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The Equaliser

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Everything posted by The Equaliser

  1. RESULTS UPDATE The Big 3 got 3 winners today but that didn't pay fro the losers. The net loss was -2.84 which gives a c/fwd of -6.75 My alternative bets had two winners and yielded a net profit of 3.45 points. This gives a c/Fwd of -77.95 points Odds on backers suffered one defeat today at 4/5 hence lees than one point lost -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Book bets: My win bet paid for the Trixie so break even on the day. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 45 races to look at tomorrow. Pheww!!
  2. Well some of us benevolent guys have to keep the bookies afloat so that PL professionals like yourself can make some dosh 😍
  3. May you make oodles of money with long odds on priced favourites. Anyway, I can't remember you ever putting any of them up as selections 🤣
  4. 2.10 Plum Galata Bridge £20.00 LAY @ 1.38 = 19 points v 7.60 Liability If any one wants to believe statistics published by Ladbrokes then so be it
  5. BEST OF THE BEST SELECTIONS TODAY B/FWD SEP -5.47 POINTS Loads of short priced favourites today 1.30 List Feigh 13/8 DTR Alt (1) 5/1 (was 5/2 last night 2.00 List French Made 2/1 DTR Alt (9) 14/1 (was 10/1 last night) 4.00 List Posseidon 2/1 DTR (was 11/8 last night) Alt (1) 10/3 (was 4/1 last night) 4.30 List Ballyouisin 6/5 DTR steady Alt (2) 6/4 (7/4 last night) 1.45 Ham Qitaal 11/10 (was 10/11 last night) DTR Alt (6) 9/2 2.20 Ham Voice Of Wisdom 13/8 (walk in the market) Alt (3) 5/2 (was 11/4 last night) 2.50 Ham Lexington Force 13/8 (11/8 last night) DTR Alt (1) 11/4 (was 9/2 last night!) 2.10 Plum Galata Bridge 4/11 (was 4/9 last night DTR No Bet 5.10 Plum Stensham Court 4/5 (was 4/7 last night Alt (4) 7/2 (was 16/5 last night) 9 selections out of 22 races = 41% which seems quite high today ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Book Bets 1.30 List Feigh 13/8 2.00 List French Made 2/1 2.50 Ham Lexington Force 13/8 One £1 win Trixie = £4.00 poss return of £43.30 Little scope for a recovery bet at today's prices so have gone for a £2 win bet on French Made in the 2.00 List = £6.00 return if it wins Total spend £6.00 Good luck to all today
  6. RESULTS UPDATE The Big 3 got 7 winners today, hoorah, but they only made 1.56 points, sigh. This gives them a c/fwd of -3.91 My alternative bets continue to flounder with no winners today and a carry forward of -81.45 points Only 22 races tomorrow so at least analysis should be easy ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Book bets: I was tricked once again by Timeform's star rating of the day Aramaic in the 3.25 at Newbury and should have taken the safer option of Thaki in the 4.55 at Wolves. I guess being greedy has its price. Anyway no winners today and a £7.00 loss. My new balance is £716.81 (Bank £1056.22)
  7. Excellent analysis as always. I will bear the above information in mind when I start laying the big 3's odds on shots next month. The reasoning behind this is that they are over bet and I hope that this will make it a profitable strategy 🙂
  8. BEST OF THE BEST SELECTIONS B/FWD SEP -5.47 POINTS 3.25 Nb Aramaic 3/1 DTR Alt (8) 11/2 4.00 Nb (4) Gubass 9/2 DTR Alt (1) 11/4 4.35 Nb (8) Koy Koy 5/4 DTR Alt (5) 5/2 1.15 Nav (8) Weeseekhimhere 7/5 Alt (14) 5/1 1.45 Nav (5) Apple Crumble 4/1 Alt (11) 15/2 2.55 Nav Chemical Energy 4/9 Alt No Bet 1.55 Ayr Juan Elcano 5/4 Alt (1) 7/2 1.35 Gow History 15/8 DTR Alt (15) 9/2 3.20 Gow Olivia Velere 11/2 DTR Alt (2) 7/2 4.10 Catt Saligo Bay 5/4 Alt (2) 7/2 4.45 Catt Caribeno 10/3 Alt (3) 10/11 haha 5.15 Catt Old Flame 8/13 Alt (1) 9/4 4.55 Wolv Thaki 13/8 DTR Alt (3) 15/8 8.30 Wolv Merlins Beard Alt (1) 5/2 14 Selections out of 54 = 26% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Book Bets 1.35 Gow History 7/4 1.45 Nav Apple Crumble 11/4 3.25 Nb Aramaic 3/1 (Timeform's star rated selection today, haha) One £1 win Trixie = £4.00 Poss return of £77.56 Single bets 3.20 Gow Olivia Velere £1 win at 11/2 3.40 Ayr Ostileo £1 win at 11/1 4.00 Nb Gubass £1 win at 9/2 Total spend £7.00
  9. Well nobody makes anyone put money on a horse at such cramped odds so I guess you have to accept the consequences of taking what is assumed to be a very small risk. I was watching an old "jumpers and bumpers" video with John Francome in the spotlight the other day. He said that although some trainers make it look easy to get multiple winners in a day sometimes, but people just do not realise how difficult it is to get a horse to a race track and then get it to win. Taking very short odds about any horse is not a sensible option imo unless one has very specialised knowledge and a strategy that is proven to be profitable over time.
  10. RESULTS UPDATE The Big 3 got 4 winners out of 11 selections. Not great odds again but at least a small profit of 0.32 pips prevailed. This makes the c/fwd balance -5.47 points My alternative bets produced zilch today out of 8 races. The c/fwd is now -68.45 points --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Book Bets King Of Conquest let me down in a single and also stopped me completing the Trixie. The double yielded a return of £11.38 so a net profit on the day of £5.23. This makes my c/fwd balance £723.81 (Bank £1056.22) There are 54 races tomorrow and I may have to leave them until the morning.
  11. BEST OF THE BEST SELECTIONS B/FWD SEP -4.54 POINTS 1.00 Ayr Azure Blue 11/8 DTR Alt (4) 5/1 1.35 Ayr Straits Of Moyle 10/3 DTR Alt (5) 13/2 1.45 Nb Silk Romance 1/2 DTR Alt No bet 2.55 Nb King Of Conquest 15/8 DTR Alt (4) 3/1 4.55 DwnP Top Bandit 4/11 DTR Alt No Bet 1.53 NAbb Dilligent 8/13 DTR Alt (1) 13/8 3.03 NAbb She's A Novelty Evens Alt (4) 11/1 4.45 NAbb Eglantine Du Seuil 1/20!!! DTR Alt No Bet 7.45 Dun Leo De Fury 13/8 DTR Alt (5) 3/1 4.50 Km Oddiseo 15/8 Alt (10) 7/2 5.25 Km Thalor 1/2 DTR Alt No Bet ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Book bets: 1.35 Ayr Straits Of Moyle 10/3 2.55 Nb King Of Conquest 15/8 7.45 dun Leo De Fury 13/8 One £1 win Trixie = £4.00 = poss return of £64.06 Singe bet: 2.55 Nb King Of Conquest £2.15 win at 2.98 = poss return of £6.32 Total stakes = £6.15
  12. BEST OF THE BEST SELECTIONS TODAY B/FWD SEP -4.54 2.05 Yar Wajd 7/4 (2/1 last night) Alt (7) 11/4 steady Won Alt lost 1.50 Ayr Outbreak 2/5 (8/13 last night) DTR Alt No Bet Lost Alt Lost 2.50 Pont Liberation Point 15/8 (5/4 last night) Alt (5) 13/8 Fav Lost Alt Won 4.00 Pont Wynford 7/2 (16/5 last night) DTR Alt (3) 10/3 Fav Lost Alt Won Only four match up today out of 37 races = 10.8% ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Trixie based on the above selections 2.05 Yar Wajd 7/4 2.50 Pont Liberation Point 15/8 4.00 Pont Wynford 3/1 One £1 win Trixie = £4.00 = Poss return of £62.02 Single bet: 2.05 Wajd (WB) £2.20 win at 2.9 = £4.10 profit if it wins Total spend £6.20 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RESULTS UPDATE Just one winner for the Big 3 which created a loss of 1.25 points = c/fwd -5.79 points My alternatives produced two winners showing a profit of 3.95 = a c/Fwd loss of -60.45
  13. RESULTS UPDATE 6 winners for the Big 3 today. This yielded a net profit of 3.10 points. Add to b/fwd -7.64 = c/Fwd -4.54 My alternative bets produced two winners with +10 points v - 10 points out = 0 Therefore c/fwd = -64.40 Odds on shots = - 1 = Favori Logique that looked unlucky to fall at the last fence. Anyway a plus 1 point day for the layers today 37 Races tomorrow
  14. BEST OF THE BEST SELECTIONS TODAY B/FWD SEP -7.64 These are not recommended tips 1.00 Bev Luxor Flush 7/5 Alt (6) 2/1 2.05 Bev Fivestars 5/4 (ev last night) Alt (2) 4/1 3.10 Bev Sound Reason 11/8 Alt (7) 5/1 4.10 Bev At A Pinch 2/11 DTR Alt No bet 1.10 Yar Fauvette 2/1 DTR Alt (6) 13/2 4.15 Sligo Fancy Foundatiom 11/10 DTR Alt (4) 6/4 4.50 Sligo Favori Logique 8/11 DTR Alt (3) 13/2 2.25 San Gold Spur 5/2 Alt (12) 10/3) 3.30 San Mostahdaf 7/4 Alt (6) 3/1 5.10 San Harston 11/4 Alt (10) 5/1 4.00 Kel (1) Zafar 1/2 Alt No Bet 6.00 Kel Chapati 6/4 (10/11) last night Alt (2) 6/1 12 Selections out of 39 races = 30.7%
  15. RESULTS UPDATE The big 3 got 5 winners today out of 10 selections however poor prices, apart from Nomasee meant a small profit of 1.17 points. There is now a carry forward of -7.64 points My alternatives came up with one winner at 7/1 from 9 selections so a loss of 1 point. This makes a carry forward of - 64.40 points --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Book bets: All 3 in the Trixie failed. However, Nomasee just managed to hold on from a powerful Will Buick/David O'Meara challenge (hehe check out that combo's AE) . Anyway this recorded a £3.81 net profit. My balance now C/fwd is £718.48 (Bank £1056.22) 37 races tomorrow
  16. Can't help wondering what Jessica Harrington's AE is? She got two more good priced winners today at the Curragh. I hope that @Zilzalianwas on these?
  17. BEST OF THE BEST SELECTIONS TODAY B/FWD SEP -8.81 NB These selections are not tip recommendations 1.00 Font Glimpse Of Gala 8/13 Alt (6) 85/40 4.45 Font Eye To The Sky 5/4 Alt (4) 13/8 4.55 Red Overthink 7/4 (11/10 last night) DTR Alt (1) 7/1 1.30 Punch Radiyha 3/1 DTR Alt (9) 4/1 3.33 Punch Champion Green 4/6 DTR Alt (5) 16/5 4.05 Punch Flagged 11/4 (9/2 last night!) DTR Alt (13) 10/3 (9/2 last night) 1.50 Yar My Little Tip 4/9 steady DTR Alt No Bet 5.20 Wolv Hellavaplace 11/4 (4/1 last night) Alt (2) 11/2 (4/1 last night) 6.20 Wolv Astaroth 5/4 (2/1 last night) Value gone? Alt (2) 7/2 (2/1) last night 7.50 Wolv Nomasee 16/5 (3/1 last night) Alt (2) 4/1 (13/2 last night 10/39 races = 25.6% My Trixie based upon the above selections: 4.55 Red Overthink 15/8 4.05 Punch Flagged 11/4 5.20 Wolv Hellavapace 5/2 £1 win Trixie = £4 = poss return of £71.70 Singles Bet 7.50 Wolv Nomasee £2 win at 4.99 = profit of £7.82 if it wins
  18. RESULTS UPDATE At least Dark Terms won for me so a £1 profit on the day. My new balance is £714.67 (Bank £1056.22) 39 races to look at tomorrow
  19. RESULTS UPDATE The Big 3 had 5 winners today out of 14 selections. The odds created a small gain of 1.75 points which means the carry forward is now -8.81 points My alternatives only produced one winner at 7/2 but this meant a loss of 8.50 points. The cumulative loss has now grown to -63.4 points
  20. Very many thanks Alex. She is in hospital with a broken ankle. She is awaiting surgery following swelling going down in her leg. I saw her tonight and she was at least brighter than the day before.when she was completely confused. I am hoping that she will have surgery tomorrow so that I can plan for her to come home.
  21. Yes. Sorry for any confusion. It is only where you see me write DTR that they include RP Top rated. This is because I tie in Timeform Top rated to state DTR (Double Top Rated) . Please PM me if you want the breakdown, I don't like blabbing all this out on a public forum. I'm off out atm to see my wife in hospital so won't be back until later
  22. No luck with the Trixie so a couple of singles for later 5.45 Km Dark Terms (HD) £2 win at 7/2 8.15 Km Urban Forest (WB) £2 win at 9/2 £8 total spend so far
  23. BEST OF THE BEST SELECTIONS TODAY 3.30 Bri Hooves Like Jagger 4/2 Alt (3) 13/2 1.30 Thsk Woodlands Charm 9/2 Alt (2) 15/2 2.00 Thsk Manumission 5/2 DTR Alt (5) 15/2 2.30 Thsk Bartzella 1/4 DTR Alt No Bet 3.05 Thsk Hesperis 11/8 DTR Alt (3) 7/2 3.40 Thsk Lady Rockstar Evens Alt (3) 10/1 1.15 Worc Head On 9/5 DTR Alt (1) 13/2 1.45 Worc Regaby 4/1 Alt (7) 3/1 2.20 Worc Jemima 7/4 DTR Alt (4) 5/1 2.50 Worc Bathiva 9/4 Alt (4) 9/4 3.25 Worc Fifrelet 6/5 Alt (6) 15/4 4.45 Km Buxted Reel 9/4 Alt (3) 9/4 5.45 Km Dark Terms 7/2 Alt (4) 8/1 8.15 Km Urban Forest 9/2 Alt (2) 7/2 It will be interesting to see how the jumps compares with their flat alternatives with these selections 14 selections from 30 races = about 47% no doubt influenced by jumps racing today
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