[Tennis Tips - February 13 - February 19]

My bookie Betclic offers Dimitrov over 1,5 aces at 2.20 , while Bet365 has over 2,5 aces at 1.80

Anyone thinks it's good value?? Considering going high stakes

[Tennis Tips - February 13 - February 19]

Dimitrov won but I pity anyone who had Deminaur , such a lucky win.

Deminaur was leading 3-0 in the 3rd set , Dimitrov came back , tie break , Deminaur leads 3-0 Dimitrov came back to 3-3 , then 6-4 for Deminaur with 2 match points and .............................................................................. Dimitrov won 4 points in a row to win the tie break 8-6 .

[Tennis Tips - February 13 - February 19]

Two days ago I took Dimitrov to beat Hurcazk which he did, winning it in 2 tie breaks,  rather impressive considering Hurcazk has a huge serve so I'll be taking him again to beat De minaur, even though as stated above De minaur is very athletic and can run like a machine but technically Dimitrov is much sharper.

 

In their last 2 matches at Rotterdam Felix has a much better 1st serve % than Medevedev, their last match against each other dates from over a year ago so personally I don't really take into account the H2H because players evolve over time, especially the younger ones, and after 4 defeats may be it's time for a win since there is not such a huge gap in their level, so i'll go small stakes on Felix at 2.40 

 

 

[Welsh Open]

Liking Murphy -1.5 frames at 2.10 against Mcgill , Murphy's latest defeats are against top / good players whereas Mcgill latest defeats are against average players

[Tennis Tips - February 6 - February 12]

Samsonova - Bencic 

 

Samsonova leads 3-0 (matches in 2020 and 2021) , her last 3 matches to reach the final she was at even odds while Bencic had "easier" games being fav at 1.30, 1.35 and 1.45 , so I don't understand why Samsonova is the dog at 2.30 , which seems very tempting to me.

[Tennis Tips - February 6 - February 12]

Anyone on Fils beating Halys? Halys has a great serve but that's about all , Fils on a rather impressive run recently

[Tennis Tips - February 6 - February 12]

I am also contemplating taking Shelby Rogers but she has played the last 3 days in a row, including two 3 set games the last two days so I am hesitating , I might take her just to win the 1st set.

[La Liga Predictions > Feb 1st - 6th]

Barca if i am not wrong has not lost in 13 games , their next loss will most probably happen in an away game sooner or later , Betis DNB at 3.20 seems attractive to me.

[Snooker Shoot Out]

for tonight i am betting against the 14 y/o kid Gradinari ,

his opponent Sarkis is ranked 129th so even if in a single frame anything can happen I still feel the 50/50 odds have value on the adult lol , I am pretty sure his odds will drop by tonight

[Snooker Shoot Out]

13 hours ago, charliepie said:

Be interesting to hear how you get on with this strategy.

i got 0 out of 3 lol so no more , odds differential change is too great , goes from 3 to 1.30 in a second or the opposite , too chaotic

[Australian Open 2023]

28 minutes ago, neilovan said:

I actually think Rublev would be great company and a very interesting drinking buddy. You can see he is a smart guy, and he's definitely gonna raise the level of conversation. It would always be an interesting night out!

???

[Australian Open 2023]

 " At some point he's gonna get so frustrated and go bananas. "  Watching him lose his mind and go insane is one of the most entertaining thing when watching him play ha ha 

[Snooker Shoot Out]

a really fun event

i'll be betting live , i think there is value in taking a player when he is down by around 20 pts and the winning player loses his turn , probably odds of 2.50 to 3.00 if they were more or less at evens before the start , i'll see if i'll have the balls to bet on that systematically in every game that it happens.

[Australian Open 2023]

For Rublev Djoko I am hesitating between taking Djoko 3-0 or Rublev greater number of aces , both at around 1,90

 

[Grand Prix]

6-2 at the break for Allen , any value on Trump +3;5 frames ?

[Australian Open 2023]

I'll go against Nadal which to me very clearly doesn't have the same fitness level as a few years ago , Draper is young and has a strong serve

i am taking Draper to win at least two sets at 2.10

[The Masters]

in the 10th after Hawkins hit a fluke on a red he tried to pot the black in a very very difficult spot, in any other situation he would have gone for a defensive snook never would he have tried to pot that black , you could see on his face he did it on purpose to give back the hand to Trump because he felt guilty of scoring that fluke red; and then lose the frame, and then lose the match, pathetic.

[English Open (plus qualifications)]

awful pick, having won my two previous bets on Neil I should have guessed it would have been too easy to win three in a row on the same player 

[English Open (plus qualifications)]

In my eyes Selby was rather shaky and Ali Carter was really bad; just like yesterday I am taking Neil Robertson -1,5 frame to beat Selby.

[English Open (plus qualifications)]

I had small stakes in Murphy too, 3-2 , if i remember correctly 57-0 an easy straight black to go over and win the match, and he missed it, crazy 

[English Open (plus qualifications)]

Any opinion on Neil Robertson - Williams Mark ?

I am thinking of taking Neil -1,5 frame at 1,80 or simple Neil victory at 1,50. 

[Final Predictions > Dec 18th]

I thgouth Mbappé was nearly invisible against Morocco, considering his skills and status I think he'll come out blazing against Argentina; like NBA superstars usually after a bad performance they bounce back and have a great performance; not saying he'll score but he'll be pumped up to the max.

[English Open (plus qualifications)]

yeah if / when they fix games it would be lower profile games like qualies or first / second round ; being a one man sport it is so easy to fix a game , for any player not in the top ten probably much more money to be made that way than the prize money of losing early in a tournament.

[Semi-Finals Predictions > Dec 13th & 14th]

27 minutes ago, george44 said:

Its a little bit risky I think. Don't forget that Morocco has no against goals except an own goal at this tournament. In addition to that Morocco hadn't any against goal during the qualification round of Africa. Their defense is perfect. France has a lot of choices in hteir offense but If we look at the match against England we 'll see that English managed to limit French 's  offendive momentum.  That's the point also for Morocco. I think it will be a very closed match. If I had to bet to a match like this, I would like to have all the stats by the best. 

yes I see what you mean, my bet is mostly based on "probability" , Morocco having over-achieved in comparaison to their actual level and strength for me means that they are due for a loss with at least two goals especially with Mbappe's speed.

Like in tennis if a player ranked 60th beats a guy ranked in the 30th then a guy ranked in the 20th and then again an other guy ranked in the 20th after all this for me his fourth match the likelihood that he gets blown out by a guy ranked 15th is very high, just like the odds suggest, but then of course on the other hand surprises happen all the time.

[Semi-Finals Predictions > Dec 13th & 14th]

I strongly think Morocco's unexpected run will end and they will lose by 2 or 3 goals against France, I took France AH -1,5.