888888
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Posts posted by 888888
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Anyone on Fritz to beat Kyrgios at 2.20?
Kyrgios has played a lot of matches this month, considering his personality if things don't go his way he might get frustrated and his kind of "don't care" attitude might show up, Fritz is no push over and playing at home so i was expecting more even odds.
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On 8/14/2022 at 5:11 PM, four-leaf said:
Nobody can see that I'm livebetting at this tournament when physically there.
hi, according to your experience how many seconds difference is there between a player winning a point when you are physically there and see it, and the bookie updating the odds that you see on your phone? two seconds? three? thanks
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18 hours ago, matrixman said:
I know in the USA they dont allow live betting if you are physically at the matches.They wilL
toss you.Is it different in europe?
how can ''they'' (i guess you mean the organizers) know you are live betting? if you are in the stands they don't have security guards just come check every single person that is sending a text message or Whatsapp message on their mobile phone? if i had the opportunity to go to a tourney and live bet with 3 or 4 second advantage on the bookie I would try it.
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Thanks, happy to see i am not the only one who saw it !!
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if anyone watched the last frame, Pinches was trailing by like 45 and only one red left, he managed to put both the red and the white in extremely difficult spots both hidden behind colored balls with other colored balls in between, nearly impossible for Lee to hit the red, Lee after missing the second time Pinches went on to play to score an easy ball, but no way in hell would any player I ever watched would play it because it was obvious it was gonna take Lee six seven or eight attempts with four point penalty every time before actually hitting the red.
- alexcaruso808, amity and Simeon Borisof
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Pinches an absolute scumbag , he was leading 3-1 then clearly for whatever reason couldn't care less and played totally recklessly and carelessly , unbelievable crap to watch.
Seeing several of his missed shots especially in the last frame i also wouldn't be surprised if he sold the match and him / his relatives had all kinds of bets on Lee.
- amity, Simeon Borisof and alexcaruso808
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3 minutes ago, 888888 said:
Any opinion on Gojowczyk to beat Paire at 1,65? Gojowczyk is no world beater but considering Paire's I don't care about tennis attitude... and even if Paire actually shows up it's still a kind of 50/50 game.
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Any opinion on Gojowczyk to beat Paire at 1,65? Gojowczyk is no world beater but considering Paire's I don't care about tennis attitude...and even if Paire actually shows up it's still a kind of 50/50 game.
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any insight on Kubler - Thompson on Newport grass ?
Kubler had a very decent run at Wimbledon winning 3 quali matches and the 3 next matches, but on the other side Thompson has the more experience and better record on grass.
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35 minutes ago, CzechPunter said:
@888888It might, but the bounce can also be slightly more tricky depending on how good the grass is. Wouldn't read into that too much, it wasn't a massive amount of rain.
appreciate it, thanks
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Slightly dumb question, since it rained and it's so humid, could the grass be slightly damp therefore the ball slower when bouncing off the ground resulting in less aces?
Thanks
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Any opinion on Cressy to beat Draper at 1,75? He won his last 3 matches as an underdog in straight sets, Draper also won his last 3 in straight sets but beating easier opponents.
Haddad Maia is on a 13 game winning streak on grass so it's tempting but it also means she has played a lot of games and might be tired; however yesterday Tsurenko withdrew so yesterday she didn't play which could be a good luck sign for her today?
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Murray just beat Kyrgios's huge serve , can he do it again against Berrettini?
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i took Germany too , they had so many opportunities I can't believe those bums didn't manage to go 2-0 and that they then conceded that stupid penalty
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anyone knows why MERTENS is such a big dog against GAUFF ?
I haven't watched them play i just check results on tennisexplorer and i can't figure out why they are not more or less at even odds.
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Kerber was awful , she only won because her opponent is a kid with little experience and no mental strength who converted just 1 out of 11 break balls; from what I saw they were both very bad.
In next round Kerber is playing Sasnovitch, Sasnovitch is dog @2.10 which after watching how bad Kerber was today seems crazy to me.
- yossa6133 and Foo_Fighter
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2 hours ago, neilovan said:
He's actually a great player to bet against. The effect of losing matches from winning positions lingers, and is devastating. It's like a bad beat in poker. SOme people it festers and others just shrug it off. Just make a list (if you have the stats which you can get from tennis-data.co.uk in csv form), of every player that bombs out after losing a close set. They are weak mentally. And similarly, look at players that win set 2 after losing a close set 1 (go and see Bianca Andreescu in ASB classic 2019, playing Venus Williams ... loses 1st set 7-6, comes back and beats her 6-3 6-1). 7 months later she's winning a US Open.
Was just messing around with Tableau and made a games handicap checker. You just put in the starting (bet365) odds range for the favorite, and then see how many times the fav beats the games handicap (choose year range, tournament and what handicap spread). I posted it online here;
Quite interesting that the French Open and WImbledon have the lowest handicap cover rates, which indicates that players can't make a smooth transition to grass and clay. I can't calculate profit/loss numbers because I don't have the starting match odds for the handicaps.
very interesting and very good analysis, thank you.
- Foo_Fighter, amity and alexcaruso808
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14 hours ago, neilovan said:
De Minaur playing a guy he should slaughter, and he can't win a point. How excellent!
Hopefully if he has an injury he retires. But losing a set 6-0 should not have a huge effect. It is not like anything has been invested in it.
Medvedev losing to Gasquet is also like a cold day in hell.
for the record Ugo Humbert just in the 2nd set had a total of 11 break points in 3 games in a row and didn't convert a single one, 0 for 11 and then obviously he got broken straight away; he is so weak mentally he is going on my black list never betting on him again.
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2 hours ago, Torque said:
Lyon about to start and I'm taking Bedene to beat Kwon. I have this as a much more even contest than the odds do and probably the reason for Bedene being so big is his relative lack of activity. Clay is his best surface though so I think he's got a decent shot at winning this.
10pts Bedene to beat Kwon @ 3.00 365
i took him too , serving for the match in the 2nd 5-4 30-0 up , lost 4 points in a row to get broken and then...
he probably had decided not to reach the 2nd round prior to the match because of RG next week , i wonder how much money his relatives made betting against him when Kwon was at @15 then @5 then @2
hope he gets trashed in the 1st round at RG
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24 minutes ago, carina007 said:
A expect a lot of surprises this week because RG is coming...
for example ?
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Busta absolutely disgusting attitude, he had already decided to lose the game before even going on the court; no idea how he could be in top 20, watching the match i thought i was watching an underdog ranked 100 with odds of 7 or 8 not world 19th with odds of 2.30 ; awful mistake taking him.
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40 minutes ago, neilovan said:
With two matches yesterday and a 3 hour match today, I would give Alcaraz almost no chance of winning against Busta. Normally he being a 1.66 favorite would be OK, but his opponent has been chilling out , recovering for 3 hours more. No way Alcaraz should be fav here.
Busta will probably grind him down. 1st set is critical, but if Busta wins it, you won't get more than 1 to 10 on him.
Just looking at the Esotil qualifying. AM taking Tabenerer over Miralles. Even at 1.53 its a decent price.
thanks for your feedback, that's exactly what i was thinking but you explained it much better then i did lol.
i'll go medium stakes on Carreno-Busta hoping Alcaraz is just totally out of gas.
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Pablo Carreno Busta won a quick match , the Alcaraz game was a hard fought 3 hours and a half match with tie breaks and tons of deuces.
anyone thinking taking Carreno Busta is value simply on the energy / tiredness factor?
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anyone taking Monteiro to beat Khachanov at 2.40?
Khachanov is the better all around player but Monteiro is a clay specialist and just beat Krajinovic in straight sets as a 2.60 dog.
US Open 2022
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted
any one taking Van Rijthoven to beat Zhang Zhizhen at 2.40 ??
Zhang is on a good run but beating very average players, not much experience on ATP level playing nearly only challengers, and historically Chinese male players don't have particular success in ATP main tour.
Van Rijthoven won his 3 first matches in Wimbledon losing 3-1 to Djoko in 4th round and had a very good run a couple of moths ago.
Basically all in all I don't understand why odds are not more 50/50 or Van Rijthoven being favorite because of more experience being on the big stage and of playing 5 set matches.