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Sterphyle

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  1. Like
    Sterphyle got a reaction from avongirl in Division 5 - Week 8 Selections   
    Venezia - Ac Milan 2 @ 1.55
    Inter - Lazio ov2.5 @ 1.57
    Leipzig - Mainz ov2.5 @ 1.70
    £10 Treble.
     
  2. Thanks
    Sterphyle reacted to StevieDay1983 in Premier League Predictions > Oct 16th - 18th   
    Aston Villa vs Wolves
    It's a West Midlands Derby in the 3pm BST kick-offs in the Premier League this Saturday when Aston Villa and Wolves are set to face each other at Villa Park. Both teams are currently situated in mid-table having experienced mixed results at the start of their campaign but this game offers a chance of another 3 points that could help move them on up into the upper echelons of the table.
    Aston Villa have had a summer of changes but it seems like Dean Smith has navigated his side through this period of transition well. The team are in 10th place in the league having earned 10 points thus far. The team have suffered the blow that Leon Bailey is unlikely to be available in time for this game. It's now 5 league games without defeat for Villa. An interesting statistic is that goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez has kept a clean sheet in all three of his league appearances against Wolves. There is also a potential outside tip for anytime scorer. Striker Danny Ings has failed to score in his last 5 league games so you could argue that the former Southampton front man is due a goal.
    Wolves are another side that have undergone some big changes this summer with Nuno Espirito Santo departing the club for Tottenham with Bruno Lage coming in as his replacement. Wanderers are in 12th position having tallied 9 points so far. It was a slow start for the team who lost their opening 3 league games of the season without scoring a goal but it's been back-to-back victories and 3 wins from their last 4 league games. They have the potential to equal their club record in the Premier League of three away wins in a row. If they keep a clean sheet it'll be the first time since 1960 that they've managed that in the top flight for 3 matches in a row.
    There is one statistic that Aston Villa fans won't want to hear and that's that Wolves are unbeaten in the last 5 league meetings between these two clubs at Villa Park. Statistics also show that both of these teams have failed to score in the first half of 80% of their league games this season suggesting they both tend to start matches slowly in the Premier League. Not a lot separates these two teams and I can foresee this ending in a bore draw.
    Draw @ 3.40 with Betfred
    Correct Score HT: 0-0 @ 2.70 with Betfair
  3. Like
    Sterphyle got a reaction from yossa6133 in Championship Predictions > Aug 28th   
    Bournemouth does it again for the second time in a row..pissed to be honest where is billing and Travers? Decent win from QPR and Fulham. 
  4. Like
    Sterphyle reacted to StevieDay1983 in Championship Predictions > Aug 6th - 8th   
    Cardiff vs Barnsley
    It couldn't have been a better start for us in the opening game of the Championship with that draw and both teams scoring but it was never in doubt was it?!  The next game I'm covering is my very own Cardiff who kickstart their campaign at home against last season's play-off semi-finalists Barnsley in a 3pm BST kick-off at the Cardiff City Stadium. Can either team start with a win?
    Cardiff have had a bit of an underwhelming summer transfer window. The departures of loanees Harry Wilson, Sheyi Ojo, and Jordan Osei-Tutu along with the end of contract exits of Joe Bennett, Junior Hoilett, Sol Bamba, and Joe Bennett left us significantly weakened compared to last season. When you consider we've only added Luton striker James Collins, Ryan Wintle from Crewe, Mark McGuinness from Arsenal, and Ryan Giles on loan from Wolves it feels like we're still lacking 2-3 players. Central midfield remains an issue for me and our options out wide now are very limited. It's likely Mick McCarthy will stick with the 3-5-2 system from last season so we do have the likes of Giles, Joe Bagan, Perry Ng, and Thomas Sang that can play the wing back roles it still seems like we need more quality in those areas to make the most of the system. Expectations are very limited this season and our fans are just glad to be back watching the team in the stadium. Kieffer Moore is unlikely to be heavily involved today as he continues his return to full training after a physically demanding 2020 European Championship.
    Barnsley defied a number of people's expectations to finish in the top six last season. Head coach Valerien Ismael was rewarded for his achievements by being offered the managerial role at recently relegated West Brom. The man chosen to replace him was little known former TSV Hartberg gaffer Markus Schopp. You have to feel his experience as a data analyst for St Polten a few years back must have something to do with why he appealed to the "moneyball" approach of Billy Beane et al at board room level. The Tykes have lost a number of squad players from last season's successful season including Alex Mowatt, Conor Chaplin, and Michael Solbauer but they have recruited quickly with the likes of Devante Cole, Obbi Oulare, Josh Benson, and Aaron Leya Iseka coming in. It's undoubtedly going to be a transitional season for the Yorkshire club but how quickly can they gel this new-look side under a new man at the helm?
    I have to admit, even though Barnsley did very well last season I felt we had their number. We beat them 3-0 at home and drew with them 2-2 away when we probably should have won that game too. I've tipped Barnsley to struggle this season. They defied the odds last year and they've lost their star man in Mowatt and not replaced him. Combine that with a new man coming in with fresh ideas and it could cause problems. Cardiff might not be as strong as last season but we'll be well-drilled, organised, and disciplined. I can see us sneaking this one in front of a passionate home crowd. As I've always said, you have to back McCarthy to win his home games!
    Cardiff to Win @ 2.56 with SBK
    Anytime Scorer: James Collins @ 3.30 with Betfair
  5. Like
    Sterphyle reacted to StevieDay1983 in Championship Predictions > Aug 6th - 8th   
    Bournemouth vs West Brom
    The Championship season starts at 7:45pm BST on Friday night when two of the teams I've backed to be in contention for promotion to the Premier League go head-to-head with Bournemouth hosting West Brom at the Vitality Stadium. Both teams have new men in charge at the club after respective disappointing campaigns last season so will either begin this season with a win?
    Bournemouth missed out on the opportunity to return to the top flight of English football at the first time of asking last season after an aggregate defeat to Brentford in the Championship play-off semi-finals. Former head coach Jonathan Woodgate has been relived of his managerial duties and the club have taken the shrewd decision to bring in former Fulham gaffer Scott Parker to lead their campaign. It's been a case of keeping things consistent for Parker with the only transfer arrivals being Brentford's creative midfielder Emiliano Marcondes and the loan signing of left back Leif Davis from Leeds on loan. It's probably no surprise given the quality throughout this Cherries squad including the likes of Dominic Solanke, David Brooks, and Philip Billing to name a few. Pre-season offered a mixed bag of results but the performances showed glimpses of what appear to be positive signs ahead of the opening game.
    West Brom will be licking their wounds after relegation from the Premier League last season. Manager Sam Allardyce left the club almost immediately after their relegation was confirmed and the board have made the controversial decision to appoint former Barnsley head coach Valerien Ismael as their new boss. The Baggies are another team that haven't really added much more quality to their current squad but they still boast a strong line-up. Alex Mowatt from Barnsley and Adam Reach from Sheffield Wednesday are the two stand out signings with centre back Matthew Clarke from Brighton potentially being a clever loan move. Ismael has done well to get rid of a lot of deadwood within the team with the likes of Charlie Austin, Branislav Ivanovic, Sam Field, Kamil Grosicki, Lee Peltier, and Hal Robson-Kanu all leaving the club. This squad still possesses the talents of players such as Sam Johnstone, Grady Diangana, and Callum Robinson. The big question is what impact will the exit of Matheus Pereira to Saudi Arabian club Al Hilal have on the club?
    Well, what a game to kick-off this new Championship season. Two teams that almost have Premier League ready squads going at it for an early scalp. I've been looking at how these two teams could set-up and I can't see a lot between them. Both of these teams have squads packed full of quality players, have new managers at the helm that know this division, and will likely favour a more attacking style of football. I have to back the draw but it could well be an entertaining one. Albeit slightly disjointed at this early stage of the season.
    Draw @ 3.45 with SBK
    BTTS @ 1.83 with Sport Nation
  6. Like
    Sterphyle got a reaction from avongirl in Division 6 - Season 4 Week 1   
    Hull city - Oxford 1 @ 1.91
    Port vale - Bolton 2 @ 2.15
    Treble £10
  7. Like
    Sterphyle got a reaction from avongirl in FINAL TABLES (Season 2)   
    Thanks avongirl for running this amazing competition. 
  8. Like
    Sterphyle got a reaction from avongirl in Division 5 - Final Week 8 Selections   
    Parma - Lazio 2 @ 1.80
    Stoke - Leicester 2 @ 1.80
    Norwich - Coventry @ 1.80
    £20 Treble
  9. Haha
    Sterphyle reacted to AdSki16 in Division 1 - Week 2 Selections   
    ??????
  10. Like
    Sterphyle got a reaction from avongirl in Division 5 - Week 1 Selections   
    Fulham - Everton 2 @ 1.91
    Crotone - Lazio 2 @ 1.65
    Hertha - Dortmund 2 @ 1.70
    £10 treble 
  11. Like
    Sterphyle reacted to andypandy23 in Premier League Predictions > Oct 3rd & 4th   
    Damn some juicy value in these games. In particular I am salivating over the Leeds price. Looks huge to me. 
  12. Like
    Sterphyle reacted to BillyHills in Football Tipsters Challenge - Rules and Information *UPDATED 23/24 SEASON*   
    The new football season will obviously be starting later than normal and although there is an International set of fixtures on Sept 5th, it makes more sense for us to start when the Premier season begins a week later on the 12th.
    With that in mind and to keep the 4 mini-seasons this year's competition will be for 36 weeks, split into four 9-week seasons.
    Proposed dates (subject to change)
    TC 1: Sept 12th - Nov 7th
    TC 2: Nov 14th - Jan 9th 
    TC 3: Jan 16th - Mar 13th
    TC 4: Mar 20th - May 15th
     
    Full details to follow if anything changes.
     
    ?
     
  13. Like
    Sterphyle reacted to Mindfulness in How to become a professional bettor   
    @Kengur2017 to Punters Lounge.
    I don't know if this will be useful to you or not but I have written down some things that are important to bear in mind if you want to take betting seriously:
     
    Psychology
     
     
    First of all, if you do not have the correct mentality then you will not be able to develop into a professional bettor.
    ‘Tilt’ or ‘Gambling rage’ is one of the first major obstacles that needs to be overcome if you are serious about betting. Tilt is a term usually associated with poker but it can apply to any form of betting:
     
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tilt_(poker)
     
    Tilt affects all people to some degree, some only suffer from it mildly and can completely eliminate it with a combination of changes to lifestyle and perspective. At the other end of the scale you have chronically impatient degenerates with no self discipline or perspective, the affects gambling has on these people can be highly destructive.   
     
    Ask yourself: “Do I have self discipline? Can I take a loss or a string of losses and still retain my composure? Do I react to losses by making rash or impulsive bets?”.
     
    Patience and self discipline are key factors if you wish to become a professional bettor. In my view any professional bettor does not see his or her line of work as a get rich quick scheme. Unless you luck out with some kind of crazy accumulator or long odds punt it will take time to build your bankroll.
     
    Hurrying to reach the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow can be a toxic mentality. It’s great to visualise a better future for yourself and creating a plan to achieve that but wanting something and wanting it right now will not aid your quest.
     
    Do you enjoy the process of becoming a professional bettor? If you really do not enjoy the process at all then why are you devoting your time and energy to it in the first place? Obviously the goal is to make money but you shouldn’t try to make money from something you really don’t like as it will inevitably compromise your ability to execute the process effectively.
     
    You have to enjoy the process of getting there and you have to enjoy the process of learning. Never think you know it all, because believe me no-one does. The road to becoming a professional bettor is a constant process of learning and improving, the path is not smooth and chances are there will be setbacks.
     
    If and when setbacks occur can you maintain your self discipline and motivation?
     
     
    Bankroll Management
     
     
    Obviously your betting bankroll needs to be completely segregated from all your other forms of expenditure. Your ability to pay the bills cannot be dependent on how well your betting career is doing – especially if you have a family.
     
    Set aside only what you can afford to loose as your initial betting bankroll, then understand and accept that it cannot be used for anything other than betting.
     
    Even if you have only set aside a relatively small amount of money for your initial bankroll you must still treat that money with respect. If you want to take betting seriously then a bet must never seem frivolous.
     
    One of the first objectives of any serious bettor is to never go broke (loose their entire betting bankroll). The partitioning of your bankroll into individual bets must be sustainable.
     
    A sensible way to grow your bankroll over the long term is through compounding:
     
    http://www.investopedia.com/walkthrough/corporate-finance/3/discounted-cash-flow/compounding.aspx
     
    Partition your results over quarterly or annual periods then incorporate the profits from the latest period into your staking structure.
     
    For example:
     
    You have an initial bankroll of $5000 which is divided into 40 individual fixed stake bets of $125 (2.5% of total bankroll)
     
    At the end of year 1 you make a profit of $1000 so total bankroll is now $6000.
     
    Year 2 - Your fixed stake bet would be $150 (still 2.5% of total bankroll)
     
    At the end of year 2 you make a profit of $1200 – total bankroll now $7200.
     
    Year 3 - Fixed stake would be $180 (still 2.5% of total bankroll)… and so on and so on.
     
    By using compounding you can exponentially grow your bankroll in a safe and sustainable way. It will require patience and discipline, especially to begin with, but if you are consistently profitable then I would advocate it as a good way to grow your bankroll.
     
    Sustainability
     
     
     
     
    When it comes to sustainability as a career, one of the main questions is “Where can I get my bets on?”. Bookmakers are no fools, if you are a consistently profitable bettor then sooner or later you will get limited or banned – nothing you can do as it’s in the terms and conditions you agree to in order to bet with them.
     
    One way to negate this problem is to have accounts with lots of different bookmakers and rotate your bets. It’s generally a good idea to have accounts with different bookmakers as you want to take advantage of different offers and prices etc. Despite this, rotating your bets with different vendors could still be problematic in the long term if you are consistently profitable.
     
     
    Betting exchanges is the way to go if you don’t want to get banned or limited. On an exchange you’re betting against other bettors with the exchange operating as the middle man who matches up both sides of a bet. The exchange makes its money from charging commission for each bet made, usually between 2-5% (very reasonable in my opinion).
     
    The main problems you will face with an exchange are:
     
    Does it have the market you wish to bet on?
     
    Does the market you wish to bet on have enough liquidity to get your bet matched?
     
    Your access to betting exchanges will vary depending on what country you live in. Some of the main ones are:
     
    https://www.betfair.com/exchange/
     
    https://www.matchbook.com/
     
    https://www.pinnacle.com/
     
    https://www.sbobet.com/
     
    https://smarkets.com/
     
    If you’re not sure on who to bet with then ask around on this forum and check bookmaker review sites. Always do your research on the various operators and keep appraised of how they’re progressing. If you want betting to become your business then you have a responsibility to follow the industry at large and pay attention to new developments.
     
    Never leave excess money in an online account for longer than you have to. Your bank should be the safest place to store the core of your funds – distribute them to the various exchanges and bookmakers only when necessary. This will help minimise your exposure if an operator goes bust or they inexplicably transfer your funds to bongo bongo land.
     
     
    Methodology
     
     
     
    From reading your post I suspect this is the area you wish to learn most about. Personally I have no special system to offer you, no low risk to high reward strategy, no promises of gold and jewels untold.
     
    The phrase ‘There’s a million ways to make a million dollars’ also applies to betting. The various methods and strategies you could adopt to become consistently profitable from betting are too varied and too numerous to catalogue in a single post.  
     
    Ultimately betting is about finding errors in the pricing of an event. If you believe a market has priced something incorrectly you can take advantage of it. Generally speaking, sports betting markets are not stupid. They evaluate outcomes with efficiency but this does not mean they never make mistakes. Your job is to capitalise on those mistakes at every opportunity. This requires diligence and dedication, you must always be on the lookout for opportunities in the market.
     
    The more knowledge you have on a sport / subject, the more you can spot the opportunities in the market when they present themselves.
     
    Specialising in a particular sport will help you, it should be a sport that you like watching and can watch regularly in order to gain qualitative information:
     
    https://www.simplypsychology.org/qualitative-quantitative.html
     
    Preferably it will be a sports market which is covered by the betting exchanges with enough liquidity to match your bets.
     
    Personally I believe it’s important to develop your own betting strategies rather than follow or rely on other peoples. What if you are following someone else’s betting strategy but you do not really understand it and that person then disappears? You probably wouldn’t have learnt much and would be back at square one. Someone may very well come along on this thread and say “Hey Kengur, I have a great betting system that you might want to follow” and it might indeed be a good system but if you can’t fathom what’s behind it then you’re not really going to advance as a bettor. If you want to be ‘professional’ at something you have to be independent and generate your own ideas. Never rely on others to spoon feed you as it’s not sustainable over the long term.
     
    Punters Lounge is a great site in my opinion – use it. I have learnt a lot from seeing how other people do things over the years on here, there’s lots of useful information on these boards. Just don’t expect anyone to wave a magic wand and make you rich overnight – the world seldom works like that.
  14. Like
    Sterphyle reacted to nenad986 in Serbian Super League Predictions > 2020/21   
    From friday 30.07 new season is starting, so i will try to post every good tips from Serbian leagu on this topic. Most time will try to post odds from bet365, but sometime will play win and goals combo and that cant play on bet365, but will see on what bookmaker can post that odd. In my country we have over 15 bookmaker and you can play almost everything and can find best oods easy. But to be transparent i will post some global booki where can find that bets combo.  Bet will be always flat, in other word 1pt per bet. 
     
    2020/2021 profit/lose (win bets/all bets):
    August: + 2.36 pt (17/23)
    September: 0.00 pt (0/0)
    ---------------------------------
    Total: +2.36 pt (17/23)
  15. Like
    Sterphyle reacted to StevieDay1983 in La Liga Predictions > Jun 11th - 14th   
    Valencia vs Levante
    The third of our La Liga previews this week is between Valencia and Levante in a 9pm BST kick-off on Friday night live from the Mestalla. These two teams currently have their eyes fixed on opposite ends of the table with the home side looking to keep the pressure on their rivals for the Champions League qualification spots with the away team simply looking to steer clear of the relegation zone.
    Valencia are slowly beginning to believe that the glory days of times gone by could be returning to the city. Head coach Albert Celades controversially replaced the popular Marcelino last year but it appears the gamble has paid off. Los Murcelagos are in 7th place and only 4 points behind the Champions League berths. An impeccable home record has been the key to their successful season with the team yet to taste defeat at home in the league so far. It's also been a run that's been built on a solid defence with less than 2.5 goals scored in 13 of their 14 home league games so far.
    Levante might not be experiencing as positive a season as their opponents for this game but there's still plenty to be optimistic about for Paco Lopez's men. Granotas finished 15th last season and this season was all about survival once again. The team are currently in 13th place and 8 points above the relegation places so they're looking good to achieve that but need to ensure poor form doesn't set in. Unfortunately, the team lost their last 5 away league games before the suspension set in. The fact they also lost the home tie of this fixture 4-2 earlier in the season suggests they're not going to be at the peak of their confidence for this one.
    The sure bet seems to be backing the home side. Valencia are looking decent and their form at home is relentless. Levante had started to look completely lost at sea away from home. Has the break helped them to fix that issue or will it have just festered? Either way, I think even at the short price being offered it makes sense to back a solid Valencia win in this one.
    Valencia to Win @ 1.76 with VBet
    Valencia HT/FT @ 2.75 with William Hill
  16. Like
    Sterphyle reacted to StevieDay1983 in La Liga Predictions > Jun 11th - 14th   
    Granada vs Getafe
    Two teams that are exceeding theirs and others expectations face each other this weekend when Granada host Getafe in a 6:30pm BST kick-off on Friday night at the Nuevo Los Carmenes. An opportunity is here for both of these two sides to take another positive step in the right direction in what is proving to be a very encouraging campaign for them. Can either side take all 3 points?
    Granada are thriving back in La Liga having earned promotion as runners up from the Segunda Division last season. Not many people gave them much hope of staying up, even with their wealthy Chinese investors, but head coach Diego Martinez has done a credible job guiding them to 9th in the table and just 7 points off the pace of the European qualification spots. One of the key factors in the awesome league performance by Nazaries has been their home form which has seen them win 8 of their 13 games on home turf this season.
    Getafe set the foundations down last season with their surprise 5th placed finish but Jose Bordalas has ensured standards haven't dropped with the team currently sat in 5th place after 27 league games. The team is only being kept outside the Champions League qualification berths because of goal difference. Getafe have ensured that they have been picking up points on the road as well as at home and that's been crucial for their high league placing. It's 6 wins from their 13 away league matches so far this season.
    This is a baptism of fire for both sides who come up against opponents that will fully believe they can win this game. Getafe took the psychological advantage when the sides met earlier in the season with a 3-1 win on their own patch but that was going on for over 9 months ago. It's tricky to work out who will hit the ground running better but I think given the prices flying around that backing the draw seems a sensible choice and I wouldn't be surprised if both sides cancelled each other out entirely.
    Draw @ 3.00 with Bet365
    Total Goals Scored Under 1.5 @ 2.40 with 888Sport
  17. Like
    Sterphyle reacted to sajtion in Bundesliga I & II Predictions > May 26th - 28th   
    eintracht frankfurt has had tough run of games and will be glad it's behind them. i think they could just edge this match. freiburg looked good in second half against werder bremen, dominating plenty of ball possession but just could get being bremen tight defense to score. i don't think that this match will go their way
    werder bremen even though won last time they had 6 players at the back defending their one goal lead but still gave many opportunities away. i look at the table and think monchengladbach can get back in the mix for champions league places with a win here and they shouldn't miss an opportunity to bounce back here
    i expect bayer leverkusen to win. they have look very good as a unit and proven it by winning their past two games. wolfsburg has only lost 1 out of 8 previous games and could be a challenge but i don't expect leverkusen to rest on their laurels and miss to bag three points having beaten their nearest monchengladbach rivals for those vital champions league positions
    interesting game between leipzig and hertha berlin. hertha has been absolutely flying but they are scheduled to come down in this match. i can't see them marching on with such results and convictions, though they got ability to find a goal. leipzig needed to wake up after lackluster draw with freiburg and they did with werner scoring a hat trick. they should prove stronger and continue building on
    i think augsburg is worth siding with having thumped below average looking schalke. they know these games are vital and i don't doubt their motivation and energy. they still need few wins to secure safety and they will want to get it done sooner rather than later. i expect them to come out in full confidence and force the game. paderborn drew past two but that doesn't suggest to me like they look anywhere close to winning.
    cologne has had to riddiculus games. last time they came back from two goals down to draw and before that let two goals slip to also draw. hoffenheim has had slowest return to games than any other club but at least drew last time and is something to build one. i expect them to bite here and show strength to edge a home win
    avoiding schalke for now, they are too unpredictable and on really bad run and not sure what to make of union berlin or mainz.
     
  18. Like
    Sterphyle got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Bundesliga I & II Predictions > May 16th - 18th   
    I am expecting goals galore in all the matches today. I'll be going with:
    Leipzig to win & over 2.5
    Hoffenheim - Hertha Bsc BTTS
     Frankfurt - glabach over 2.5
    Augsburg - wolfsburg 2
    I'll also be backing some anytime goal scorers; Alassane plea @ 2.65 jadon sancho @ 2.1 Marcel sabitzer @2.5
     
     
  19. Like
    Sterphyle reacted to StevieDay1983 in Bundesliga I & II Predictions > May 16th - 18th   
    Augsburg vs Wolfsburg
    The Bundesliga returns this weekend to great applause. It's a small step towards normality and hopefully everyone remains safe and healthy during the resumption of the league. I'll attempt to get a preview for every game in this opening weekend so we can get a better understanding of where teams are picking up. The first game up is Augsburg versus Wolfsburg in a 2:30pm BST kick-off on Saturday afternoon at the WWK Arena.
    Augsburg resume their league campaign in 14th place and just 5 points above the relegation zone. It's an uncomfortable position for Heiko Herrlich's men but they'll be glad to have the chance to finish their season and do everything they can to avoid relegation. One thing we're hoping to see is goals in this game because 10 of the 12 league games played at Augsburg's home ground have seen at least 3 goals scored. Unfortunately, the home team's form heading into the suspension period wasn't great having lost 4 of their last 5 matches. The club has also failed to beat their opponents for today's game in their last four meetings.
    Wolfsburg find themselves in a more positive position than their opponents for this game. Die Wolfe are 7th in the table and just 1 point off the European qualification spots. Head coach Oliver Glasner has seen his team build their season around solid defensive performances with only Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig conceding less goals so far. Once again, the goals scored is a focal point here. The team have seen an average of 4.75 goals scored in their last four away games. It's 6 league games unbeaten for this team in the league so the challenge will be seeing if they can continue that run.
    Well, it goes without saying that their pre-suspension statistics suggest we should be backing a goal-packed game. I'm swaying towards backing the away win because Wolfsburg were looking in good nick before the break. Augsburg were in a bit of a slump so they break has probably done them good. It's a hard call to make with the first game back but I'm going to look to back the away side to sneak a win.
    Wolfsburg to Win @ 2.20 with Betway
    Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.95 with BetVictor
  20. Like
    Sterphyle got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Bundesliga I & II Predictions > May 16th - 18th   
    Finally some football worth watching and placing some bets.
  21. Like
    Sterphyle got a reaction from Zico10 in check this btts & win strategy   
    Good strategy, i have won some good amount of money this season betting on 1x2 & btts. Don't focus on strong winning team but rather focus on strong mid table team that can't keep a cleansheet. The best league to bet on according to me is bundesliga and serie A. Also the nature of the opponent matters alot
  22. Like
    Sterphyle reacted to StevieDay1983 in Primeira Liga Predictions > Feb 28th - Mar 3rd   
    Famalicao vs Sporting CP
    It's hard to add to what @buga00 has already covered but I'll do my best for this 8pm GMT kick-off between Famalicao and Sporting CP at the Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho Vila Nova de Famalicao tonight. Both of these teams are firmly in the hunt to chase down the European qualification spots but the result of this game could have a huge say on their fate.
    Famalicao were the early season pace setters which is an astonishing achievement given their tag as the division's new boys. Manager Joao Pedro Sousa has seen his team drop to 7th in the table but they're still in the fight. The club's home form remains solid, the 7-0 pasting at home the club suffered to Vitoria contrasted by a 1-1 draw at home to Benfica in the cup, so it is games like this that they'll be keen to win to stay in touch with their rivals for a European spot. The troubling statistic is that it's now 8 games without a win for the club.
    Sporting CP remain a European contender despite all their problems in the background. The departure of Bruno Fernandes to Manchester United in the January transfer window hasn't really changed what was already an inconsistent set of performances for the club. Manager Jorge Silas has led his team to 4th in the table and the Europa League is probably the best his team can hope for with the club so far behind Porto and Benfica in the table. Just 2 wins from their last 6 away league games isn't great but they come to a desperately out of form Famalicao side.
    These are two sides that are not in the best form but Sporting CP will surely feel they can win this. Buga00 has rightly pointed out that the best value could be on Famalicao getting something from this game but I'm not sure I share his confidence. To put it simply, he sums it up correctly that several opportunities will come for both sides and it's a matter of if they take their chances. I was thinking of backing an away win but I'm swaying more towards the draw now.
    Draw @ 3.55 with Unibet
    Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.82 with Marathonbet

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  23. Like
    Sterphyle reacted to BillyHills in **NEW** Last Man Standing Competition - March 7th   
    **The next Last Man Standing Competition will start on the weekend March 7th/8th**
    **CASH Prize of £250 to the winner ***
     
    All players welcome and the first selection thread will be put up in plenty of time.
    We have 10 weeks of the season left so hopefully we will get it finished, anyone left in the comp at the end of the Premier League season will share the prize.
    Meanwhile the current consolation competition will carry on as normal next week.
     
    Many thanks, BH.
  24. Like
    Sterphyle reacted to BillyHills in Prizes & New Divisions for the next TC - Starts Saturday   
    Prizes
    All winners need to send me their PayPal addy, PL name and prize being claimed.
    Anyone winning Merchandise needs to send me their home address.
    send details to: [email protected]
     

     
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  25. Like
    Sterphyle reacted to StevieDay1983 in Primeira Liga Predictions > Feb 21st - 24th   
    Gil Vicente vs Benfica
    The Portuguese action extends into the Monday for this weekend's round of games. I'm focusing on Gil Vicente versus Benfica in a 7:30pm GMT kick-off at the Estadio Cidade de Barcelos. The home side are simply looking to consolidate their place in the middle of the table after earning promotion last season and the away side are locked firmly in a two horse race for the title with rivals Porto.
    Gil Vicente fans will be happy if their team can just stay up this season. As it stands, Vitor Oliveira's men are doing just that in 11th place and 11 points clear of the relegation zone. Relegation does seem a very unlikely outcome but they'll relish the big games like this because that's what plying Primeira Liga football is all about. Just 1 defeat from their 10 league games at home is a decent return for a newly promoted side. Inconsistent form recently has stunted their progress but they'll just be keen to be competitive here and hold out for as long as possible.
    Benfica know a win will take them back to the top of the table. Manager Bruno Lage's side are 2 points behind current league leaders Porto but possess a game in hand. Benfica have won 9 of their 10 away league games this season so they'll feel they can and should take all 3 points from this game. The only issue being is that they've suffered back-to-back defeats. Granted, those losses came away to Porto and at home to Braga but how much will it have affected them mentally? Is the pressure getting to the players?
    I think this game is done and dusted. Lage will be demanding a return to form after the two losses in the league to get their title aspirations back on track. I can see a more assured defensive display after a jittery pair of performances. Will we see goals galore? I don't think so. Gil Vicente have shown they are tough to break down at home so they'll make it difficult but the away side will just have too much quality and will be keen to make a point.
    Benfica to Win to Nil @ 2.63 with Unibet
    Benfica HT/FT @ 2.38 with Boylesports

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