peanut peanut

I was out all day. This looked like a good each way punt.
16:40 Thurles
Dashing Shirocco
50/1 at Skybet, each way 4 places.
£10 each way, £20.
 

Definately dodged a bullet there.

ITV are showing 9 races Friday afternoon and with the ground drying at Newmarket I’m expecting perfect ground there with just a slight ease whilst at York the ground is likely to be soft. Here’s my thoughts on the nine:-  
Newmarket 1.50
The Group 3 Cornwallis Stakes is run over 5F and has this year attracted a healthy turn out of 13 runners. Likely favourite is the Hugo Palmer trained Hierarchy who was just touched off in the Group 2 Mill Reef Stakes at Newbury last time and drops to the minimum trip here. He is a major player and should go very close if handling the slightly easier ground. Irish raider Twilight Jet will handle the ground and comes here on the back of his best run when 5th of 10 beaten only a length and a half in the Group 1 Middle Park and like Hierarchy is also dropping in distance.  Although the stalls are placed in the centre it wouldn’t be a shock to see the field navigate over to this stands side as in previous meetings meaning that high numbers may have an advantage. With Hierarchy drawn in 13 as opposed to Twilight Jet in stall 2 he is the small stakes selection. 
HIERARCHY 2 points win @ 5/2 William Hill
 
Chepstow 2.10
Just short of 3 miles this is a veterans handicap chase with a wide open look to it. David Pipe has his Nicholshayne team in fine form currently and won this race two years ago with the likeable Vieux Lion Rouge off of a 6lb lower mark and can go close to repeating that feat on his first run since falling in the Grand National in April. His owner Professor Caroline Tisdall actually sponsors this race so you would think that her own horse will be primed to try and win back her money. It’s a tough contest mind as plenty are having their first run of the season and without market clues just a small wager is suggested. 
VIEUX LION ROUGE 1 point each way @ 10/1 1/5th 123 Bet365
 
Newmarket 2.25
An open looking Group 3 Oh So Sharp Stakes which is for two year old fillies. Good American was impressive when winning on her debut but that was only a Salisbury maiden and although the runner up that day has won since this represents a big step up in grade on easier ground. Gifted Gold is a similar type in that she won her maiden at Newcastle (2nd won since) but faces stiffer opposition here. Pearl Glory followed up wins at Lingfield and Salisbury by a one length second spot in the Group 3 Dick Poole at Salisbury and is another witch claims. Alllayaali and Perfect News come here on the back of nursery wins and are others to respect. It’s a hard race to crack with slight preference for Allayaali who impressed when winning a Doncaster nursery and may have more to offer here. 
ALLAYAALI  1 point each way @ 11/1 1/5th 123 Bet365
 
Chepstow 2.45
The Persian War Novices Hurdle signals the start of the National Hunt season for some and this years renewal run over 2m 3F 100yds has 8 nice novices going to post. Bar the two outsiders the remaining six can all be given a chance with the Nicky Henderson trained First Street who’s chasing a hat trick in with a good chance. Also in with a big chance is the Paul Nicholls trained Paso Doble who made all the running when winning easily at Kempton in May. Nicholls took this meeting by storm last season with 4 winners a piece on both the Friday and Saturday and would have had many decent novices to pick from to run here. To small stakes he’s the pick here. 
PASO DOBLE 1 point win @ 3/1 Bet365 
 
Newmarket 3.00
The Group 2 Godolphin Stud & Stable Staff Awards Challenge Stakes is run over 7F and has attracted 9 runners this year. The Godolphin pair Al Suhail and D’bai met last time out with the latter finishing 3/4L ahead of his stable companion and can confirm that form today. Chindit drops a furlong and is the best in here at the weights and should be thereabouts. With Thanks bounced back to form last weekend in soft ground at Ascot but may find the drying ground against him whilst Double Or Bubble would have preferred rattling fast summer ground and is dismissed for those reasons. John Quinn’s Safe Voyage has been a fine servant over the years and this eight year old maybe the best value in the race. Ideally he would want it even softer but I believe there will be sufficient cut in the ground for him to perform to his best. 7F with cut in the ground are his optimum conditions and I’ll be playing small each way. 
SAFE VOYAGE 1 point each way @ 11/1 1/5 123 Bet365
 
York 3.15
A competitive 20 runner 1 mile handicap with bookmakers currently betting 8/1 the field. The ground is officially soft here and my two against the field are both proven mudlarks. Top weight Raising Sand may now be into the veteran stage but with the ground in his favour and a favourable low draw I can see him running well despite top weight. He’s 6lb lower than his last winning mark so is no doubt well handicapped. Nicola Currie has won on him in the past and gets the leg up today. My main selection though is last years winner Ouzo who has fallen to the identical handicap mark that he was successful from that day with the only negative being that he is drawn so wide in stall 19 which may not be ideal. Sean Levey is in the saddle today. 
OUZO 1 point each way @ 9/11/5th 123456 Paddy Power
RAISING SAND 1/2 point each way @ 12/1 1/5th 12345 BetVictor
 
Newmarket 3.35
Inspiral heads the market for the Group 1 Fillies Mile and will be very hard to beat as long as she handles ground with some ease in it. Currently favourite for both the 2022 1000 Guineas and Oaks she’s done nothing wrong in her three career starts to date winning a Newmarket maiden, Sandown listed contest and the Group 2 Doncaster May Hill all in the style of a very smart filly. Frankie Dettori has been on board for all three starts and keeps the association going today. Wild Beauty is comfortably held on Sandown form whilst Mise En Scene, a winner of the Group 3 Prestige Stakes at Goodwood will need to raise her game further to worry John and Thady Gosden’s favourite. The Aidan O’Brien candidate Concert Hall has to be taken seriously but this for me is all about Inspiral and she’s a confident selection. 
INSPIRAL 5 points win @ 4/5 William Hill 
 
York 3.50
13 go to post for this 14F three year old handicap with top weight Mahrajaan a progressive handicapper trained by William Haggas and owned by Shadwell who will be a tough nut to crack. A ready winner at Hamilton over 12F in August he steps up 2F in trip which hopefully will suit and he can take this before warranting a step up in grade. Ravenscraig Castle was third in the Melrose over course and distance at the Ebor meeting and looks a danger along with Surrey Gold who looks a horse with a bit more to offer. 
MAHRAJAAN 2 points win @ 3/1 Bet365
 
Newmarket 4.10
A competitive 15 runner 12F handicap for three year olds with many progressive sorts. Top weight Siskany has done little wrong this season and has been gelded since last seen at Goodwood in July when runner up in a valuable three year olds 12F handicap. He goes on any ground and with the Charlie Appleby team in such fine form this Autumn looks sure to be thereabouts. Also towards the top of the handicap is Charlie Fellowes’s Injazati who’s chasing a four timer though is up 7lb for his latest success at Newbury. Roger Varian’s Moshaawer is dropping in trip from his excellent second in the Melrose at York and is another possible if coping with the 2F shorter distance whilst Boltaway is worth a mention as he’s also been in top form of late for trainer Roger Charlton. Many with chances but I’ll take Siskany to see them all off. 
SISKANY  3 points win @ 7/2 Bet365
 
 

Wow, I'm not sure how but sums it up currently. Nada To Prada travels all over them and somehow is beaten after leading until maybe the last 1/2 furlong. Jumped like a Stag and was pretty much on the bridle the whole way around and is somehow ******* beaten! Tough time currently. 

Then I get very lucky in the very next race where Karlie gets it's head down at the right time on the line after looking beat. 

Bet 91 
Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam (0-0 3) 
Over 0.5 goals
£52.25 @ 1.03

My bank is 100pts mate. I've always worked the same and feel you need 100pts to stick to a system and it also minimises the chances of people panicking when they go say 10pts down like I currently am. 

Thurles 1.45
ANCHORAGE 13/8
£20 win BSP

2nd & 5th Tuesday
Lindwall 20.30 Chelmsford 1 Pt WIn @ Evens (bog)
Fluffed lines on Salisbury handicap debut in May but he's been a big improver on AW after a break, winning at Lingfield (13f) and Wolverhampton (14f) last month. Likely more to come yet.
Notre Belle Bete 14.20 Thurles 1 Pt WIn @ 6\4 (bog)
Fairly useful colt. 11/4 and tongue strap on for 1st time, creditable second of 15 in maiden at Cork (7f, soft) 9 days ago, best work finish. Good shout. 

5th Tuesday
Catch My Breath 19.30 Chelmsford @ 5\2 (bog)
Confirmed promise of last run when winning 11-runner handicap at Lingfield (8f, AW) last week, plenty in hand. Remains well treated on old form, so hard to oppose under a 5 lb penalty.
Treble - 1st Leg - 1 Pt Win
Double - 1st Leg - 1 Pt Win
Single - 1 Pt Win

Flat selection
Chelmsford 5.30
HIGH VELOCITY 7/5

October total = - 2 pts
Todays selections - bet365 B.O.G.
2.40 Ayr - Aone Ally - 10/3 ... lost 3rd 9/2 (Short head/Short head), Jockey gave way too much ground, flying finish but too late.
3.40 Ex - Serjeant Painter - 5/2 ... lost
6.00 Chelm - Lion Ring - 3/1

Latvia VS Netherlands
Kick Off: 10/08/2021 14:45
 
Latvia
Latvia currently ranks 136th in the world. Their performance in the European qualifier is not ideal. After six rounds of group matches, the team only achieved 1W-2D-3L. The only victory is against Gibraltar. At present, they have failed to win two consecutive rounds.
Netherlands
Netherlands ranks 12th in the world. Their performance in the European qualifiers is remarkable. So far, the team has recorded 4W-1D-1L after six rounds of group matches, ranking the first place in the group with 13 points, and beat Norway behind with a goal difference advantage. At present, they are in a hot period of two consecutive wins.
Prediction
In terms of historical confrontation, Netherlands won all the past four exchanges, of which the most recent one beat the opponent 2-0, occupying an absolute psychological advantage. Netherlands is undoubtedly more worthy of pursuit.
 
 
Pick: Netherlands to win
Total: Over 3.5 goals
 

What a lovely post to see. Graham would be proud to know he is remembered. He loved Punters Lounge passionately, and would want everything to carry on and move forward. There is no better legacy than leaving behind work that is built on and taken forward by others for the future. Thank you all for your support and kindness, it is invaluable.

It seems crazy to think that a whole year has gone since our beloved admin BillyHills aka Graham Sarson tragically passed away. Graham is still remembered very fondly here. Even now we still hear positive things about him either through personal memories members have shared or members expressing the influence he had on their own lives or this forum itself.
On a personal note, I know that Punters Lounge isn't the same without Graham but I think he'd be proud of the legacy he has left. 12 months may have passed but Graham still remains in our hearts and the influence he had on the place you see now is still very much clear. We thought it was only appropriate that we posted some words up one year on so that people can take time to remember Graham and so that his wife Suzy and his family know that we are all still thinking of them during this difficult time.
BillyHills may no longer be with us but he is still very much in our memories and in our thoughts. ❤️

It's ok having a 'points based system' , but how big a bank do you need ?

Ayr350 Toshack 20/1 ewx 6pl bet365 
£10 ew. 

A profit yesterday but  a deduction because of a NR (see above post)
October total = + 1.37 pts
No Qualifiers today -  a close call with 1 that failed the final filter ( 3.05 Exeter - Sergeant - WON ) , but NO Qualifiers today

Czech VS Wales
Kick Off: 10/08/2021 14:45
 
Czech
At present, Czech ranks No. 31 in the world, and their recent state is poor for the last two consecutive defeat games. Now the team has the same points as Wales, and both sides need to compete for the second place. It is worth noting that Czech is better at home game. The unbeaten rate in the past ten home games has reached 80%.
Wales
Wales ranks 19th in the world, much higher than the Czech. But the team has failed to scored goals in the last game against the weak team Estonia. The team depends more on Bale's extraordinary play. Moreover, the team's defense is not stable, and conceded two goals in the game against Belarus.
Prediction
Due to the small strength gap between the two sides, but considering that the Czech has the advantage of home, coupled with the obvious support of data. On the contrary, Wales is not good at away game and has a poor performance on the offense recently. Czech is worth looking forward to win.
 
Pick: Czech to win
Total: Over 2/2.5 goals

Worc.2.48 Montgomery 5/1
Exeter 3.05. Shanandoa 8/1
Exeter 4.50. Guinness Affair 5/2
3 x £6 win singles
£1 eachway treble
 
 

Spain very much on top first half  Take a lot for Italy to turn this around I think.

P/L = -10.9pts
Today's selections....
1338 Worcester Nada To Prada 2/1 2pt win = Lost 2pts
1355 Exeter Karlie 11/4 2pt win = Won 7.5pts (5.5pt profit)
1440 Ayr Flying Moon 6/1 1.5pt win = Lost
1625 Ayr True Mason 4/1 2pt win = Lost
7.5pts staked ??

3.40 exeter blood eagle 12/1 £10 e/w bet365

Pretty sad when you spend all your time creating new accounts just to post for attention. 
 
Nice run at the moment waggy, long may it continue.

exeter 
3.05 seymour promise 33/1
3.40 blood eagle 12/1
worcester
1.35 little river bay 3/1 50p win winner
2.13 some buckle 100/1
3.23 druim samhraihd 9/1
3.58 mick leo 28/1
all bets 25p e/w
bet365
out £3 in £2.10
g/l lee