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vvararu

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Posts posted by vvararu

  1. 3 hours ago, neilovan said:

    At this time of the year players fall into two categories. Highly motivated or holiday mode. The ATP finals race will seriously motivate players. A huge payday awaits where a decent week can nett 500K Euro's . The alternate (who hangs around all week collects 200k). The race to the ATP finals looks like this, with one tournament to go after this one.

    7th) Casper Ruud  3,105
     8th) Jannik Sinner  3,015
     9th) Rafael Nadal*  2,985
     10th) Hubert Hurkacz  2,955
     11th) Cameron Norrie  2,875
     12th) Felix Auger-Aliassime  2,420

     

    Sinner and Auger Aliasimme are done, but Ruud, Hurkacz and Norrie are looking to fill the last 2 spots.  Both Koepfer and Duckworth have exceeded their expectations here, and are playing with house money. Anything more is a bonus for both of them, but I think they both lose today. Not great odds  for Popyrin and Hurkacz, but a double returns even money which is decent. Popyrin looking reasonably good indoors, while Hurkacz should have too much for lucky loser Koepfer.

    I think a motivated Casper Ruud will also get the better of Giron.

    The two interesting matches are Djoko v Monfils (17-0 record) and Zverev v Dimitrov. Forget most of the 17-0 Djoko record. I think this new version of Monfils can run him very close. Djoko slightlly underdone, while Monfils looks terrific.

    I don't think Zverev will get the fast court assistance that he craves for his serve. Dimitrov, resurgent, is definitely in with a shot here. I expect both these games to go over 19.5 games, with no blowouts.

     

     

     

     

    Duckworth is not here by chance. He played well lately on hard beating Krajinovic, Millman, Ivashka, Bautista-Agut, Musetti.

  2. 6 minutes ago, delfino said:

    Hello! I am the God of Tennis!

    RAducanu proved tonight that she is the next big thing for sure.

    Bencic, was exactly as i predicted; A loser and a very weak player who could not have any sufficient first serve

    delfino =God of TENNIS!

    '

    Good shot!

    It seem that you have something personal against Bencic, though. :) Did she upset you a few times?

  3. 54 minutes ago, delfino said:

    Raducanu for me folks! Sorry to go against our great tipster vvararu....But i never trust any wta tour favourite, and over and above, i never trust Bencic. To be straight, this is a bet against Bencic, but of course i fancy the young Briton who finally seems to be as the next big thing in WTA tour, even if some of you smile, and i understand the smile, because the nature of the WTA tour is something so uncertain and unpredictable 'league' material,  that no one can make a serious and well equipped prediction! Bencic might think that winning the gold Olympics medal is a passport visa to win every game, and according to my estimations, and because Bencic is not a huge player by any means- rather an every now and then player- she will be trapped today by the mind of the very strong young briton player, who i like very much, and i hope her will not kill my euros today.

    5/10 stakes, in order to save money for the soccer matches, which are Sweden and Switzerland both to win in massive prices!

    Good luck folks! 

    Well... as I've read somewhere... always go with the player that is on fire. When both players are on fire, go with the one that is more experienced. :)  To be honest, that did not work for me with Svitolina yesterday. I'll put my hopes in the more experienced player today again.

    Let the strongest win :)

  4. Bencic to beat Raducanu @1.72

    I find these odds too good to not take Bencic.

    Raducanu is on a good run in the last months but, to be honest, she did not encounter any top player on the road. The highest ranked opponents of her were Sorribes-Tormo, Zhang, Rogers and Vondrousova (at Wimbledon).

    Bencic, on the other hand, is a much more experienced and tested player. She is on fire lately. Won Olympics and, generally, has great results this year. According to https://live-tennis.eu/en/wta-live-ranking, winning this match she will enter top 10 WTA. To be mentioned that she defeated much stronger opponents (compared to Raducanu's) in the last couple of months - Pegula, Swiatek, Krejcikova, Pavlyuchenkova, Rybakina. I did not watch many of her games but I've watched that last one, against Swiatek. Bencic played very strong and showed character in many moments of the game (Swiatek had chances to take the first set in the tie-break).

    Having said that, I think that the odds on Bencic should be closer to 1.4-1.5. Let's see if they will drop later.

  5. My low-odds compilation for today:

    Osaka to beat Danilovic ~1.07

    Svitolina to beat Masarova ~1.09

    Dimitrov to win at least a set against Popyrin ~1.11

    Bagnis to win at least a set against Trungelliti ~1.18

    Bautista Agut to win at least a set against Ruusuvuori ~1.12

    Total 1.71

     

    Osaka is just quality-wise better than Danilovic and I expect her to come back to her winning paths after the period being out of tennis tournaments.

    Svitolina is in good shape (won Chicago WTA last week) and there is a too big gap between her and Masarova. It seems that marriage with Monfils had a good impact on her game.

    Dimitrov seemed very convincing to me against RBA and Bublik last week. He is physically OK. I can see him choking at some points in the match but I cannot see him losing 0:3.

    Bagnis showed a good game against Daniel. More convincing that Trungelliti's gain against Davidovic Fokina. As @CzechPunter mentioned above, he should prevail in this one. I'll go for the safest bet here 'cause I don't see him losing 0:3

    RBA... not much to say about him. Such a hard-working guy who feels good in 5 set configuration. Should win the match but I'll take him to win at least a set.

  6. 44 minutes ago, Torque said:

    And to illustrate the point, Carreno-Busta just lost. Was about ten to one on before the start, won the first two sets at which point you probably couldn't have backed him at 1.01 on the exchanges, then loses the next three sets including the final set from 6-3 up in the decisive breaker. Madness, but it goes to show there is literally no such thing as a banker.

    Agree. Watched this match. I think Busta tanked 3rd set, lost the 4th being too relaxed and had a real bad luck in the tie-breaker. Also, Cressy hammered aces like crazy. 

    Anyway, it was supposed to be a banker :D

  7. Any idea about Cecchinato to beat Svajda @1.34 as a banker? I agree that italian is not very consistent… still he won over Sandgren on hard (than lost 1:2 to Koepfer) and Svajda is far from both opponents quality-wise. More than that, it seems that he did not play since june.

  8. 1 hour ago, neilovan said:

    I watched the Garin today and he played like a clown to lose in 3 sets against Gaston. He was a 3 to 10 favorite.

    Was 4-1 up in the 3rd and lost his serve 3 times in a row, and a 3rd set breaker 13-11. Wouldn't touch him with a 10 ft pole at the moment.

    Yesterday watched Wimbledon semi-finalist Shapavalov lose to to Vit Kopriva (never heard of him!!!!!!!) . He was also a ridiculous low priced favorite.

    I think a lot of players are treading water, keeping the ranking intact, and making money at the majors. Gstaad pays the winner 41K euros. A 1st round loser in the majors gets 60K euros. Just peak 4 times a year and maybe at the other masters 1000 and forget the rest. Hang out at home, wake up  next to the wife/GF, chill out with your mates .... or you could go taxi -- airport -- hotel -- practice --- match repeat endlessly.

    Welcome to the world of tennis. ? One of the rules I’ve learned, to never bet on a high-ranked player in small tournaments. Usually, they just mark their appearance for the sake of some money (their appearance being also good for the tournament itself).

  9. Thinking of Pliskova to progress at least of couple rounds. At least she should easily pass over Zidansek who is not in harmony with grass court.

    Pliskova has lost the first two grass season matches (Pegula and Giorgi). Giorgi had more good grass court games beforehand and Pegula... nothing to say... the nightmare dream of Pliskova.

    Still, I think she will progress pretty well at Wimbledon and Zidansek should not be a threat to her.

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