sorribes-Tormo can take advantage with her lack of power and will most likely resort to her moonball and slice game. With Zidansek's power from the back of the court, this tactic may not come up trumps against an in form clay player who has good defence to to with her attack minded game.

WTA Bol 125k
Tamara Zidansek 2.10 v Timea Bacsinszky
I don't think Zidansek has started off great in her first two matches. It took her time to get into both matches but she eventually got the job done. She's the form player out of the two this year on clay, finalist here last year. Timea hasn't really been impressive on clay this year, also had two soft matches to come into this (Nao Hibino and Anna Tatishvili). Also bombed out of the French to Kurumi Nara in qualifying. There is value imo in the slight outsider whose massive forehand is a weapon when on and is fairly quick in her movement

WTA Bol 125k
Tamara Zidansek 2.10 v Timea Bacsinszky
I don't think Zidansek has started off great in her first two matches. It took her time to get into both matches but she eventually got the job done. She's the form player out of the two this year on clay, finalist here last year. Timea hasn't really been impressive on clay this year, also had two soft matches to come into this (Nao Hibino and Anna Tatishvili). Also bombed out of the French to Kurumi Nara in qualifying. There is value imo in the slight outsider whose massive forehand is a weapon when on and is fairly quick in her movement

Saisai Zheng 2.20 to beat Yafan Wang Bet365
Reasonings behind pick:
- h2h 4-0 Zheng
- Wang's first Madrid Open, slower surface. Her game doesn't have the most variety and her strength is her power, but I don't see her being able to outhit Zheng. Zheng has a little bit more variety and can utilise her slices, approaches to the net, moonballs and
- Wang doesn't have a outstanding record on clay, neither Zheng but Zheng has played on this surface 2 years ago and made the second round including a win over Svitolina. Zheng just won the clay tournament in Anning whilst Wang came off a 3 set loss to Konta on a bit faster clay surface. I feel Zheng's style is more suited to this slower surface
 

Saisai Zheng 2.20 to beat Yafan Wang Bet365
Reasonings behind pick:
- h2h 4-0 Zheng
- Wang's first Madrid Open, slower surface. Her game doesn't have the most variety and her strength is her power, but I don't see her being able to outhit Zheng. Zheng has a little bit more variety and can utilise her slices, approaches to the net, moonballs and
- Wang doesn't have a outstanding record on clay, neither Zheng but Zheng has played on this surface 2 years ago and made the second round including a win over Svitolina. Zheng just won the clay tournament in Anning whilst Wang came off a 3 set loss to Konta on a bit faster clay surface. I feel Zheng's style is more suited to this slower surface
 

Saisai Zheng 2.20 to beat Yafan Wang Bet365
Reasonings behind pick:
- h2h 4-0 Zheng
- Wang's first Madrid Open, slower surface. Her game doesn't have the most variety and her strength is her power, but I don't see her being able to outhit Zheng. Zheng has a little bit more variety and can utilise her slices, approaches to the net, moonballs and
- Wang doesn't have a outstanding record on clay, neither Zheng but Zheng has played on this surface 2 years ago and made the second round including a win over Svitolina. Zheng just won the clay tournament in Anning whilst Wang came off a 3 set loss to Konta on a bit faster clay surface. I feel Zheng's style is more suited to this slower surface
 

@KennyDelightI expected lower odds for Garin but considering that Bautista decided to end his match against Berrettini by the fast way (1 hour) now the odds are very equal. 

Saisai Zheng 2.20 to beat Yafan Wang Bet365
Reasonings behind pick:
- h2h 4-0 Zheng
- Wang's first Madrid Open, slower surface. Her game doesn't have the most variety and her strength is her power, but I don't see her being able to outhit Zheng. Zheng has a little bit more variety and can utilise her slices, approaches to the net, moonballs and
- Wang doesn't have a outstanding record on clay, neither Zheng but Zheng has played on this surface 2 years ago and made the second round including a win over Svitolina. Zheng just won the clay tournament in Anning whilst Wang came off a 3 set loss to Konta on a bit faster clay surface. I feel Zheng's style is more suited to this slower surface
 

I noticed the trend on tennis explorer too. I feel about 6/10 confidence despite the slight change in odds (about 10 cents).
I don't think it's too much a fluctuation to take much notice, for me this should be more a 1.80 v 1.80 matchup.
 
Edit: Odds on Yafan Wang have drifted to 1.72 and now Saisai has shortened to 2.00 with Bet365

@KennyDelight My thoughts were betting for Garin, i have watched him and he's playing excellent and he will be more rested

Anna Karolina Schmiedlova to beat Elise Mertens at 3.75 with bet365
I think Mertens is overrated here. Schmiedlova has a W/L record on this surface of 139-70 and Mertens has a W/L record of 67-42. Schmiedlova has already 2 wins here over dangerous players (Monica Puig in 2 sets and Pegula in 3 sets) while this will be the first match for Mertens here.

I didn't bet on this one but was watching the match and what you said about Kyrgios being an asshole came true. Kyrgios was again acting a fool in the final set. Not sure if truly injured but his last set was typical Kyrgios and even managed to dance to the music on a changeover
His matches are really blacklisted for me no matter where he plays

I've changed my mind and won't back Evans against Tiafoe, who is defending champion in Delray Beach. Of course, this does not mean he will win this match but should have plenty of motivation to defend his hard-earned points from last year.
Back Radu Albot (+1.5 sets handicap) to beat Nick "as*hole" Kyrgios at 1.81 with MarathonBet
Instead, I will pick this Moldavian guy who is apparently playing some nice tennis nowadays and managed to beat Karlovic twice recently. In my opinion, Kyrgios is one, if not the biggest wasted talent in the whole ATP circuit, he often gives sh*t about playing. He really possesses everything to be a top top player, but his intolerable, unprofessional behavior will never let him so. You never know what to expect from him, and taking into account Albot's good form, I think there is value to back the latter for at least a set.
Back Paolo Lorenzi to beat Steve Johnson at 2.45 with Expekt
I was really thinking about backing Jung for a set today, but thanks God I skipped that match in the end. Johnson was/is (?) in really bad shape, but every negative run comes to end, and I had a feeling he might eventually win a match, maybe even in straight sets, and that's exactly what happened. Will he be able to build on this and start a streak? Well, for the moment I don't think so. Lorenzi, who is really not a hard court specialist is playing surprisingly well, beating reputable players on this surface. I'll be honest, I was not able to watch any of his matches recently, but somewhere I read a comment about him looking and moving around the court very motivated and determined, like somebody who is really fighting for something very important. Jung had his chances today against the American, did not take them, thus ended up losing in straight sets. Lorenzi is a different level compared to the guy from Taipei, I see him as favorite in this matchup.

Pliskova has done a Serena Williams Aus Open 2019

Pliskova has done a Serena Williams Aus Open 2019

Jennifer Brady 2.10 to win a set v Petra Kvitova (Bet365)
 
Total player games Jennifer Brady over 8.5 games 1.83 (Bet365)
I don't see why Kvitova is such a heavier favourite than she was against Siniakova  (1.22 v 4.30). Brady is in better form in humid conditions in Hua Hin and Dubai and Siniakova is a bit of a mental wreck and is one of the Czech players who Petra has a stangelhold on. Last week I saw Siniakova break down and cry against Bonaventure and she showed too much respect to Petra, even running through so Petra didn't have to wait at the net at changeovers. Not that I am downplaying her match v Siniakova but feel she'll be playing an opponent in Brady with a slightly better mental state than Siniakova and no history of friendship, matches or understanding of.
Watching the Kvitova match, she didn't really enjoy the warm humid/windy conditions yesterday. She will be playing 11am start again in Dubai which is set to be windy and humid again. She looked to be breathing very heavy from the early points and looked to shorten the points early on. Looking at her record in Dubai all her matches have gone 3 sets (albeit her only 3 appearances have come between 2014-2016)
 
 
 
 
 

Jennifer Brady 2.10 to win a set v Petra Kvitova (Bet365)
 
Total player games Jennifer Brady over 8.5 games 1.83 (Bet365)
I don't see why Kvitova is such a heavier favourite than she was against Siniakova  (1.22 v 4.30). Brady is in better form in humid conditions in Hua Hin and Dubai and Siniakova is a bit of a mental wreck and is one of the Czech players who Petra has a stangelhold on. Last week I saw Siniakova break down and cry against Bonaventure and she showed too much respect to Petra, even running through so Petra didn't have to wait at the net at changeovers. Not that I am downplaying her match v Siniakova but feel she'll be playing an opponent in Brady with a slightly better mental state than Siniakova and no history of friendship, matches or understanding of.
Watching the Kvitova match, she didn't really enjoy the warm humid/windy conditions yesterday. She will be playing 11am start again in Dubai which is set to be windy and humid again. She looked to be breathing very heavy from the early points and looked to shorten the points early on. Looking at her record in Dubai all her matches have gone 3 sets (albeit her only 3 appearances have come between 2014-2016)
 
 
 
 
 

Jennifer Brady 2.10 to win a set v Petra Kvitova (Bet365)
 
Total player games Jennifer Brady over 8.5 games 1.83 (Bet365)
I don't see why Kvitova is such a heavier favourite than she was against Siniakova  (1.22 v 4.30). Brady is in better form in humid conditions in Hua Hin and Dubai and Siniakova is a bit of a mental wreck and is one of the Czech players who Petra has a stangelhold on. Last week I saw Siniakova break down and cry against Bonaventure and she showed too much respect to Petra, even running through so Petra didn't have to wait at the net at changeovers. Not that I am downplaying her match v Siniakova but feel she'll be playing an opponent in Brady with a slightly better mental state than Siniakova and no history of friendship, matches or understanding of.
Watching the Kvitova match, she didn't really enjoy the warm humid/windy conditions yesterday. She will be playing 11am start again in Dubai which is set to be windy and humid again. She looked to be breathing very heavy from the early points and looked to shorten the points early on. Looking at her record in Dubai all her matches have gone 3 sets (albeit her only 3 appearances have come between 2014-2016)
 
 
 
 
 

Hi, welcome, and good luck @hattrick90!
@money44 That said, Schwartzman was arguably even more disappointing, the match against Thiem was a total mugfest in which neither player was good and he completely imploded in the finals, drawing absolutely nothing from the home conditions. A strange performance, really, he might be carrying an injury or something.
@KennyDelight You might be right there, perhaps I was too optimistic. Shame about Vekic even, she was better in the second set and I guess that she would've won the third, but it was not to be.

@CzechPunter you are absolutely right. I kind of got him wrong there.
@KennyDelight I misunderstood what you wrote there, Monica has a lot of variety in her game herself just like Su-Wei does but I get what you mean now.