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The Equaliser

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Everything posted by The Equaliser

  1. 2.45 Ham Danzan £5.50 at 5.2 Ellia McCaine's only ride today. Had £1 win at 12/1 (PM) on Manigordo in case Easterby wins with the outsider 3.55 Ham Misscarlett (BC) £2 win at 21 currently 14.0 so may not get matched Lots of other rides with top jockeys, including Kevin Stott but there also seems to be big problems associated with them so I'll take a peak at the evening flat meetings instead
  2. Was worth a small wager, though didn't fire at all 🙃
  3. Looked at a few at Hamilton 1.00 Yeeeaah £2 win at 17 = £20.38 i/r 6.6 Paul Mulrenan rides Back later as lunch is cooking and I'm the chef
  4. RESULTS UPDATE No winners today. One of my lay bets got matched so my loss today was £8.00. This means that my new balances is £931.86 (Bank £1056.22) 3 Flat meetings in the UK tomorrow and two over the jumps. Most of the top jockeys seem to be at Chelmsford , including Tom Marquand. There is scope at the other two race meetings with Ben Curtis, Kevin Stott, Paul Hanagan, Paul Mulrenan and a few others at Hamilton. Whilst Danny Tudhope, Mark Crehan, and David Allen etc are at Thirsk. Should be interesting comparing my top jockeys and apprentices
  5. Of Tom Marquands rides I am trying to get £4 win at 7.4 matched. If I do I will put in a lay bet of £4 at around 2.00 to get my money back if it gets matched Now matched with a £4 lay bet at 2.16 for £20.54
  6. 3.55 Ayr Economic Crisis (HR5) £2 win at 12.00 = £20.01 at i/r 1.79 (skinny)
  7. Just looked at Hollie Doyle's rides. Of her better priced rides I have chosen £2 to win at 12.50 on Invincibly in the 3.40 at Nottingham. I have put in an i/r bet at 2.26 so as to secure £20.07 if it wins and if it fails possibly get my money back. I also like Joe Fannings, Dark Company but have to reviewed his rides yet. Looks as though Puckle will be his best chance in the 3.10
  8. It's OK, I've found it. It is on the Sporting Life website under ABC. I'm right the above selection is the only ride for Marco Ghiani today
  9. Very busy morning so not much time to look at my top jockeys/apprentices. 1.00 Nott Artemisia Gentile (MG3) £2 win at 36 = £21.56 if matched I/R at 25.00. Looks like Marco's only ride for the day so well worth a punt Can any one remember which website flags up all a jockey's rides for the day? I don't want to miss any selections as I did yesterday with Tom Marquand's 18/1 winner Back later, after lunch
  10. Eureka !!! I got it now. From now on I will look at all my top jockey rides and go through their day and select what I believe to be their best chances and back say one or two. I will also look at the apprentices with allowances rides on the day. I will look to favour rides at the greater prices and if one top jockey/apprentice is on the shorter priced selection I will look to see if value can be obtained from one of his/her rivals at a better price 🙂
  11. RESULTS UPDATE I didn't fare too bad. On the day I lost £4.26. this is because Paul Hanagan won on Prison Break for me. Unfortunately for me I retrieved £8 on matched bets where the selections lost but sacrificed £17.20 on Prison Break so I worse off by £9.20! I felt confident about backing more horses but not enough of the losers got matched to pay for the loss on my winner. There is a place for the in running lay bets, I feel. This is ironically best on the outsiders. The way to do it is to find and outsider that one feels will run well. Next check with oddschecker about the be
  12. Don't I know it!! I just don't know how I missed Classy Dame in the 3.45. I backed Menai Bridge and although my lay bet got matched my heart sank when I saw that Tom had done the business on his ride. Racing Post narrative: "Classy Dame After two Class 6 wins she has struggled off higher marks in a pair of Class 5s". Just goes to show that the right jockey on the right horse produced by the right trainer makes a mockery of what the form experts say. Frankie Dettorie said recently that Ryan Moore was the best jockey around at the moment but I reckon that Tom Marquand is up there with him.
  13. 1.45 Red Lochnaver (BC/WH combi) one point win at 20/1 with Bet365
  14. A bold attempt at Leicester and Redcar with reduced profit if in-running prices gets matched and my selections win. The idea is to save on stakes if the selection runs well, gets matched but doesn't win. I do realise that for every winner I sacrifice say 50% profit then I need to retrieve more money on my losers to compensate but I think that this is worth a go 1.25 Leic Primo (JD) £3.70 win at 6.8 = £10.15 profit @ 4.0 I/R 2.00 Leic Neptune Legend (JD) £4 win at 6.2 = £10.58 @ 3.5 I/R 2.35 Leic Sadies Day (HD) £2 win at 11.5 = £12.35 p @ 5.2 I/R 3.45 Leic Menai Bridge
  15. RESULTS UPDATE A bit choked that Tom Marquand beat Spoof but that's racing for you. Not a hint of a chance for the Tony Carroll horse in the racing press. Anyway I made a net profit on the day of £14.49 by limiting my bets after Tom Marquand won for me on Indian Creek. My new balance is now £944.12 (Bank £1056.22) From tomorrow I will be experimenting a little with my in-running lay bets so as to protect my stakes if my selections runs well without winning. I will be prepared to sacrifice between 50% & 33% profit should my selections go on to win. If this is successful I can
  16. Well, it's typical that when I backed a real player with Richard Kingscote aboard along comes Tom Marquand (my favourite jockey) and takes the spoils with Rose Hip at 12/1
  17. Nice winner with Indian Creek. Luckily it did get matched so I am in good profit atm. Also, Hollie's horse got matched so I got my £2 stake money back although she lost the race. I have stuck with Windsor and just had a couple more bets so as to ensure a profit on the day 3.20 Spoof (RK) £3 win at 8.0 = £20.58 Profit if it wins 5.37 Lorca (OM). I have put in £2 win at 17.00 It is currently 11.5 but I am hoping that its price will drift on the Exchange. If it does and it gets matched I will put in another lay bet so as to ensure a £20 profit if it wins or get my stake money
  18. Up late today and didn't do much work last night as I was tired Looking at Windsor mainly today 1.35 Indian Creek (TM) £2 win at 11.5 currently 10.5, hopefully it will get matched as it is unfancied 2.10 Bluebell Way (HD) £2 win at 15.5 and have put in an In runnnnig lay bet for £2 at 5.2= £20.19 if it wins & retrieve my stake if it gets matched and loses 5.02 McCann The Man (MC5) 35p win at 66/1 = £23 .45 if it wins 4.05 Red Khabib 75p win at 40/1. Put in an in-running lay bet £2 at 6.0 = £10.50 Liability if matched and wins. Still get £20.25 profit if it runs a
  19. 4.05 Red Khabib (PH) one point win at 40/1 with Betfair Looked at 7 races to choose the best outsider of the day and the Paul Hanagan horse looks to be my best chance. Wouldn't win the comp at that price unless its price drifts dramatically
  20. RESULTS UPDATE I could really have done with Pistol Whipped not being beaten by a nose today. One of the reasons for choosing top jockeys is so that they are the ones who wins by a nose! Anyway. can't change what's happened. It did make me think though that maybe when I am considering other horses than the market front runners that I should also take account of the merits of other "players" in the race rather than just my top jockeys and apprentices. It would seem that this may be a lot more time consuming so I will have to think my way around it. Can't spend too long looking at one r
  21. Haha, the price got so smashed that I have laid it off for a 50% profit if it wins and now have a risk free bet courtesy of Bet365
  22. 5.25 Kel Wadacre Monika one point win at 8/1 with Bet365
  23. Some bets today 3.42 Kel Skiddaw Tara (BH) £1.30 win at 16/1 = £22.10 if it wins 5.25 Kel Wadacre Monika (BH) £2.00 win at 10/1 = £20 profit if it wins 3.25 Uttx Flame Of Passion (JJ'oN) 80p win a 25/1 = £20 profit if it wins 3.57 Uttx Pistol Whipped (NdB) £3.50 at 7.4 = £21.95 if it wins 5.42 Uttx Kingofthecotswolds (STD) £1 win at 20/1 Total stakes = £8.60 Incidentally anyone interested in the 4.52 Hunters Chase at Kelso today could well do themselves a favour by reading @Darran write-up under the head of "Hunter Chases" . He is always a good read
  24. Managed to get 5/1 for this on Bet365. Many thanks
  25. RESULTS UPDATE No winners today so a complete wash out = £22 loss on the day. Thank goodness I didn't back them each way, I would have doubled my losses. My new balance is £938.23 (Bank £1056.22). Lots of favourites went in today so I don't feel bad about it all. Should have backed Hollie Doyle's winner and not been put off. All UK racing over the jumps tomorrow and it is harder for me to spot the top/apprentice jockeys riding horses at decent odds. I will have a peak tonight.
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