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Posts posted by 888888

  1. 27 minutes ago, george44 said:

    Its a little bit risky I think. Don't forget that Morocco has no against goals except an own goal at this tournament. In addition to that Morocco hadn't any against goal during the qualification round of Africa. Their defense is perfect. France has a lot of choices in hteir offense but If we look at the match against England we 'll see that English managed to limit French 's  offendive momentum.  That's the point also for Morocco. I think it will be a very closed match. If I had to bet to a match like this, I would like to have all the stats by the best. 

    yes I see what you mean, my bet is mostly based on "probability" , Morocco having over-achieved in comparaison to their actual level and strength for me means that they are due for a loss with at least two goals especially with Mbappe's speed.

    Like in tennis if a player ranked 60th beats a guy ranked in the 30th then a guy ranked in the 20th and then again an other guy ranked in the 20th after all this for me his fourth match the likelihood that he gets blown out by a guy ranked 15th is very high, just like the odds suggest, but then of course on the other hand surprises happen all the time.

  2. Since online bookies all have rather low limits on less popular sports like snooker if they fixed games they would have to find ways to bet big amounts, from what I remember HK betting shops don't offer snooker, so did their "organisation" place bets in European countries in betting shops offering snooker? I am French and in France the national lottery offers snooker bets in physical shops, I guess Ladbrokes, Coral and William Hill physical shops in England even more, and then there are all the other European countries.

  3. 14 hours ago, charliepie said:

    No shocks in the 11 games so far, maybe get one or two tonight? It's a bit surprising they've suspended so many Chinese players recently with Bingtao being the latest this morning. They must have some good evidence to back it up you would think...

    I have lived 13 years in Shanghai (got a Masters degree in Chinese) and got many Chinese friends, sports betting there is absolutely insane, even though it is supposed to be illegal there are tons of websites (including Chinese versions of Betway or Bodog for instance) and people bet like mad.

    I used to bet on Chinese football including 2nd league; some of the games I watched live and witnessed some out of the blue situations of obvious match fixing (the goal keeper pretending blantantly to miss a basic pass and score an own goal , 4 goals scored in 5 minutes with the defenders not moving , players running around stupidly ike Benny Hill videos and pretending to slip etc... ) so I have no doubt that the allegations must be true; fixing games when you are the only player deciding the outcome is so easy.

    And the reason I follow snooker is one of my Chinese friends is good friend with Ronnie O'Sullivan and when he went to Shanghai in 2018 I spent several evenings with them.

  4. The first thing that came to my mind seeing the opening match of this multi-billion event / investment by Qatar was Qatar playing one of the medium weaker teams of the WC is that Qatar was going to fix the match at least not to lose; had they played Netherlands on the opening day and not lost no one would believe it.

    Remember South Korea 2002 world cup when the referee (from Ecuador lol) rather openly fixed the game for South Korea against Italy and Spain?

    At the begining of the year Ecuador managed 1-1 against both Argentina and Brazil which is quite impressive so initially I was tempted by the 2.30 odds but too afraid of the Qatar thing so all in all I won't bet on this game.

    Anyway good luck to all and of course I might be totally wrong.

  5. When watching a match it's sometimes a bit difficult to understand if a player is losing because he is playing rather bad or because the opponent is playing excessively well.

    For Nadal - Fritz not taking account ball hitting and pure racket skills I thought pyhiscally and speed wise Nadal was very below par, he is not that young anymore compared to the  22-25 y/o top athletes he is facing; but for a reason or an other of course my opinion could be biased or wrong.

  6. Yesterday I took PNG -26 which ended up being a winner , their first half was really impressive they were fired up full of energy , second half was quite clear they had a lot less energy. At the end of the second half for about 3-4 minutes they managed to stop 3 sets in a row 1 to 10 meters from their try line which is quite achievement.

    Taking that into account I might take PNG +12 1st half against England, the two things that worry me is they have much less time to rest than England (2 days less) and that the refeering will for me clearly favor England (like it did in their previous games).



  7. 56 minutes ago, StefanBB said:

    Napoli vs Liverpool

    For the third time in five years, Napoli and Liverpool are in the same group of the UEFA Champions League. The two will battle in Group A of this season’s competition, with Napoli hosting Liverpool on Match Day 1 of the competition. Napoli is coming from a good start in the Italian Serie A, currently topping the table with 11 points after their latest win, a 2-1 away win over Lazio. They want to pick up where they left off and secure a positive start on the continental stage.

    Liverpool’s struggles away from home continued in their 0-0 draw with Everton in the Merseyside derby. They haven’t won an away game this season and will hope for a change here. Another thing they will hope to improve on is their defending, having managed just two clean sheets in the opening six matches. Their scoring run has been impressive, only failing to score in one of the six matches. Nevertheless, the Reds struggle with inconsistency, and Jurgen Klopp wants to stabilize the team. That’s why they aim for success in this challenging outing.

    Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

    Liverpool hasn’t been convincing so far this season, and it won’t be easy for them in front of the hot Napoli fans. We believe the hosts will remain undefeated in this clash. Moreover, Liverpool didn’t manage to win in Naples on the previous three occasions.

    Goals Market Prediction

    Their previous three clashes in Italy stayed under a 2.5 margin, while Liverpool still seeks the first goal at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. We think the tradition of low-scoring matches will continue.  

    Napoli AH +0.5 @ 1.85

    Under 2.5 FT @ 2.30

    Correct score 1:0 @ 13.00

    i agree on Napoli , i feel odds should be 50/50 Napoli having home advantage , i 'll take Napoli draw no bet at 2,70.

    good luck all

  8. 20 hours ago, 888888 said:

    i'll be taking Gauff to beat Garcia.

    Gauff the young American talent should get tons of support from the public, Garcia is on a 12w streak which has to end some time or an other and i feel Gauff is the one to do it.

    damn awful , pathetic gauff got smashed

  9. any one taking Van Rijthoven to beat Zhang Zhizhen at 2.40 ??

    Zhang is on a good run but beating very average players, not much experience on ATP level playing nearly only challengers, and historically Chinese male players don't have particular success in ATP main tour. 

    Van Rijthoven won his 3 first matches in Wimbledon losing 3-1 to Djoko in 4th round and had a very good run a couple of moths ago.


    Basically all in all I don't understand why odds are not more 50/50 or Van Rijthoven being favorite because of more experience being on the big stage and of playing 5 set matches.

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