kroni

Here's my 5-fold for tomorrow. 
2pts 5-fold - 16/1 bet365
P.Ruppreht vs N.Kenny
J.Justicia vs M.Mansell
C.Goffin vs R.Knops
Van Der Velde vs B.Claydon
M.Kleermaker vs S.Lennon

after that performance tonight I've had a small punt on Van Den Bergh for this, also. I know I've bet on alot here but it's the one event that tends to be wide open because of the random draws and non-seeding.
1pt e/w Van Den Bergh 28/1 paddypower (4 places, 1/4th)

1pt e/w DVD 28/1 paddypower (4 places, 1/4th)
1pt e/w Searle 40/1 paddypower (4 places, 1/4th)
1pt e/w Dobey 50/1 paddypower (4 places, 1/4th)
1pt e/w R.Smith 66/1 paddypower (4 places, 1/4th)
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0.5pts e/w Rydz  80/1 paddypower (4 places, 1/4th)
0.5pts e/w J.Williams 150/1 paddypower (4 places, 1/4th)
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0.25pts e/w Veenstra 250/1 paddypower (4 places, 1/4th)
0.25pts e/w A.Monk 400/1 willhill (4 places, 1/4th)

The FA Cup of darts gets underway on Friday, I’m having a punt on a few players at longer prices, who are in decent form, and don’t have the distraction of the Premier League to contend with. 
 
1pt e/w Ryan Searle (40/1 General)
Ryan Searle has started the season in good form, reaching the final in two of the four Players Championship events played, winning one of them. He’s averaging nearly 97 in those events and transferred that form to the Baltic Sea Darts Open last weekend, where he averaged 95, 100, 99 and 101 in his four matches, reaching the semi-finals. Searle has never been beyond the sixth round at the UK Open, but he did reach the final of the Players Championship Finals in 2021, played at the same venue as this event, so does have some form at Minehead.
 
1pt e/w Damon Heta (40/1 PaddyPower / William Hill)
Damon Heta hasn’t had the best start to the season in terms of his results, but his performances have been pretty decent, in eight matches on the floor he has averaged over 100 in four of them. Whilst he’s generally done very well in the floor events, his stage performances have sometimes been called into question, but there have been signs that side of his game is on the up. He won the World Cup of Darts alongside Simon Whitlock last summer, and then clinched his maiden title on the European Tour at the back end of the last year. Heta also reached the quarter-finals of this tournament last year, knocking out Michael van Gerwen and Jonny Clayton in the process.
 
1pt e/w Gabriel Clemens (100/1 BetFred)
Just two months ago Gabriel Clemens had the tournament of his life when he reached the last four of the World Championships at Ally Pally. He saw off Gerwyn Price (plus ear defenders) in the quarter-finals before succumbing to eventual champion Michael Smith in the semi-finals. He’s already reached a final on the floor this year, although would have been disappointed with a first round exit last time out at the Baltic Sea Darts Open, albeit with a 99 average. If the German can recapture his World Championship form, 100/1 seems like a big price.
 
(Be a bit careful with the each-way terms, some bookies are offering four places, some just two, in a 158-runner event)
 
Also like to have a fun Acca on the Friday, have selected players who seem to have started the season better than their opponents:
1pt Acca on Knops, Kenny, J Wilson, Kciuk, Veenstra, Brooks, Lennon, Wattimena, A Lewis @ 134/1 (Coral)

Ah well, perhaps Guodong couldn't make the Semi Finals but atleast Higgins retains the title for a 11/2 winner.

Reminds me of an old joke
@BBBC, @LEE-GRAYSand @Zilzalian were in Rome one day when the see a priest running around in panic. They approach him an asked what's wrong when he says "Mama Mia! It's a tha Pope! He's a dead!!" Then he goes quiet, still panicking with his finger on his lips saying "please, please don't a say anything to anybody. We have a procedure inna place for this sorta thing. It'll be a week before we can tella the world."

The three walk away in shock of what they heard when BBBC says "You know there's cash too be made from this. We go back and place bets on the death of the pope. We'll be rich !

So they head straight back, place their bets and meet up a week later.

BBBC says "Well I put £500 on the death of the pope, They gave me 530 to 1 so I got over 260 grand!!"

LEE-GRAYS says "Well they gave me 670 to 1 odds, I also put £500 on and got over 330 grand!"

Then they look at ZILZALIAN, he looked upset so they asked him "Ok, what did you make?"

"Well.." he said, "I made nothing, I had him in a double with the Archbishop of Canterbury."

Meydan all each way
310 - Major Partnership @ 12/1 Skybet  |  Nizaaka @ 66/1 Skybet
345 - Perdika @ 28/1 Hills  |  Alseyoob @ 20/1 Hills
455 - Long Kiss @ 25/1 Hills  |  Legend Of Cannes @ 20/1 Hills
530 - Josephino @ 12/1 Bet365  |  On The Warpath @ 25/1 Bet365

Meydan all each way
310 - Major Partnership @ 12/1 Skybet  |  Nizaaka @ 66/1 Skybet
345 - Perdika @ 28/1 Hills  |  Alseyoob @ 20/1 Hills
455 - Long Kiss @ 25/1 Hills  |  Legend Of Cannes @ 20/1 Hills
530 - Josephino @ 12/1 Bet365  |  On The Warpath @ 25/1 Bet365

Meydan all each way
310 - Major Partnership @ 12/1 Skybet  |  Nizaaka @ 66/1 Skybet
345 - Perdika @ 28/1 Hills  |  Alseyoob @ 20/1 Hills
455 - Long Kiss @ 25/1 Hills  |  Legend Of Cannes @ 20/1 Hills
530 - Josephino @ 12/1 Bet365  |  On The Warpath @ 25/1 Bet365

Some Stable Switchers that may be of interest today:
Hiromichi (FR) 8.15 Wolverhampton 9/2 Twilight Kiss 1.20 Lingfield 11/1 Valorant 3.25 Lingfield 10/1 Sense Of Worth (IRE) 6.45 Wolverhampton 11/2 Wooders Dream 7.15 Wolverhampton 9/1 WON Bfsp 11.0? Buraback (IRE) 8.15 Wolverhampton 8/1 Repartee (IRE) 8.15 Wolverhampton 14/1

Behind with L15 selections today
Only bets so far are
1.20 Lin Stintino Sunset 0.50 ew at 20/1
3.10 Meyden Zainhom 0.50 ew at 28/1 5TBP
2 Points so far
 

I'm interested in the 1.50 at Lingfield 
I've been playing around with speed figures for a few weeks and just looking at the last 2 or 3 races for each runner Goose Rock has the 3 highest ratings and is the only runner who has scored what I rate as PAR to win a race of this class
BUT ...... he never wins, always runs OK, finishes respectably 3rd or 4th
When I looked at the race this morning he was 3rd favourite ....... now he's favourite !
I liked him dropping in trip down to 5 furlongs though this is a pretty sharp five
But the money is talking ........ Goose Rock 6/4 bet365
 
 

Bit of a gamble couple of places or a winner would be great?

Meydan. 
Double. 
3.10. Silent Film      5/2       1st 
3.45. Fairy Cross     11/10      3rd 
singles & double.
Good luck all. 

Couple of lucky 15's
6.15. Wolv Sudden Ambush     1/1      2nd 
4.35. W0lv My Boy Jack           9/2      1st 
5.45. Wolv. Ermesinde              5/1        nr
7.45. Wolv. Desert Miracle        11/4
stk 7.50.              rtn   323.69
 
1.40.Exet. Master Legacy       5/4    2nd 
4.17. Exet. Keable                  11/4     unpl
1.50. Ling. Derbydrinks           2/1     4th
5.10. Wolv Latest Edition        9/4
stk 7.50              rtn     130.72

Try this @kroni 
resolver.co.uk
Assuming you're in the right and can prove it, it'll take about a year for the bookie to be forced to make right. I speak from experience btw, as I've been through the process. I could have left it and not bothered with all the hassle, but it was obvious to me what was going on and I wasn't going to stand for it. They knew they were in the wrong, but they were hoping I would just go along with what they were saying and settle.
It made me wonder just how many others get stiffed because they don't want the bother, but the trouble with that attitude is the more the bookies get away with that sort of sharp practice, the more brazen they become.

1pm
K.Wilson vs Yuelong
Selby vs Murphy

7pm
Carter vs Trump
Milkins vs Ford
Could be the claim of the outsider today/tonight. The two single bets that I'll be taking are Murphy to beat Selby and Carter to beat Trump. Murphy is playing some great snooker and although it's going to be a disappointment losing in the final ofcourse, he played well and hit 1 century and 5 50+ breaks in that match. Indeed, he has played well for a while now and Selby just hasn't. Ofcourse Selby could turn up here but Murphy is a match for him even if he does. Carter is worth a bet for me too because a) like we've eluded to, Trumps game isn't peaking right now. Far from it. He has issues with deciding frames alot and the nerves play more of a part this season. Carters confidence must be sky high right now and although he didn't win that 150k bonus, I still think he will come here raring to go.
2.5pts Murphy to beat Selby 11/10 paddypower
2pts Carter to beat Trump 7/4 paddypower
-------------------------------------------
1pt 4-fold - Yuelong +1.5 frames / Murphy / Carter +1.5 frames / Over 9.5 frames (Milkins vs Ford) 16/1 paddypower
0.5pt 4-fold - Yuelong / Murphy / Carter / Milkins 26/1 bet365

We go straight into the Players Championship. Missing the reigning champion, Neil Robertson. All abit strange really but here is the line up :
Allen vs O'Connor
Brecel vs Lisowski
Carter vs Trump
Milkins vs Ford
-------------------------
K.Wilson vs Yuelong
Ding vs G.Wilson
Selby vs Murphy
Day vs Wakelin
Ofcourse after a long week and weekend of snooker at the Welsh Open, both Rob Milkins and Shaun Murphy are going to feel tired but to be fair, it's only 2 and half hours down the road from Llandudno to Wolverhampton, and in my opinion, both have half decent draws. The bottom half is particulary open. Day is not playing good enough and so in my mind, the winner of Selby/Murphy probably plays Kyren Wilson in a semi-final. I think they beat him, too. Ding is the one who I have a bit of a feeling about but at 8/1 no thank you!
I think Shaun is worth sticking with. I would go with him and Selby really but 6/1 on Selby is too short right now. His form is abit up and down to say the least. In the top half alot will depend on Mark Allen. He was brilliant other than the loss to Milkins and in all likelyhood it was the knowing that he would win alot of money and how much he needed it. However, again, is 11/2 a good price for him to beat Brecel/Lisowski and then Trump/Milkins and then Selby/Murphy. Debatable.
I can't be touching Brecel or Lisowski and so I want somebody at the top from those other 4. It's hard to know what happens with Milkins in this event. It's so rare that a players goes and wins and then goes and does it again or continues the form. Especially when the player isn't a name at the top of the seeds. I think Tom Ford is worth a chance this week. Made a semi-final of this event back in 2012 and hasn't qualified for it since 2015. His form at the German Masters was good. He beat Kyren Wilson and Jack Lisowski there before going out to eventual champion Ali Carter. If he beats Milkins, who could well be hungover then he will likely face Trump. He has won the last 2 head to heads against Trump and Trump isn't even hitting any form right now.
Part of me wants to add Milkins again purely because nobody in this field screams at me as a likely winner. If I had a gun to my head I would say Allen but I'm going for value as always.
2pts S.Murphy to win Players Championship 12/1 betvictor
-----------------------------------------------
1pt e/w R.Milkins to win Players Championship 33/1 paddypower
1pt e/w T.Ford to win Players Championship 40/1 paddypower
0.5pts e/w C.Wakelin to win Players Championship 80/1 paddypower

Draw for the players
1 Mark Allen v 16 Joe O’Connor
8 Luca Brecel v 9 Jack Lisowski
5 Ali Carter v 12 Judd Trump
4 Robert Milkins v 13 Tom Ford
3 Kyren Wilson v 14 Zhou Yuelong
6 Ding Junhui v 11 Gary Wilson
7 Mark Selby v 10 Shaun Murphy
2 Ryan Day v 15 Chris Wakelin

80/1 love it 

Lingfield

1.38 - Rose Bolt - 10/1

2.13 - Daphne May - 6/5

3.58 - Berkshire Breeze - 6/1

4.33 - Strike Alliance - 3/1


Newcastle

7.30 - One Hart - 14/1

8.00 - Gunnerside - 5/2

Good luck all CNBB.

Grand national trial Haydock 
Bristol de mai    9.0  
Fortescue       8.8 
Quick wave    8.4 
The two amigos   8.4 
Grumpy Charlie  8.2 
Very tricky hcap ....Bristol de mai is the form horse and looks to have been kept for this race ... but 90 days off ...top weight ...and age 12 are toonmany negatives for me but he is dangerous ....generally this goes to a unexposed type with 2 to 4 chase wins ....I think 17/20 had this this profile so that leaves 
Quick wave 4  9/1 
Grumpy Charlie 2 18/1 
Two amigos 4 12/1 
So I'll try 5pt wins all 3 and hope for the best 
 

An intriguing afternoon’s racing with the ITV cameras at Ascot for four races including the days feature the Betfair Ascot Chase which is a cracker plus a brace from Haydock and the Kingwell Hurdle from Wincanton. The ground is currently good (good to soft in places) at Ascot, good to soft at Haydock and good at Wincanton with a predominately dry forecast. Here’s my thoughts and selections for the seven race.
Ascot 1.50
Just the four novices have declared for this grade 2 3M Bateaux London Reynoldstown Novices’ Chase. We have a very warm favourite here in the Nicky Henderson trained Bold Endeavour who is unbeaten in two starts for the Seven Barrows maestro having joined from Laura Morgan. A winner of two novice handicap chases at Leicester and Doncaster he appears to have a preference for good ground and was pulled out in between his wins at Newbury on soft ground. Officially rated 8lb and 10lb better than his opponents here he will be at prohibitive odds and should win although at the likely odds is no value. Best of his trio of opponents may well be Sam England’s seven year old Kinondo Kwetu who’s won all five of his chase starts on good ground back in the Autumn and this represents a step up in grade for him. Oscar Elite is hard to fancy on recent form whilst Dan Skelton’s Jay Jay Reilly also has a bit to find.
Haydock 2.05
A field of seven go to post for the grade two 3M 58 yard Betfred Rendlesham Hurdle. Bar rank outsider Inis Orr it looks an open affair. Green Book is the only horse carrying a penalty here having won the Imperial Cup at Sandown a fortnight ago and that may just tell. Olly Murphy’s veteran Itchy Feet came back to form when winning at Huntingdon last time out and has to be a player here as the joint top rated alongside Erne River trained by Nick Kent who ran well at Doncaster last time and has had his wind tinkered with since. He may be the biggest danger to my fancy the Dan Skelton trained Ashtown Lad. A comfortable winner of the Becher Chase at Aintree in early December he reverted back to hurdles when a fine second to Glimpse Of Gala at Warwick the following month. He travelled like the best horse in the race for a long way and can give the Skelton’s another big race Saturday winner.
ASHTOWN LAD 2 points win @ 4/1 bet365
Ascot 2.25
A competitive 3M handicap chase is up next - the LK Bennett Swinley Handicap Chase, a class one handicap that has attracted a decent sized field of fourteen. Christian Williams has struggled for winners this season but his Cap Du Nord looks ready to run a big race off of a favourable handicap mark. Cases can be made for plenty of others including Paul Nicholls’ Danny Kirwan who’s had a break since a good course and distance second last October. Harry Fry’s JP McManus owned Phoenix Way ran well at Cheltenham last time out when fourth (beaten 16 1/2L) to Il Ridoto where a mistake half way through the contest didn’t help his chances. He’s fallen to the same mark that he won here off of a year ago and has to be on the short list. Venetia Williams saddles a brace of runners with chances in Farinet under Shane Quinlan and Laskalin under Lucy Turner. Both have claims on their best efforts. Richard Hobson’s Riders Onthe Storm is two from three at the track but this is his first try at three miles and sports first time cheek pieces today. In an open contest I’ll chance Phoenix Way who’s weighted to run a big race.
PHOENIX WAY 2 points each way @ 11/2 Paddy Power 1/5th 1234
Haydock 2.40
A wide open renewal of the Betfred Grand National Trial run over 3M 4F 97 yards. Last year’s winner (on a disqualification) Bristol De Mai heads the weights but he’s 5lb higher this time around and surely would prefer deeper ground despite his love for the Lancashire track. Venetia Williams saddles three here with stable jockey Charlie Deutsch presumably choosing Fontaine Collonges, a winner here over half a mile shorter than today back in November and not disgraced since at Kempton. His stablemate Cloudy Glen has a very good record fresh (1411) and following a 385 day absence can make his presence tell with Sean Quinlan taking the ride. Williams’ third runner Quick Wave also has claims on his best form which came on his re-appearance when a very easy winner at Sandown but he’s bombed out since in the Welsh Grand National and has a bit to prove now. The Welsh Grand National winner The Two Amigos is also in the line up on 5lb higher terms but he’s one that excels when the muds flying and he may not have his optimum conditions today. There’s plenty of others with claims including Chris Honour’s Grumpy Charley who has a very patchy win record mind and the JP McManus owned Time To Get Up who was the subject of support on Thursday afternoon. It’s a tough call but I’ll give Venetia Williams’ Cloudy Glen a go to small stakes each way with enhanced places.
CLOUDY GLEN 1 point each way @ 28/1 Paddy Power 1/5th 12345
Ascot 3.00
Another competitive decent sized field handicap with thirteen hurdlers facing the starter for the 2M 3F 58 yard class 2 handicap hurdle. Favourite is the Paul Nicholls trained Irish Hill who appears to have improved since having his wind done pre season having followed up an unlucky Fontwell second with wins at Taunton and Fakenham. The latter being the tracks most valuable race of the season. He’s up 6lb for that and looks the bet here. Nicholls also saddles top weight Samarive under useful 7lb conditional jockey Freddie Gingell who’s been chasing this season and has it to do off of a big weight. I’m not sure what to make of the Irish raider Zoffany Bay who’s coming here on the back of a 700 day absence for trainer Peter Fahy having joined him from France. He’s well worth monitoring in the market. There’s nothing between Homme Public and Whizz Kid on recent form at Huntingdon whilst Venetia Williams’ Djelo  is still lightly raced and may have a bit more to give. Gary Moore has his string in fine form and his Fifty Ball has shown a liking for this track winning two of his three starts here and is only a pound higher than his latest victory. Irish Hill is on the upgrade and may have another win in him and worth backing.
IRISH HILL 2 points win @ 9/2 William Hill
Wincanton 3.12
A small but select field of only four hurdlers face the starter for the grade two 1M 7F 50 yard Kingwell Hurdle. It’s hard to fancy the rank outsider Global Citizen but a case can be made for the other three with Paul Nicholls’ Knappers Hill likely to enjoy this track and surface a lot better than when racing over further last time out at Cheltenham on soft ground. He had previously made all to beat fast ground specialist Sceau Royal comfortably over course and distance taking his record here to two from two. He was eight lengths behind Nicky Henderson’s First Street at Cheltenham who looks his biggest danger here. James Bowen’s mount had previously looked good when winning the Gerry Feilden Handicap Hurdle at Newbury off of top weight and should be thereabouts. The third possible is Nigel Twiston-Davie’s I Like To Move It who also under top weight spread eagled his field at Cheltenham in the Greatwood Hurdle back in November. He also ran in that race at Cheltenham where First Street was ahead of Knappers Hill and was very disappointing back in 6th some 17L behind First Street. He has questions to answer now. A speed track on good ground looks Knappers Hill’s optimum conditions and he can turn the tables on First Street.
KNAPPERS HILLS 2 points win @ 7/4 BetVictor
Ascot 3.35
Only six go to post for this 2M 5F Betfair Ascot Chase but the day’s feature race is a cracker. Best in the weights by 10lb and more is Nicky Henderson’s Shishkin who if back to his best would beat these, he does have questions to answer mind now having pulled up in last season’s Champion Chase (bone issues) and finished third on his re-appearance in the Tingle Creek at Sandown to Edwardstone beaten some 15L. He’s had his wind operated on since and sports a first time tongue tie here. He’s stepping up in trip today as his shrewd trainer feels he needs a trip and he could easily take this if nearly back to his best. Last years winner Fakir D’oudairies was a lucky winner last time when Haut En Couleurs fell at the last when two lengths clear. Paul Nicholls’ Pic D’Orhy seems better than ever this season winning three times including at Kempton last time when coasting home by 16L. Millers Bank is held by the latter from Huntingdon form earlier in the season but has had a wind operation since so may not be totally out of this. First Flow prefers muddier conditions whilst Aye Right looks out of his depth. A decent renewal that can go the way of Shishkin to prove he’s no back number just yet.
 
SHISHKIN 1 point win 5/2 William Hill