Trotter
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Posts posted by Trotter
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In the olden days Barry Hills used to target the Chester May Meeting for his better 3yo who were going on run in the classics and group races
In the hope that his son is intending to resurrect that tradition I'm interested in.......
2.40 - Moorside - EW at 12/1 bet365
Cheshire oaks
The Hills runner is a lightly raced filly with 2 outings in Newmarket maidens last back end. Not in the Oaks but entered at Royal Ascot, owned by Khalid Abdullah
The Aidan O'Brien runner is the obvious favourite but not all horses act around Chester and a bit of luck in running is often required
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In the olden days Barry Hills used to target the Chester May Meeting for his better 3yo who were going on run in the classics and group races
In the hope that his son is intending to resurrect that tradition I'm interested in.......
2.40 - Moorside - EW, currently 11/1 best price
Cheshire oaks
The Hills runner is a lightly raced filly with 2 outings in Newmarket maidens last back end. Not in the Oaks but entered at Royal Ascot, owned by Khalid Abdullah
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Brighton 2.50 - Ginzan - win at 9/2 bog wm hill
Sprint handicap, class 5
A few of these look quite well handicapped including my selection who has dropped below his last winning mark, Goes well here and has won 3 times at the track, Drops in class after a couple of runs in class 4 this season
Another one who looks well in and has course form is Fear or Favour.......he's also won FTO before and the yard is in form so he's a big danger. The main thing putting me off is that he wasn't won for 2 years and has been quite lightly raced.......if sprint handicappers don't run every week I think there must be something wrong with them......
As an EW shot I like Jungle Bay at 20/1 but my concern is that he has no track form and this is a quirky place.
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Windsor 4.00 - Somethingthrilling - win at 2/1 bog bet365
Fillies handicap
Going for the unexposed favourite here.......only ran once & won a Pontefract maiden by 9 lengths last year, powering clear
The second, who had already had a few runs, was beaten under a length off 75 in a handicap next time so an opening mark of 85 looks fair.
Is up against a filly who has already won 2 on the AW this season but my selection might just be better than a handicapper
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17 hours ago, Trotter said:
Sals 3.50 - Jufn - win at 4/1 bog betvictor
Non runner
I'll quickly pluck another one out................
Ham 4.30 - Euchen Glen - win at 9/2 bog wm hill
Maiden race for older horses over a mile
My selection has only had the one outing but it was a promising one on debut last season finishing 2nd in a conditions race with 80s rated horses in front and behind him
Makes his seasonal debut today so fitness has to be taken on trust but the yard have had a couple of winners in the last 2 days and Goldie likes to win races in Scotland
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Sals 3.50 - Jufn - win at 4/1 bog betvictor
3yo handicap over around 10F.........
We've got a favourite here from the Stoute yard, Mainstream, who won a maiden last backend and now steps into handicaps. It's the profile of a horse that will usually go off at a short price and obviously they sometimes win, but they quite often don't ! The form of the maiden race won by this one didn't work out particularly well and his price is based on the trainer not on what he acheived.
I'll take him on with a horse who has already had a run this season.....in what is usually a hot handicap at the Craven meeting. He finished 4th and runs off the same mark today. That was a better race and he drops in class today. The Post reported that he didn't seem suited by the soft ground and got unbalanced running downhill into the dip. Salisbury is a bit more conventional with a rising finish and the ground should be better
With that run under his belt I'll take him to prove too good for the Stoute horse
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Here we go.......new month, a few carefree days until hopes of winning are dashed again
Good luck everyone !
- Rainbow, Cairnhill Diamond and gbettle
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Well done arsenal and all the prize winners !
thanks to BH.......
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Hex 5.55 - Central Flame - win at 9/4 bog wm hill
Yeah !........jump racing is back.......
Novice chase over around 20F
We've got an obvious favourite here, Keltus, with Nicholls and Sam T-D travelling all the way to Hexham for one runner. You'd think it would have to be nailed on
However.......I'm really not sure if he's a natural chaser. He appears not to have a great deal of inherent stamina and he's not been a good jumper in his 4 chases to date. These fences are easy so he might get away with the jumping but the stamina worries me.......particularly with the stiff uphill finish. I'm just not sure he's going to get home
My selection, in any case, is rated higher than Keltus, is a course winner over hurdles, and has also won at Carlisle, another stiff finish. He's finished a close up 2nd in his last 2 chases, acts on the going and his usual rider gets 5lbs
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4.15 Ling - Equally Fast - win at 15/8 bog wm hill
5f sprint handicap
Couple of old timers here and a couple of younger potential improving types.
My selection is one of the latter and he just nabbed Bertie Blue Boy here a couple of runs ago then disapoitned in a higher grade on soft ground at the Craven meeting, Back in grade and back on polytrack I think he can resume his progress
Old Bertie will undoubtedly blaze off in front but he does usually get caught........hopefully they know enough about him to keep in touch and not let him slip the field
Just Us Two is the other unexposed one but he's making his seasonal debut (won FTO last year) and has no course form
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Ling 2.50 - Robins Pearl - win at 10/11 bog Corals
Only 3 runners left in and the outsider looks well out of nick
My selection has won a couple of races and is pretty consistant. Acts on the surface and the trip looks ok. He's won over slightly shorter at Wolves and Sandown
The danger is the 3 times raced handicap newcomer from the Knight yard who can ready one first time. Difficult to know what to make of her but she was pretty well beaten over CD on her last outing
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Asc 4.30 - Arod - win at 2/1 bog bet365
Mile Listed race
my selection was a group 2 and group 3 winner last season and is comfortably top rated on OR. Just below the top class as he finished 3rd in the Lockinge and 2nd in the Sussex Stakes
Despite his wins last year he gets in here without a penalty under the race conditions
He's won at ascot before (on the round mile) and appears to acts on any middling going. Finished a close up 2nd on seasonal debut last year and won first time out the year before so lack of a run this season is not a worry
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Good luck everyone on a good day's racing........
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Good luck bluemal, hope everything goes well......
3.30 Bri - King Crimson - win at 9/2 bog bet365
Sprint handicap
Only 5 runners but looks competitive and all of them have a chance
My selection is a CD winner, drops in grade, and comes from an in form yard
Finished last on his most recent outing but that was a better race at Newmarket where he led until meeting the rising ground. I think this track suits him better and I can see a bold show from the front.
Neither Ballista nor Desert Command have been in good form on the AW and the suspicion is that both of them are on the downgrade now. The other two runners make their seasonal debuts. Major Pusey had not run well fresh before and is 10lbs above his only winning handicap mark. Lady Kyllar did win FTO last season but that was in a class 6 and she starts this season 22lbs higher. My main concern though is that all her form is on sharp or flat tracks and not sure how she'll cope with Brighton
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To be honest I don't normally take a lot of notice of the Punchestown Festival........it comes after Cheltenham and Aintree and seems like a bit of an afterthought
But I still haven't got that interested in the Flat this year yet so think I'll watch it this year........well make sure I catch the Grade One races
There's some cracking races !
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Ayr 3.20 - Anonymous Lady - win at 13/8 bog bet365
class 5 5F handicap on good to firm
my horse comes over from Ireland with a run under her belt on the AW at Dundalk. She's only a couple of pounds above her last winning mark, has won on good to firm, has won 5f and 6f, and the trainer has a 27% strike rate with horses he brings over to Ayr. Tongue tie back on and she won the only other time she wore it
With two NR there's only 4 left in.......of the others.....
Koptoon usually runs in better races but is making is seasonal debut and all his wins have been at 6F
Go Go Green is a veteran and an infrequent winner these days, Hasn't won off a mark this high for 4 years and hardly likely to be getting better
Blue Sonic goes well here (all 3 career wins) but appears best with cut in the ground and in class 6 company
My selection is the safest option !
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Gowran 5.10 - Mandarin Monarch - win at 5/1 bog wm hill
Poor day with the Jumps finishing for a few days for it's end of season break and moderate Flat meetings in the UK
Looking to Ireland Gowran has a couple of decent races with some 3yo reappearing on the back of promising maiden wins/runs at 2
My selection is one such having won his only outing last year despite running green and having to battle when taken on in the finish
The Weld favourite is a similar type though has had 2 runs and disappointed in a Listed race 2nd time out after winning a maiden. I guess Weld might have a line as one of his finished 2nd to my horse in that race last year but at the respective odds and not knowing how fit either of them are, I'm going with the one at the biggest price
O'Briens runner could be the F in the O........he had a lot of runs last year but only managed one win and was fairly well beaten in handicap and group company, suggesting he's a lesser light in the stable
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Sand 2.55 - Menorah - win at 9/2 bog bet365
My horse has won this race for the last 2 years and although he's getting to the veteran stage I'll take him to bring up the hat-trick.
All race conditions in his favour and a field of largely disappointing types. The short price Mullins favourite could be vulnerable as he's an iffy jumper and more of a stayer. He did run well at Cheltenham last time though. You feel that Mullins has put him in this race as an afterthought whereas Menorah has probably had this as his season's main target
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2.20 Sandown - Ode To Evening - win at 8/1 bog wm hill
Good card at Sandown today with 3 group races
My race is the 10 furlong group 3 Classic Trial..........although it's unlikely to have much bearing on the classics. With 1 NR there are 6 going to post
We have a very short priced favourite from the Stoute yard, a beautifully bred once raced maiden winner.......typical Stoute type. He's made a quicker than usual start t the season but his horses often need a run unless they're really top class.
My selection has already had a run finishing 2nd on the nod in an AW listed race. Should be suited by the extra couple of furlongs and has won on g/s. Hopefully he'll adopt the usual Johnston tactic of front running on a track that suits that style well
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Perth 2.00 - Outlaw Josie Wales - EW at 33/1 bog wm hill
Novice hurdle
A few Irish runners here and two of them are dominating the market
I'm looking at one of the locals who might improve on what they've shown to date. My selection appears to be bred for sprinting or miling at most and has floundered a bit on 2 NH starts on soft ground. I'm hoping the combination of good ground and a tight track will be enough to see him competing. If he's still there with a furlong to go he should have a bit of speed in the locker.
Apart from the top two this doesn't look very deep and they are both penalised for previous wins
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Perth 3.15 - Barney Dwan - win at 9/2 bog wm hill
Staying novice hurdle
Only 4 runners here and Mullins has two of them. I reckon they can both be taken on just as with his runners at Ayr a few days ago, Brought over as an afterthought to try and grab bits of prize money for the trainers championship. He didn't have any winners at Ayr and a couple of his fancied ones ran poorly
I quite like the outsider of the 4.......he was a comfortable winner of a top looking handicap last time over 20F on soft ground. The post race comments suggested he would improve for a longer trip and better ground which he'll get at Perth. He missed the Festivals
The most likely winner is Fagan who finished 2nd in the Albert Bartlett at the Festival.......I think maybe he was running on through beaten horses that day and todays small field and likely tactical race might not suit. At the prices I'll take him on
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Lud 2.40 - Le Bacardy - win at 5/2 bog betvictor
handicap chase
a few of these look quite well handicapped if they could find their best form
my selection hasn't won for a while but has ideal conditions today as most of his wins are on RH tracks at around the minimum trip and on decent ground
Might have second last time if he hadn't had to swerve round a fallen rider on the run in. That was his first run for around 3 months and he tends to do best when brought back quickly to the track
Laser Hawk has been running in some decent races but looks a poor jumper and this looks a bit sharp for Festive Affair
Chester Races - Photos from Wednesday
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
Cheers BH
One thing I noticed watching on TV and is captured in photo 5 (the Oaks trial in which my EW selection was nabbed on the line by that pesky O'Brien horse)........not sure if it's new but that building with all the glass panels
On TV you can clearly see that the horses are reflected in that glass and I wondered if the horses could see that out of their leftward facing eye........would it put them off or startle them........
