K8a

Garbiñe Muguruza (-4,5 Games) to beat Alison Van Uytvanck at 1.83 with bet365
Last one. Muguruza's 2020 was impressive. She ended with a 23-7 record, including a Final in the AO, beating Svitolina, Bertens Pavlyuchenkova and Halep, all of them in straight sets. She started well this year, destroying Mladenovic (6-2, 6-4) and Sasnovich (6-1, 6-4), and lost in the third round against one of the most in form players righ now, Sakkari (5-7, 4-6). IMO the return of Conchita and her new mentality makes her a clear candidate to win everything here. Van Uytvanck is not at her best. She ended 2020 with a negative record (9-12). She has never achieved good results in Australia. In 2020, she was destroyed by Ferro (2-6, 1-6) in the AO, in the 1st round. She never has won a match in the AO or even a set (7 consecutive defeats by 2-0) and she has some big loses as a double 6-0 (vs Azarenka). As I said, looks like she never liked Australia conditions... I think this is one of those matches where the spaniard destroys her opponent, letting her with only 1-5 games won.

Unfortunately, there's been plenty of rain in Antalya affecting the schedule big time. And more's yet to come if the forecast is to be trusted.

I agree this is a 50/50 game. But I’ll go for the over 22 games since you can make an argument on either side winning .

Cameron Norrie to beat Sebastian Korda at 2.21 with Pinnacle
I'm not quite sure what makes Norrie the underdog in this one, I think that it's 50/50 at worst for the Brit. Korda did beat Isner, but that doesn't count for THAT much nowadays and this will be a different match-up, closer to the one with Paul where he struggled big time on occasions. Norrie looked incredible in patches against Tiafoe and had only a few bad patches of play. Everything above evens is worth taking imo.

Hi and welcome to the forum @Federererer. Not sure why you would be, the match is supposed to happen on Thursday. The odds have even gone out on Ferro for some reason, not sure why.

@four-leaf chin up, you're good and have good insights as well, don't be afraid to post!
 

I agree on your thoughts , but you can’t deny that others Slams and big tournament’s have already been played. All other sports have resumed and they are taking their measurements. NBA did great on the Bubble and quarantine of the players.  It shouldn’t be this hard to test them all and isolate them. The problem I see is they are big on the idea of having some  fans in attendance and that’s were things get complicated.

Well, we'll see on the live streams for sure ?. Nothing compares to the fact that the Aussie Open is yet to be confirmed though.

Oh, darn, it's actually four, I somehow managed to count in the three from this week as well!

Just a reminder - despite the season "officially" ending today, we still have a couple of Challengers to go. Well, seven in total, in fact!

totally agree on that.
 
Tricky games today- thiem rublev feels like a trap game. Rublev was awful against Nadal but got his rhythm against tsitsipas. in the last meeting in Vienna they went toe to toe until thiems w.o. Thiem already advanced (last year he lost in the exact same situation) and for rublev it is a must win.
 
Nada vs Tsitsipas i consider taken the over 22,5.. i even can see that going into a 3rd set. Tsitsipas likes the court in London and he gave thiem (who is my favourite at this point to win the tournament) a tough match. with his solid serve this should be a tight contest.

Thiem seems extremely uninterested in today's game so far :))))

I think the motivation in this match solely rests on Rublev's shoulders. Thiem has qualified and can decide to do anything as we have seen from past experiences in round robin matches. And this idea of Rublev already being on vacation is really a figure of speech for all intents and purposes. On the head to head count, pride or financial reward, Rublev still has a lot to play for. Rublev at least wins a set and possibly more here.

Novak Djokovic (-3.5) to beat Alexander Zverev at 1.97 with Pinnacle
I think that we can all agree that Djokovic was poor against Medvedev. Once he went a break down, he almost gave up, making tons of unforced errors and just going through the motions. This leaves him in a situation in which he actually needs to try against Zverev and I think that Zverev is the right opponent for him to get back. Zverev has been erratic so far and he'll give Djokovic plenty of chances if he plays like he did against both Medvedev and Schwartzman. There are stakes in this match and I think that Djokovic will get back to winning ways here more often than not, so I'll take him on the reasonable handicap. At the same time, I don't think that he's the favorite to win the entire thing at this point, both Thiem and Medvedev have looked way better so far.

So Thiem is already qualified and Rublev is out regardless of the outcome. Although is a nice money prize for an undefeated champion and I would imagine Thiem , specially on his form  will not get into a very physical game but go strong on his serve points. Can’t imagine we would like to get into a 3 sets match and would try to avoid get that tired. 
 
I also agree on the over from the Nadal match, even if it’s on 2 sets I believe the over hit with at least 1 TB.

+ 4 games seems good..

Hi and welcome to the forum @Angelindo!
Your comment wasn't stupid at all, keep on! Yes, the overs are a decent choice as well I reckon, I just like the odds on Thiem way more.

Hello! I see ur point in taking advantage of the odd on thiem, but isnt it saffer to go with the over games?
Thiem was amazing against tsi, his serve was outrageous! Nadal isnt the same beast here that he is on clay, but still... its nadal (rublev super disappointing, expected more from him since nadal wasnt that good in the previous hard inddor tourn). My point, I cant predict a winner here  ahah    but I can see both of them closing their serves and going deep in the sets.
1st time making a comment, so if what a said was stupid  just ignore  ahah
 
Cheers from portugal guys, keep up the good work.

Daniil Medvedev to beat Alexander Zverev at 1.70 with Pinnacle
Zverev might've been a bit tired when the two last met in Paris, but I still think Medvedev has the edge. He's the better player by a small margin imo and Zverev has a lot going on off the court as well, which is something that is going to take its toll at some point. Matches in this tournament are often full of pressure and Medvedev has grown into the mentally stronger player of the two over time.

Sebastian Korda to beat Tomas Machac at 2.15 with Pinnacle
Honestly, I'm not quite sure what makes Machac the favorite here. Sure, he's got a lot of talent, but he hasn't played on a hard court for a while, so he might need some time adapting. Korda was already practicing last week and he got some decent results as well. Also, I think it could be argued that he's the more talented player of the two, with his French Open run being very impressive indeed if you take out the fan-boyism against Nadal. I'm really baffled, honestly, because I'd have the odds the other way around unless I've missed an injury somewhere.

An interesting debate guys, nice to see two different perspectives! 

Thanks a lot!
I've been following this forum for a while now, I've read so many great analysises, and found so many many value bets, thanks to all the people posting here!

Whoever come as a winner from Cornet - Pironkova tie,stand zero chance against Serena. 

Hi and welcome to the forum @K8a!

Have to agree with Torque on this one.