Torque

Berdych  The handicap line was for the entire match, not the first set!

Rafael Nadal -6 games @ 2.03 Pinnacle 10/10
This is the first 10/10 bet for me this year i think. Nadal should cruise to a win here, Berdych looks decent but the matchup is simply a horror right now for the Bird and i do expect at least one set where he collapses. I 100% agree with CP here in terms of the outcome, i had this in mind since both won their matches today but i wanted to wait till Asian bookmakers publishing odds as i can't bet as those books like Marathon and all the other 10 Euro books.

Rafael Nadal (-5) to beat Tomas Berdych at 1.85 with Marathon
I watched both today and I can't see Berdych doing much even in his current form. The mental handicap is still going to be there most likely and Nadal's somewhat improved serve should be crucial in making the Czech suffer.

@SmashingTip While we do appreciate your input, those links don't have their place there and we're also missing the tip or your clear opinion. In fact, your posts look like advertisements more than anything else. Please change that from now on. 

Confidence is important but there is a big difference between ITF/WTA events. If BMS would have played ITF events her record would be better than that. Yeah, she won against a top 100 player but BMS won also against her the last year in straight sets (Johanna Larsson).  Anyway, take a WC against BMS with odds below 2.00 i think is too risky, that’s all. Maybe Im wrong, we will see.

He definitely has more variety than Isner, there's no doubt about that, but he's much less resilient mentally imo. Yep, there's a good price on +2.5 sets/Over 3.5 sets, but boy am I scared about that Opelka result.

I'm on the side of Ebden being overrated, a poor man's Isner let's say, although with some small pluses. I was thinking about opposing Shapovalov as well and I really liked Andujar in the past, but seeing him fail twice at the start of the season in a not-so-great way isn't a great sign, he didn't stand much of a chance against Opelka and there was also that TB choke if I'm correct. I might very well end up backing him to win a set or something and I'd be all over it with some better performances, but the worry that I have is that he might easily be there just to collect the paycheck. If he wins set one, he could be really competitive and even win maybe, but an effortless 3-0 could be on the cards as well.

@opole I really don't agree that Ebden is underrated.. If anything .. I think he might be a bit overrated.. be careful with him .. I like the Aussies that I have on my card, and I think one of the male player wins for sure... all of them is atleast odds 3.

You're absolutely right mate, on the paper i fully agree that probably most of those odds looking correct but i think we have a good chance to go out with a decent plus here.
Ebden is always underrated in my opinion, we all forget about the fact he is still a Top 50 player and was ranked #39 in the world a couple of months ago. I watched three matches of him this year and i think his form is decent enough to beat Struff who is always a hot & cold player. I watched all his matches in Auckland this week more or less and i can't say i am impressed. Vs. Djere he looked poor, came back from being 2-5 down in the first set winning the tiebreaker from being 3-5 down and then Djere retired after he got broken in the second set. It was a very weak level of play. Ebden on the other side looked in good shape but had some issues with his serve in Perth but looked much better in Sydney this week, i know he lost to Andreozzi but i would not overrate that at all. Andreozzi is a completly different matchup compared to Struff, Ebden likes those hard hitting opponent and big servers. On the other side he definitely has some issues with the likes of Ferrer, Andreozzi, Fognini, Simon and so on. I would consider that as a 50/50 match with a small advantage for Ebden who's playing at home. 
The thing about Cuevas vs. Lajovic is simple: I do not rate Lajovic as a player who can trouble Cuevas from the baseline as Lajovic hasn't a weapon in his game to push Cuevas and dictate the play. Cuevas looking good vs. Klahn, then looking bad vs. Humbert but let's face the truth...a guy like him at his age is focusing on the bigger events and tournaments to make money. Lajovic on the other side is in pretty weak form although he won two matches in Doha i think he looked poor there, especially on serve. Broken a dozen times, he already was broken 12 times in four matches. Cuevas beat him on clay three years ago, probably not that important as it was three years ago and on clay obviously BUT i think Cuevas is a very bad matchup for Lajovic as Cuevas is a guy who also likes long rallies and you can't frustrate him with that. In my opinion Lajovic is one of the most overrated Top 50 players these days, i he can lose literally to anyone in Top 100 and i do rate Cuevas despite age, form and ranking as a very dangerous player who should have won more titels in his career than he won. Cuevas is better on hardcourt than his record suggests. For me this is an equal matchup where i like Cuevas as he has the better serve and Lajovic struggled a lot with holding serve recently.
Jaziri is a pure value bet as the odds are based 100% on his retirement in Sydney vs. Querrey. Officially it was "knee pain" but i doubt he is seriously injured or something, he was 16 14 down outpowered by Querreys crafty strokes and serves and he looked really frustrated + he looked off like he has a jetlag or something, maybe the journey from Pune to Sydney was too much as he only had two days in Australia. I expect him to do much better vs. Ivashka. Ivashka is dangerous with his power but let's be clear: If Jaziri is fully fit he should be the favorite...
Last one is Feli Lopez. I am not sure if Lopez is a good bet at all but it's definitely value. Lopez just announced he will marry some new women in his life soon, i do not know if that's the reason why he didn't play a match yet in 2019 BUT he is in Australia for some time now and preparing for the AO. Lopez and his game style is awkward as **** and i can see a guy like Thompson having massive problems with that. Those serve & volley style and slices all over the place are tough to handle for a guy who is one-dimensional like Thompson. I can remember Thompson failing a lot of times at the Open as he was too nervous and i can say if he is Lopez will take advantage of the fact. Thompson has a weak record in Melbourne, last year he lost as a massive favorite to Nicolas Kicker and i can see the same thing happen again.

Good luck with those opole - you're a braver man than me. Cuevas and Ebden look in poor form, although admittedly it's very early in the season and Feliciano hasn't played properly since last season. I guess that's factored into the pricing but I wouldn't be rushing to back them regardless. I like your thinking about opposing Monfils, Popyrin and Tsitsipas and also Nadal, although with the latter I'd probably take something safer like set overs or Duckworth on a plus. Just my two cents 

Good luck with those opole - you're a braver man than me. Cuevas and Ebden look in poor form, although admittedly it's very early in the season and Feliciano hasn't played properly since last season. I guess that's factored into the pricing but I wouldn't be rushing to back them regardless. I like your thinking about opposing Monfils, Popyrin and Tsitsipas and also Nadal, although with the latter I'd probably take something safer like set overs or Duckworth on a plus. Just my two cents 

Good luck with those opole - you're a braver man than me. Cuevas and Ebden look in poor form, although admittedly it's very early in the season and Feliciano hasn't played properly since last season. I guess that's factored into the pricing but I wouldn't be rushing to back them regardless. I like your thinking about opposing Monfils, Popyrin and Tsitsipas and also Nadal, although with the latter I'd probably take something safer like set overs or Duckworth on a plus. Just my two cents 

Kamke is almost never worth it at 1.30 imo.

Sorry, but that isn't accurate. If that was the case, they wouldn't be the world's highest revenue for any gaming company. Bigger stakes punters don't worry them in the slightest, it's the clever punters who consistently chip away at them month after month and are always taking the best odds. There's a lot more to limiting punters than people think.
Like any bookmaker, if they think you are too shrewd in a certain area or type of betting they will limit your ability to hurt them. If any of us were a bookmaker, we would do the same if we're honest.  

Don't be too hard on yourself @opole, bad and frustrating runs are bound to happen. The long-term is what matters!

I have not watched the match either but read that Andreescu had back problems in her previous match as well... and apparently she took a medical break in the second set against Wozniacki. It's probably the same sacroiliac joint issue that forced her to pull out of a couple of tournaments last season. She has been troubled by a cold in the past 3 weeks but she must be used to it by now.

I really like Ebden in Australia, he was damn good last year and Perth is his home town so we should expect some extra % there.
Futhermore i think Ebden is a bit underrated due to his defensive style but i think he is much better than this, has nice variety, a very good net game and know how to mix things up.
I do expect some good tennis in the next few weeks but obviously 2.1-2.2 isn't much of a value bet neither vs. Pouille nor vs. Ferrer but i agree with money44 that 1.6 on Ferrer isn't looking special these days but still...all the best and good luck for your bet CP.
I have two bets in my pocket for the challenger circuit, i won't give much of analysis but i like them. But small stake bets. No more than 2 units.
Noumea Challenger
Maxime Chazal @ 2.11 sbobet 2/10
Playford Challenger
Hiroki Moriya @ 3.25 5dimes 2/10
We also should take a look at the QUalifying in Noumea which begins in about an hour. J. P. Fruttero will give his singles comeback there and his opponent is still to be announced so an alternate maybe Bet365 will offer it live...some unknown players there involved as three of four players are ALTERNATES and not announced yet. Could be some nice value bets if Bet365 has to make the odds on short notice.
 

David Ferrer to beat Matthew Ebden at 1.62 with William Hill
Alright, here we go with the first match bet of the season and I'll be siding with David Ferrer, who was surprisingly good against Zverev, losing only in a final set TB. Matthew Ebden did well to beat Pouille, but the Frenchman was as unconvincing as during his entire 2018 and Ferrer is a completely different proposition returns-wise. Not a lock by any stretch of imagination, but Ferrer didn't fall apart in the off-season (as many were expecting him to) and should be too strong for the one-dimensional Aussie.

Yep, the friendliness and respect are what makes Punterslounge so great in my view as well!

First thing: Happy new year to the Tennis community in here. Great start of the season so far for us i think but let's keep the work up and continue like that.
Unlucky night / morning. Harrison losing a razor close match vs Kyrgios at massive odds, Bencic collapsing and blowing up a set lead and wasting a huge chance at 3-3 in the second set where she was 30-0 up at Williams serve. Futhermore the loss on Goransson was also a bit unlucky as he was playing very well in the first set and looked like a 1.5 favorite there but he couldn't hold up the pressure. But at least the two doubles bets won, of course with some luck as they went to the supertie and it's always like Russian roulette there. Murray by the way looked very solid. I am not quite convinced about him as i think Duckworth was playing not his best tennis and although i do rate him he was one of the softer opponents and Murray still wasn't looking sharp or something. But the odds on Medvedev not good enough to take in my opinion, backing him at 2.1 vs. Murray is a no way type. Maybe we'll get a better chance to go against Murray. 
Now there is one bet left with Arjun Kadhe in Pune and i am still very confident he beats Djere who is a solid claycourt player and of course can also play on hardcourt but lacking weapons and experience there while Kadhe played his complete college career on hardcourt and looks like one of the best prospects in India right now with a great serve and a stunning forehand. I followed him closely and i am still very confident. Maybe i will take some more of him inplay as the odds are stable so far (dropped about 0.2-0.3 ....)
Today i have another bet i really like:
Challenger Orlando
Ricardo Ojeda Lara @ 2.06 Pinnacle 3/10
I know Ojeda Lara had a bad second half in the 2018 season but obviously he was playing on a very decent level there and almost played challengers only, he lost to very good names there and i would not write him off because he has a bad streak on that level, this is a completly different matchup as Brouwer is almost a ITF only player has no experience on challenger level yet and he already is 22 years old. Brouwer is a lucky loser and Ojeda Lara in my opinion showed last year that he should be at a higher level than Brouwer. Still small stake as Brouwer already had a match this season in qualifying vs. decent opposition. But i favor Ojeda Lara here, odds should be at least reversed.
 

Great work as always @opole, let's hope that Bencic doesn't choke and Happy New Year once again to all!
Anett Kontaveit to beat Petra Kvitova at 2.29 with Pinnacle
I'm not entire excited to go against Kvitova, but I just have to, I don't understand her skinny version at all, it just doesn't seem like the best fitness basis for her particular style and the match against Collins showed that she still has some way to go. Kontaveit will be fresh after dispatching a tricky opponent in style in the first round and she just looked better physically to me, so I'd have her at evens at most. Kvitova is a big name and I'd love to see her win some Grand Slams again, but she doesn't deserve this sort of favoritism imo.

Happy New Year .

Alright, eight season-long bets for me.
Singles ranking as of 25 November 2019 - Yoshihito Nishioka – Under 85.5 at 1.88 with Unibet
Singles ranking as of 25 November 2019 – Dominic Thiem – Under 8.5 at 1.77 with Unibet
Singles ranking as of 25 November 2019 – Cameron Norrie – Under 90.5 at 1.82 with Unibet
2019 ATP End of Season Ranking H2H - Diego Schwartzman to beat Marco Cecchinato at 1.72 with Coral
Singles ranking as of 4 November 2019 – Katie Boulter – Under 110.5 at 1.88 with Unibet
Singles ranking as of 4 November 2019 – Anett Kontaveit – Under 22.5 at 1.88 with Unibet
Singles ranking as of 4 November 2019 – Dalila Jakupovic – Under 100.5 at 1.88 with Unibet
Best Singles ranking as of 4 November 2019 – Marketa Vondrousova to beat Viktoria Kuzmova at 1.86 with Unibet
All these bets are based on what I saw from the players in the previous season, there aren't any special details to be added to any of them honestly. The bets that I like the most are those on Nishioka, Schwartzman, and Vondrousova, but those feelings are so marginal that I'm keeping the stakes level. No big odds this time around, just couldn't find anything I'd like on that front.

All of the tables are now complete and we can confirm the following prize winners
Can all winners send their PayPal details along with PL name and what prize you are claiming to;
[email protected]
Prizes need to be claimed within 7 days and payment will follow as soon as everyone has done so as it is all done in one lump.
Mug/Pen winners obviously also need to send their home address as well.
Many thanks for supporting the competition and we all start with a clean slate on the 29th. New divisions according to your finishing totals will follow asap.
In the meantime have a good Christmas.

 
Overall Top 3
Wins a PL Mug @ Pen Set
(Glavintoby already won a set last time so passes on to 4th place.)
 
1. @Betmakavely
2. @Nosey-P
3. @Valiant Thor
 
Div 1:  £75 Glavintoby £45 Silver Fox £25 Blackfritz
Div 2: £60 Bagzi £40 Nick Jones £20 Withers82
Div 3: £50 Puntermk £30 Claretkid78 £20 Wivz03
Div 4: £40 Thegeneral55 £25 Yanko79 £15 Bobsyerunkle
Div 5: £30 NoseyP £20 Redno2009 £10 Valverde
Div 6: £25 YNWA10 £15 Cauncie £10 WoodysWay
Div 7: £20 Betmakavely £15 Valiant Thor £10 Alex Bird
 

Can we turn this into a song?